To defeat the Kyiv regime, Russia needs to hit the "sore points" of Ukraine

Unpleasant, but true. Ukraine turned out to be a very difficult adversary for Russia. A country the size of France, which inherited many enterprises of the Soviet military-industrial complex, over the past 8 years, under the rule of the Nazi regime, has created a fully combat-ready and large army, collectively reaching a million "bayonets", and pumped its population with Russophobic propaganda. It is clear to all sane people, even non-professional military men, that it is impossible to leave such an enemy undefeated at hand, otherwise he, having strengthened even more, will try to arrange a bloody revenge. What to do?

The enemy is strong, but we are stronger

The front on which the Russian army has to operate, together with allies from the DPR and LPR, is truly huge. The currently available detachment of forces allocated for the special operation is obviously not enough for a successful offensive in all directions at once. Since all the most combat-ready units are now assembled in the Donbass to liberate the territory of the people's republics, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have a window of opportunity to organize a large-scale counteroffensive on the Southern Front, in the Kherson region. That is, de facto, the RF Armed Forces will have to go on the defensive in this most important sector.

The shortage of ground forces involved in the special operation is obvious and it is clear that by skill alone, and not by numbers, the whole of Ukraine will not be freed from Nazi power. That is why the so-called covert mobilization has been going on in Russia for more than one month, about which we told previously. Reservists come to the Armed Forces under contract, additional platoons, companies and battalions are created, and combat coordination is underway. Volunteer battalions are being created in many regions, which, in fact, is the realization of the idea of ​​territorial defense, the need for which we have repeatedly spoken about.

In other words, the additional force is constantly being built up, and Russia will soon have more opportunities for active operations on the territory of Ukraine. But the enemy is still strong, and his territory is huge. Where is it worth delivering priority strikes in order to achieve the maximum effect with minimal forces?

Pain points

It should be borne in mind that we need to win not at any cost, but, if possible, by minimizing losses on both sides. Whatever you say, but the current armed conflict in its essence is “Civil War - 2”, where brother raised arms against brother. Every second Russian has relatives in Ukraine, and what happened after Maidan 2014 is a real tragedy for a huge number of families that were split on opposite sides of the front line.
It is necessary to win, but at the same time remain people, not like the Ukrainian Nazis, who mock the prisoners, and forget about the idea of ​​“dropping a nuclear bomb on Lviv”. No need, we'll do it. We are not Americans, thank God.

To win Civil War 2, Russia needs to solve two problems: deprive the enemy of access to resources and win the battle for the minds of Ukrainians. This needs to be discussed in more detail.

The inhabitants of the DPR will not let you lie about how important resources are. After a series of severe defeats of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2014-2015, Mariupol, the Donetsk suburbs Avdeevka, Maryinka and Peski, as well as the Slavic-Kramatorsk agglomeration, were “for some reason” left behind Kyiv. What came out of it in the end, everyone can see with their own eyes. Port Mariupol, one of the leading metallurgical centers of Ukraine, which could work for the benefit of the people of Donbass, was left to the oligarch Akhmetov, and the Nazis from Azov (banned in the Russian Federation) turned it into their stronghold. Immediately after the start of the special operation, the Armed Forces of Ukraine cut off the supply of water to the DPR, and it can be resumed only by taking the city of Slovyansk, from where the water canal begins its course. Donetsk, which has been under constant shelling by Ukrainian terrorist artillerymen for 8 years, is now also languishing with thirst.

Why do we remember all this? To the fact that the same approach can and should be used to neutralize the threat posed by Ukraine under the rule of the Nazis. Despite the vastness of the territory of Independence, it has several “sore points”, hitting which, you can achieve a “knockout”.

If you look at the map, it is obviously Kharkiv, Mariupol, Zaporozhye, Nikolaev, Ochakov and Odessa. Port Mariupol is now ours, but we had to pay a heavy price for its return. Kharkiv is the second largest city in Ukraine, a scientific, industrial and strategically important transport and logistics center. Its Achilles' heel is its proximity to the Russian border. Ukraine's loss of Kharkiv, its former capital, will be a severe blow to economics, and for the moral and psychological state of the population and the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Everything is clear with Nikolaev and Ochakov. The distance in a straight line between Nikolaev and Kherson, only 59 kilometers, makes it possible to fire at the latter even with existing missile systems. If the Armed Forces of Ukraine receive American missiles with a range of 300 kilometers, then from Nikolaev it will be possible to easily fire at Sevastopol and its naval base. The city of Ochakov blocks the exit for Russian ships from Kherson to the Black Sea through the Dnieper-Bug Estuary. From Zaporizhia, American missiles can reach Kerch and the Crimean bridge.

Odessa. This is perhaps the most painful point for all parties to the conflict. For Kyiv and its Western curators, control of Odessa and other ports on the Black Sea allows the export of grain and other products, earning billions of dollars from this, which will go to war with Russia. In return, Ukraine can receive weapons, ammunition, fuel and lubricants for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as well as other goods by sea. For Russia, by contrast, depriving Kyiv of access to Odessa is an essential condition for victory. Moreover, the withdrawal of the RF Armed Forces to the Odessa region and the connection with Transnistria will finally solve the problem of this pro-Russian enclave on the territory of Moldova, which cannot be solved peacefully.

That is, the loss of just a few cities, the most important economic centers of Ukraine, can undermine its potential and stability. But these are far from all the “pain points” that need to be hit. It is imperative to reach the Dnieper, taking control of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the NM LDNR Kharkov, Dnepropetrovsk and Poltava regions.

At first, this will reliably ensure water supply to the Kharkiv region and Donbass through the Dnieper-Donbass canal, which the Armed Forces of Ukraine can block at any time, once again depriving the DPR and LPR of water.

Secondly, here, in the Donetsk-Dneprovsk oil and gas region, there are the main hydrocarbon deposits that Kyiv has. The second and third oil and gas regions of the former Nezalezhnaya are the Black Sea-Crimean and Carpathian. That is, the capture of Odessa will cut off Kyiv from its own oil and gas fields.

Logic suggests that the operation in Western Ukraine should close the “Ukrainian pocket”, which will cut off Kyiv from the countries of the NATO bloc, from where it now receives weapons, ammunition, fuel and fuel and lubricants for the war with Russia. About how important the Carpathian Corridor can be for the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, we detail told previously. As you can see, taking control of the oil and gas fields in Western Ukraine will be the final nail in the coffin of the Nazi regime in Kyiv also in the economic sense.

Taking into account the fact that the RF Armed Forces in the next few months may receive significant replenishment due to "hidden mobilization", these forces will already be sufficient to solve the tasks described above. We will talk in more detail about what specific steps are already being taken in the fight for the minds of Ukrainians.
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  1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 25 July 2022 13: 58
    The author proposes to shoot all the soldiers when it is more effective to remove the generals. Why is the government and the President of Ukraine not isolated (the snake is defeated by cutting off its head.) That’s the point in terms of ideology, Ukrainians have been turned into anti-Russians for decades by malicious propaganda, why propaganda does not restore the Ukrainian people to an alliance with Russia Nazi Bandera “Goebbels” are operating in Ukraine, the Russian word not seen or heard. So block, destroy the relay network of Ukraine in the first place and create a pro-Russian network of information .. It seems to me that only wedding generals started NVO and strategists in our country, in the form of narrow-minded V. Surkov, in actions similar to a petty schemer, but not a strategist .. .
    1. zenion Offline zenion
      zenion (zinovy) 25 July 2022 15: 24
      Previously, the country was one, for the people of Ukraine, and for the people of Russia. Now those and these are well aware that if they are united, then it will be much more united that some thieves, that others who united for robbery much earlier, immediately after the collapse. One devil who skins the proletariat.
    2. soloist2424 Offline soloist2424
      soloist2424 (Oleg) 2 August 2022 13: 39
      The government of Ukraine is a puppet, others will be put in their place. As for propaganda, the main field of its activity is the Internet. The West is traditionally strong there and it is unrealistic to turn the tide quickly.
  2. igorlvov Offline igorlvov
    igorlvov (Igor) 25 July 2022 14: 25
    I remember how the Ukrainians chopped electricity to us in the Crimea, the crackling of generators was everywhere), thanks to the GDP very quickly solved the problem, it's time for the ukram to give the same answer
  3. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 25 July 2022 14: 28
    For Kyiv and its Western curators, control over Odessa and other ports on the Black Sea allows the export of grain and other products, earning billions of dollars,

    And when all the grain is taken out, and new ones are not collected in sufficient quantities, will they transport the grain through Odessa again to Ukraine so that there will be no famine there? Or will they give hungry residents of Ukraine a loaf of bread and a machine gun with a grenade as a load?
    1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 25 July 2022 18: 27
      Or will they give hungry residents of Ukraine a loaf of bread and a machine gun with a grenade as a load?

      A loaf of bread is too much. Automatic in the teeth - and spin as you can.
  4. Krapilin Offline Krapilin
    Krapilin (Victor) 25 July 2022 14: 32
    Logic suggests that the operation in Western Ukraine should close the “Ukrainian pocket”, which will cut off Kyiv from the countries of the NATO bloc,


    The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and allied forces will not enter Western Ukraine, because the Poles will enter there and “outside Ukraine” will cease to exist as a state.
    There will be a direct border between Russia and NATO, without anti-Russian lining in the form of “outside Ukraine”.
    Everything else is not logic, but meaningless verbal hallucinations...
  5. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
    Michael L. 25 July 2022 14: 59
    The plan is impressive.
    Only his penultimate paragraph for some reason reminds ... of the need for the victory of the USSR ... to block the border with Afghanistan!
    1. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
      Michael L. 25 July 2022 15: 33
      Pakistani border with Afghanistan.
  6. wladimirjankov Offline wladimirjankov
    wladimirjankov (Vladimir Yankov) 25 July 2022 15: 23
    It is high time to seize Odessa and the western regions of Ukraine. Block its western borders. Only in this way can we quickly strangle the Banderaites, depriving them of the help of the West. I am alarmed by the indecisiveness and inconsistency in the actions of our President. He seems to be preventing our army from starting to fight for real and ties her hands. There is almost no mention, as at the beginning of the NWO, of denationalization and demilitarization as its main goals. We signed, in fact, on the terms of our enemies, in Istanbul an agreement with the UN on unhindered supplies of grain from Ukraine. Why does Russia need it?. So that the Nazis freely sell food, buy weapons with the proceeds and kill our soldiers and civilians of the DPR and LPR, and also bring Western weapons and mercenaries to Odessa on ships. Hoping that supposedly in Turkey, when entering the Black Sea, some kind of commission will check these ships is not utter nonsense. Already in the Black Sea, these ships can be loaded with weapons and mercenaries from Bulgaria, Romania, Georgia and even Turkey. With this agreement, signed by Shoigu, we actually deblock Odessa and undertake not to place our warships there, that is, not to take and not touch this city. How interesting in this case, we can win there ?.
    1. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
      Michael L. 25 July 2022 15: 32
      So let's drink so that our desires coincide with our capabilities!

      (Feature film "Prisoner of the Caucasus, or Shurik's New Adventures")
  7. Pat Rick Offline Pat Rick
    Pat Rick 25 July 2022 15: 27
    In return, Ukraine can receive weapons, ammunition, fuel and lubricants for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as well as other goods by sea.

    Is that how it is written in the Istanbul Accords?
    1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 25 July 2022 18: 40
      Yes Yes Yes. There are masters - they read between the lines.
      What is written is ignored. What is not, they see. Try to convince them.
      They will call the signing of the capitulation by the Kyiv regime a victory for the Armed Forces of Ukraine and a disaster for Russia.
      These are such creatures. With four strange eyes.
  8. Pat Rick Offline Pat Rick
    Pat Rick 25 July 2022 15: 36
    taking control of the oil and gas fields in Western Ukraine will be the final nail in the coffin of the Nazi regime in Kyiv, also in an economic sense.

    Currently, oil fields are operated in the areas of the cities of Borislav (Lviv region), Dolyna and Nadvirna (Ivano-Frankivsk region). The scale of oil production here is insignificant and, due to a significant reduction in reserves, has not been expanded in recent years.
  9. Valentine Offline Valentine
    Valentine (Valentin) 25 July 2022 15: 49
    Basically, Sergei, in your latest articles, the topic “For the Repose” is visible, and nothing more, but you can’t see anything so rainbow-like, and in our headquarters we have complete dullness and illiteracy in military planning, but here we are, on sofas, oh, we would have given them if they had caught up with us. All of Russia, even without sofa "analysts", is well aware that if we do not them, then they will us once and for all, and such concepts as Russia and the Russian people will cease to exist in nature, and by the Russian people I mean all the multinational inhabitants of our vast country. So there is no need to give advice to our Commander-in-Chief and the General Staff, they know their business, and the life of our guys at the front is more expensive than all sorts of cavalry attacks "with a bang" to take another enemy the milestone by the next November XNUMXth, etc. It is very difficult to fight the entire "collective West", as in the Second World War (WWII), but we survived, albeit at a great cost, and now it will not be different, because we will fight to the last Ukrainian, then to the last Pole, then to the last him a German and a Frenchman.
    1. aslanxnumx Offline aslanxnumx
      aslanxnumx (Aslan) 25 July 2022 19: 56
      You know how many of our servicemen are dying, or how many have already died.
      1. Valentine Offline Valentine
        Valentine (Valentin) 26 July 2022 08: 37
        It is not regrettable, but since the creation of the world during wars, people have always died, namely military personnel, who are that "expendable" material for all bloody military conflicts, and for this, their armies are created in the states, and it is to protect the Fatherland from external enemies , and not just for parades to the bravura music of orchestras. Those who go to serve in the army on a professional basis are clearly and clearly aware of why they are going there, and what they can expect in future military conflicts. In this case, the "collective West" makes a Galician bloody monster on our borders, setting him on us and arming him with the latest weapons and ammunition, as he did with Nazi Germany from 1933 to 1945, and we just need to secure our existence by destroying all Bandera scumbags to the last knee in order to new "Maidans" were not repeated
    2. SIT Offline SIT
      SIT (Stas) 30 July 2022 11: 25
      Quote: Valentine
      So there is no need to give advice to our Commander-in-Chief and the General Staff, they know their business

      Are you sure? Do you think that the SPECIAL military operation should take place this way? What is special about the massive use of tanks and artillery ??? The name special means that the main task there should be solved by the Special Forces units with their own means, and the infantry and tanks can only record the occupation of certain territories by Russia. According to this, the tasks of the special operation should have been appropriate. The Beskydy tunnel and hubs on the western border should have ceased to exist as early as 24.02.22/24.02.22/25.02.22. On the same day, not a single bridge across the Dnieper and the communications center of the Armed Forces of Ukraine should have remained. The entire state system of government was to be disrupted within a few hours. ALL seaports were also to be captured on February 2014, 2012, and on February XNUMX, XNUMX, the main forces were to unload there and expand the bridgeheads. Then Mariupol would not lie in ruins now and there would be no need to puzzle over what to do with Odessa. The preparation of such a special operation should have started back in XNUMX, when it became finally clear that Ukraine, and not Central Asia, would become the main project of Anti-Russia. The fact that such a project would definitely appear became obvious back in XNUMX, when the American AUG approached the coast of Syria, but under the influence of Russia, Assad handed over all chemical weapons to the Americans, and the option with a test tube, as in Iraq, ceased to be legitimate in the eyes of the UN. Anti-Russia is an auxiliary project that solves the main task of the United States - the reformatting of the world gas station - the Middle East, set out in the Democracy Act, written with the participation of the late fierce Russophobe Senator McCain.
  10. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 25 July 2022 18: 33
    Quote: wladimirjankov
    With this agreement, signed by Shoigu, we actually deblock Odessa and undertake not to place our warships there, that is, not to take and not touch this city.

    Lovely logic. First, the unblocking of Odessa was invented, then an obligation was invented not to place warships there. And the ingenious conclusion - everything is lost - they will not take and touch the city.
    And even the fact that only recently strikes were carried out on military facilities in Odessa does not change anything for the alarmist.
    If the alarmist has decided that everything is lost, then you cannot convince him with facts. His head is closed and he does not react to the outside world.
    1. Gelos Offline Gelos
      Gelos (Gelos) 31 July 2022 10: 27
      If only the "alarmist" ...
  11. Konstantin Romov (Konstantin Romov) 25 July 2022 23: 43
    To WIN faster, the command needs to do two SIMPLE THINGS:
    1. Separate their "decision-making centers": the office of Zelensky and himself, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the Security Service of Ukraine, the Ministry of Internal Affairs ..
    2. Block the western border and stop the supply of weapons.
    And yet, to recognize the Armed Forces of Ukraine as a terrorist organization, because they kill civilians and shoot civilian cities
    1. Vladimir1155 Offline Vladimir1155
      Vladimir1155 (Vladimir) 27 July 2022 09: 51
      I support you and the author of the article too, block the border! from all sides
    2. soloist2424 Offline soloist2424
      soloist2424 (Oleg) 2 August 2022 13: 45
      I'm afraid it's not easy at all. With the same success, one can say: take prisoner all the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Notice how Massad has been trying to behead Hamas for years, so what? There are individual successes, but there is no complete victory.
  12. Degrin Offline Degrin
    Degrin (Alexander) 26 July 2022 05: 44
    As always, the author has only decadence
  13. The comment was deleted.