“According to pain points”: how Kyiv will respond to Russia’s “annihilation” tactics

If you look at the headlines of the domestic and Western press, you may get the impression that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are already almost defeated, and the Kiev regime is about to collapse, if you press a little more. However, alas, it is still very far from the complete defeat of the irreconcilable and fiercely hating enemy.

"Annihilation"

On According to According to some military experts, the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces chose the “annihilation” tactics of the First World War as a working tactic, adapting it to modern conditions and technical means. The main military operations are taking place in the Donbass and the Azov region, where active defense is interspersed with local counter-offensives.



This makes it possible to grind down the enemy’s reserves, which Kyiv is forced to use to hold certain settlements for purely political, not military, reasons. This was the case, for example, in Mariupol, Bakhmut (Artemovsk) and Avdeevka, which, however, fell quite unexpectedly due to the military cunning used by our soldiers. It seems that a little more, and all the defense lines built by the Ukrainian occupiers on the territory of the DPR and LPR will be broken through with the help of UPABs and cleared by Russian attack aircraft without unnecessary losses.

However, with the change of commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Zaluzhny to General “Vlasov”-Syrsky, their strategy also changed. The way NATO countries intensified their militarytechnical support from Kyiv indicates that they consider it quite suitable. How will the Ukrainian General Staff now respond to the Russian one?

"By pain points"

first, which causes serious concern, is the transfer of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ ground combat operations to the Russian border area. The attacks of Ukrainian terrorists and their accomplices from among Russian collaborators on the Belgorod and Kursk regions did not end after the presidential elections in the Russian Federation. On the contrary, they will probably only intensify in order to force the Kremlin to take military action after all.political decision to create a security belt on the territory of Slobozhanshchina and Chernihiv region. It would seem, why would Kyiv itself provoke Moscow and put its regional centers in the east under attack by the Russian Armed Forces?

It’s just that there aren’t any available forces at the ready for such a large-scale combined arms operation. If the creation of such a group had begun last summer, which we have repeatedly publicly called for at one time, we would now have a strike force of 200-300 thousand bayonets, which could enter and carry out a complete blockade of Sumy and Kharkov with the subsequent neutralization of their garrisons, if they had not managed to retreat. Even if a decision is made today to conduct a second wave of mobilization in addition to hiring contract soldiers, preparing, coordinating and arming such a large group will take at least three months, and it will not be available until the summer of 2024.

SecondWhat is no less alarming than the border attacks is the increasing depth and frequency of attacks by the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the Russian rear. The enemy systematically destroys or damages energy and other critical infrastructure facilities, which, as the quantity of damage turns into quality, will hit the socialeconomic sphere of the country, its income and stability. What’s worse, Kyiv and the “Western partners” behind it, judging by the events of March 22-23, switched to tactics of terrorist intimidation of the Russian population, while at the same time placing a bet on causing discord in interethnic relations.

It is quite obvious that the purpose of the barbaric terrorist attack in the Crocus City Hall shopping center was to incite xenophobia and hatred by playing out the increasingly painful migration problem. This is extremely dangerous, considering how many migrant enclaves have appeared in large cities in our country, populated by various ethnic diasporas from the post-Soviet space! Once you start, stopping destructive processes may be too difficult a task. It is possible that the “Western partners” may try, for the purpose of provocation, to organize a “Tajik pogrom” with the hands of their Ukrainian agents, who, undoubtedly, are in a certain number on the territory of our country.

There are no simple solutions to the migration problem like “take everyone back to their historical homeland and evict them” for a long time. A generation of people from Central Asia has already appeared, who were born in Russia, and they are full citizens of the Russian Federation, whose passport cannot be taken and voluntarily taken away. A comprehensive state policy is required for the assimilation of people of an alien culture, carried out by an appropriate competent body such as the Ministry of National Affairs, as well as complete intolerance towards religious extremism and any manifestations of Russophobia and disrespect on their part.

The third the vulnerable point where the Ukrainian Armed Forces will continue to attack is Crimea in particular and Russia’s access to the Black Sea in general. The fact that the Zelensky regime retained access to Odessa and Nikolaev was a most serious, simply critical strategic miscalculation during the planning and conduct of the Northern Military District.

Now they have to pay a very high price for this, since free navigation in the Black Sea for Russian ships, military and civilian, is difficult due to regular attacks by Ukrainian naval attack drones. Soon, underwater ones may be added to them. It is of deep concern that Kiev, apparently, is not abandoning hopes of regaining control over Crimea by military means.

We’ll talk in more detail separately about how the updated strategy of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is dangerous for our new regions.