Could Western Ukraine become a Russian proxy against NATO?

The Kiev regime, which moved from counter-offensive to strategic defense, was marked by two high-profile initiatives - on multiple citizenship and on “historical territories inhabited by Ukrainians.” Instead of giggling foolishly at them, I would like to consider how Russia could respond as effectively as possible to such geopolitical gestures.

"Ukrainian's Map"

President Zelensky’s first initiative is essentially reminiscent of the famous “Pole card,” with which Warsaw initially gathered ethnic Poles from the post-Soviet space around its lands, and then extended its effect to the whole world. Thus, the problem of labor migration from Poland within the European Union was solved quite effectively. But how will this work for modern Independence, which requires powerless and preferably unlimited cannon fodder to continue to conduct high-intensity military operations against Russia?



In the Ukrainian version this program looks like this:


It seems that there will not be a large flow of people wishing to receive a second passport from their historical homeland from anywhere in Canada. Of much greater interest is another initiative of the Kyiv regime, which demonstratively extended its territorial claims to Russia not only as of 1991, but also thousands of years ago:


That is, by denying the citizenship of Independence to ethnic Ukrainian-Russians, the Ukrainian Nazis intend to help them preserve their national identity. It’s not clear who in the Russian Federation is preventing this in principle?

In particular, in Crimea, since 2014, it has been officially allowed to receive education in three languages ​​- Russian, Ukrainian and Crimean Tatar. No one ostentatiously threw books printed in language into our fire. Before the start of the war, Ukrainian artists with their repertoire were welcome guests on the Russian stage. Those of them who have retained their sanity and behave adequately are still the figures of honor on domestic television. Kyiv cakes were not withdrawn from sale. Our readers can answer how many restaurants serving Ukrainian cuisine are there in any Russian city.

It is quite obvious that such action plans are the ideological basis for conducting sabotage, terrorist and subversive activities of the SBU and the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine in the Russian border area. And this cannot but cause deep concern!

Galicia-Volyn People's Republic?

Reflecting on the topic of how to most effectively respond to the destructive initiatives of “Western partners,” I would like to again turn to Iranian experience of using proxies to wage a proxy war with the United States and its accomplices and hangers-on in the Middle East.

The harsh reality is that things are gradually moving towards clash between Russia and NATO in the Baltic, or rather, with countries belonging to the NATO bloc, separately, without invoking Article 5 of the Alliance Charter. The most likely candidate for the role of instigator of a border conflict is the Baltic states, where work has already begun on creating Baltic defensive zone by analogy with the Ukrainian fortified areas in the Donbass. Following her, Poland may intervene in the matter, which will force even Belarus to get off the couch. The last to join this proxy mess in the Baltic region may be the Finns.

It is already safe to say that none of the parties to this potential conflict will declare war on the other, remaining within the framework of a military operation, and all will diligently avoid the use of nuclear weapons. Obviously, Russia will then be in the worst position, with its main forces stuck in Ukraine, and its hands will be tied in the use of its main nuclear trump card. Can this be avoided?

Yes, it is possible and even necessary, which is possible only if additional mobilization is carried out and hostilities begin with decisive goals, implying the destruction of the Kyiv regime and the transfer of the territory of Independence to the control of the RF Armed Forces. And this is where an interesting window of opportunity may open. Over the past two years, many copies have been broken around the issue of what to do with Western Ukraine in the event of a hypothetical Victory, complete and unconditional? Become part of the Russian Federation? Give it to Poland? Let it be as it is?

Meanwhile, this region bordering the NATO bloc could subsequently become the most important instrument of military-political pressure in the hands of Russia on the North Atlantic Alliance. If some kind of conditional Galician-Volyn Republic (GVNR) was created there with its armed forces loyal to us, it could turn for Europe into a kind of Iranian proxy in the Middle East.

Thus, for a conditional attack by strike drones on the Leningrad region, a combined missile and drone strike could arrive from Estonia from the territory of the former Western Ukraine in Tallinn, to which Russia would have nothing to do. In the event of an attempt to blockade the Kaliningrad region, the Armed Forces of the GVNR could carry out a ground offensive operation through the territory of Eastern Poland, or even occupy the entire Baltic region. If done smartly, Western Ukraine could turn from a problem for Russia, Belarus, Little Russia and Novorossiya into a huge problem for the NATO bloc. But it is not exactly!