Between two fires: Russia may be drawn into the war between Israel and Iran
In Syria, where everything seemed to begin to gradually subside, there was a reason for another war. Israel, which received the Golan Heights previously occupied by the United States as a “gift”, is extremely tough against its “number one enemy” in the region, Iran, gaining ground in Syria. And he made a “horseback move”, agreeing with Damascus to open his base on the Syrian Mediterranean coast, in the hometown of President Bashar al-Assad Latakia.
The fact that the operator company will change in the port of Latakia from October 1, 2019, and the Iranians will replace the French, we already told earlier. This project is de facto presented by Tehran as the opening of its own sea gate in the Mediterranean, which is extremely important for the oil-producing Islamic Republic, which the US and its allies are trying to isolate in every way.
Iran does not have its access to the Mediterranean Sea, does not even have a common border with Syria. Therefore, Tehran, Baghdad and Damascus recently concluded an agreement according to which the railways of the three countries will be connected to a common network. This will create a single transport corridor, which the Russian Federation will be able to use, since it has sea links with Iran through the Caspian. In fact, this is a strategically important and beneficial infrastructure project for its participants.
However, such an initiative certainly cannot be approved in Tel Aviv and Washington. The US and Israel expressly declare their intentions to squeeze Iran out of Syria. Today, according to some estimates, about 12 thousand soldiers of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), who all these years supported the regime of Bashar al-Assad, can be in the SAR. It is very likely that Latakia will become not only a civilian, but also a military outpost of Tehran in Syria. The appearance of Iran’s naval base on the Mediterranean coast could spark a new war in Syria.
The United States of America has already put ideological justification under it, designating the IRGC as terrorists. Israel doesn’t write any laws at all, it simply bombes the neighboring sovereign state of Syria without declaring war. Just the other day, Israeli pilots tested their new Rampage missile in action, destroying a research center in the city of Masyaf, where experts from North Korea and our allied Belarus were supposedly working at that moment.
There is a reasonable assumption that Latakia, a peaceful city with a half-million population, will begin to be attacked by the Israeli Air Force after the arrival of Iranian forces there. The Israelis and Americans may have “precision missiles,” but they don’t ask for passports before hitting their victims and they will kill both the Iranian military and the peaceful Syrians. It is obvious that the IRGC will not calmly look at it and will organize its air defense system over Latakia. This will naturally lead to the downing of enemy aircraft and further escalation of the conflict.
The big question is how to behave the Russian military contingent, which is deployed at the air base in Khmeimim, located just a few tens of kilometers from Latakia. The likelihood of another incident sharply increases, such as when, due to a provocative maneuver by an Israeli pilot, the Il-20 was killed with all the Russian troops on board. As a result, Iran’s attempt to gain a foothold on the Mediterranean coast could lead to another serious military conflict, in which Russia may be involved, trying to stay away from the “showdown” of Iran and Israel.
The fact that the operator company will change in the port of Latakia from October 1, 2019, and the Iranians will replace the French, we already told earlier. This project is de facto presented by Tehran as the opening of its own sea gate in the Mediterranean, which is extremely important for the oil-producing Islamic Republic, which the US and its allies are trying to isolate in every way.
Iran does not have its access to the Mediterranean Sea, does not even have a common border with Syria. Therefore, Tehran, Baghdad and Damascus recently concluded an agreement according to which the railways of the three countries will be connected to a common network. This will create a single transport corridor, which the Russian Federation will be able to use, since it has sea links with Iran through the Caspian. In fact, this is a strategically important and beneficial infrastructure project for its participants.
However, such an initiative certainly cannot be approved in Tel Aviv and Washington. The US and Israel expressly declare their intentions to squeeze Iran out of Syria. Today, according to some estimates, about 12 thousand soldiers of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), who all these years supported the regime of Bashar al-Assad, can be in the SAR. It is very likely that Latakia will become not only a civilian, but also a military outpost of Tehran in Syria. The appearance of Iran’s naval base on the Mediterranean coast could spark a new war in Syria.
The United States of America has already put ideological justification under it, designating the IRGC as terrorists. Israel doesn’t write any laws at all, it simply bombes the neighboring sovereign state of Syria without declaring war. Just the other day, Israeli pilots tested their new Rampage missile in action, destroying a research center in the city of Masyaf, where experts from North Korea and our allied Belarus were supposedly working at that moment.
There is a reasonable assumption that Latakia, a peaceful city with a half-million population, will begin to be attacked by the Israeli Air Force after the arrival of Iranian forces there. The Israelis and Americans may have “precision missiles,” but they don’t ask for passports before hitting their victims and they will kill both the Iranian military and the peaceful Syrians. It is obvious that the IRGC will not calmly look at it and will organize its air defense system over Latakia. This will naturally lead to the downing of enemy aircraft and further escalation of the conflict.
The big question is how to behave the Russian military contingent, which is deployed at the air base in Khmeimim, located just a few tens of kilometers from Latakia. The likelihood of another incident sharply increases, such as when, due to a provocative maneuver by an Israeli pilot, the Il-20 was killed with all the Russian troops on board. As a result, Iran’s attempt to gain a foothold on the Mediterranean coast could lead to another serious military conflict, in which Russia may be involved, trying to stay away from the “showdown” of Iran and Israel.
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