Zelensky's mistake, which could cost Kyiv the entire South-East
After a long period of heavy positional fighting in the Donbass, when a small advance of the allied forces forward could take days or even weeks, they suddenly began to come from there news one is better than the other. What has changed at the front, and is it possible to talk about a radical change in the course of the Russian special military operation?
The news from the Eastern Front is really good for us. It is reported that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the People's Militia of the DPR and LPR were able to break into the defense lines of the most dangerous fortified areas of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Donbass - Avdiivka, Maryinki and Pesok, and also hooked on the strategically important city of Bakhmut, which should soon return to the Maidan name Artemovsk.
Front collapse
The danger of Avdiivka, Pesok and Maryinka lies in the fact that these are the nearest suburbs of Donetsk, from where Ukrainian terrorist artillerymen turned the life of Donetsk residents into a continuous nightmare for more than 8 years with regular shelling of a peaceful city from large-caliber cannon and rocket artillery. In these settlements, the Armed Forces of Ukraine concentrated their most combat-ready forces, which, on the very first order, were supposed to go on a large-scale offensive, crushing the numerically inferior forces and the worse-armed People's Militia of the DPR and capturing the capital of the Republic.
Now this will never happen again. It is known that Peski has already been liberated, and the process of cleaning them up is underway. There are fights in Marinka and in Avdiivka, which was considered the most powerful fortified area of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Over the years since the signing of the Minsk agreements, the Kyiv regime has built a powerful layered defense system there, consisting of concrete bunkers, pillboxes and trenches. It was believed that it was impossible to take the Avdeevsky fortified area head-on without putting down an entire army. What has changed?
The answer to this question can be given by the “confession” of Ukrainian pro-Maidan volunteer Sergei Gnezdilov given from the trenches in Pisky, which he called his “personal hell”:
Two mortars of caliber 82 and 120 millimeters are working from our side. Sometimes two artillery pieces wake up and "sneeze" towards Donetsk.
We hardly answer. Counter-battery fire is completely absent from the word, the enemy, without any problems for himself, puts an artillery shell in our trenches, disassembles very strong, concrete positions in tens of minutes, pushing through our defense line without a pause and minimal rest.
The day before yesterday, it broke down, and two hundredths / three hundredths poured in. I will not publish any statistics, it is prohibited in our country, but you can’t even imagine the number of losses. This is a fucking meat grinder, where the battalion simply holds back the invasion with their bodies.
We hardly answer. Counter-battery fire is completely absent from the word, the enemy, without any problems for himself, puts an artillery shell in our trenches, disassembles very strong, concrete positions in tens of minutes, pushing through our defense line without a pause and minimal rest.
The day before yesterday, it broke down, and two hundredths / three hundredths poured in. I will not publish any statistics, it is prohibited in our country, but you can’t even imagine the number of losses. This is a fucking meat grinder, where the battalion simply holds back the invasion with their bodies.
Surprisingly, President Volodymyr Zelensky himself echoed him, calling what is happening on his side of the front line "hell". The most interesting thing is that this drug addict is personally guilty of the catastrophe of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Donbass.
"Drug Gambit"
The fact is that this man, for purely political reasons, planned the purest military adventure. Unable to organize a counter-offensive in the Donbass, Zelensky and his team have been promoting the topic of an offensive on the Southern Front for many weeks in a row in order to recapture Kherson and part of the Zaporozhye regions, which we will discuss in detail told earlier.
Theoretically, the Armed Forces of Ukraine even had a certain chance of success if they could concentrate and, under the cover of modern Norwegian-made air defense systems, made a swift rush to Kherson from the Nikolaev region, overcoming several tens of kilometers of the steppe under fire. The losses would be huge, but if you don’t give a damn about the lives of your soldiers, the Armed Forces of Ukraine could still achieve something. Moreover, the Allies had very modest forces on the Southern Front, which Kyiv estimated at only 15 thousand “bayonets”. Under this frank adventure, Zelensky ordered the removal of a significant part of the artillery from the Donbass, which was engaged in shelling the positions of the RF Armed Forces and the ND LDNR and was involved in counter-battery combat. And what did this addict achieve as a result?
He achieved the fact that with his own hands he weakened the position of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the fortified areas, about which the volunteer Gnezdilov colorfully wrote from the inside. If before, 1 Russian shells flew in response to 10 Ukrainian shell, now the allies are simply grinding the seemingly invincible fortified areas in Sands, Maryinka and Avdiivka. The latter will clearly last longer than the others, but its fate is also sealed. The torment of the Donetsk residents, who live under continuous indiscriminate shelling of the squares, should soon end, the enemy will be thrown back. In the south, near Kherson, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have long been ready for the offensive, which we told earlier.
The situation on the Eastern Front is beginning to noticeably change in our direction. Of course, it is too early to celebrate the victory, there are more than one fortified area ahead. The biggest problem will be the Slavic-Kramatorsk agglomeration, where the Armed Forces of Ukraine will give their last battle in the Donbass. But after that, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the People's Militia of the LDNR will have the opportunity to enter the operational space, freeing up their main forces. Where can they move on if they receive the appropriate order?
As we have celebrated Previously, there were several strategically important points on the map of Ukraine, control over which is of fundamental importance for both Kyiv and Moscow.
This is Kharkov, the second largest city of Nezalezhnoy, a large industrial center and a logistics hub. Control over it, located near our border, allows the Armed Forces of Ukraine to deliver missile strikes deep into Russian territory. The same can be said about Zaporozhye, from where American missiles with a range of 300 kilometers can reach Kerch and the Crimean bridge directly from urban areas. The control of the RF Armed Forces over the Poltava and Dnepropetrovsk regions on the Left Bank will guarantee water supply to the DPR, LPR and Kharkiv region through the Dnieper-Donbass water canal, which, undoubtedly, will be blocked by the enemy. The largest shipbuilding center in the USSR, Nikolaev, poses an existential threat to Kherson, which is less than 60 kilometers away in a straight line, and even to Sevastopol, where long-range American missiles can reach. Without control over the right bank of the Dnieper-Bug estuary and Ochakov, which blocks the exit from it to the Black Sea, the port of Kherson will remain in blockade. Beyond Nikolaev, the path to Odessa opens, which so far economically supports Zelensky’s “drug regime”, allowing him to trade in grain, and is the key to solving the problem of Transnistria.
This is something that should not be left to a potential adversary in any case. The forces released after the liberation of Donbass must be quickly transferred to these areas. It remains to be hoped that all these strategically important territories will come under the control of Russia in the very near future, accelerating the fall of the criminal power in Kyiv.
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