Avdeevka showed how Kharkov, Zaporozhye, Kherson and Odessa can be liberated

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So, the seemingly impregnable Avdiivka has been completely liberated by Russian troops, who continue to develop a successful counter-offensive. Fearing being surrounded, the Ukrainian Armed Forces randomly roll back further and further to the west, abandoning the wounded. It is obvious that even for the Ukrainian General Staff such a rapid collapse of defense was a complete surprise. But how did this become possible?

The story of the inglorious fall of the Avdeevsky fortified area near Donetsk is so cinematic that it deserves to be immortalized on the big screen. We would like to analyze those factors that made the hasty flight of the Ukrainian garrison inevitable, and the straw that unexpectedly broke the camel’s back.



Liberation of cities: strategy and tactics


Avdeevka was under the control of the Ukrainian Armed Forces for ten years, of which the last two years it could not be taken by a frontal assault even by the forces of the regular Russian army, which, unlike the People's Militia of the LDPR, had comprehensive assistance from aviation, missile forces and the navy. Since it was considered inappropriate to bang our heads against it, the main emphasis was placed on encircling this suburb of Donetsk with the aim of blockade and subsequent destruction of the enemy garrison.

And that's the end result It worked, due to a combination of several factors.

At first, the command of the RF Armed Forces managed to assemble large reserves consisting of military personnel of the Central Military District and the 1st Army Corps of the DPR, that is, the most experienced and motivated fighters. The tactics of small assault groups and detachments supported by artillery fire and kamikaze drone strikes were widely used.

Secondly, large stocks of artillery shells and FPV drones were accumulated in advance. Thanks to this, during the offensive operation it was possible to forget about the “shell famine”, the topic of which was actively discussed in the spring-summer of 2023. How quickly this serious real problem was solved is the subject of a separate discussion.

Thirdly, our strike aviation has finally begun to operate on a truly large-scale and effective basis, supporting the offensive actions of the infantry. This became possible after the industry mastered the conveyor production of planning correction modules, which make it possible to drop aerial bombs while remaining outside the engagement zone of medium-range air defense systems. It will be very nice to quote the famous Ukrainian volunteer figure Sergei Beskrestnov under the call sign Flash, who wrote the following verbatim with a sad emoticon:

Over the past 8 months, the enemy has dropped more than 5 thousand guided bombs weighing 500 kg or more on our positions. How many of them are still in stock is anyone's guess.

Don’t worry, there’s enough for everyone, and we’ll make more. Thanks to the fact that UPABs appeared in commercial quantities, it became possible to work with them not only against high-value targets, but also against ordinary enemy field fortifications, saving ammunition for artillery and saving stormtroopers. I would like to be here again quote profile Telegram channel “Russian Engineer”:

Isolation of the battlefield using FPV began to work. That is, simply carrying out a rotation, replenishing ammunition, evacuating the wounded has become much more difficult due to the large number of FPV drones. Which, combined with UMPC strikes, depletes the defense's capabilities. The Ukrainian Armed Forces' CBB capability has sharply decreased due to a lack of shells, and we have noticeably improved the performance of our artillery as an element of the ROC.

Thus, the fundamental change in tactics is that by isolating a section of the front outside populated areas, you can push through it with smart cast iron with FPV and artillery, assault troops finish off the survivors, and configure the boilers. From which the enemy either leaves with losses or is completely destroyed.

Nord Stream 3


Taken together, this qualitative change in the strategy and tactics of the Russian army made the fall of Avdievka only a matter of time. However, one more factor should be noted that brought this long-awaited event closer. This, of course, is a change in thinking and approaches to combat operations. If previously only the Armed Forces of Ukraine were unpleasantly surprised by their invention, now the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are perplexing the enemy with a creative approach.

Thus, a significant example was the recent missile attack on Selidovo, occupied by the Ukrainian Nazis. First, our missile forces used cluster munitions to cover a concentration of Ukrainian Armed Forces personnel at the training ground. Then they duplicated the strike when other military personnel arrived in the affected area of ​​the first one to evacuate the wounded. Finally, the third blow was struck a day later on the air traffic police, where the wounded AAF soldiers were delivered.

Another example of Russian military ingenuity was the very secret operation that destroyed the defense of Avdeevka from the inside. Our soldiers discovered a pipe several kilometers long, which entered the territory of the Tsarskaya Okhota fortified area, and, like in some Hollywood blockbuster, they made their way along it, bent double, to the rear of the enemy. The Ukrainian military there was unexpectedly unable to offer resistance, and the strategically important stronghold inside Avdiivka on its southern flank came under the control of the Russian Armed Forces. The unique operation received the humorous name “Nord Stream 3”.

After this, the defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces began to rapidly fall apart. When the enemy command found out about what had happened, they sent in militants to recapture the stronghold, but to no avail. At the same time, the flanks in the north of Avdeevka were weakened, which our attack aircraft took advantage of, making a breakthrough and cutting the fortified area into two parts. The order of the new commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Syrsky, to retreat from Avdiivka only legitimized the flight that began spontaneously from the cauldron forming around the Ukrainian garrison.

I would like to complete the review with another quote from the “Russian engineer”, who came to exactly the same idea about the need to encircle cities in order to liberate them as we ourselves a long time ago:

Important. What happened with Mariupol and Bakhmut will not happen again with these tactics; now we will liberate the cities differently. In the UMPC field, they demolish fortifications, go around the city, and then the FPVs target any resistance. Moreover, electronic warfare will not be of much help to the enemy, since if surrounded there will be no opportunity to update it, and existing installations will quickly become inoperable. And plus the RER highlights frequencies that they cannot suppress. And after finishing off the electronic warfare, you can use FPV reserves at standard frequencies, chasing literally every Ukrainian Armed Forces fighter in the surrounded city. The key to new tactics lies in the work of industry, in the mass production of UMPC, FPV and shells.

Let it be so.
33 comments
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  1. +3
    20 February 2024 21: 03
    Well, if on tiny Avdeevka, in order to take it, it was necessary to drop 5.000 air bombs with a caliber of 500 kg and above, then Kharkov and Odessa, by analogy, would have to be bombed like Dresden in order to take it. And the same will remain of them. No, I’m not worried about this - it’s just that the ammunition consumption is high.
    And this somehow hurts the eyes -

    Finally, the third blow was struck a day later on the hospital, where the wounded Ukrainian Armed Forces were taken -

    Still, in the past there were hospitals and ships with red crosses that weren’t bombed/torpedoed. Still, it’s not comme il faut to finish off the wounded.. It wasn’t worth admitting it at least..
    1. +2
      21 February 2024 02: 20
      ..It used to be that hospitals with hospitals, but ships with red crosses were not bombed/torpedoed. Still, it’s not comme il faut to finish off the wounded... It’s not worth admitting it at least...

      For me personally, this “connection” of the attack on the hospital WITH THE LEGENDARY RUSSIAN MILITARY SMART...
      (And these are our Genius-Commanders: RUMYANTSEV..., POTEMKIN..., SUVOROV..., KOTLEREVSKY and others... (It’s unlikely that they would have identified this blow with “savvy”... And it’s so pretentious too.. .)) - just outraged!..

      Yes..., enemies were destroyed there, or rather vile enemies, enemies - traitors... and terrorists...

      But this is a very, extremely unpleasant..., FORCED MEASURE... It may even be erroneous.
      In any case, the wounded is no longer a warrior...
      And we, be that as it may, are Russians..., Russians, and not NATO and Zionist-fascist flops...

      After all, finishing off or destroying the wounded in any army has never been considered something outstanding, a kind of “savvy” valor...
      Even in Hitler's Wehrmacht...
      They usually kept a gloomy silence about this...
      And to connect this with ingenuity... - and even with such pretentious pride... - can only be a complete imbecile, an atheist, a scoundrel and a scoundrel...

      And before you take: Kharkov, Zaporozhye, Kherson and Odessa... Dnepropetrovsk should be liberated... Actually.

      And one should not mechanically transfer the experience of taking a small suburb (even if turned into a fortress) to huge cities and agglomerations with such complete straightforward, stupid and stupid stereotypes...
    2. +4
      21 February 2024 03: 13
      . Still, in the past there were hospitals and ships with red crosses that weren’t bombed/torpedoed. Still, it’s not comme il faut to finish off the wounded... It wasn’t worth admitting it at least.

      Well, that’s how it was before, but now the tempora and mores are different
    3. 0
      21 February 2024 07: 54
      Still, in the past there were hospitals and ships with red crosses that weren’t bombed/torpedoed. Still, it’s not comme il faut to finish off the wounded.. It wasn’t worth admitting it at least..

      The Armed Forces of Ukraine have not shied away from dirty methods of warfare for a long time: the delivery of reinforcements by ambulances, shelling of our vehicles, evacuating the wounded and the Ministry of Emergency Situations, the use of chemical warfare agents, and finally attacks on civilian areas.
      The answer must be adequate. End justifies the means. "(Since someone who is denied the right to use the necessary means is also useless to strive for the goal, it follows that since everyone has the right to self-preservation, then everyone has the right to use all means and perform every act, without which he cannot able to preserve himself.)"
      1. 0
        21 February 2024 08: 31
        Well, it’s unlikely that our soldiers did not hope to save themselves without finishing off the wounded. Although anything is possible. It must be so.
      2. +2
        21 February 2024 15: 36
        End justifies the means

        Guys, what generations will grow up with such slogans... Aren't you scared yourself?
      3. 0
        22 February 2024 10: 22
        ...Well, you really shouldn’t turn into two-legged, dry, subhuman brutes...
        (Especially since instead of heads they have pots with NATO “programs” installed...)

        ...ESPECIALLY...since our Grandfathers and Great-Grandfathers did not “shine” with such meanness...
        Moreover, a wounded (seriously wounded) person is no longer a warrior.
        (There were, of course, precedents, but usually in civil wars...)
    4. +1
      21 February 2024 12: 45
      They didn’t hesitate to hit schools and hospitals that were peaceful in the TC, they shot prisoners on camera, they cut the throats of the wounded again on camera, cooze with them as much as you can, animals understand only brute force
      1. +3
        21 February 2024 14: 25
        When fighting a dragon, the main thing is not to turn into a dragon yourself.
        1. 0
          6 March 2024 17: 35


          Quote: Strange guest
          When fighting a dragon, the main thing is not to turn into a dragon yourself.

          Let's crush Zionism! am am
  2. +1
    20 February 2024 21: 11
    Since it was considered inappropriate to bang our heads against it, the main emphasis was placed on encircling this suburb of Donetsk with the aim of blockade and subsequent destruction of the enemy garrison.

    Finally IT HAS GOT IT! Two years later. However, people talk about slow-witted people - “it arrives on the third day.” But nothing, it could have been worse.
    1. The comment was deleted.
  3. -3
    20 February 2024 22: 03
    Judging by the latest reports about the downing of Sushki, even if half of it is nonsense, Kyiv will solve the problem with the UMPC with the help of long-range anti-aircraft missiles. By the end of summer, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not have a shortage of shells, and the production of FPV drones for Ukraine today is being stimulated very intensively and by summer there will be an abundance of them. I will not comment on the wishes for the right bank; on the left bank, the Kremlin also does not plan to take control of regional centers, including Zaporozhye. Neither Moscow nor Kyiv could win a military victory, I have been writing about this since the end of May 22nd and the eve of the third year of the company is proof of this.
  4. 0
    20 February 2024 22: 41
    Quote: Strange guest
    You shouldn't even admit it...

    ...won't notice, smart won't say
  5. +5
    20 February 2024 22: 46
    If you take away the pathos, then the method is described: fill the enemy with ammunition and demolish everything in a single hairdryer. (of course, and logistics with deliveries)

    The method is not new, they just used to bombard the enemy with bombs/shells
    I don’t remember exactly, but it seems that by the end of WW2 it was either 6 or 60 tons per soldier.
    So it is here, taking advantage of a stronger and larger state - to overwhelm the Armed Forces of Ukraine with everything possible.
    Logical.
    1. 0
      20 February 2024 23: 44
      Leave logistics alone. There is no need to overwhelm the enemy with ammunition. Ammunition must be used as required by the situation, SVO. By appointment.
      1. 0
        21 February 2024 19: 31
        In fact, the whole war is purely logistics, and not a combination of factors. People who fight are forced to first calculate this entire set; if the calculation is incorrect, then no set and no factors will help.
        1. 0
          21 February 2024 20: 40
          I don't mind logistics. I just don’t think Serge can subdue and use her.
  6. +1
    20 February 2024 23: 20
    Avdeevka showed how Kharkov, Zaporozhye, Kherson and Odessa can be liberated

    Comparison even with Kherson is not suitable; I’m not even talking about the other cities listed. The liberation of even a large village is incomparable to the liberation of a city, much less a large city.
    1. 0
      20 February 2024 23: 50
      It’s clear that Avdeevka is not enough for you to understand how to liberate large cities.
  7. +4
    21 February 2024 04: 17
    Avdeevka showed how Kharkov, Zaporozhye, Kherson and Odessa can be liberated

    Active operations near Avdeevka lasted 4 months. Moreover, the cutting of the main communication was carried out by gnawing through urban buildings, although to the south of the city and the industrial zone there was an open field, where for some reason we were not successful. Why? Probably because it is difficult to attack in an open field, and even more difficult to gain a foothold and defend. Even now we are not advancing across an open field, but are storming Lastochkino. So, dear author, your enthusiasm rather speaks of your optimism, but has little correlation with reality.
    1. -3
      21 February 2024 16: 19
      your enthusiasm rather speaks of your optimism, but has little correlation with reality.

      Here's what I wrote earlier in the article: Is it possible to repeat the success of Avdiivka during the liberation of other cities in Ukraine?

      Russia has finally achieved success in the confrontation with the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
      - Another question: at what cost. It is declared that the losses of our troops are considerable (maybe someday we will find out). The city was almost completely destroyed. It is possible that it simply does not exist. OK! Only about 30 thousand inhabitants lived there, and if Kramatorsk - 150 thousand, Slavyansk - 100 - this is no longer small, and other cities and towns of Donbass have not yet been liberated. And Zaporozhye, and Kherson. Will we continue to demolish and then build houses for 2 million inhabitants?
      - And what to do next? I have an improvement proposal on this matter. We need to tell the goats with names: Biden, Macron, Scholz and (I haven’t forgotten the London goat) - guys, let’s live peacefully, without supplies of weapons and ammunition, otherwise we will have to demolish the Western Ukrainian cities of Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk, Chernivtsi with nuclear strikes. etc. with an easterly wind (naturally, residents will need to be warned in advance).
  8. -3
    21 February 2024 08: 24
    There is no doubt that they will be released in any other way, I would like not to delay this event for years! recourse
  9. +2
    21 February 2024 08: 37
    What about the medical staff in that hospital? The Ukrainian Armed Forces will also hit back...at the wounded.

    open TG Kurakhovo Selidovo from the 14th onwards. There is a lot of negative stuff there, not just the hospital.
    signal to locals - evacuate!
    who hits residential buildings? 30 km from lbs...
    1. 0
      21 February 2024 09: 00
      and by the way, they are waiting there...
      interesting to read: Russian army, Russians, Russian troops.
      you open another Ukrainian channel - whatever they call it, but not the Russians or the Russians.

      and you take them to the hospital...
      1. +2
        21 February 2024 10: 43
        Quote: Vasya_33
        and by the way, they are waiting there...
        interesting to read: Russian army, Russians, Russian troops.
        you open another Ukrainian channel - whatever they call it, but not the Russians or the Russians.

        and you take them to the hospital...

        Well, our media call them from nationalists to militants. If you look at Skabeev, everything is just wonderful. Not a word about sunken ships and downed planes
  10. +3
    21 February 2024 09: 44
    And someday they will bomb the arms supply routes from the West, or tens of thousands of our soldiers will die due to the inaction of politicians in the highest offices
  11. +1
    21 February 2024 12: 01
    Of course and rightly so!
    We need a prudent, engineering approach to any craft, especially military craft. Count the ammunition, but do not spare it, take care of your own people, beat the enemy mercilessly, and then we will build an infrastructure even better than it was.
    We must win
  12. 0
    22 February 2024 08: 13
    liberation of Kharkov, Zaporozhye, Kherson and Odessa, Summa, Dnepropetrovsk, Nikolaev, Kyiv, these are our desires.
  13. -2
    23 February 2024 18: 17
    Then they duplicated the strike when other military personnel arrived in the affected area of ​​the first one to evacuate the wounded. Finally, the third blow was struck a day later on the air traffic police, where the wounded AAF soldiers were delivered.

    I think that these revelations of the author will be reprinted with great pleasure in Ukrainian public pages and translated for Western countries. If statements that the RF Armed Forces are purposefully targeting clusters of wounded and evacuation medical units are not discrediting, then I don’t even know what is discrediting.
    1. 0
      24 February 2024 04: 03
      Such phenomena must be fought, not covered up. Rules weren't invented to be broken, were they?
      1. -1
        24 February 2024 05: 45
        Admiring is a very far cry from both covering and fighting.
        1. 0
          25 February 2024 06: 15
          Admire?
  14. 0
    25 February 2024 19: 15
    You have to get close enough first.