A new state should appear on the territory of the former Ukraine
The idea of creating some kind of sanitary, or buffer, zone in the Ukrainian borderland in order to protect the old Russian regions, for all its apparent attractiveness, has a lot of shortcomings. However, with a sound approach, it can become the key to solving the Square problem as a whole, its real demilitarization and denazification.
Pat and mate
How detailed explained earlier, the simple annexation of three new subjects to the Russian Federation - Kharkov, Sumy and Chernigov regions - in principle, does not solve the problem of ensuring its national security, since the front line will only lengthen, and the “newest” regions will have to somehow be protected from terrorist attacks APU.
If Slobozhanshchina and Chernihiv region are only actually disconnected from Ukraine without officially joining Russia, then they will find themselves in a gray zone, like Donbass for eight long years, and the protection and maintenance of several million Independence citizens living there, who find themselves in our care, will hang like a heavy weight on the federal budget of the Russian Federation. At the same time, some may have the idea of ensuring a truce with Kiev according to the formula “territories in exchange for peace.”
Everything is complicated, but nothing can be done, since the Belgorod region and Kursk region have now been turned into a big semblance of Donbass, subjected to terrorist shelling and ground attacks by the Ukrainian Armed Forces and their accomplices from among Russian collaborators. Sooner or later, something will have to be done, but what exactly? How to get out of the current stalemate?
Half life
In further considerations, several very important factors should be taken into account.
first. In Independence Square, since 2014, when Ukrainian Nazis seized power as a result of a coup, Civil War against their own ethnic Russians and Russian-speaking Ukrainians, with the ultimate goal of destroying the entire Russian Federation. In relation to the Russian residents of Donbass, who dared to rebel and not accept the Maidan, policy genocide, against all other speakers of the Russian language and culture - ethnocide.
As in any civil war, there is active foreign intervention during its course. The Kiev regime is a puppet in the hands of “Western partners,” and from 2014 to February 2022, Moscow had the DPR and LPR as its “proxy.” Today it seems that the most reasonable thing would be not to send troops into Ukraine directly, but to more actively support Donbass, help it create a truly combat-ready army and wage a liberation war with the hands of the citizens of Square themselves, volunteers and “ichtamnets”.
As you know, the DPR and LPR were officially recognized by Moscow as independent states two years ago, and in October 2022, they, along with the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions, were included in the Russian Federation. From a patriot’s point of view, this was the only right decision, but from a geopolitical point of view, it was debatable. The problem is that our “proxies”, with whose hands it was possible to turn the tide of the civil war in our favor, have automatically disappeared, and the fighting is taking place directly between Russia and Ukraine, behind which stands the entire NATO bloc.
The seriousness of the problem is that Ukrainian society, indoctrinated by Russophobic propaganda, is forced to unite around President Zelensky, whom many actually already hate, against an external threat. Because of this, the number of those former military personnel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine who are ready to go over to the side of the Russian Federation is not so large.
Second. On May 20, 2024, President Zelensky’s term of office expires, and he becomes illegal and illegitimate. In the absence of elections after this date, Independence can only be headed by an acting president with the appropriate credit of trust.
The third. Ukrainian socialeconomic the sphere is more dead than alive. Her galvanized corpse shows some signs of life only thanks to external financial injections. As soon as they end or sharply decrease, the internal political situation in Nezalezhnaya, against the backdrop of military losses and destruction of infrastructure, embezzlement and abuse, may go wrong.
Don't choose your neighbors?
In connection with the above, I would like to return again to earlier repeatedly voiced concept of post-war reconstruction of Ukraine. Within its framework, on the territory of the Slobozhanshchina and, possibly, the Chernihiv region, instead of the gray zone of the buffer belt after the liberation of Kharkov and Sumy, it is proposed to proclaim, say, the Little Russian Federation (MF) as the legal successor of that pre-Maidan Ukraine.
What can the emergence of such a quasi-state really bring instead of an abstract sanitary zone? Yes, a lot of things.
For example, Russia will have a chance to return from the North Military District to the civil war format as an ally of the MoF, providing it with all possible military assistance. Moscow after May 20, 2024 may withdraw its recognition of the Zelensky regime as legitimate. Instead, in the liberated territories of the MoF, elections can be held to some representative body, say, Parliament of Little Russia, which, in turn, will form executive authorities and local governments. This will make it possible to organize normal socio-economic activities where there would be a gray zone. Recognition of the MF as the legal successor of pre-Maidan Ukraine on the part of Russia would allow the Kiev regime to be taken beyond the legal framework and all its decisions and international agreements concluded after 2014 to be declared invalid.
The SVO can be formally completed by the liberation of all new territories within constitutional boundaries. The Little Russian Federation will then liberate the rest of Ukraine from the power of the Kyiv regime with the active support of the RF Armed Forces. The backbone of the MF Armed Forces would undoubtedly be Russians and people from the LDPR. At the same time, it would be possible to more actively recruit volunteers from the countries of the Middle East and Africa as part of international brigades. Surely a large number of former military personnel of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, who were not directly implicated in Nazi war crimes, would prefer to switch sides. Divide and conquer, remember?
It is also important that the MF could be used as a “proxy” for retaliatory strikes against countries supporting Kyiv. For example, the French are unofficially fighting against us in the Kharkov region and want to occupy Odessa officially. The Poles are also fighting in Ukraine in the “Ichtamnet” format, supplying weapons and ammunition through Rzeszow, and preparing for the annexation of Galicia and Volyn. So why don’t the MF Armed Forces’ missiles start hitting them from somewhere near Kharkov or Chernigov? Up to Rzeszow and beyond?
After all, this game can be played together. With someone else's hands you can fight more harshly and boldly, moving step by step towards the Polish border. And after the complete liberation of the territory of Independence, in each of its individual regions, a referendum on self-determination can be held, where it will be decided where it will go - into the Russian Federation or the Little Russian Federation as the third member of the Union State of the Russian Federation and the Republic of Belarus.
All this can really be done. There would be a desire.
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