All unliberated Ukraine Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can become a protectorate and part of Poland

Recently, we quite often have to turn to the topic of a possible “postoperative” reorganization of Ukraine. At the same time, reproaches are constantly heard that this author, such and such, proposes to create some kind of another “non-Russia” on the primordially Russian lands. The truth is that all other alternatives are much worse.

Here we release

Over the past year, even very optimistic Russian patriots have realized that the original NMD plan, whatever it may have been, has undergone some adjustments that have resulted in a series of “goodwill gestures” and “regroupings”. The last straw can be considered a "difficult decision" to leave Kherson, for a moment, the regional center of the new region of the Russian Federation. The obvious must be admitted: the enemy and the readiness to support him on the part of the NATO bloc were underestimated, and their own capabilities for a purely forceful solution of the issue were overestimated. The situation at the front is really serious, there are a number of technical and organizational problems that require immediate solutions.

However, despite all the difficulties, we have not yet lost this war. From the conditional "1942", Russia now has the opportunity to move into the difficult, but turning point "1943". That's just the chosen strategy of "tits in the hands" directly contradicts the achievement of Victory. Yes, Donbass needs help pushing the enemy back as far as possible to the west, so that Donetsk and its suburbs will finally stop being terrorized by Ukrainian artillerymen. The problem is that this region, with its unique relief, where one urban agglomeration smoothly passes into another, has been turned into a solid fortified area over the past nine years since Maidan. It is extremely difficult to use such an effective encirclement tactic here, because there are always more defensive lines from the flanks. When storming cities in the forehead, one has to spend a huge amount of ammunition, which has already led to a "shell hunger" at the front. Our most combat-ready attack aircraft from Wagner and the People's Militia of the LDNR, which have real combat experience, are suffering painful losses. I don't even want to think about the destruction that will then have to be restored at the expense of the federal budget.

In other words, if the ultimate goal of the NMD is to liberate only the Donbass and hold the land transport corridor to the Crimea, then by its completion the Russian army may be drained of blood, and the resources of the military-industrial complex undermined. What kind of "monsters" are now being hurriedly molded from "motorcycles" with ship artillery turrets and how old tanks are being removed from storage and sent for modernization cannot be a good symptom. Those who in the comments fervently approve of "trash disposal" should imagine that in this ancient technology their relatives and friends will sit. The life of every person is priceless, especially in the context of the "demographic hole" and the war of attrition.

The approximate configuration of the “peace plan” with Ukraine possible after the liberation of Donbass can be understood from the December statement by the press secretary of the Russian President Peskov:

While there is no "peace plan" for Ukraine, let's start with this. Again, there can be no "peace plan" of Ukraine that does not take into account today's realities from the Russian territory, with the entry into Russia of new regions - four.

That is, for the Donbass, the Sea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov and Crimea, the Kremlin is ready to hold on and fight, this is their "titmouse in their hands." And what will happen to the rest of Ukraine?

We don't release here.

During his address dated February 24, 2022, President Putin called the main goal of the NWO to help the people of Donbass:

In accordance with Article 51 of Part 7 of the UN Charter, with the sanction of the Federation Council of Russia and in pursuance of the treaties of friendship and mutual assistance ratified by the Federal Assembly on February 22 this year with the Donetsk People's Republic and the Lugansk People's Republic, I decided to conduct a special military operation...

We will strive for the demilitarization and denazification of Ukraine, as well as bringing to justice those who committed numerous, bloody crimes against civilians, including citizens of the Russian Federation.

Unfortunately, this goal was not achieved in the past year. Criminal policy the ethnocide carried out by the Kyiv regime against the Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine has only intensified. Only the lazy do not know about the continuous militarization of the Square. At the same time, the further fate of those regions that are not controlled by Russian troops can develop according to two basic scenarios.

First is the transformation of Ukraine into "Israel on the Dnieper". It is understood that the former Square will not join NATO, however, with the help of the North Atlantic Alliance, it will actually create the second army in the world in terms of combat capability after the American one, which at any moment will be ready for revenge in the Donbass, in the Sea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov and Crimea. This is a scenario of a postponed war, which will be the bloodier and more terrible, the more time the Armed Forces of Ukraine get to prepare.

Second - this is the division of Ukraine on extremely unfavorable conditions for Russia. Some overly optimistic domestic experts, analysts and other predictors hope that neighboring Poland will limit itself to joining Western Ukraine, and Hungary and Romania will also participate in the section. The grounds for believing this are already provided by direct statements about the possibility of bringing in NATO troops, coming from Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki:

I don't think Putin would dare to attack a country that is an active member of NATO. He is anything but suicidal. The western territories of Ukraine will be safe if they temporarily come under the protectorate of the Polish state.

Temporary protectorate? Well, of course. However, it now looks more likely that Poland will take over all of Ukraine, where there are no Russian troops. We highly recommend listening to what Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has to say about this:

A year ago, it sounded like absurdity, for example, that Ukraine would become a member of the EU or that it could become a candidate for EU membership. A year ago, this seemed absurd, if you know the previous process of NATO enlargement. What is the current situation? Ukraine is a candidate member of the European Union. And they say that now will become a member.

A year ago NATO membership for Ukraine sounded absurd for the world. Now they say that, of course, if the war ends, then Ukraine or what remains of it, we add in parentheses, will become part of NATO territory. As an independent state - a member of NATO.

Why won't Warsaw, if it's not interfered with, confine itself to Western Ukraine? Yes, because the confederal union with the entire Nezalezhnaya, which is not controlled by Russia, automatically turns Poland into a truly major regional player with great economic potential, which the Hungarian prime minister bluntly stated:

In Central Europe, a center of this type is being formed, which was not previously on the map. Because it is obvious that 40 million Poland and we don’t know how much will remain from Ukraine, 20 or 30 million, will amount to one economic space in the military, economic sense... Together with the Poles, this means 60-70 million people. Together they are larger than France or Italy alone. Second space after Germany.

The fact that Ukraine can unite with Poland in the Commonwealth - 3, we warned back in May 2022. What will be the offensive potential of the combined Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Polish Army, now it is even difficult to imagine. It is enough to see how much Warsaw has increased its military spending, what modern equipment it acquires and in what quantities. And this cumulative striking power will eventually be turned against Russia and its army, which is in technological isolation.

There is only one conclusion that can be drawn: relying only on the “bird in hand” leads Russia to a severe geopolitical defeat. However, there is still an opportunity to replay this negative scenario. Instead of a slow, heavy and bloody squeezing of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the Donbass and holding the Azov region, the goal should be to defeat the enemy as a whole and liberate the territory of Ukraine, first the Left Bank and the Black Sea region, and only then resolve the issue with Western Ukraine and Kiev. To do this, Russia needs to change its military tactics and win over to its side the sane part of the Ukrainian people, who do not want either absorption by Poland or “graveyard”, providing it with an adequate project "postoperative" recovery and integration.
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  1. Paul3390 Offline Paul3390
    Paul3390 (Paul) 13 March 2023 11: 31
    If we take into account the mutual love of the logs and the Tsegabonites ... It’s like now they are together against the Muscovites, and once they are in the same state, they will instantly remember that they actually hate each other no less .. And if you take into account the cute aspects of the Zapadentsev mentality, you can only pray that the Poles would have the stupidity to own them. Moreover, there was nothing particularly useful in those parts, and the region would obviously be costly for Poland. And the gentlemen and so the holozadas are nowhere further, they are sitting on loans and grants ..
    1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
      Just a cat (Bayun) 13 March 2023 11: 40
      if in Russia to refresh the memory of the "exploits" of the Cossacks, then the Poles will still turn out to be good-natured.
      1. Nelton Offline Nelton
        Nelton (Oleg) 13 March 2023 11: 52
        Quote: Just Cat
        about the "exploits" of the Cossacks

        The Cossacks have a very indirect relation to today's Ukraine.
        All the Cossacks were resettled in the Kuban.
        (one part back in 1792-1793, the second, which went to the Danube, in 1860)
        1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
          Just a cat (Bayun) 13 March 2023 12: 01
          was it a tribe isolated from all other natives with a marriage vow? The Cossacks were often representatives of the local gentry with the same worldview as ordinary Selyuks. the ruin did not become cleaner from the resettlement, but Russia got dirty.
          1. RUR Offline RUR
            RUR 18 March 2023 15: 38
            The gentry always had more rights than the rest of the estates in the Commonwealth, and much more rights than the Russian nobility, it’s better not to talk about serfs in Muscovy / Empire at all. Accordingly, the outlook was different.
            1. Nelton Offline Nelton
              Nelton (Oleg) 18 March 2023 17: 25
              Quote: RUR
              about serfs in Muscovy/Empire

              The serf gentry seemed to have rights ...
              In Russia, there were entire regions without a fortress - Siberia, the Arkhangelsk province.
              1. RUR Offline RUR
                RUR 18 March 2023 18: 06
                They, the peasants, were not the property of the landowners as in the Russian Empire, they were not traded, there were no peasant uprisings on the scale of Pugachev, Razin and Poland ... the communal peasantry in Poland, Belarus, Ukraine disappeared long before the 20th century, and in Russia and in the 20th century, it existed in the form of a collective farm system, which was also introduced in Belarus, Ukraine, but it didn’t take root in Poland - farming and private ownership of land were also under Polish socialism
  2. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
    Just a cat (Bayun) 13 March 2023 11: 37
    not liberated but cleaned and lowered. no one attacked the Ukrainians. they have another Russophobic aggravation. it's like pulling a helminth out of the anus and calling the process liberation.
  3. AlexSam Offline AlexSam
    AlexSam (Alexey) 13 March 2023 13: 24
    What new did I learn from the article? NOTHING.

    Sergey, if you are paid for the number of printed characters, then continue to write on topical topics in the past, I will read it with pleasure.
    1. RUR Offline RUR
      RUR 18 March 2023 18: 14
      Sergey, if you are paid for the number of printed characters, then continue to write on topical topics in the past, I will read it with pleasure.

      - this is about topics in the near future ...
  4. unc-2 Offline unc-2
    unc-2 (Nikolai Malyugin) 13 March 2023 13: 46
    For some reason, in their posts, various authors are silent about the Black Sea. But this is the main goal of Poland. I don’t see attacks from our ships of the Black Sea Fleet. In the future, it is in this area that drama will play out. We need initiative. It is necessary to see a potential enemy in the face of Georgia. Abkhazia should be a foothold on the Black Sea. Everything may change in the future.
  5. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 13 March 2023 13: 46
    Again, the division of the unkilled bear ....

    For a year, they added very little, but they threw in all sorts of topics - enough for the whole world ...
    Therefore, the next, 100-500th topic is somehow not impressive. Moreover, on the 3rd call, they paint it ...

    As it is, in Tolstoy: Shepherdesses and wolves ....
  6. vlad127490 Offline vlad127490
    vlad127490 (Vlad Gor) 13 March 2023 18: 51
    No one will give up your house, apartment, yard, will not divide it, even if earlier someone impudently took part of the land in your dacha, then you use all means to return your land. But state land can be squandered. The entire territory, i.e. the land of Ukraine is the property of Russia and how can it be given to the Poles or anyone else.
  7. Valera75 Online Valera75
    Valera75 (Valery) 13 March 2023 19: 49
    Instead of a slow, heavy and bloody squeezing of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the Donbass and holding the Azov region, the goal should be to defeat the enemy as a whole and liberate the territory of Ukraine, first the Left Bank and the Black Sea region, and only then resolve the issue with Western Ukraine and Kiev. To do this, Russia needs to change its military tactics and win over to its side the sane part of the Ukrainian people, who do not want to be absorbed by Poland or “grave”, providing it with an adequate project for “post-operational” restoration and integration.

    Well, there are powerful actions, everything is better than the author suggested on March 10 in his last article
    There I suggested not touching the western three regions and giving Poland the opportunity to take them, and the Little Russian Federation, as the author suggested there, we won’t take it out at all. In our power of patriots, the cat cried, and where will we take intelligent people to a bunch of regions of the Little Russian Federation?
    No matter how sad it sounds, but grind, chew and take in parts, but very quickly, otherwise the British and Poles will be nimble there, since even the author agrees that:

    No one Putin or his successor, of course, will not give Square. Voluntarily such an anti-Russian military foothold The Anglo-Saxons will never give up for anything. Ukrainians will be consistently bred as clinical Russophobes, and the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be turned into the second army of the world without any quotes, which will try to recapture the Donbass, the Sea of ​​Azov and the Crimea again and again, taking such retraining breaks as needed.
  8. Materialist Offline Materialist
    Materialist (Michael) 14 March 2023 07: 55
    To do this, Russia needs to change its military tactics and win over the sane part of the Ukrainian people.

    this requires a blow in the direction of Kyiv - odessa. then the "sane part" will be found. but for this you need to fight ...
    1. RUR Offline RUR
      RUR 18 March 2023 15: 44
      sane part of the Ukrainian people

      the sane part of the Ukrainian people flees to western Ukraine, and further, including Poland
  9. syndicalist Offline syndicalist
    syndicalist (Dimon) 14 March 2023 08: 48
    To do this, Russia needs to change its military tactics and win over the sane part of the Ukrainian people,

    And all that! Well, then the victory is already in our pocket.
  10. isv000 Offline isv000
    isv000 16 March 2023 12: 26
    Historic frame! Petty swindler Ze cuts the shoveler at Duda ...
  11. Fizik13 Offline Fizik13
    Fizik13 (Alexey) 19 March 2023 18: 13
    Poles rolled their lips!
    Either part of Ukraine will be a protectorate of Russia.
    Either all of Ukraine will become part of Russia not as Ukraine, but as a region
    1. RUR Offline RUR
      RUR 19 March 2023 19: 01
      Once upon a time, untold happiness came to the post-Horde from Moscow - the Commonwealth itself fell apart, the left-bank Ukraine was taken as autonomy, but Moscow violated the terms of the agreement and included it in its composition, abolishing autonomy ... why? And because the Moscow post-Horde kingdom - even then not yet Eurasian, since the Europeanization of Muscovy is a later phenomenon, could not compete with Poland culturally - then in Muscovy there were no universities, no European music, no printing, no even a modern army on the Western model ...
      After the Revolution, the rulers of the Sov. Russia gave Ukraine territory...and why? But because Ukraine was leaving Russia then, and there was nothing more to lure to its side ... Recently, Lukashenka specially organized a crisis on the Polish border with refugees so that Poland would close this border, and Belarusians could not travel to Poland and compare, such clumsy gestures are doomed... Eurasia loses Ukraine and Belarus to Poland... in the end, there was no voluntary accession with the East, even on the left-bank Ukraine