Trial balloon: when will the Armed Forces of Ukraine go to the Belgorod region with serious forces?


The day before, something happened that all sane military experts and adequate analysts had warned about for a long time. An enemy sabotage group invaded the territory of the Belgorod region, but not in pickup trucks, but with a tank, infantry fighting vehicles and other armored vehicles. With the joint efforts of the RF Armed Forces, the National Guard and the Border Guard Service of the FSB, the attack was repelled. What conclusions can be drawn from this event and will they be drawn at all?

From NWO to WHO

The sortie of an enemy armored group into the Grayvoron urban district of the Belgorod region was preceded by a massive mortar shelling of our border region and strikes by kamikaze drones. Several civilians were injured as a result. The Ukrainian TsIPSO began to disseminate information about the alleged capture of Russian settlements in order to sow panic, as well as about the downed helicopter of the Russian Aerospace Forces, which, fortunately, was not confirmed. For reference: Grayvoron with a population of 6 thousand people is located at a distance of 5 kilometers to the border with a hostile state, therefore, objectively, it is a convenient target.

At the moment, it is known that the attack of the enemy is repulsed. The popular telegram channel Rybar reports the following losses on both sides:

Eight civilians were injured. Eliminated 39 saboteurs who entered the territory of Russia.

As a trophy, ours got a damaged American armored car MaxxPro. Unfortunately, the remnants of the sabotage group were able to go back to Ukraine, taking with them the Russian armored personnel carrier of the FSB Border Service.
The representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate of Ukraine, Andriy Yusov, confirmed the fact of the attack in the Belgorod region, but clarified that it was not the military personnel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine who took part in it, but only Russians who went over to the side of the Kiev regime:

Legion "Freedom of Russia" and "RDK" (recognized as terrorist organizations and banned on the territory of the Russian Federation) are conducting an operation to create a security strip to protect civilian Ukrainians. The operation is carried out exclusively by citizens of Russia.

The Governor of the Belgorod Region, Gladkov, announced the introduction of the CTO regime in this border region:

In order to ensure the safety of citizens in the Belgorod Region, the legal regime of the counter-terrorist operation has been introduced today, which establishes special measures and temporary restrictions.

It should be noted that neither in the Bryansk nor in the Kursk regions the local authorities are in a hurry to do this. Apparently, they are waiting for the enemy to strike there too. Vladimir Putin, President and Commander-in-Chief, has yet to personally comment on the incident, but spokesman Dmitry Peskov did:

The Ministry of Defense, the FSB and the Border Service reported to the President of Russia - the Supreme Commander-in-Chief about an attempt by a Ukrainian sabotage group to break into the Belgorod region. Work is underway to squeeze them out of Russian territory and destroy this sabotage group.

Such is the general situation by the end of the fifteenth month of NWO. Starting to retreat in Ukraine, Russia is now forced to introduce the CTO regime not on the territory of the enemy in order to demilitarize and denazify it, but already on its own. Sailed.

Test ball

We explicitly warned a year ago that the actual abandonment of decisive goals in Ukraine would eventually lead to just such a result. We also repeatedly called for strengthening the defense capability of our country by forming a buffer security belt in the Sumy, Kharkiv and Chernihiv regions, creating Territorial Defense Forces from local residents of the Russian border and recreating full-fledged Border Troops.

As you can see, absolutely nothing was done from this. For some reason, the widely advertised "notch line" in the Belgorod region did not stop an entire enemy armored group with a tank at the head. By the way, why? Ukrainian military commanders are now openly mocking, explaining that they will create a "security zone" already on our territory. Excuse me, of course, but there is a complete managerial mess, absolutely unacceptable in a war with such a dangerous adversary as nazified Ukraine, behind which stands the entire NATO bloc! How much longer will this go on?

It is quite obvious that yesterday's sortie of an entire armored group into the Russian border area is a trial balloon aimed at testing the reaction of President Putin. Based on what it will be and will there be at all, in Kyiv and in the West they will decide with what forces it is possible to re-attack our "old" regions. The fact that the Belgorod region is one of the priority targets for a demonstrative attack of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, we detail told earlier. The reason for this is the indulgence for ground operations, publicly issued to the Kyiv regime by German Defense Minister Pistorius. Firstly, in Ukraine they decided to play it safe, allowing Russian collaborators and traitors to act as cannon fodder. What will happen next?

Further it will only get worse. If the "Dagger" does not arrive along Bankovaya, then a second attack, already stronger forces, will definitely happen. This could be an attack by mechanized units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Belgorod or even Kursk with the aim of organizing a Big Trouble in Russia in order to divert the RF Armed Forces and the National Guard to stop the breakthrough. After that, the main blow of the enemy will fall on the Sea of ​​\u2024b\uXNUMXbAzov and the Crimea. I don’t want to croak, but perhaps the Ukrainian army should be expected near Belgorod and Kursk in January-February XNUMX in order to create special informational background on the eve of the presidential elections in Russia.

What to do to avoid Big Problems?

What should have been done a year ago: change the leadership of the Russian Ministry of Defense to a more competent one, create Territorial Defense Troops in the Russian border regions or recreate full-fledged Border Troops, conduct a planned second wave of mobilization in the RF Armed Forces, providing them with everything necessary, and start a series local offensive operations encirclement of Sumy, Kharkov and Chernihiv, followed by squeezing out the Ukrainian garrisons from there in order to form a reliable security belt from the future almost inevitable offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine deep into our country. Otherwise, in the foreseeable future, passive defense can turn into huge troubles.
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  1. +18
    23 May 2023 11: 28
    change the leadership of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation to a more competent one

    What are you, with whom then will GDP go fishing?!
    As one mustachioed press secretary recently stated, we are waging an NMD and not a war, you see, they are still in their little world of special operations, and even an UAV attack on the Kremlin did not make them move much. Every day people have more and more questions on the topic of SVO, but there are no answers, and if the government finally does not crawl out of its shell, it will have very big problems!
    1. +7
      23 May 2023 17: 17
      It is enough to forcibly settle the daughters of Shoigu, Putin and son Peskov in the border villages. The border will immediately become impregnable. In the meantime, their children are in Europe and Dubai, they do not bear personal responsibility.
      1. +5
        23 May 2023 20: 32
        Kuramori Reika, and if you isolate the fifty richest Jews, then the world wars will end. This is what Henry Ford suggested. laughing
  2. +4
    23 May 2023 12: 13
    I do not believe that the governors in the adjacent territory do not know about the forces directed against us. This means that at first it is necessary to do not only a sweep, but also a small depression on someone else's. We made a big bet right from the start. This is not how players play. Other players can raise the bets. And the first player has a very tight time. When you write that serious times await us, you meet with a rebuff. This is excusable for ordinary people, because sometimes they think so at the very top. If we forgive this sortie, others will follow.
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  4. +7
    23 May 2023 12: 22
    Putin? Reaction?
    Putin is everything. A pitiful shadow from that Putin who flew into the war zone by helicopter and was going to wet the terrorists in the toilet
    1. +2
      23 May 2023 12: 43
      Muscool, all your hopes come down to a change in our leadership. From other garbage heaps, too, Vladimir Putin find fault. laughing
    2. +4
      23 May 2023 13: 09

      No wonder.
      What a "captain", such a "swimming".
  5. -3
    23 May 2023 12: 29
    If the population was not evacuated along the borders (which a number of experts, such as Strelkov and Goblin, for example, have long been talking about), then the boyars apparently have no time for them.
    Money is mastered.
    Concrete hedgehogs, ditches, sensors, poles, etc. - as it was recently promoted ....

    On the other hand ... what is this

    massive mortar shelling of our border region and strikes by kamikaze drones. Several civilians were injured as a result.

    and a massive strike with calibers on Ukraine itself?

    Eight civilians were injured. Eliminated 39 saboteurs who entered the territory of Russia.

    It looks like fear has big eyes and it is necessary to inflate fear ....
  6. +1
    23 May 2023 12: 58
    The main thing - reported, and there the grass does not grow. The Arbat Military District is drawing up a regrouping plan.
  7. +5
    23 May 2023 12: 58
    More recently, DRG Bassaeva and Khottaba entered Chechnya en masse from the territory of Georgia, but no one declared war on Georgia and no one bombed Tbilisi. It was believed that these were internal problems of the Russian Federation with its own citizens. So here it will be considered in the same UN as an invasion of citizens of the Russian Federation (no one here deprives bandits of citizenship under the law of the Russian Federation) to fight the authorities. So, no one will bomb Bankovaya, they will not enter the territory of Ukraine on the border of the Belgorod region. There will be no soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in this DRG, there will be persons with Russian passports. Almost a CTO has been announced, according to the results of which some of the militants will stay forever in the Russian Federation, and some will return to Ukraine and will prepare the next call. The leadership of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation has nothing to do with it, since the FSB of the Russian Federation and the Russian Guard are in charge of the border and CTO. Again the question arises, what to do with the Border Troops and how to deal with saboteurs from citizens of the Russian Federation?
    1. -2
      23 May 2023 19: 19
      What to do?...
      It is possible to first take away from the federation the power that it does not possess, and then return to the republics of the Federation the powers to protect the borders that are rightfully theirs.
      Is the governor of a state paid to do his job, or is he paid to handle mailboxes and forward complaints?
  8. +4
    23 May 2023 13: 04
    And when starting the NMD and when the border troops were dispersed, no one thought that the entire border with Ukraine would become the front line?
  9. -4
    23 May 2023 13: 37
    Do not sow panic, citizens.
  10. 0
    23 May 2023 14: 13
    We need mobile infantry in sufficient numbers, at least with small arms and grenade launchers at first. However, who announces mobilization among us? Not the Ministry of Defense at all, but guess the first time who? And the defense cannot be a full-fledged army from the very beginning.
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  12. +2
    23 May 2023 16: 03
    What safety belt is everyone talking about? And who will ensure the safety of the inhabitants of this zone? And How? Only to the Polish borders and connection with the Kaliningrad region!
  13. The comment was deleted.
  14. +1
    23 May 2023 17: 12
    What should have been done a year ago: change the leadership of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation to a more competent one

    Your words are in Putin's ears. But our Guarantor is generally little in the subject. Putin is not Stalin, so the headquarters of the Commander-in-Chief does not threaten us. Boundless credulity to Shoigu and Gerasimov makes soy "dirty deed".
  15. +1
    23 May 2023 17: 37
    Another yummy slap in the face. Like "Moscow", Crimean bridge, Engels, Sevastopol.
    The Kremlin, but it's a shame for the state for some reason to the common people. Well, they don’t want to fight seriously at the top, it’s the whole gesheft that will break down, pipes, contracts, partners. That is respected partners. The game goes on for a long time, and what about fifty scumbags and a border checkpoint? Consumables. The army is neither shaky nor rampant, but it is conducting some kind of battles on territory that no one needs, the Moscow plebs and plankton do not experience any special problems. So, everything is fine, no need to strain. The original plans were curtailed and now it's time to pull. F-16s will come, Calibers will fly around the airfields, they will send something else, the army will figure out something, how to fight back. And time goes by, country 404 is slowly dying, everyone will soon get bored, and the old, useful weapon, which is not a pity, they are running out of. And nobody wants World War III. Well, not because of Ukraine. So we will crawl slowly to peace talks. And then again, dear partners, contracts, gesheft. Don't boil.
    1. +5
      23 May 2023 18: 23
      And time goes by, country 404 is slowly dying, everyone will soon get tired of it, and the old, useful weapon, which is not a pity, is being pumped out of them.

      The problem is that Ukraine will NOW make a military base in any case, except for its complete occupation. An unsinkable aircraft carrier near Moscow. Strategically, everything except "to the Polish borders" is our loss. They will place everything they have on its territory. And hypersound when it appears. And they will maintain their own bases - the logistics are inexpensive. And the agrarian economy and not only will gradually catch up. Poland lives ((And then - kranty.
      1. +2
        23 May 2023 19: 38
        There is a way to avoid this...

        For example, to invite Ukraine to join an economic community that is more promising than Europe...
        To offer the same Ukraine political and economic support that promotes free trade, the free movement of goods and people, the effective fight against crime and corruption ... better than what Europe offers.

        Because you understood well that praising the merits of a hypersonic missile is not a promise of the future. And as you can see, Putin talks better about the rocket than about his 5-year economic development program.
        1. +3
          23 May 2023 20: 11
          Offer the same Ukraine political and economic support

          Perhaps you are right and it would have worked BEFORE..Now, after the referendums, the proposal for political support from the Russian Federation is unlikely to be accepted by Ukraine. It seems that way for some reason..
          1. -1
            24 May 2023 19: 21
            What you are saying is unfounded.
            As evidence, we can cite the fact that Europe arose in 1957, that is, 12 years after the liberation from Nazism. The first act is the creation of a common market (EEC).
  16. The comment was deleted.
  17. +2
    23 May 2023 18: 00
    It seems that we simply do not have border troops - come in and do what you want!
  18. +1
    23 May 2023 18: 09
    Quote: In passing
    F-16s will come, Calibers will fly around the airfields, they will send something else, the army will figure out something, how to fight back.

    And what has the army been doing for the past 20 years, has it come up with something?

    And time goes by, country 404 is slowly dying, soon everyone will get bored,

    And how are we going to carry out the rotation, or will those who are mobilized on this muddy NWO, leave those who remain alive for 5-7 years? We have a line of contact under 1000 km, and how and by whom will we protect these few years? How many years were we in Afghanistan when we were dragged there?
    We are played for a long time and not we them.
  19. +1
    23 May 2023 19: 12
    I suggest the author of this article to run for the presidency of the Russian Federation.
  20. 0
    23 May 2023 19: 58
    In order to mobilize for decisive action, you need a minimum of 300, and preferably 000, then we will have an advantage in numbers at least for some time. But then we need 500000 uniforms, 500000 pieces of artillery. 25000 - 5000 tanks. Do you think we have it? Yes, they still need to be taught military affairs. And believe me, they will fight without enthusiasm. These are not Wagnerians. And you need to push the enemy back. Yes, at least the entire left bank will be something to bargain about. But an agreement will have to be made. Well, Sergei yourself wrote that we captured the Crimea, but we could not legalize the capture! And he hung up.
  21. +3
    23 May 2023 21: 09
    What a problem to supply border guards with heavy machine guns, grenade launchers, armored personnel carriers and quadrocopters. For a whole year, independentists have been climbing into the Belgorod region. And it never occurred to anyone to strengthen weapons? Involuntarily, you will begin to understand Ivan the Terrible when he impales one boyar on a stake another with his bare backside on a hot frying pan. Maybe these methods will work in our time.
  22. -2
    23 May 2023 21: 49
    For a full-scale continuation of attacks on the territory of the Russian Federation "forbidden" by curators, the SBU will not recruit so many "citizens of the Russian Federation".
    This chip was reserved by them for a high-profile action, in the event of a significant defeat on the fronts.
    Curators benefit from a smoldering conflict, and in the event of a declaration of war and general mobilization, it will soon end, and end on the western borders of their wards.
    We don't need such a cool script either, because will entail great sacrifices and the risk of real internal instability in the Russian Federation, and not imaginary, as TsIPSO is now telling fortunes.
    1. 0
      24 May 2023 09: 28
      That is, Putin does not declare war and general mobilization, because the smoldering conflict is beneficial to him? Rave.
      1. -2
        24 May 2023 09: 56
        Smoldering conflict is the lesser evil.
        We do not benefit from any military conflict.
        Bloodletting treatment is a paradigm from the Middle Ages.
        But if you choose - to hand over half a liter from a vein, controlling the process, or to substitute an artery for the ghouls, then the right choice is obvious.
  23. 0
    24 May 2023 00: 22
    If there are no border troops, what to expect? Khokhols are no more stupid than Russians, they think alike, but more boldly. The war has already become "war", and it's time to admit it. Where is the "second army of the world"?
  24. +5
    24 May 2023 02: 43
    To avoid big problems, one must not hide on one's own border, especially since the border is long, one cannot hide anywhere... It's time to launch bombing and missile strikes on the cities of Ukraine. Not point, but areal. So, having explained to the world from the rostrum of the UN - for the strike on Lugansk on such and such a date, we struck back at 10 cities of Ukraine. For everyone to know - the answer will be 10 times stronger, and it will be symmetrical. You hit the civilian - then your civilian will die. Well, warn the city of Lvov, Rzeszow and Warsaw about a possible nuclear strike if an airplane / tank / missile, etc. is transported through Poland.
    Stop mumbling and hoping to unfreeze bank accounts. None of this will happen anymore. There is a big war ahead. Nuclear war. Whether it becomes global... depends on us. If we strike first at Lvov and Warsaw, the West will chicken out, realizing that we are ready for sacrifices. If we remain silent and hide our heads in the sand, then we will be torn apart into a hundred district principalities, and made into slaves for 100 bucks a month. Or maybe they’ll just round everyone up in concentration camps ... they already know how, they’re no strangers to
    1. -4
      24 May 2023 19: 25
      Another person who believes that in order not to annoy his neighbor, he must be destroyed ...
      Beware, loneliness awaits you!
      And then beware of the logic that can be applied to your own life as well.
    2. -1
      24 May 2023 19: 49
      I think you understand that now the West is tired of Putin's small steps, trying here and there to grab onto the rhetoric for 2 rubles (Russia is under threat, the world does not like us, ...) with this idea that you are touting: " They'll still deflate and won't do anything if we take it again."

      So, that's it, now the world opposite is saying "stop" to Putin!
      And now there is no desire to get out.
  25. -5
    24 May 2023 20: 46
    Exactly! Surround Kharkiv, Sumy, Chernihiv. And thousands of combat airships are a must! Military thought is striking in its depth. Straight to the bottom.
    Who is there to surround? Civilians?
  26. +1
    25 May 2023 08: 01
    I read the comments and think - why is there pre-moderation on the websites of almost all media outlets in the West?
    Probably because the bots are over the top...
    And here, why do we have someone crap?
    There is an information war going on, of course. But we must write the rules in it ourselves, and not play according to the imposed ones.
  27. +2
    26 May 2023 14: 39
    Since there are governors, there must be governors-general. On behalf of the Governor-General, the enemies should shake their hamstrings, and from his roar, the cannons of the tanks should fall and the undercarriage fall off. The infantry must fall to their knees and bow three times nine by nine. And who is there now? Just a governor, a sparrow chirping from a nest and waiting for instructions from the very top of the pyramid all the way to him. In the meantime, whoever saw the pyramid of the Elder King of Egypt, there are so many steps there that the display will go down to the step that is needed, the state is no longer there. Just like in Siberia there were jokes during the change of power that the peasants got drunk and were surprised that the king was replaced by the president. What kind of power is this, is it for us or for whom?
  28. +1
    28 May 2023 04: 22
    This is the result of all these "goodwill gestures" and everything else.
    Already a long time ago it was necessary to transcend to the liquidation of the entire top of Ukraine.
  29. 0
    31 May 2023 16: 54
    No matter how it turned out, as always: during the reports, all targets were hit, but we had to retreat. Maybe someone in the leadership of the Moscow Region is tempted by Kutuzov's laurels - to lure deep into, and then destroy.
  30. 0
    31 May 2023 18: 19
    I got the impression that the hasty abandonment of the entire Kharkiv region by our troops in 2022 was the result of some kind of behind-the-scenes agreements, although they could have made defense on the northern borders of the Seversky Donets, including the Lozovsky reservoir. A very convenient line. And today the long-suffering city of Shebekino would not have been subjected to shelling. To hell with Grayvoron and many villages, let them pay for the stupidity of our leadership, but at least Shebekino could be! You cannot trust the Ukrainian nationalists who seized power. A hundred times deceived under the guidance of vile Englishmen.