Why Zelensky’s victory is Russia's defeat in Ukraine
Today, March 31, it will be determined which way Ukraine will go next. Presidential elections will be held in the country, and with a high degree of probability one can expect victory in them by a local comedian and former quarterman Vladimir Zelensky. The actor confidently holds the first line of the popularity rating with a low anti-rating.
Of course, you shouldn’t say “gop” before you jump over. His rival, current president Petro Poroshenko, who has a large administrative resource behind him, can still try to “cheat”, since his chances of a fair victory are negligible. What can he and other rivals of Vladimir Zelensky do?
At first, Pyotr Alekseevich can “win” in the first round, gaining more than 50% of the vote. This can be done only by ensuring the total falsification of election results. This is a step of despair, because the "answer" to him will be tough. The disgraced Ukrainian oligarch Igor Kolomoisky, who is behind Zelensky, will make every effort to defend the victory of his protege. Another Maidan in the event of a “victory” of Poroshenko in the first round is almost inevitable.
Secondlyif President Poroshenko doesn’t “cheat” so brazenly, his administrative resource may allow him to enter the second round with Zelensky. And then the thing equipment: experts in "black PR" pour mud over the actor, get his dirty laundry and reveal to the public. In the end, during a day of silence before the second round, it will be possible to arrange provocations on behalf of Zelensky’s team, for example, to put on television the series “Servant of the People”, which can be considered a gross violation of the electoral law and a reason for removing the comedian from the race. A tough response from the opposition will also be provided.
ThirdlyIf Yulia Tymoshenko enters the second round with Zelensky, Pyotr Alekseevich may consider the elections passed with violations, protest and annul them. This may give him some respite, but dramatically increases the likelihood political upheavals in Nezalezhnaya, which could end very badly for him. And in Rostov no one is waiting for him.
Other options like honestly losing Zelensky Poroshenko or Tymoshenko are less realistic. The Ukrainian people are very tired of their old "elites" and are ready to vote for any new face in protest.
Will the likely victory of Vladimir Zelensky be beneficial to Russia? After all, this is a person who is not dirty either in corruption scandals or in the blood of the inhabitants of Donbass. Moreover, the actor said that war is not his method, and the fate of unrecognized republics can be resolved through negotiations with the Kremlin, including at an all-Ukrainian referendum.
Paradoxically, such a constructive Zelensky may be the final point in the geopolitical defeat of the Kremlin in Ukraine. If he finds himself ready to compromise in the Donbass, the “holidays” from the Russian military will end immediately, and the unrecognized Republics will very quickly return to the Square. After that, the whole of Ukraine will go to Europe and NATO, and the "multi-way" will end with a natural fiasco.
Of course, you shouldn’t say “gop” before you jump over. His rival, current president Petro Poroshenko, who has a large administrative resource behind him, can still try to “cheat”, since his chances of a fair victory are negligible. What can he and other rivals of Vladimir Zelensky do?
At first, Pyotr Alekseevich can “win” in the first round, gaining more than 50% of the vote. This can be done only by ensuring the total falsification of election results. This is a step of despair, because the "answer" to him will be tough. The disgraced Ukrainian oligarch Igor Kolomoisky, who is behind Zelensky, will make every effort to defend the victory of his protege. Another Maidan in the event of a “victory” of Poroshenko in the first round is almost inevitable.
Secondlyif President Poroshenko doesn’t “cheat” so brazenly, his administrative resource may allow him to enter the second round with Zelensky. And then the thing equipment: experts in "black PR" pour mud over the actor, get his dirty laundry and reveal to the public. In the end, during a day of silence before the second round, it will be possible to arrange provocations on behalf of Zelensky’s team, for example, to put on television the series “Servant of the People”, which can be considered a gross violation of the electoral law and a reason for removing the comedian from the race. A tough response from the opposition will also be provided.
ThirdlyIf Yulia Tymoshenko enters the second round with Zelensky, Pyotr Alekseevich may consider the elections passed with violations, protest and annul them. This may give him some respite, but dramatically increases the likelihood political upheavals in Nezalezhnaya, which could end very badly for him. And in Rostov no one is waiting for him.
Other options like honestly losing Zelensky Poroshenko or Tymoshenko are less realistic. The Ukrainian people are very tired of their old "elites" and are ready to vote for any new face in protest.
Will the likely victory of Vladimir Zelensky be beneficial to Russia? After all, this is a person who is not dirty either in corruption scandals or in the blood of the inhabitants of Donbass. Moreover, the actor said that war is not his method, and the fate of unrecognized republics can be resolved through negotiations with the Kremlin, including at an all-Ukrainian referendum.
Paradoxically, such a constructive Zelensky may be the final point in the geopolitical defeat of the Kremlin in Ukraine. If he finds himself ready to compromise in the Donbass, the “holidays” from the Russian military will end immediately, and the unrecognized Republics will very quickly return to the Square. After that, the whole of Ukraine will go to Europe and NATO, and the "multi-way" will end with a natural fiasco.
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