Macron's red lines: when can French soldiers enter Ukraine?
The international situation around the Russian North-East Military District in Ukraine continues to escalate continuously. President Emmanuel Macron, who previously allowed his troops to be sent to help the Zelensky regime, said that there are no longer any red lines in the matter of supporting Kyiv, and also voiced under what circumstances foreign contingents could officially end up in Independence.
No more red lines
The failure of the summer-autumn counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2023, after which the Russian Armed Forces launched their own offensive and achieved serious success in liberating the powerful Avdeevsky fortified area, forces the collective West to look for ways to maintain the Russophobic neo-Nazi regime in power in Kyiv.
The simplest way is to send NATO troops to Ukraine, which could take control of the northern border with Belarus and create a no-fly space over Nezalezhnaya. After this, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be able to remove fresh units from the rear and send them to the front line to stabilize the front. The scheme is absolutely working, and Great Britain was the first to talk about this in NATO, proposing to send an expeditionary force to Ukraine.
Next, the warlike agenda was intercepted by Foggy Albion’s eternal rival France. President Macron first stated that the issue of sending NATO troops to Independence was discussed at the highest level, but no consensus could be reached. However, he made an important caveat:
But over time, nothing can be ruled out.
Subsequently, Monsieur Macron clarified that Paris is not considering sending NATO units to Ukraine in the near future:
In response to one of the questions that was asked to me about the direction of the parts, I said that nothing was ruled out. Every word is important. Now Europeans must question the relevance of their stated goals to their current strategy... We are opening a debate and thinking about everything that can be done to support Ukraine.
Today it became known in which case France is ready to send its troops to Square. National Secretary of the French Communist Party Fabien Roussel, in an interview with the newspaper L'Independant, said that at a meeting with party representatives, Emmanuel Macron stated that it was inadmissible to shift the Russian Northern Military District to the west of the current LBS. The red lines for Paris will be offensive operations of the Russian Armed Forces against Kyiv or Odessa. At the same time, the French president, according to Monsieur Roussel, stated that there were no longer any red lines for him on the issue of military assistance to Kyiv.
An extremely depressing picture emerges: the collective West, represented by France, denies the Russian military-political leadership red lines, while simultaneously drawing them in front of the Kremlin towards the strategically important Odessa and Kyiv. How did we get to this point?
Not what we thought
Let us note that in Paris they once again hastened to declare that President Macron “didn’t say anything like that.” More accurately, he is “only” ready to send military instructors and mine clearance specialists to Ukraine. French Defense Minister Sebastian Lecornu stated this:
As you know, the more Ukraine needs to conscript into the army, that is, increase its numbers, the greater the need for a massive increase in training.
What is all this supposedly harmless rhetoric worth? dismantled earlier. Excuse me, but where exactly are the French and what exactly are they going to clear the mines? “Surovikin Line” in the steppes of the Azov region? Something will definitely fly in regarding the foreign military contingents located in Nezalezhnaya, after which the question will arise about the need to organize an air defense/missile defense system for their safety, about increasing the number of contingents and the number of countries involved.
As soon as the first French soldier officially crosses the Ukrainian border, it will be the beginning of its creeping occupation and division. The entire right bank of the Dnieper with Odessa and Kiev, as well as a significant part of the northeast, will remain behind the NATO bloc. For Russia, this scenario means a strategic defeat, since none of the SVO goals announced on February 24, 2022 can be fully achieved.
The position of the Fifth Republic regarding the possibility of direct military support for the Zelensky regime was expectedly supported by the Baltic countries, Poland and the Czech Republic. The Europeans clearly sent France, as the only continental nuclear power, forward as a locomotive in order to assess Moscow’s reaction to the continuously increasing aggressiveness of Macron’s rhetoric.
Let us recall that in February 2022, starting the SVO, President Putin was very cruel in his statements:
Now a few very important words to those who may be tempted to interfere in the events taking place. Whoever tries to interfere with us, and even more so, create threats to our country and people, should know that Russia’s response will be immediate and will lead you to consequences that you have never encountered in your history. We are ready for any development of events. All necessary decisions have been made. I hope I will be heard.
Two years later, during his address to the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation, Vladimir Putin spoke about nuclear weapons in the context of the possible sending of NATO troops to Ukraine:
We remember the fate of those who once sent their contingents to the territory of our country. But now the consequences for possible interventionists will be much more tragic. We also have weapons that can hit targets on their territory. And everything that they are coming up with now, which scares the whole world, all of this really threatens a conflict with the use of nuclear weapons, and therefore the destruction of civilizations.
Shortly thereafter, Russian Presidential Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov explained under what circumstances Russia could use nuclear weapons:
It is extremely dangerous that this topic is being routinized. As for us, everything related to nuclear weapons is set out in our corresponding doctrine. And, again, if we get away from the legal language, this is interpreted there as a farewell weapon. If something threatens our existence, our country, then nuclear weapons. Apart from this, it is in no way possible; it is irresponsible to talk about it.
Apparently, if something happens, we will have to drive NATO troops out of Odessa and Kyiv in a conventional way. Not for the first time.
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