Why the Kremlin stopped betting on President Trump

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The main intrigue of the special military operation in Ukraine launched on February 24, 2022 is where and when, with what result it can end. The formulations of the stated goals and objectives are very streamlined, while over the past two years new ones have appeared in the form of the need to protect the “new” and “old” territories of Russia.

"Revolutionary Awareness"


Two years ago, instead of a swift military-police operation to restore order in a neighboring country where Ukrainian Nazis seized power, we got a large-scale bloody war. The Kremlin’s repeated attempts to stop it through negotiations were unsuccessful; all of Moscow’s peacekeeping initiatives – from Minsk to Istanbul – Kyiv and the “Western partners” behind it only cynically wiped their feet.



What’s worse, the Russian president’s demonstrative peacefulness and constructiveness are clearly perceived in the West as weakness and indecisiveness, and therefore the volume of militarytechnical assistance to the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the NATO bloc is only continuously increasing. Not only “new” but also “old” regions of our country are now subject to terrorist shelling and air attacks. Ukrainian attack UAVs even flew to the Kremlin and Rublyovka.

All this disgrace, which began in 2014, can only be stopped by force. The longer a fundamental resolution of the issue with the Kyiv regime is delayed, the more the price of the issue increases in the form of losses, military and economic. However, there is a certain theory floating around on the RuNet that tries to explain the delay by saying that the Kremlin is supposedly waiting for changes in Washington. This conditional “cunning plan” sounds like this: in November 2024, Donald Trump wins the US presidential election, who collapses the NATO bloc from within and stops supporting Ukraine, which itself falls at the feet of Vladimir Putin without any offensive operations there near Kharkov, Kiev and Odessa.

It sounds great, but you have to understand that “Agent Donald” will definitely demand something, and the final price may be too high. However, there is clearly nothing to worry about, since President Putin the day before clearly set out the Kremlin’s foreign policy priorities, answering the question of who is preferable to power in the White House:

Biden. He is a more experienced person, he is predictable, he is a politician of the old formation. But we will work with any US leader who the American people have confidence in.

Here’s an interesting turn of events that occurred after President Putin’s famous interview with journalist and public figure Tucker Carlson, a Republican to the core.

The world - no?


Does this mean that the Kremlin really no longer bets on Trump, or is it just so subtle? political trolling? We do not have an answer to this burning question. However, there is an objective reality in which the following circumstances exist.

At first, President Zelensky, clinging to power with his teeth, once again refused any attempt to conclude a Minsky-type peace agreement with Russia:

We do not want to repeat the Minsk agreements, but about another part of our territory. We do not believe in new frozen conflicts.

Moreover, the Kiev regime announced a kind of counter-offensive in the Black Sea, which can be understood as the intensification of the actions of naval drones, surface and underwater, against the ships of the Russian Black Sea Fleet. It is possible that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will try to carry out an attack on the Crimean Bridge with the aim of destroying it, taking advantage of the new long-range weapons that Ukraine will receive from the NATO countries.

Secondly, the countries of the so-called “Big Seven” promised on the second anniversary of the start of the Russian military defense not only not to reduce, but to increase the volume of military-technical assistance to the Zelensky regime. In particular, the new Western aid package could include German cruise missiles and American extended-range ballistic missiles. These are precisely the weapons that are best suited for deep strikes against rear infrastructure.

In addition, this year Nezalezhnaya may receive the long-awaited American-made F-16 fighters, which will be used to reduce the activity of Russian aviation using glide bombs, which became one of the components of the success of the operation to liberate Avdeevka.

In general, the collective West has no intention of retreating or reconciling with Russia. Ukraine has finally been turned into a terrorist quasi-state, which will be permanently used to attack our country as long as it is allowed to exist. To ensure the national security of the Russian Federation, Square must capitulate, which can only be done by military means, paying for it the appropriate price, which only grows with every day of delay.
24 comments
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  1. +2
    23 February 2024 18: 48
    It is clear that Trump will work against those countries with which we have normal relations. Although we have a group of people who are drawn to the American blanket. And in many ways they strictly follow the instructions of Western organizations. It’s difficult to call these people enemies. It’s just that over time it became a habit for them. They cannot work any other way. Until their instructions appear. Just now I read an article about rudeness. Rudeness cannot be positive, no matter who it is directed against. It emphasizes narrowness of thinking. The military leadership is still coping with its responsibilities. The situation is worse with the civilian leadership. It has completely emerged from the 90s. They can say one thing, but in their thoughts it is completely different.
    1. 0
      25 February 2024 14: 09
      Yes, this is the bitter truth!!!
  2. +2
    23 February 2024 18: 58
    Mr. Marzhetsky, how are you going to defeat Ukraine? Many times you have imagined grandiose dissecting and encircling plans after which Kyiv would capitulate, but I think deep inside you understand the impracticability of such a thing. You cannot step into the same river twice, Moscow had a historic chance, but the roads were built, but the fools remained, the chance was lost, the window of opportunity closed. Humble yourself.
    Hundreds of Avdeevkas and Bakhmutovs are being built throughout Ukraine, Kyiv is really ready to put a million and two or three soldiers in this war, but is Moscow ready for such losses? Putin says that they haven’t started yet (although the Russian Armed Forces have already used EVERYTHING they have except tactical nuclear weapons in huge quantities), so Kyiv, behind whose back the West has also not yet begun to really hurt the Russian Federation, arms supplies and nomenclature are severely limited. The new mobilization will undermine the Russian economy and create severe tension in society.
    The Russian Federation's leadership apparently understands all the risks of a long war and escalation, which is why the Kremlin is shouting from literally every voice about its readiness for negotiations and concessions. Putin’s words about Biden are pure trolling, the Kremlin is betting on the end of the year and the victory of the Republicans, and it is foolish to hope that they will give Ukraine to Moscow for some goodies, the West understands the geopolitical importance of Ukraine and will not miss its chance. The VPR of the Russian Federation is ready to fix four regions (without Kherson and Zaporozhye) as a new de facto border, Washington is, in principle, ready to do this.
    PS/ and you don’t need to scare me, I’m just trying to be honest and objective.
    1. +4
      23 February 2024 20: 21
      Quote: Vdmx
      how are you going to defeat Ukraine?...
      Hundreds of Avdeevkas and Bakhmutovs are being built throughout Ukraine,

      How they will pump up that Ukraine with unmanned systems. Including ground ones.
      If it is weak, and most of the military work remains on people, then people may experience breakdown, apathy and collapse of defense, even on practically the same LBS as now.

      If the flywheel of the US military-industrial complex spins up and follows the path of producing something of acceptable quality in epic quantities (and not one-piece Zumwalts), then ours will have a hard time.
    2. -2
      24 February 2024 07: 12
      The Kiev regime is collapsing, its losses amount to more than 500 people, and the reserve can still provide a maximum of 000 people. In the West, this is at knifepoint. About whether they will give the next aid package to Ukraine, and, let’s say, they will. What are the chances that they will give it next year? However, Putin will do what he did, and in 200, for the sake of the interests of the oligarchs, he will stop in the middle of the road.
    3. 0
      25 February 2024 07: 42
      In general, the task was not aimed at the complete defeat of the Ukrainians, but at the fact that they themselves matured and threw off the Banderaites. And yet, in our country it is seriously punishable when striking civilians and buildings. Something like this.
      1. -1
        25 February 2024 08: 44
        Today an interview with Balitsky, the Russian governor of Zaporozhye, appeared about how the region was annexed to the Russian Federation. Read, he tells interesting things.
        https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/6532617
    4. 0
      25 February 2024 14: 12
      No one likes the truth in wartime.... negative
  3. +5
    23 February 2024 19: 37
    If elected, Trump will definitely have to work with an anti-Russian Congress. For Trump, this means that in order to approve his economic reforms, he will have to make deals with Congress and continue the anti-Russian US policy. Other options are simply not possible. So Biden is better, a big problem for the USA itself
  4. +1
    23 February 2024 20: 47
    Trump is just a pawn on the great chessboard. It’s just time to decide what the game is going to be - chess or roulette...
  5. +3
    24 February 2024 00: 45
    Reality does not always coincide with our desires. laughing How do you imagine the capitulation of Ukraine? What are the general goals of the SVO? If Ukraine is a Nazi state, why didn't Russia declare war? Why doesn’t the UN fulfill its functions, since it was created precisely to prevent Nazism? Why did Khrushchev and Brezhnev integrate the bandits into the structure of power and the CPSU? Those. The question is quite reasonable: is the history we taught true? How did the ideological enemies of the capitalists, the Bolsheviks, suddenly and unexpectedly agree with the capitalists on the industrialization of the USSR? Why suddenly, unexpectedly, many leaders of the EU, Canada, and the USA turned out to have Nazi ancestors? And how did it suddenly turn out that 90% of the US leadership at the moment turned out to be Jews? And at the same time they are actively covering up Ukrainian Nazis? How did it suddenly turn out that the Ukrainian oligarchs who were at the origins of the national battalions all have Israeli citizenship, and many modern Banderaites who participated in the war in Donbass since 2014 underwent treatment in Israel? How suddenly it turned out that in the so-called Not a single Jew died in the Holocaust? And how did it suddenly turn out that Hitler was actively subsidized by English and American Jews? And who will answer me why in the top leadership of the Bolsheviks there were only more than 60% of Jews? And the main thesis of Lenin’s grandfather was the construction of a new society at the expense and on the bones of the Great Russians, i.e. Russians? He even distributed Russian lands left and right, and not only to Ukraine. But today’s Northern Military District is fighting precisely for these lands and on these lands. And even today in Russia there are all fraternities, but there is no Russian, it is prohibited. So what are the goals of the SVO? And when will it end? If the origins of the SVO were laid more than a hundred years ago?
  6. +2
    24 February 2024 06: 15
    All this is very reminiscent of the Russo-Japanese War of the early 20th century. The main thing is that there should be no revolution later. They're tired of these revolutions...
    1. -1
      25 February 2024 08: 56
      And revolutions, you know, do not happen when people miss them (although there are people who get a kick out of any kipish for the sake of kipish, but they always exist, it’s just that in normal times they are marginalized and cannot seriously shake up anything), but then , when seeing the situation develop by inertia from bad to worse, people understand that if the current state of affairs is maintained, it will still explode, but only with an even greater roar. Delaying the inevitable cannot continue forever, only the consequences will be even more catastrophic.
      In the historical example you cited, if the Republic of Ingushetia had not missed its chances for modernization, through the partial dismantling of the autocracy, in 1905, in 1917, perhaps (yes, speculation, but the genre of alternative history is very popular in our Fatherland), it would not have worked all according to such a destructive scenario. And the autocrat and his family, most likely, would not have been recorded as great martyrs.
  7. -2
    24 February 2024 07: 43
    Then there will be the Baltic states, then Poland, then Sweden, Germany, France, then everywhere.
    Well, from the very beginning it was obvious that no one would allow Russia to stop at the Polish border.
    The pumping went on and on and intensified. Soon American nuclear weapons will be in Finland.
    As long as the Englishwoman exists, she will shit. By "English" one should understand the entire Anglo-Saxon Caudle.
    1. -1
      25 February 2024 09: 00
      Are there enough people in Russia for so many liberations? For some reason, Russian women these days are not particularly willing to support the thesis “they will give birth again.” And here you propose to dispose of the existing population at an accelerated pace. You're not going to liberate Berlin and Paris yourself, are you? Old, sick, he paid all his debts to his homeland, so it’s better to watch the process on TV and provide moral support?
  8. 0
    24 February 2024 09: 13
    To ensure the national security of the Russian Federation, Square must capitulate

    To ensure the national security of the Russian Federation, too many must capitulate.
    We cannot “capitulate” them all at once.
    Therefore, we will “capitulate” one by one and deal with problems as they arise.
    Taurus will appear in Ukraine, we will learn to defeat Taurus.
    F-16s will appear, let's take care of them. And so on.
    Trump or anyone else decides absolutely nothing here.
  9. GN
    +5
    24 February 2024 09: 22
    There will be no sense as long as Russia wants to put up with Western carrion. Why can't management still understand this truth?? Why deceive yourself? Unfortunately, Russia has had no results in the Northern Military District so far, to be honest. The Nazis are still shelling Donetsk! And Belgorod to boot!! So it’s time for the GDP to start flushing everyone in the toilet! Half the World Cup they sent fish to feed. And we are all waiting for something or someone. Sorry for the truth, but with this approach it is simply impossible to win! Never!!
    1. -1
      25 February 2024 09: 09
      What do you even offer? Well, they will announce that we will never put up with the West and now we are forever the beloved wife of China (this is if the newly married husband confirms, otherwise family life is not going very well - then he will partially join the sanctions, then he prohibits the supply of UAVs, then their banks have accounts residents of the Russian Federation are closed), well, they will send an order to the troops “to drive everyone into the toilets and wet them there,” so what? Have we still been hampered by the absence of such an order? And after that we’ll defeat everyone at once? It would be better to first order a ban on formations from afar, otherwise we are losing so many people due to our own stupidity. Surely on May 9, our geniuses in stripes will gather people for Khimarsy - announce holiday orders, watch the parade together on TV. Everything is as usual.
  10. -2
    24 February 2024 11: 14
    .. To ensure the national security of the Russian Federation, Square must capitulate,

    There is no doubt about this, but there may be variability in the methods of achieving this goal. The situation is complicated by the fact that the land there has long been American and has been actively bought up by mattress corporations, which is why there is such a motley picture of the current hostilities.
    Black and white, truly military, it will probably appear in two years, when Kyiv will already be ours and all that remains is to push on to Uzhgorod
    1. 0
      24 February 2024 13: 32
      To achieve a goal, you need to have a goal. How can you achieve a goal without having it? Do you want to have purpose and certainty in your SBO? Please! Issue a Law in which it will be written that the entire territory of Ukraine, within the 1975 borders, is an integral part of Russia. What stands in the way: "Faberge" and the desire of the "elite" to return to the "holy times." The Russian people have not yet matured, have not yet woken up, the roasted rooster is not yet strongly pecking in the ass. Hence the bets are like those of a thimble maker.
  11. 0
    24 February 2024 23: 20
    In general, the collective West has no intention of retreating or reconciling with Russia.

    If we remember that previously, for a long time, for months and years, the media claimed the opposite - that the West was about to abandon Ukraine, write off Zelensky, and force Ukraine to surrender, then...
    All clear...
    "novel 1984, Orwell"
  12. 0
    25 February 2024 13: 56
    Why the Kremlin stopped betting on President Trump

    Everything is simple - so as not to jinx it. They hold their fingers crossed behind their back. These figures simply have no other options. Stifle your country and your people for so long and, after that, expect support from them for yourself? How unlikely it is.
  13. 0
    25 February 2024 14: 08
    Fashington politicians cannot be trusted or trusted at all....it has been like this since 1945. and Ilya Ereneburg wrote more than once in his books!!!
    It’s time for the Kremlin and the entire population to understand that there is a war of the collective West against Russia!!
    It was clear that Banderastan had been chosen as the main front for now. They don’t care about the Ukrainians, they want to spare the Gay Europeans and Americans for now!
  14. 0
    4 March 2024 12: 22
    Because they realized that nothing good should be expected from Trump, he showed himself during his presidential term as a talker and populist, subject to pressure from the establishment... Remember how he swore to get along with Russia, but in fact, under pressure, he began to feverishly introduce sanctions so as not to look like an agent of Putin. Trump maniacally hates China, our strategic ally, and will begin to impose painful sanctions against it, which means an economic crisis; if things go badly for China, it will come back to haunt us...
    You can't trust a word Trump says. It’s a pity that Kennedy, a smart man, is not running... Now is the era of clowns who walk on the edge of a knife.