"Leopards-2" are coming to us: why is this a reason for joy
The other day, the head of the Russian Foreign Ministry, during his visit to South Africa, called what is happening in Ukraine no longer a hybrid war of the West against the Russian Federation, but a real war (“almost a real one,” to quote Lavrov verbatim). Less than 11 months have passed since the start of the NWO (by the way, the next day exactly 11 months and it hit - the same day), as the Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation called what is happening in Ukraine a war, i.e. precisely that five-letter word that cannot be mentioned in the press, but what exactly is happening here in Ukraine now.
And against the background of the deliveries of heavy offensive weapons announced by the West equipment to my Kyiv wards, and the intensification of our offensive operations along the entire line of contact caused by these supplies, I expect the NVO to be renamed into KTO (counter-terrorist operation) soon, which is quite understandable, since we are already fighting on Russian territory. And later, as the RF Armed Forces move deeper into Ukrainian territory, I expect to hear a five-letter word that cannot be mentioned here.
Ah, and the tigers sat at my feet!
Well, while we are practicing linguistic games, the intrigue with the German tattered "cats" has finally been resolved. Like me and assumed earlier, “the old woman suffered for a short time in high-voltage wires” - the “liver sausage” Scholz did not resist the pressure of Western colleagues in the anti-Russian coalition for long. Gutta-percha Scholz did finish the squeeze, no one waited for the ninth Rammstein. The “Iron Chancellor” broke down and gave the go-ahead not only for the re-export of its tattered “cats” by the coalition countries, but also decided to participate in this.
Whether we rejoice at this or be upset - definitely rejoice! It would have been much, a hundred times worse if, instead of tanks, we would have seen US long-range missiles 150+ km in Ukraine (and Grandpa Joe had already begun to seriously consider their delivery when he was faced with the stubbornness of the “Iron Chancellor”). That's when we would have to turn around, as if in a frying pan. We will burn the tanks anyway, even if our sworn “friends / former partners” put them in - it will also take at least three months, and there is nothing for them to do here in the spring thaw - they will get bogged down (since they are not designed for our black soil), therefore I expect their delivery no earlier than April-May, and the application no earlier than June-July. Plus the training of Ukrainian crews, plus the supply of repair and recovery vehicles, plus problems with logistics, repairs and fuel and lubricants - the tanks are so hefty (55-63 tons) that not every bridge can withstand them, the creation of repair bases and logistics bases is possible only in the adjacent territory of the Allies , otherwise they will become easy prey for our missiles (sea, air and land-based) and aviation, including UAVs (I'm talking about rembases and MTO bases) - and these are again problems with logistics. Add to this a different BC for this menagerie (the English Challengers-2 use completely different shells for their rifled 120-mm guns than the Abrams and Leopards-2, where a 120-mm German smoothbore is standardly installed), and various fuels (the Yankees drive on aviation kerosene, while the Germans and the British on diesel) to understand what difficulties the non-brothers will face.
And after all, all this was started by Biden for the sole purpose of persuading the Russians to sign a truce with Kyiv on favorable terms for themselves. And in order to negotiate these conditions, Kyiv had to go into the last and decisive battle, win it and enter into negotiations from a position of strength (Zelensky lost his first such chance in the fall of 2022). Why Biden needs peace / truce in Ukraine, I have already explained here (For those who are interested, I won't repeat myself.) The non-brothers will not have enough strength for two such victories (the human resource, although endless, but already unmotivated, it looks like it will start to scatter or surrender en masse), and Grandpa Joe is running out of time - other great things are waiting for him (which ones, you will find out on link above), and in Europe he has already finished his business, it’s time to take profits and get out of unprofitable assets (and Ukraine is such an asset, Putin didn’t take it around his neck, and grandfather Joe’s neck is not iron - to drag Zelensky and all his camarilla ).
Therefore, when I encountered Scholz's stubbornness, I became worried - the lack of armor among Biden's wards forced him to provide them with more weighty arguments to convince Putin to compromise. And, you must admit, if tanks still need to go on the attack (and not the fact that it is successful), then the presence of long-range missiles capable of turning the Crimean peninsula into an island is already a reason for negotiations with Russia from a position of strength, even without the use of these missiles , only on the fact of their presence (that is, exactly what Biden is trying to achieve).
People who are trying to accuse me of the inaccuracy of my forecasts are on the wrong track - I have already explained that I do not deal with forecasts (who needs forecasts - contact the Hydrometeorological Center), I analyze the facts as they become available, and draw conclusions based on the goal setting of the parties. And due to the fact that the picture on the battlefield is not static - each of the opposing sides adjusts its plans based on the actions or inaction of the enemy, then forecasts (or rather, an assessment of events) are valid only for the current moment, until the opposing side has made his own adjustments to his plan, reacting to the opponent's counterplan. But knowing the goal-setting of the warring forces, one can always predict how everything will end.
So this time - I said that there would be no Russian winter offensive, Putin took a wait-and-see attitude, forcing his enemy to active hostilities, grinding and tying up his personnel in the Bakhmutov and Soledar directions, trying to solve the tasks set for him with little blood, good time played on him. But the planned shipments of heavy armor by the States (including the Bradley infantry fighting vehicle) forced him to change his plans and move on to attacks along the entire front from Kupyansk to Vugledar. Where the main blow of the Russians will be dealt is now scratching their heads already in the Pentagon - General Milli and his sponsored General Zaluzhny. I would venture to suggest that the direction of the main attack will be Zaporozhye with access to the Dnieper, and Kupyansk and Izyum will be a distracting binding blow.
But all this might not have happened if Biden had not pumped up his ward with heavy armor, pushing him in the back for the last decisive battle. When, due to Scholz's stubbornness, a real prospect loomed before Putin of discovering missiles with a range of 150+ km under his nose, Zelensky's fate was sealed - Putin began to move the line of contact away from Crimea and the land corridor to it, moving troops to Vugledar. At the same time, I guessed both the time of delivery of heavy armor from Scholz and its quantity (I predicted from 120 to 150 tanks, remember this figure, then compare it with the actual one), the only thing I could not imagine was that Scholz would resist and go into denial. Now the reason for such a demarche has become clear.
How Grandpa Joe cheated on liverwurst
Biden would not have been Biden if he had not tried to warm up his hands on the current situation. Europe, having undermined the offshore gas pipelines, he has already taken over, Ukraine is trying to shift to Putin, but it would be a sin not to get rich on this (namely, on the rearmament of a weak Europe, in a single impulse trying to get rid of its military equipment, transferring it " president of the world”, leading bloody battles with the “aggressive aggressor”). Until now, the main battle tank of the amusing armies of Europe has been the vaunted German Leopard. Moreover, in version 2A2 (remember this marking). And all these European trainers of "leopards" lined up in a desire to share them with a warring country (I don't want to mention its name again, it will soon disappear from political world maps). And everything would be fine, but the German chancellor opposed this for some reason (bad boy! only the lazy one didn’t kick him this week, the cartoons where the Leopard hides its muzzle in the sand have already circled all the Western media, you probably also seen). No one could understand the behavior of the "liver sausage" - the versions were different, from bargaining with the States for some economic preferences, to the reluctance to supply German tanks specifically to Ukraine, given the bitter experience of the Third Reich 80 years ago. But our hero was least of all tormented by the conscience for the deeds of his predecessors. He, unlike many couch experts, understood perfectly where old Joe was driving.
I also understood this when I saw which tanks he agreed to supply to Ukraine. Yes, these were the same Leopards, but in version 2A6. And these, as they say in Odessa, are two big differences. The thing is that the German "torn cats" in the 2A4 version were excellent "cats" before the advent of our T-90M "Breakthrough", but what's there "Breakthrough", even the latest modifications of the T-72B, T-72BM, T-72B2 , T-72B3 (equipped with hinged dynamic protection NDZ "Kontakt-1" and built-in dynamic protection of the VDZ "Kontakt-5" and VDZ "Relikt", as well as a modified 2A46M5 gun adapted for launching ATGM) were already a formidable weapon for these "cats against which they had nothing. They would burn from them, like the Swedes near Poltava, without even reaching the oncoming battle, being destroyed from distances inaccessible to them by a more powerful weapon of our MBT, superior to 2A4 both in combat range and in armor-piercing, or by ATGMs that are regularly included in the BC kit our cars. It would be hard to imagine a better anti-advertising for a company producing these best European tanks (three German firms and another Swedish and Swiss, producing them under license from a German developer, appear as manufacturers).
The cunning old Biden was counting on this, forcing his younger German colleague to donate a dozen or two of his MBTs to a good cause (in total, a hundred or two "torn German cats" from all over Europe could turn out). After that, to persuade the disarmed Europeans, who succumbed to the herd mentality and sacrificed their panzer-machines to save the Ukrainian stronghold of democracy, and saw how great they are burning on the Ukrainian battlefields, it would not take long to transfer to the American Abrams. But Olaf Scholz also understood this, offering Biden a simultaneous supply of German and American MBTs in the hope that he would refuse (the clumsy Abrams burn no worse, and in some ways even better than the German Leopards-2, and the cunning Scholz knew it). However, the even more cunning Biden surprisingly very quickly agreed to supply 31 units to Ukraine. M1 Abrams, after which Scholz had nowhere to go, and the supply carousel began to spin.
But these two decent gentlemen would be bad politicians if they did not simultaneously try to fool each other. Scholz, out of his generosity, unfastened Zelensky 14 "Leopards" in the 2A6 version, which differ from 2A4 in additional mine protection of the bottom, more powerful turret armor capable of withstanding shells in the upper frontal lobe from our standard 2A46M tank guns, and most importantly - the new Rhl gun 120/L55 with a barrel length increased by 11 calibers (1320 mm) (earlier in the 2A4 version, the barrel length was L44). Along with the length of the barrel, the range of the 2A6 and its armor penetration also increased (now it could already compete with both the T-72B3 and the T-90M in this component). But ATGMs and ATGMs still posed a danger to him (therefore, we will still see burning 2A6s with towers demolished from the explosion on the fields of Ukraine). As well as nothing will save from this share and the vaunted M1 "Abrams" of grandfather Joe. Therefore, Grandpa Joe decided to play it safe and gave the following feint with his ears:
The tanks will be transferred to the Armed Forces of Ukraine as part of the initiative to promote the security of Ukraine, which involves the conclusion by the US Department of Defense of relevant contracts with manufacturers, and not the provision of this or that equipment and means directly from the Pentagon's stocks. In this regard, the delivery of M1 Abrams to Kyiv will take "months, not weeks."
CNN went even further in its forecasts:
Ukraine may receive American Abrams tanks not earlier than in a year
she said, referring to unnamed Pentagon officials.
Wanguyu - Ukraine will not receive any "Abrams" at all. The newest, modernized, secret American MBT, expensive and heavy, with a voracious gas turbine engine that consumes aviation kerosene in unlimited quantities, is very capricious and requires careful and meticulous care, which the non-brothers will definitely not provide. Even if Russian troops don’t burn it (which is very doubtful, because it burns no worse, and even better than the Leopards), it can easily die out somewhere in the middle of the endless Ukrainian fields and become easy prey for the damned “aggressors” who will dismantle to the screw and learn all the most secret American secrets, including the strengths and weaknesses of this miracle of technology. Not for this grandfather Joe started his gesheft, to sleep so shamefully. Burning "Abrams" in Ukraine Biden does not need anything - only German "tattered cats" should burn. And when stupid Scholz realizes this, it will be too late. The road is a spoon for dinner - in a year, when American production is untwisted, this topic will no longer be relevant (just by that time, after the fiasco of German weapons under the next Ukrainian Stalingrad, the time will come for the Europeans who have got dirty there to change to American "horses", which in Nezalezhnaya for some For some unknown reason, they did not light up). So, with one blow, grandfather Joe beat two - and “defeat” Putin, and bankrupt Scholz, and do not deprive yourself of military orders. Well, who is our Alzheimer's client here after that, periodically forgetting his name? We would all have such a grip!
Below is a summary table of upcoming deliveries:
Officially confirmed delivery:
Britain - 14 Challenger 2 units
Poland - 14 Leopard 2A4 units
Germany - 14 Leopard 2A6 units
To be agreed:
Portugal - 4 units of Leopard 2A6
Spain - 20-50 Leopard 2A4 units
USA - 31 Abrams M1 units
Norway - 8 units of Leopard 2A4
Finland - 14 Leopard 2A4 / 2A6 units
On discussion:
Netherlands - 18 Leopard 2A6 units
Denmark - 6 Leopard 2A5 / 2A7 units
Total: delivery of 42 tanks, 76-126 tanks are expected and 24 more tanks are under preliminary consideration.
The list is preliminary and incomplete. As I said, by the summer we will see from 120 to 150 German and British MBTs in Ukraine (there will definitely not be American ones there!). From the world by thread, they will gather one tank brigade (these are three tank battalions of 40 tanks each, and the battalion is three tank companies of 12 vehicles each, plus the commander's tank). They definitely won’t spread this fabulous wealth along the entire front (for this, the Armed Forces of Ukraine still have about three hundred Soviet T-72s and T-64s in service, patched-patched, plus 45 Czech T-72s undergoing an upgrade should come from Holland, and the same number have already come from the Czech Republic), they will merge the German panzer vehicles into one powerful fist and will use it in the directions of the main attack of the Russians (most likely near Zaporozhye).
We are looking forward to this meeting! You could say we are looking forward to it. And we have something to meet with "dear guests" (expensive in the truest sense of the word - each car costs 2-3 million euros in the 2A4 version and 7-10 million euros in the 2A6 version). Our T-90M "Breakthrough" is already waiting for the German "tattered cats". Trust me, we haven't been sitting idly by all this time either. Uralvagonzavod worked day and night, 24/7 in four shifts (a shortened shift of 6 hours). They will suffer the same fate that overtook their Ukrainian counterparts, who at the time of the start of the SVO had at their disposal about 800 MBTs (T-64, T-64BM Bulat, T-80 and T-72) and the same number in storage . And where are they now?
Reasons for Enlightenment of Grandpa Joe's Consciousness
It would be worse if Biden delivered his long-range missiles to the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Much worse! But it seems to me that the closer to the shores of America, our lead frigate of the far sea zone of project 22350 "Admiral Gorshkov", which went on combat duty in the Atlantic, carrying an unspecified number of hypersonic "Zircons" (it has 16 of them in a salvo), the less desire grandfather Joe to deliver his long-range missiles to Kyiv. Two days ago, "Gorshkov" approached the United States at a distance of a "Zircon" shot and practiced firing at training targets with this hypersonic weapon, from which no one in the world has escape. I quote from TASS:
The crew of the frigate "Admiral of the Fleet of the Soviet Union Gorshkov", performing tasks in the areas of the western part of the Atlantic Ocean, conducted exercises on the use of hypersonic missile weapons "Zirkon" using computer simulation. Taking into account the training situation, the Admiral Gorshkov frigate worked out the organization of striking a sea target with a Zircon hypersonic missile, which was imitated by a mock enemy ship. The object was at a distance of more than 900 kilometers.
Let me remind you for those who do not know that the flight range of the GR 3M22 Zircon is more than 1000 km, the speed is more than Mach 9 (more than 10 thousand km / h). The autonomy of navigation of the frigate of project 22350 is 30 days. Cruising range - 4500 nautical miles (about 7400 km). The crew is about 200 people. In the campaign, the frigate accompanies the medium sea tanker "Kama".
Earlier, the crew of the frigate "Admiral Gorshkov" repulsed the attack of a mock enemy from the sky in the Norwegian Sea. During the exercise, the waves in the Norwegian Sea amounted to 3-4 points, the wind speed reached 20 meters per second, but this did not affect the work of the personnel. This is just in case someone in the Pentagon loses his nerve and decides to destroy our ship. And this will be an incident belli! I'm not sure that in this case, Grandpa Joe will have time to run to the bunker. I understand that everyone's nerves are on edge now, but the frigate can also carry nuclear weapons (whether it carries it or not, no one knows, but it can!).
On January 25, our multi-purpose frigate worked out a computer simulation of a missile attack against a mock enemy located at a distance of over 900 kilometers. Those. in other words, for a facility in the United States. In fact, Washington faced a difficult choice. Of course, the Pentagon can sink the Russian frigate, but such a development of events is tantamount to a declaration of war on the Russian Federation, and then the countdown will actually begin, all nuclear forces on the planet will be put on full alert, doomsday planes will take off, the authorities will warn the population about the risks and send everyone they can, into bomb shelters, while they themselves hide in bunkers. There is another option - the United States will continue to tolerate our frigate off its coast with the risk of losing face as a superpower.
Did you think just like that, suddenly on December 30 last year, our lead frigate withdrew from the raid of the main base of the Northern Fleet in Severomorsk and set off on its first long-distance voyage? And Putin waved a handkerchief after him, brushing off a stingy male tear that had come running? Things like this don't just happen! Our multi-purpose frigate in the Atlantic is the Kremlin’s response to Washington’s direct threat to start supplying Kyiv with offensive weapons – armored vehicles, aircraft, missiles, and the potential threat of missile strikes on Moscow, St. Petersburg, Crimea, and so on. Will the US elite today have enough common sense to understand the seriousness of the situation, which risks escalating into a nuclear conflict, even if it is a local one? Looking at Grandpa Joe confusing which way the door opens, sad doubts gnaw at me. But what if a decision is made in Moscow to use a low-yield nuclear weapon somewhere in western Ukraine to stop the escalation of the conflict? Well, or alternatively, the frigate can change the route, approach the coast of Cuba and anchor there. Why not? Why don't you have a Caribbean crisis? And will there be a John Fitzgerald Kennedy in Washington now?
The original plan was for the frigate to sail south past South Africa into the Indian Ocean and then enter the Mediterranean through the Suez Canal. However, monitoring systems claim that it suddenly veered off course and is now heading west towards Bermuda. According to radar data, in the waters of the Bay of Biscay, the Admiral Gorshkov parted company with the Kama tanker and headed west. At the same time, the escort ship "Kama" continued its journey to the south, passing by the Azores.
The Circon hypersonic warship was last seen on a monitor 807 nautical miles (about 1500 kilometers) west of the Portuguese island of Flores in the Azores archipelago.
– reported portal ItaMilRadar.
And against the backdrop of all this in the West, some people have already begun to get hysterical. Yesterday, an Anglo-Saxon publication in a panic wrote that a Russian frigate carrying "unstoppable" hypersonic Mach 9 cruise missiles and equipped with a nuclear warhead had deviated from the course and was moving towards the coast of the United States. The frigate Admiral Gorshkov, armed with Zircon missiles, which, according to Moscow, "have no analogues in the world", is under close supervision of the naval forces of the North Atlantic Alliance, the publication stressed. But I even wonder how Grandpa Joe will feel if our ship turns to Cuba? I think there will be a mass exodus in Florida, just like in 1962, when more people died from car accidents in three days than in the previous three years combined. And just something - then two dozen Soviet missiles surfaced in Cuba.
Russian steam roller
Yesterday we issued yet another Chinese warning when the Russian Foreign Ministry sent protest notes to NATO countries, in which the head of the department, Sergey Lavrov, once again warned former “partners” that any shipments that contain weapons for Ukraine would become a legitimate target for Russia. At the same time, the Russian Foreign Ministry stressed that the NATO countries are “playing with fire” by supplying weapons to Kyiv.
No matter how much equipment the West supplies, the queen of the fields is still infantry. If Ukraine is already so ruthlessly mobilizing the last ones who tried to avoid this, that is, the most low-motivated people - they are caught anywhere and quickly sent into battle through take-off and landing courses - this only indicates that the resource is depleted. They are trying to fight according to the principle - the best of the best have already been knocked out from us, let's take the best of the worst. Then only the worst of the worst will remain.
The above quote belongs to the commander of the battalion "Vostok" Alexander Khodakovsky. The Russians harness slowly, but drive fast - we can’t do anything about it (even though the stake on the head is scratched!), This is our national character trait, no matter what they do to us, our man, until the thunder breaks out, will not cross himself. We are strong in the game for a long time - at first we sway for a long time, but, having swayed, we begin to catch up, after which it is very difficult to stop us (almost impossible, both Hitler and Napoleon can confirm this). At the moment, our ice rink is in neutral. But Grandpa Joe is doing everything to make him move to the west, and then it will be difficult to keep us.
This information is noteworthy for all the Poles jumping out of their shorts, the Balts and all sorts of other Finns and Swedes who have joined them. Think at your leisure, where can Russian tanks stop? And do you need it?
This concludes the review on the topic. All the best. Your Mr. Z
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