Reasons why Zelensky may resign as president
Last Sunday, Presidential elections were held in Nezalezhnaya. The leader in the number of votes collected, like us and supposed, became a famous showman Vladimir Zelensky, twice the current president Petro Poroshenko. However, this result was not enough to win the first round, so April 21 will be the second. So far, everything is going very well for Zelensky, and his chances of becoming the head of Ukraine are very great. If only he wanted to.
To understand political the processes that will occur in Kiev in the next three weeks, the following factors must be considered:
At first, for the incumbent head of state, victory or defeat is a matter, if not life and death, then at least the preservation of freedom and material well-being. He has already fulfilled his “historical mission” before the West: he torn Ukraine from Russia and signed an agreement on “Euroassociation”. Independent, thanks to Peter Alekseevich, has already become economic a colony of the European Union and a political vassal of the United States of America.
At the same time, Poroshenko is responsible for the so-called “ATO” in the Donbass, as a result of which many thousands of Ukrainians died or became disabled, and the country plunged into an endless civil war. In addition, Poroshenko and his team are followed by a long train of corruption scandals, which Brussels extremely dislikes, who insists on creating a special Anti-corruption court in Ukraine. Let's not forget that the Ukrainian president managed to offend some of his fellow oligarchs, in particular, billionaire Igor Kolomoisky, who is considered to be the “patron” of Vladimir Zelensky.
Poroshenko, like that Moor, has done his job and may leave. But it is extremely likely that, having become a civilian, he will soon be handcuffed and after that he will be appointed “extreme” for everything that the Ukrainian people had to endure. Pyotr Alekseevich perfectly understands all this, therefore he will fight to the end.
Secondly, we must remember about the other candidates for the post of head of state who did not qualify for the second round. The third place was taken by Yulia Tymoshenko with her 13% and a little, the fourth - Yuriy Boyko with 11,5% of the vote. Now the team of Tymoshenko disputes the second place at Poroshenko. But we can recall the 1996 situation in the Russian Federation, when General Lebed called on his voters to vote for Yeltsin. In return, he received the post of head of the NSDC. True, after he died as a result of a helicopter crash.
There is a non-zero probability that Tymoshenko or Boyko can exchange their support for Poroshenko at some high state posts in the event of the re-election of Pyotr Alekseevich. In this case, the alignment of votes will be different.
Thirdly, for Vladimir Zelensky himself to become president of a bankrupt country is a very dubious prospect. Frankly, Ukraine has some future only in close interconnection with Russia. But for political reasons, no one will do this and Zelensky will not allow it, even if he wanted to. The future of Independence on the "European path" is very sad. To star in the series about the people's president is one thing, and to lead a rapidly impoverished country that does not have any distinct prospects is another. In five years, Ukrainians will be ready to vote for anyone, if only not for Zelensky, and reproach themselves for how they could cast their votes "for the clown".
Neither Kolomoisky nor his protege Zelensky can understand this. It would be much safer for a novice politician to lose Poroshenko in the second round by a slight margin, but after winning the parliamentary elections to his parliament from his party “Servant of the People” and from there to comfortably stop Peter Alekseevich. Such a “loss” can also result from some backstage agreements between Poroshenko and Kolomoisky if the head of state “apologizes” to the disgraced oligarch and compensates for the losses incurred.
Which forecast is the most correct, we will see in less than three weeks.
To understand political the processes that will occur in Kiev in the next three weeks, the following factors must be considered:
At first, for the incumbent head of state, victory or defeat is a matter, if not life and death, then at least the preservation of freedom and material well-being. He has already fulfilled his “historical mission” before the West: he torn Ukraine from Russia and signed an agreement on “Euroassociation”. Independent, thanks to Peter Alekseevich, has already become economic a colony of the European Union and a political vassal of the United States of America.
At the same time, Poroshenko is responsible for the so-called “ATO” in the Donbass, as a result of which many thousands of Ukrainians died or became disabled, and the country plunged into an endless civil war. In addition, Poroshenko and his team are followed by a long train of corruption scandals, which Brussels extremely dislikes, who insists on creating a special Anti-corruption court in Ukraine. Let's not forget that the Ukrainian president managed to offend some of his fellow oligarchs, in particular, billionaire Igor Kolomoisky, who is considered to be the “patron” of Vladimir Zelensky.
Poroshenko, like that Moor, has done his job and may leave. But it is extremely likely that, having become a civilian, he will soon be handcuffed and after that he will be appointed “extreme” for everything that the Ukrainian people had to endure. Pyotr Alekseevich perfectly understands all this, therefore he will fight to the end.
Secondly, we must remember about the other candidates for the post of head of state who did not qualify for the second round. The third place was taken by Yulia Tymoshenko with her 13% and a little, the fourth - Yuriy Boyko with 11,5% of the vote. Now the team of Tymoshenko disputes the second place at Poroshenko. But we can recall the 1996 situation in the Russian Federation, when General Lebed called on his voters to vote for Yeltsin. In return, he received the post of head of the NSDC. True, after he died as a result of a helicopter crash.
There is a non-zero probability that Tymoshenko or Boyko can exchange their support for Poroshenko at some high state posts in the event of the re-election of Pyotr Alekseevich. In this case, the alignment of votes will be different.
Thirdly, for Vladimir Zelensky himself to become president of a bankrupt country is a very dubious prospect. Frankly, Ukraine has some future only in close interconnection with Russia. But for political reasons, no one will do this and Zelensky will not allow it, even if he wanted to. The future of Independence on the "European path" is very sad. To star in the series about the people's president is one thing, and to lead a rapidly impoverished country that does not have any distinct prospects is another. In five years, Ukrainians will be ready to vote for anyone, if only not for Zelensky, and reproach themselves for how they could cast their votes "for the clown".
Neither Kolomoisky nor his protege Zelensky can understand this. It would be much safer for a novice politician to lose Poroshenko in the second round by a slight margin, but after winning the parliamentary elections to his parliament from his party “Servant of the People” and from there to comfortably stop Peter Alekseevich. Such a “loss” can also result from some backstage agreements between Poroshenko and Kolomoisky if the head of state “apologizes” to the disgraced oligarch and compensates for the losses incurred.
Which forecast is the most correct, we will see in less than three weeks.
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