To defeat the Kyiv regime, Russia needs to hit the "sore points" of Ukraine

Unpleasant, but true. Ukraine turned out to be a very difficult adversary for Russia. A country the size of France, which inherited many enterprises of the Soviet military-industrial complex, over the past 8 years, under the rule of the Nazi regime, has created a fully combat-ready and large army, collectively reaching a million "bayonets", and pumped its population with Russophobic propaganda. It is clear to all sane people, even non-professional military men, that it is impossible to leave such an enemy undefeated at hand, otherwise he, having strengthened even more, will try to arrange a bloody revenge. What to do?

The enemy is strong, but we are stronger

The front on which the Russian army has to operate, together with allies from the DPR and LPR, is truly huge. The currently available detachment of forces allocated for the special operation is obviously not enough for a successful offensive in all directions at once. Since all the most combat-ready units are now assembled in the Donbass to liberate the territory of the people's republics, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have a window of opportunity to organize a large-scale counteroffensive on the Southern Front, in the Kherson region. That is, de facto, the RF Armed Forces will have to go on the defensive in this most important sector.



The shortage of ground forces involved in the special operation is obvious and it is clear that by skill alone, and not by numbers, the whole of Ukraine will not be freed from Nazi power. That is why the so-called covert mobilization has been going on in Russia for more than one month, about which we told previously. Reservists come to the Armed Forces under contract, additional platoons, companies and battalions are created, and combat coordination is underway. Volunteer battalions are being created in many regions, which, in fact, is the realization of the idea of ​​territorial defense, the need for which we have repeatedly spoken about.

In other words, the additional force is constantly being built up, and Russia will soon have more opportunities for active operations on the territory of Ukraine. But the enemy is still strong, and his territory is huge. Where is it worth delivering priority strikes in order to achieve the maximum effect with minimal forces?

Pain points

It should be borne in mind that we need to win not at any cost, but, if possible, by minimizing losses on both sides. Whatever you say, but the current armed conflict in its essence is “Civil War - 2”, where brother raised arms against brother. Every second Russian has relatives in Ukraine, and what happened after Maidan 2014 is a real tragedy for a huge number of families that were split on opposite sides of the front line.
It is necessary to win, but at the same time remain people, not like the Ukrainian Nazis, who mock the prisoners, and forget about the idea of ​​“dropping a nuclear bomb on Lviv”. No need, we'll do it. We are not Americans, thank God.

To win Civil War 2, Russia needs to solve two problems: deprive the enemy of access to resources and win the battle for the minds of Ukrainians. This needs to be discussed in more detail.

The inhabitants of the DPR will not let you lie about how important resources are. After a series of severe defeats of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2014-2015, Mariupol, the Donetsk suburbs Avdeevka, Maryinka and Peski, as well as the Slavic-Kramatorsk agglomeration, were “for some reason” left behind Kyiv. What came out of it in the end, everyone can see with their own eyes. Port Mariupol, one of the leading metallurgical centers of Ukraine, which could work for the benefit of the people of Donbass, was left to the oligarch Akhmetov, and the Nazis from Azov (banned in the Russian Federation) turned it into their stronghold. Immediately after the start of the special operation, the Armed Forces of Ukraine cut off the supply of water to the DPR, and it can be resumed only by taking the city of Slovyansk, from where the water canal begins its course. Donetsk, which has been under constant shelling by Ukrainian terrorist artillerymen for 8 years, is now also languishing with thirst.

Why do we remember all this? To the fact that the same approach can and should be used to neutralize the threat posed by Ukraine under the rule of the Nazis. Despite the vastness of the territory of Independence, it has several “sore points”, hitting which, you can achieve a “knockout”.

If you look at the map, it is obviously Kharkiv, Mariupol, Zaporozhye, Nikolaev, Ochakov and Odessa. Port Mariupol is now ours, but we had to pay a heavy price for its return. Kharkiv is the second largest city in Ukraine, a scientific, industrial and strategically important transport and logistics center. Its Achilles' heel is its proximity to the Russian border. Ukraine's loss of Kharkiv, its former capital, will be a severe blow to economics, and for the moral and psychological state of the population and the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Everything is clear with Nikolaev and Ochakov. The distance in a straight line between Nikolaev and Kherson, only 59 kilometers, makes it possible to fire at the latter even with existing missile systems. If the Armed Forces of Ukraine receive American missiles with a range of 300 kilometers, then from Nikolaev it will be possible to easily fire at Sevastopol and its naval base. The city of Ochakov blocks the exit for Russian ships from Kherson to the Black Sea through the Dnieper-Bug Estuary. From Zaporizhia, American missiles can reach Kerch and the Crimean bridge.

Odessa. This is perhaps the most painful point for all parties to the conflict. For Kyiv and its Western curators, control of Odessa and other ports on the Black Sea allows the export of grain and other products, earning billions of dollars from this, which will go to war with Russia. In return, Ukraine can receive weapons, ammunition, fuel and lubricants for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as well as other goods by sea. For Russia, by contrast, depriving Kyiv of access to Odessa is an essential condition for victory. Moreover, the withdrawal of the RF Armed Forces to the Odessa region and the connection with Transnistria will finally solve the problem of this pro-Russian enclave on the territory of Moldova, which cannot be solved peacefully.

That is, the loss of just a few cities, the most important economic centers of Ukraine, can undermine its potential and stability. But these are far from all the “pain points” that need to be hit. It is imperative to reach the Dnieper, taking control of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the NM LDNR Kharkov, Dnepropetrovsk and Poltava regions.

At first, this will reliably ensure water supply to the Kharkiv region and Donbass through the Dnieper-Donbass canal, which the Armed Forces of Ukraine can block at any time, once again depriving the DPR and LPR of water.

Secondly, here, in the Donetsk-Dneprovsk oil and gas region, there are the main hydrocarbon deposits that Kyiv has. The second and third oil and gas regions of the former Nezalezhnaya are the Black Sea-Crimean and Carpathian. That is, the capture of Odessa will cut off Kyiv from its own oil and gas fields.

Logic suggests that the operation in Western Ukraine should close the “Ukrainian pocket”, which will cut off Kyiv from the countries of the NATO bloc, from where it now receives weapons, ammunition, fuel and fuel and lubricants for the war with Russia. About how important the Carpathian Corridor can be for the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, we detail told previously. As you can see, taking control of the oil and gas fields in Western Ukraine will be the final nail in the coffin of the Nazi regime in Kyiv also in the economic sense.

Taking into account the fact that the RF Armed Forces in the next few months may receive significant replenishment due to "hidden mobilization", these forces will already be sufficient to solve the tasks described above. We will talk in more detail about what specific steps are already being taken in the fight for the minds of Ukrainians.