Persian “fist": how will Iran respond to US invasion

Apparently, the United States seriously decided to “teach a lesson” to Iran. He has too many hydrocarbons, and he is too independent to possess such wealth, and he wants to get his own nuclear bomb. Previously, the Pentagon sent its aircraft carriers to the shores of the Islamic Republic, now 120 thousand US troops can be deployed to the Persian Gulf region. Does this mean a full-scale US war with Iran, or will Washington try to “punish” Tehran in another way?





The threat is extremely significant: 10 divisions - this is about a quarter of the enlisted personnel of the American army, the most technically equipped in the world. Such a group, with the support of the aviation and navy, is capable of "doing business" and trampling almost any enemy into the Stone Age. However, Iran is a tough nut to crack even very large teeth. This is known in Tehran, promising to give "on the head." What is the Iranian leadership really counting on?

120 thousand “defenders of democracy” will be opposed by a well-trained and armed army of the Islamic Republic, the number of which is about a million people. Plus, the Corps of Guardians of the Islamic Revolution (IRGC), numbering 130 thousand people. All these people are well motivated to defend their country from external aggression, they know the terrain and are adapted to climatic conditions. In the case of ground operations, American interventionists will have a hard time.

Maybe the Pentagon is counting on technical superiority? However, here, too, everything is not entirely unambiguous.

Iran has its own aviation and air defense forces, which number over 3 thousand weapons, including: S-200, S-300, Cube, Tor-M1, Buk Russian-made, as well as local analogues of the 3rd Hordad and SAM Bavar-373. It is possible that Tehran also has electronic warfare systems purchased from friendly countries. All this power is capable of landing American aircraft and cutting through massive salvos of cruise missiles, dramatically reducing their effectiveness. The Islamic Republic also has aviation, although it is of little use for a direct clash with the US Air Force, but it can be used to raid American targets and their allies.

As for the navy, Tehran has 400 combat units, including 33 submarines, and more than two hundred patrol boats. Perhaps by themselves they will not be able to send three US Navy carrier groups to the bottom, but Iranian anti-ship missiles, for example, Khalij Fars, with a range of up to 300 kilometers will help them. Iran also has Nur, Fajr Darya, and Gader copied from the Chinese by RCC Nazir. Yes, the Americans have Aegis, but the question is, to whom ammunition will end first. A sunken aircraft carrier is a terrible blow to the prestige of the United States.

If the Americans nevertheless land and move to Tehran, then they will be met by the Iranian army, which has 1616 units of armored vehicles and 1533 missile launchers. This operation will definitely not be like beating the natives. In addition, Tehran is almost guaranteed to block the Strait of Hormuz, flooding a couple of supertankers in it, and will rigidly drive away anyone who tries to raise the vessels. To do this, there are both missiles and powerful howitzers. The blockade of the strait will inevitably lead to a global energy crisis.

It turns out that 10 divisions will not be enough to defeat Iran, and even occupy it, a country with an 80-million population with the goal of “bringing democracy”. Obviously, this is precisely why the Pentagon announced that 120 soldiers would not participate in the ground operation, but would be stationed in the countries of the Middle East neighboring Iran.

Most likely, missile strikes, if any, will be carried out on key infrastructure facilities in Iran, primarily related to the production and sale of oil. It will blow economic the basis of the ruling regime, which could lead to its change in favor of Washington.