The last non-nuclear war in Europe. What the experience of conducting SVO has taught us

Epigraph: “War is an extremely dangerous business in which the worst mistakes come from kindness. Victory lies not simply in the capture of the battlefield, but in the physical and moral crushing of the enemy's armed forces. The war is fought to victory, period. From time immemorial, only great victories led to great results” (Carl von Clausewitz).

foreword: "Be afraid to wake the Russian! You do not know how his awakening will end for you. You can trample it into the dirt, mix it with shit, mock, humiliate, despise, insult. And at that moment, when it seems to you that you have defeated the Russian, destroyed, defamed forever, wiped it into powder - something unusual, surprising for you will suddenly happen. He will come to your house. Wearily, he sank into a chair, put his machine gun on his knees, and looked into his eyes. It will stink of gunpowder, blood, death, and it will be in your house. The Russian will ask you only one question: "What is the strength, brother?" It is at this moment that you will regret 1000 times that you are not a brother to the Russian. Because he will forgive his brother, but never his enemy. The French remember. The Germans know. The Russian lives by justice. Western layman - false briefings and crafty press conferences. As long as justice is alive in his heart, the Russian will rise from the mud, from the darkness, from hell. And you can't do anything about it. Because the Russians themselves have been unable to do anything about it for more than one thousand years” (S.V. Klimkovich, Belarus).



I have nothing to add to what Sergey Klimkovich said. Yes, this was perhaps the last non-nuclear armed conflict of this magnitude in this and the last century. And in terms of its intensity, and in terms of the size of the theater of operations, and in terms of the number of armed forces involved in it from both sides, using all types of troops in all environments (on land, at sea and in the air) for this. This was the last global non-network-centric war on our part, in which we made a lot of mistakes and paid for it, because the enemy, conducting hostilities against us, used all the advantages of the network-centric tactics of maintaining a database, provided to him by his curators who carried out technical and tactical support of the conflict. Here in Ukraine, the Americans, namely their career officers, carried out technical support for the database, they test their skills and abilities in conducting a network-centric proxy war on us. We are children here. But we quickly learn from our mistakes and will definitely not repeat them in the future. This is what today's text is about. With this, I finish the most boring review of foreign and domestic expert analytics dedicated to the unprecedented-scale special operation of a limited contingent of Russian troops in Ukraine, which has been ongoing since February 24.

In the previous two parts, we considered the opinion of Israeli and American military experts, respected Yakova Kedmi и Scott Ritter, both military intelligence officers with personal combat experience (Kedmi took part in the Yom Kippur War, Ritter in the Gulf War). Both were mistaken in something (Yakov believed that wars were not conducted like that, and he correctly believed, because we were not having a war, but a special operation, and Scott at first, in general, fell into charm, overestimating our successes, as he believed in a maneuver war ), but both subsequently came to an understanding of what was happening, after which our assessments of events coincided with them. Who missed the material, I advise you to read, especially Scott Ritter, because he burns with napalm not like a child (it’s not for nothing that he collects millions of views in America), in addition to a critical analytical mind, he also has an excellent sense of humor, after which you begin to love all the American people and understand that he is not for us enemy, enemies are sitting in the Oval Office and neighboring buildings on Capitol Hill.

Today, in the final part of the trilogy, I summarize all the previously cited facts, taking into account the assessments of Russian generals and British military intelligence (it’s not at all clear that the guys smoke, probably the same as their prime minister Borusik Johnson, they don’t take care of themselves at all bobby!) , as well as the opinion of our opponent (the most fascist element). Then I will summarize. Today will definitely not be boring (especially in the 1st part, where I will try to summarize the position of our generals).

Sad and encouraging results of the past phase of the SVO. View from Moscow

So, what did our generals say (I will not name names, take my word for it, there were no experts there younger than the lieutenant general). The experience of conducting the SVO showed that the caustic assertion, known since the time of Churchill, that generals always prepare for past wars rather than future ones, is not applicable in this case, since the fighting in the Ukrainian theater of operations was a vivid example of a war of the last century, and not a war at all 3 th millennium. The experience of the NMD has yet to be studied and generalized, and specialists in all the armies of the world will do this, but already now, in hot pursuit, some conclusions can be drawn.

First, since the RF Armed Forces in the Ukrainian theater of operations faced a weak, technically inferior enemy army (in technical equipment, but not in combat coherence and moral and psychological training of personnel), then the actions of the RF Armed Forces were appropriate. At the initial stage, it was planned to suppress enemy air defense systems in order to ensure air supremacy of their own airborne forces. Much to my surprise, this was not done in full, focal air defense facilities were not completely destroyed by the first missile and bomb strikes, which subsequently led to unacceptable losses in the flight and combat personnel of the airborne forces. Yes, and the loss of enemy aircraft by 90% was achieved by means of air defense, rather than in air battles by the efforts of aviation (which does not reduce the merits and skill of our pilots, but only speaks of the enemy’s unwillingness to engage in air fights). But the importance of ground-based air defense was underestimated by us, since the RF Armed Forces were preparing to fight NATO armies, and in them this component is inferior to fighter aircraft, which is entrusted with the main task of suppressing enemy aircraft. Now the NATO armies will change (or have already changed) this concept.

Second remark, which we, in fact, ourselves knew, we are clearly inferior to the enemy in unmanned aerial vehicles, both in strike and reconnaissance ones. The advantage of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in this component was ensured, firstly, by the supply of UAVs of all types to NATO, and secondly, by connecting the command posts of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the global system for obtaining intelligence information in non-stop mode via the NATO satellite system, followed by instant data transmission for target designation in online mode already to low-level command posts (seconded NATO officers were responsible for this). The striking accuracy of the Ukrainian artillery, both rocket and cannon, is explained precisely by this factor, as well as by the anti-battery systems supplied by the United States.

The third an unfortunate moment, I did not see the work of our famous electronic warfare. From the word "absolutely". Either the electronic warfare equipment worked so covertly that no one noticed it, or they were not enough to suppress the enemy's electronics, make him blind and deaf. An indicative moment when our assault units opened Azovstal by touch, while the enemy was watching us and communicating with each other via the Starlink satellite system.

Fourth, there are no complaints about the actions of artillery, which cannot be said about our glorious airborne forces. And it’s not their fault at all, they fought and died with dignity with maximum damage to the enemy. But their task is not to die with dignity, but to survive! The database data showed the inexpediency of using parachute units to solve such problems. We have a place to be a clear bias towards the airborne divisions before the airborne assault divisions, and it was they who were supposed to solve the tasks of cleaning up fortress cities, where the enemy used the civilian population as a shield. In the absence of the required number of VTA (military transport aviation), the maintenance of two airborne divisions is clearly excessive, although there are no complaints against either the Tula 106th or the Skvirskaya 98th airborne divisions. The remaining two divisions (7th Mountain Airborne Division and 76th Pskov Airborne Division), as well as three separate brigades (11th Airborne Brigade, 31st Airborne Brigade and 83rd Airborne Brigade) belong to the air assault units with appropriate weapons. But the use of airborne combat vehicles BMD-2 and BMD-4M (which cost us the price of a tank with lower survivability), with a helicopter landing is impossible, when landing in a non-stop way it is problematic, the landing method remains, which is complicated by a small number of military vehicles (we have vehicles there are not enough planes for one airborne division, and we have two of them). Perhaps the need has come to re-equip the airborne divisions in view of changing the tasks that they have to solve in the conditions of modern warfare, with an emphasis on increasing their firepower and strengthening armor with the obligatory equipment of reconnaissance unmanned vehicles.

As for reconnaissance UAVs. It is worth mentioning them especially, because it was their use that radically changed the use of our glorious art. And in this component, these hostilities are already approaching the wars of the 3rd millennium, and this factor must be taken into account. Gone are the days of contact shooting combat “machine-to-machine”, now the opponents risk not seeing each other at all, even through the sight slot. At the 2nd stage of the NMD, the RF Armed Forces stupidly grinded the personnel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, without entering into direct combat with them, exclusively by artillery. This, by the way, was the tactics of the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces, which did not seize territory, but exterminated enemy personnel, stupidly and ruthlessly on the same already destroyed theater in the Donbass. Why crumble the territory, which you then restore? Mariupol was enough for us (and the enemy, by the way, too!) We will not have to capture the cities of central and western Ukraine for the reason that there will be no one to defend them, all the defenders will end in battles in the east and south. This is how the ruthless ice rink of the RF Armed Forces works in action. Since it didn’t work out in a good way in “white gloves”, then it will be in a bad way. How exactly, the Ukrainians have already learned (the Armed Forces of Ukraine are still spitting blood!). As handsome Trump said: “If you don’t want it in a bad way, it will be worse in a good way!”. Putin simply deployed this thesis.

But back to the god of war. Fifth point - it is he, i.e. it (artillery) and proved its combat effectiveness during the NMD, finally breaking the back of the fascist reptile, making the most significant contribution to the outcome of the campaign. Not even our glorious "Caliber" and "Iskander", and even more so not the VKS, but art became the very straw that broke the back of the Ukrainian camel. At the 2nd stage of the NMD in the Donbas theater of operations, we managed to create such a density of fire that the enemy simply could not raise his head. He suffered losses incompatible with the further continuation of the database (up to 1000 people / day). Artillery duels ended before they even started, not only because of the enemy’s fewer barrels and ammunition, but also because of the use of reconnaissance drones. It was in the Great Patriotic War that the one who sent scouts behind enemy lines, who corrected the fire, calling it on themselves, won. Now the winner is the one who quickly withdraws from the firing place so as not to run into a counter-battery response, or the one who generally preempts the response by detecting the enemy through a system of space reconnaissance satellites (here it was difficult for us to compete with the American group) or with the help of reconnaissance drones. The human factor is slowly fading into the past. People are being replaced by 21st century technology. The use of rocket artillery was practically reduced to a “sea battle”, when our MLRS worked in squares. Since both sides of the conflict used the same rocket systems, the one who first discovered and destroyed the enemy won. The appearance of the American MLRS did not make a significant change in the course of the confrontation. Our "Tornados" and "Tornado-S" were not inferior to them either in terms of combat range or KVO (circular probabilistic deviation), and even surpassed them in the number of missiles in one salvo.

Sixth. A special word must be said about the equipment. And I’m not talking about helmets and bulletproof vests now, although their importance in the survival of soldiers on the battlefield cannot be discounted (and our defense, even according to the enemy, turned out to be better!), I wanted to say about equipping personnel with thermal imagers and night vision devices visions. Here we were inferior to the Ukrainian side, equipped almost according to NATO standards. In our country, only special forces of the MTR are equipped with such options, while they have most of the line units (NATO tried). And this is not a tribute to fashion, at the front it is a matter of life and death. By the way, the use of the advertised collimator sights did not bring much effect due to the complexity of their use in real combat conditions (too delicate equipment, quickly clogs and fails, the simpler the better, complex equipment only complicates the life of military personnel). In terms of small arms, as practice has shown, there is nothing better than the good old AKM and AK-74, even AK 100-series turned out to be less reliable.

And finally the last seventh, the most bitter problem is the fleet. Here we have suffered such reputational and actual losses that it will not even fit on our heads. And this is in the absence of the enemy at least some comparable to our Navy. I won’t even list our losses, all of you know them without me. However, to jump to the point that our ships are grazing 300 km from the coast and can only control the Odessa seaport, if the enemy has only one launcher and 4 anti-ship missiles of the Harpoon type, it still had to try hard (and that's me I am still silent about their three rubber motor boats, with which they were going to drown us on the Dnieper).

These are the brief results of the spring-summer phase of NWO. Draw your own conclusions. Separately, it should be said that in this conflict we practically did not use our latest models of military equipment, neither the T-14 "Armata", nor the 2S35 "Coalition-SV", nor the 2S38 "Derivation-Air Defense", nor the "Boomerangs", nor the "Kurgantsev -25”, we didn’t even see the BMP-3 there, limiting ourselves only to heavy flamethrower systems TOS-1 and TOS-1A (“Pinocchio” and “Solntsepek”), as well as several BMPT “Terminator” tank support combat vehicles and several modernized T-90M "Breakthrough". All the rest of the equipment was old, proven over the years, up to the one that was removed from storage from numerous military equipment reserve bases. The reason is simple - the same junk of the 70-80s of the last century fought against us, and NATO threw the same junk to its wards. In fact, here in Ukraine, both sides disposed of their illiquid assets, I do not mean Ukraine in this case (the latter did not have liquid assets at all), but NATO. What we need, we have tested in action, the rest is waiting for its real opponent from Europe and America, if, of course, they decide to poke their noses. However, as the deputy of the State Duma, Lieutenant General Gurulev, said, if they do turn up, then we will use our tactical nuclear weapons without hesitation. No one will stand on ceremony with them! The war in this case will last an hour and a half, since the military doctrine of the Russian Federation spells out a reaction to an existential threat, and no one in Russia will think for a long time about the expediency of the toughest reaction (this information is for all Poles, Balts and other small-shaven people to take note of!).

"Cut to hell without waiting for peritonitis"

By the way, about small-shaven. Recently on CNN their military intelligence erupted articleafter which I almost fell off my chair. It turns out that according to British military intelligence, the Americans know everything about the Russian Federation, from reserves and plans to losses, but they know almost nothing about their smaller brothers from the territory besieged by Russian barbarians. Traces of supplied NATO weapons are lost immediately, as it crosses the border of Nezalezhnaya. There is no information on inventory and daily costs. For the Americans, this has become almost the main problem for drawing up plans and a schedule for the supply of weapons.

But personally, I was most struck by another fact. As it turned out from the article, our English "friends" still do not lose hope that Putin in Ukraine can stop there. Well, aren't you idiots? And this is the vaunted British military intelligence! I had a better opinion of her. In our country, any elementary school student knows that Putin will go to the end, otherwise the end will be for him. And not because the Russians themselves will not understand it, but because if you leave at least a piece of Ukraine on any bank you like - even on the left, even on the right, this cancerous tumor will again give such metastases that it will be just right to think about a new war. No, radical surgical intervention is required here - if the tumor is removed, then it will be up to the very Polish "tomatoes", otherwise it risks poisoning our entire healthy body.

News from the Nazi headquarters

So we smoothly approached the 404th. And here, I think, it will be interesting for you to know what hardened Nazis think about this. In particular, Sergey Korotkov, aka Boatswain, Biletsky's right hand, who for some reason did not end up with his brothers from "Azov" (an organization banned in the Russian Federation) as a result of "extraction" to the Rostov pre-trial detention center No. 1, but calmed down somewhere in deep in the rear, and there sharing advice on how to defeat the insidious Putin. This Russian fascist, who fled from the Russian Federation back in 2014 and received citizenship of the 404th, in his FB (the resource is prohibited in the Russian Federation) gave birth to a lengthy post, which I will not quote the whole, but will only quote excerpts, because they are indicative (indicative also the fact that his account under the name "Epics of the IV Reich" Ministry of Culture and Propaganda with a stylized swastika on the logo is not banned by anyone on this resource, fascism is now in vogue with our sworn "partners", everything is fine, but RT is banned).

So, what does this warrior of the information front write:


Here is Yaroslavna's lament. And this is the most hardened repulsed Nazi. Apparently, their tail was severely pinched in Mariupol. It smelled burnt.

Summary

So, I will summarize. After reviewing all the above sources available to me from the Israeli, American, British military, to ours (including Girkin) and Ukrainian, I can conclude that it was now that the turning point in the war took place, when yesterday the front was standing, the enemy was fighting for every meter, and already tomorrow (conditionally tomorrow, I think, within 2-4 weeks), it will crumble, so much so that the non-brothers will drape to the Dnieper without looking back. An indirect proof of this is the simultaneous visits to Kyiv of liverwurst, French croissant, Italian sauce and Romanian spinach, followed by an English disheveled poodle the very next day. Why are they all so fussy? The reason is clear to everyone, except for the whiner-Girkin, the non-brothers are exhausted, they are suffering losses incompatible with the continuation of the database, morale is at zero, no, below zero, and most importantly - there is no ammo, there are stupidly no Soviet shells, (ended!), And to die under Russian there are fewer and fewer people who want Zelensky at the front.

Raids swept through the cities of Nezalezhnaya, the quarter is cordoned off by the police and the military, after which all the peasants who have fallen into a trap are deprived of their passports (and you cannot go out without them in wartime), which they can get back only at the military registration and enlistment office (summons are issued right on the spot, fortunately passports and their holders already exist). And the day after tomorrow this cannon fodder is already in the camps, and a week later at the front, after which this bloody carousel is repeated. There is still a lot of meat on Shchenevmerla, but the sponsors are running out of money (every month, take out and lay down from 5 to 10 yards of greenery). So the old Europe panicked, and there is a hungry and cold winter ahead, why do they need such happiness? Why Johnson ran to Kyiv is also understandable, it is necessary to support the drug addict so that he does not think of giving in to the European consortium of Paris, Berlin and Rome, with Bucharest joining them. The fact that Bucharest is with them, and not with London, Warsaw and the frenzied Baltic Pekingese, is a good sign, which means that there will be no attack on Pridnestrovie, which means that Putin will quietly crush Donbass, after which the Odessa-Nikolaev operation will begin with access to Pridnestrovie.

Nezalezhnaya will leave for winter apartments without the northern Black Sea region and access to the sea, after which Putin can take a break, sit, see what the pots will be heated with and what they will eat. But the pans do not solve anything, they will freeze and die, Washington decides everything here, and there everything will become clear by December. With the arrival of the Republicans in the lower house of Congress after the November midterm elections, funding for the Ukraine-anti-Russia project will begin to curtail. Grandpa Joe will be able to knock his bald head on the parquet for a long time, but no one will give him money (from the word at all!). It is more likely that the Potomac will flow back than it will. And with the end of funding, the war will end. London and Warsaw will be able to gnash their teeth for a long time, but they themselves have no money, no weapons, only show-offs and ambitions. They deflate and crawl away.

I have only one question - where will Putin stop? It is impossible to leave Ukraine in the form in which it is now on any bank of the Dnieper. Giving Galicia to Poland is also stupid, but taking it for yourself is even more expensive. Let's wait until autumn, we'll see. But the fact that the eastern front will crumble, I personally have no doubts. You don’t have to go far for examples, this was the case in World War I, when the Germans fought for every meter for two years, stood like a wall, and then collapsed and surrendered everything to the Allied forces in a matter of weeks (by the way, the same thing happened to them in World War II, when in April-May 1945 they surrendered to the same allies on the western front with entire SS divisions to two drunken cyclists). Therefore, we are waiting for autumn, everything will be fine, by December, I hope the war will end.

As an afterword (I started this text with a quote from Sergei Klimkovich, I will finish with my own thoughts): There are things that Russians do not forgive. And don't provoke them! And that is precisely why we are treated in a special way in the West, where, under poorly concealed apprehension, undisguised respect peeps through. Because they understand that a Russian can go all the way and die for the truth. American never! Prefer to negotiate. This is our fundamental difference! Remember the words of the hero Sergei Bodrov: “What is the strength, brother? Power is in the truth!". We grew up on these films, this understanding is within us. For the truth, it's not scary to die. Living examples of this are our recent Heroes of Russia, who died in Syria, Alexander Prokhorenko, who caused fire on himself, and Roman Filipov, who is shooting to the end from the Makarov service. Now a special operation in Ukraine has added new heroes to this pantheon (some we don’t know yet). Americans will never understand this, and this, as VVP said, is our strength and our pride! That is why the Americans are afraid of us to the point of convulsions, to the point of hiccups, because they are not ready to die for their truth. And we are ready! Moreover, even those juveniles, according to your estimates, are ready, morons walking in headphones and tattoos and listening to American rap. Because Russian blood flows in them. And so it has always been in our history, absurd, according to the older generation, the youth in a difficult time rose and shielded the country with their breasts, showing miracles of mass heroism and self-sacrifice.

This is where the report ends. All patience and peace. Your Mr X.