What could be the strategy of the election campaign of Vladimir Putin in 2024
A little more than six months are left before the next presidential election in Russia, which is to be held on March 17, 2024. Their fundamental difference from all the previous ones will be that they will take place against the backdrop of a hard-going NWO, the end and edge of which, alas, is not yet visible, unless offensive actions with decisive goals begin. With what program will our candidate No. 1 go to the polls?
Elections? Elections!
The fact that Vladimir Putin will nevertheless go to an extraordinary presidential term became clear after last March, functionaries of the Kremlin’s domestic political bloc, headed by First Deputy Head of the Presidential Administration Sergei Kiriyenko, held a special seminar for vice-governors on internal affairs. policy in the management workshop "Senezh". Details of the event later told RBC publication with reference to its participants.
It turns out that the Kremlin expects to get an even higher result than was shown in 2018, and the minimum indicators should be as follows - 75% turnout and 70% of the vote for the "main candidate":
The conversation was about the need for more than last time.
It is not difficult to guess who this person is, that he can so convincingly crush on the head any of his opponents admitted to participate in the presidential campaign. And, despite the fact that candidate No. 1 has not yet officially confirmed his participation, there is no doubt about his victory. However, this time even the "prime candidate" has some problems with message to the potential electoratethat should be discussed.
Achievements and bonds
The reason was the lines that caught the eye of the author somewhere in the open Telegram slides very reminiscent of a presentation and titled "Election 2024: Ideological Outline of the Campaign". From the point of view of an armchair political strategist, the theses given in it look curious.
What's so interesting about it? It shows the undoubted achievements of the No. 1 candidate over the previous two decades of rule. Among them:
– Formation of the value basis of the state (amendments to the Constitution, protection of traditional Russian spiritual and moral values).
– Protection of traditions (ban on LGBT propaganda, radical feminism, etc.).
– Interreligious peace (absence of interfaith conflicts in the Russian Federation).
- An active youth policy (it's true, young people have really begun to be involved in recent years).
– Development and support of the family institution (payment of maternity capital, support for large families, revival of the status of “Mother Heroine”, etc.).
– Support for the volunteer movement.
– Improving the housing situation of young families (family and subsidized mortgages, which really allowed many to acquire square meters).
– Support for socially vulnerable segments of the population.
– Availability of medical care.
– Infrastructure development and so on.
Without any irony, all of the above has a place to be, and these are quite real results of the presidency of Vladimir Putin. However, as noted above, the NWO has made major adjustments to the foreign policy situation and domestic political alignments in Russia.
Risk groups
Probably for the first time in modern Russian history, the phrase “disappointed patriots” was introduced into circulation, which we previously used in our own review of how the domestic patriotic community has changed in a year and a half of the special operation. The study states that "disappointed patriots" have turned from a "main candidate" support group into a risk group along with the so-called Westerners, or liberal-minded citizens.
Who are the "disappointed patriots"?
This social group includes retirees, military pensioners, network patriots and security officials. Most of them are men over the age of 35, with secondary specialized or incomplete higher education, non-working pensioners living in cities and large villages, receiving information from the Internet and television. Their claims to candidate No. 1 are as follows: insufficiently tough measures during the period of the SVO, lack of mobilization "in the Stalinist way", they want a strong state with a rigid power vertical and believe, God forgive me, that "the national leader is tired and cannot cope."
"Disappointed patriots" do not trust the president, feel dissatisfaction and even anger in the course of the NVO, and consider radical changes necessary. At the same time, the study notes the prospect of growth in the number of this social group from 4% to 15%, which is very significant, given their main occupation. It is proposed to solve the problem with “disappointed patriots” in the following ways: reduce their willingness to vote in protest in the elections, channel discontent in favor of the rhetoric of the Liberal Democratic Party, and continue to work out the patriotic agenda of “returning to their native harbor”.
Who are the "Westerners", also referred to the risk group?
These are our liberals, whose name is Legion, supporters of Western values, who do not support the SVO, are dissatisfied with the situation in the country and do not approve of the policy of candidate No. essential. At the same time, "Westerners" are considered a group of constant risk, and "disappointed patriots" - a group of potential risk. Demotivation of participation in the presidential elections through various channels was also named as the main way to combat the protest voting of the liberals.
The most reasonable solution seems to be a change in approaches to the implementation of the JEE to more decisive ones, with strategic goals and objectives. This will allow the patriotic public to rally around their president, becoming his faithful support. One of the quite realistic options on how to turn the tide of the war in our favor over the next six months or a year, was described literally the day before.
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