Double blow to Iran: Israel will bomb the reactors, the USA will overcome Khuzestan
The situation around Iran hung in the air. US Air Force drone shot down by Iranian air defense, and for Washington, and "washing powder" in vitro as a casus belli. However, President Trump, instead of starting the bombing, unexpectedly extended his hand to "American friendship." He promised to make "Iran great again" and bring it to prosperity. The price of the issue is the abandonment of plans to create nuclear weapons, which alone is a guarantee of security on the part of the United States. What will happen if the Islamic Republic rejects the proposal “which cannot be rejected”?
What might a real military operation against Iran look like?
Tehran is strong enough, which we detail told earlier. He has a large army, and the IRGC has 130 well-trained, armed, and motivated fighters. It has its own air force and navy, missile forces. Iranian air defense, although it does not cover the entire territory of the country, has taken a big step forward in its development. More importantly, Iranian soldiers will defend their homeland from the invaders, and no one has canceled the importance of morale.
It is extremely difficult to imagine that Iranian leaders sign an act of surrender somewhere in the trailer, and the victorious American troops are standing near Tehran. So what is Washington counting on?
Some time ago, the Western press reported that the Pentagon could send 120 soldiers to the Middle East. Their goal is clearly the Islamic Republic, but such a contingent is not enough to defeat and bring to the knees of such a strong enemy. But maybe there will be enough of them if we are talking about a military operation with limited goals?
Accidentally or not, the Pentagon published data from the Pentagon under the title “2018 Gulf War Plan in the 80 Edition” in the American media. And this plan of war with Iran looks quite realistic. According to him, the Americans, instead of going to Tehran, will capture only one province of Khuzestan and several coastal cities. Why is Khuzestan? About XNUMX% of the hydrocarbon deposits of the Islamic Republic are located in this province. And ports are necessary for their export. Depriving Tehran of the economic basis of the ruling regime should force the Iranian elites to accept any conditions in Washington.
You can’t refuse American strategists in deceit and subtle calculation. Not only is Khuzestan a “hydrocarbon pantry”, it is also inhabited not only by Persians, but also by ethnic Arabs who can support the interventionists if they promise them sovereignty and a “roof”. The US Air Force will carry everything from the air, from the sea will support the fleet. Next door is Iraq, where the Pentagon has military bases. The mountainous terrain itself will prevent the Iranians from recapturing the province.
In addition, U.S. Israeli allies may be involved. Tel Aviv is completely unnecessary for Tehran and other neighbors to have nuclear weapons. So, in 1981, the Israeli Air Force bombed the Iraqi nuclear reactor, rendering it completely unusable. In 2007, they did the same trick with regard to Syria’s nuclear program. There is no doubt that Israeli pilots will be happy to bomb on the relevant infrastructure of Iran. True, for this it will be necessary to fly over the territory of the SAR and agree with Jordan and Iraq.
But nothing will probably solve the issue. Israelis and Americans know how.
What might a real military operation against Iran look like?
Tehran is strong enough, which we detail told earlier. He has a large army, and the IRGC has 130 well-trained, armed, and motivated fighters. It has its own air force and navy, missile forces. Iranian air defense, although it does not cover the entire territory of the country, has taken a big step forward in its development. More importantly, Iranian soldiers will defend their homeland from the invaders, and no one has canceled the importance of morale.
It is extremely difficult to imagine that Iranian leaders sign an act of surrender somewhere in the trailer, and the victorious American troops are standing near Tehran. So what is Washington counting on?
Some time ago, the Western press reported that the Pentagon could send 120 soldiers to the Middle East. Their goal is clearly the Islamic Republic, but such a contingent is not enough to defeat and bring to the knees of such a strong enemy. But maybe there will be enough of them if we are talking about a military operation with limited goals?
Accidentally or not, the Pentagon published data from the Pentagon under the title “2018 Gulf War Plan in the 80 Edition” in the American media. And this plan of war with Iran looks quite realistic. According to him, the Americans, instead of going to Tehran, will capture only one province of Khuzestan and several coastal cities. Why is Khuzestan? About XNUMX% of the hydrocarbon deposits of the Islamic Republic are located in this province. And ports are necessary for their export. Depriving Tehran of the economic basis of the ruling regime should force the Iranian elites to accept any conditions in Washington.
You can’t refuse American strategists in deceit and subtle calculation. Not only is Khuzestan a “hydrocarbon pantry”, it is also inhabited not only by Persians, but also by ethnic Arabs who can support the interventionists if they promise them sovereignty and a “roof”. The US Air Force will carry everything from the air, from the sea will support the fleet. Next door is Iraq, where the Pentagon has military bases. The mountainous terrain itself will prevent the Iranians from recapturing the province.
In addition, U.S. Israeli allies may be involved. Tel Aviv is completely unnecessary for Tehran and other neighbors to have nuclear weapons. So, in 1981, the Israeli Air Force bombed the Iraqi nuclear reactor, rendering it completely unusable. In 2007, they did the same trick with regard to Syria’s nuclear program. There is no doubt that Israeli pilots will be happy to bomb on the relevant infrastructure of Iran. True, for this it will be necessary to fly over the territory of the SAR and agree with Jordan and Iraq.
But nothing will probably solve the issue. Israelis and Americans know how.
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