Destroying a US drone: why did Trump back down?
Events around Iran are taking an increasingly unusual turn. After the Iranian air defense shot down an American drone worth two hundred million dollars, everyone was horrified at the start of a new war in the Middle East, which could lead to a global energy crisis.
However, this did not happen. On the contrary, President Trump, in his words, canceled the retaliation strike “10 minutes” before it began and thanked Tehran for the “wise decision” not to bring down the US Air Force plane with 38 troops on board, which followed along with the destroyed UAV. Moreover, he proposed "make Iran great again." What is going on?
Despite the formidable rhetoric about the “inevitability of an attack”, if negotiations are not started, Washington cannot but understand that the Islamic Republic is not a gift militarily. Earlier we told in detailthat the Iranian army has about a million people, the Guard Corps of the Islamic Republic (IRGC) - 130 thousand. These are well-trained and armed people who have received real combat experience in neighboring Syria.
Tehran has its own aircraft, albeit inferior in capabilities to the US Air Force, and the Navy. In addition, Iran has its own air defense system, covering the country's most important facilities. Yes, it does not provide complete protection of the sky from “American hawks,” but the Islamic Republic is not an easy target for airstrikes, and the “birds” are guaranteed to fall.
And Tehran did not waste time in vain and was actively developing its missile program. Iran now has medium- and shorter-range cruise missiles that are capable of hitting targets in neighboring states allied to the United States. Moreover, the Iranian military directly stated that they were able to sink the American aircraft carriers sent by the Pentagon to the region.
Together, the US clash with the Islamic Republic is fraught with heavy casualties for the interventionists. The flood of coffins covered with star-striped flags and the sunken aircraft carrier of the US Navy will not be the best backdrop for the Donald Trump election campaign, which he officially announced the other day.
So how, then, is it necessary to understand President Trump’s unexpected peacefulness, which canceled the strike “in 10 minutes”?
If you recall who Trump himself is, a lot of things become more clear. Before us is a very rational, experienced and practical businessman. IN policy he behaves like in the world of big business: at first he “runs into” hard, then he goes on to negotiations and makes some concessions.
What does Donald Trump want? A word to himself:
Actually, this is almost the whole truth. The President of the United States withdrew from the first "nuclear deal" to conclude a new one, on terms more favorable to Washington. An additional bonus this time will be the requirement to reduce or completely curtail Iran’s military presence in the region: Syria, Yemen, etc. Tehran’s activity in these areas scares US allies Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Israel.
To better think the Iranian leadership, Washington imposed a ban on the purchase of oil, which put Tehran on the path leading to an economic collapse. Plans to transfer 120 US troops to the Middle East should spur the thinking processes of the ruling elite in Tehran.
If the logic of reasoning is correct, then we have before us the usual game of raising rates. Both the United States and Iran have serious trump cards up their sleeve. A military solution is not ruled out, but probably less than some new “deal”.
However, this did not happen. On the contrary, President Trump, in his words, canceled the retaliation strike “10 minutes” before it began and thanked Tehran for the “wise decision” not to bring down the US Air Force plane with 38 troops on board, which followed along with the destroyed UAV. Moreover, he proposed "make Iran great again." What is going on?
Too tough a nut?
Despite the formidable rhetoric about the “inevitability of an attack”, if negotiations are not started, Washington cannot but understand that the Islamic Republic is not a gift militarily. Earlier we told in detailthat the Iranian army has about a million people, the Guard Corps of the Islamic Republic (IRGC) - 130 thousand. These are well-trained and armed people who have received real combat experience in neighboring Syria.
Tehran has its own aircraft, albeit inferior in capabilities to the US Air Force, and the Navy. In addition, Iran has its own air defense system, covering the country's most important facilities. Yes, it does not provide complete protection of the sky from “American hawks,” but the Islamic Republic is not an easy target for airstrikes, and the “birds” are guaranteed to fall.
And Tehran did not waste time in vain and was actively developing its missile program. Iran now has medium- and shorter-range cruise missiles that are capable of hitting targets in neighboring states allied to the United States. Moreover, the Iranian military directly stated that they were able to sink the American aircraft carriers sent by the Pentagon to the region.
Together, the US clash with the Islamic Republic is fraught with heavy casualties for the interventionists. The flood of coffins covered with star-striped flags and the sunken aircraft carrier of the US Navy will not be the best backdrop for the Donald Trump election campaign, which he officially announced the other day.
Nobody wanted a war?
So how, then, is it necessary to understand President Trump’s unexpected peacefulness, which canceled the strike “in 10 minutes”?
If you recall who Trump himself is, a lot of things become more clear. Before us is a very rational, experienced and practical businessman. IN policy he behaves like in the world of big business: at first he “runs into” hard, then he goes on to negotiations and makes some concessions.
What does Donald Trump want? A word to himself:
We do not intend to allow Iran to have nuclear weapons. When they agree to this, they will have a rich country. They will be very happy, and I will become their best friend. I hope this happens.
Actually, this is almost the whole truth. The President of the United States withdrew from the first "nuclear deal" to conclude a new one, on terms more favorable to Washington. An additional bonus this time will be the requirement to reduce or completely curtail Iran’s military presence in the region: Syria, Yemen, etc. Tehran’s activity in these areas scares US allies Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Israel.
To better think the Iranian leadership, Washington imposed a ban on the purchase of oil, which put Tehran on the path leading to an economic collapse. Plans to transfer 120 US troops to the Middle East should spur the thinking processes of the ruling elite in Tehran.
If the logic of reasoning is correct, then we have before us the usual game of raising rates. Both the United States and Iran have serious trump cards up their sleeve. A military solution is not ruled out, but probably less than some new “deal”.
Information