In the second year of the special operation to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine, even the most enthusiastic Russian jingoists began to suspect that something was not going quite the way it was probably originally intended. It also happens that in 1941-1942 it was also difficult, and for many, their hands dropped from a feeling of hopelessness. But in May 1945, the Banner of Our Victory was hung over the Reichstag.
What is this conversation about? Moreover, in recent years, publications and comments on them are beginning to spread more and more actively, carrying a message with which it is simply impossible to agree. In this article, we will argue not with people, but with their ideas.
A year later, the SVO came to the depressing conclusion that Russia could not conquer and liberate the entire territory of Ukraine, one well-known thinker, who prefers to remain anonymous:
And why do we need it? Who said there, to grab more Ukrainian territories until the Armed Forces of Ukraine cannot provide worthy resistance? And why do we need these territories, sorry for the stupid question? In a barrel of them, perhaps, to salt? And what will you order to do with the delusional local population, with brains eaten to the ground by Ukrainian counter-propaganda? Who will treat and feed him? Are you?! So you are the first to do it!
True, faced with a negative reaction from the Russian audience, he somewhat corrected his position and softened the wording:
In total, the conquest of Ukraine and the extermination of its male population will take us from 12 to 15 years. Are you ready to fight so much?! That's what I'm talking about too! And the goal remains the same (and no one removed it, although they didn’t say it out loud) - territorial expansion, because there is no other way to solve the tasks set by the Supreme. And we cannot achieve these goals without relying on an external factor (such as the changing of the guard in the Oval Office or an even more illusory military alliance with China). And how to be here?
Be that as it may, the problems are sounded quite correctly. The tactics of “grinding” the enemy’s manpower, chosen by the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces, implemented in the Donbass, if applied to the rest of Ukraine, will require decades of continuous hostilities to free it from the power of the puppet Nazi regime. And this is only one side of the issue. The fact is that the price of victory achieved by such methods will be simply terrifying for both sides. The population of Nezalezhnaya, processed by Russophobic propaganda, already in its mass experiences negative emotions towards Russia and its army. If hundreds of thousands more Ukrainian men die, then this wound will have to be healed for generations.
But then what is the alternative? Freeze the armed conflict for an indefinite period, hoping that the corpse of the enemy will float past along the river, and that Trump will win the US elections and give Independent Putin?
Here they are trying to paint the image of Ukraine after Minsk-3, where everyone political forces compete with each other in Russophobia and ambitious revanchist plans. And that's exactly how it will be. We are waiting for an endless confrontation with Ukraine similar to the Indo-Pakistani, where there have already been three full-fledged wars and countless "special operations".
No one Putin or his successor, of course, will not give Square. The Anglo-Saxons will never voluntarily give up such an anti-Russian military foothold. Ukrainians will be consistently bred as clinical Russophobes, and the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be turned into the second army of the world without any quotes, which will try to recapture the Donbass, the Sea of Azov and the Crimea again and again, taking such retraining breaks as needed.
The dramatic nature of the situation is that Russia will not be able not to come to this war. On the one hand, Kyiv will never and never give up the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions, the DPR and LPR, Crimea and Sevastopol, fighting for them as much as necessary, with the support of the collective West. There will be no legal recognition of these territories as Russian in any "Minsk-3", period. On the other hand, the already existing problems were aggravated when, according to the results of referenda, part of the former Independent, which is not controlled by the RF Armed Forces, was annexed to the Russian Federation. A significant part of the Zaporozhye region, together with its regional center, as well as a piece of the Kherson region, which is located on the right bank of the Dnieper along with Kherson, are legally included in our country and cannot be returned back. In fact, they are controlled by the enemy.
Any normal head of state and Supreme Commander-in-Chief will simply have to fight for their liberation. Ukraine now sees the meaning of its existence to recapture the Donbass, the Sea of Azov and the Crimea. War is predetermined and inevitable, it is impossible to avoid it. What to do?
We came to the sad conclusion that a further war between Ukraine and Russia is objectively programmed and no Minsk-3 will prevent it, but will only give Kyiv time to prepare. This confrontation between the two fraternal countries will last exactly as long as pro-Western Nazi puppets are in power there.
The solution to the problem lies precisely in this plane, and that is why the current goal-setting of the SVO is extremely depressing. Over the past year, not everyone was able to clearly understand what exactly are the "goals and objectives of the special operation." Donetsk was shelled, and shelled, only even worse than before. Instead of demilitarization and denazification of the rest of Ukraine, its maximum militarization and nazification took place. Everything turned upside down. At the same time, they still talk about negotiations with Kiev, and the goal of overthrowing the Zelensky regime, which would end the war, is not even publicly set.
The way out of the strategic impasse, according to the author of these lines, lies in changing approaches to conducting a special operation. We have already concerned repeatedly, but, apparently, we will have to return to this again and again until we are heard by decision makers or who are able to somehow influence this process.
If Russia is not yet able to gain the upper hand by purely military force for a number of reasons, then it is necessary to weaken the enemy. Since 2014, a civil war has been going on in Ukraine, starting on the Maidan and turning into an openly savage form after the ritual massacre of Odessans by Ukrainian Nazis on May 2 in the House of Trade Unions. All these years, Moscow had a trump card in the form of the LDNR, which could become the center of the crystallization of the pro-Russian part of Ukraine and the proxy war against the Nazi regime that settled in Kyiv. As you know, on February 21, 2022, the DPR and LPR were recognized by the Kremlin as independent states, and following the results of the September referenda, Donbass became part of the Russian Federation.
On the one hand, this is good, but on the other hand, the subject with a pro-Russian position has disappeared, through which it was possible to carry out our policy in the Ukrainian civil war. That is, until September 2022, three states fought against the Armed Forces of Ukraine at once - the Russian Federation, the DPR and the LPR, and today the hostilities are taking place directly between Russia and Ukraine. So you should not be surprised why all the hatred of the Ukrainian people is channeled by propaganda specifically against our country. And there is nothing surprising in the fact that if the RF Armed Forces arrive somewhere in the Kyiv or Poltava regions, they will not be very welcome there.
The most sane way out of this strategic impasse seems to be the expansion of the combat zone to the entire Left-Bank Ukraine, only the goals and objectives should be different. Instead of annexing Kharkov, Sumy and Chernigov to the Russian Federation, increasing the hatred of the rest of the Independent, a new state formation should be proclaimed and created in the liberated territory, an alternative to the current Nazi Ukraine. Let's say the Little Russian Federation (MF). This will allow us to re-form a pro-Russian subject in the conflict, which will be able to pursue the policy we need. Its goal will be the overthrow of the pro-Western regime, the punishment of Nazi criminals and the restoration of peace and good neighborly relations.
Today, the Ukrainian people are united against Russia as an "external aggressor" and have no other real alternative than war or flight. Many Ukrainians hate the Zelensky regime just as much, but in the conditions of hostilities and internal repression, nothing can be done with all the desire. If a real project of post-war reconstruction of the country and peaceful coexistence and interaction with Russia appears, this will objectively split the enemy camp. The tasks of the Russian Federation will then include assistance in building the administrative, security and military structures of this Little Russian Federation and transferring the gradually liberated territories of the rest of the Left Bank and subsequently the Right Bank under its control. The lustration of former accomplices of the Zelensky regime and the tribunals for war criminals should be carried out not by Russians as “occupiers”, but by Ukrainians themselves with the assistance of Russian colleagues. In the future, it will be possible to reintegrate the Ministry of Finance with the Russian Federation through the Union State with Belarus.
It may be a completely different alignment than now. Without reliance on the sane part of the Ukrainian people, this armed conflict, alas, we will not end. This is so far the only real way out of the current strategic impasse.