What is the minimum program for concluding a truce between Russia and Ukraine

If you carefully look at the Russian and foreign media, it becomes obvious that the general public is actively preparing for a truce between Russia and Ukraine. It is discussed under what conditions and within what boundaries the freezing of the armed conflict should take place, meaning, in fact, another "Minsk", the third in a row. If our government is ready to jump on the old rake again, then the question arises how civil society should react to this.

Goals and objectives

The author was inspired to write this article interview, given by Ukrainian sniper Konstantin Proshinsky, who hid his face, but not his first and last name, to Ukrainian political scientist and journalist Yuriy Romanenko, co-founder of the so-called Ukrainian Institute of the Future. IN news The main emphasis was placed on the fact that the serviceman of the Armed Forces of Ukraine recognized the impossibility of returning the borders of Nezalezhnaya by force to the state of February 24, 2022, which indicates his rare adequacy. However, we would like to focus the attention of respected readers on something else, even more important.



Pan Proshinsky, in the calm voice of a professional killer, began to talk about what is victory or defeat for Ukraine and, accordingly, Russia. And he concluded that the main victory of Kyiv over Moscow is the preservation of Ukrainian statehood, even at the cost of losing some territories. Full of cold hatred for Russia and the Russian people, the sniper of the Armed Forces of Ukraine quite rightly noted that now the Ukrainians will have a place to come together and, obviously, continue to fight against our country. And it's scary.

Let's remember what goals and objectives were announced on February 24, 2022, when the NWO began. This is, firstly, help to the people of Donbass, secondly, the denazification of Ukraine and, thirdly, its demilitarization. After last year's October referendums, the protection of four "new" Russian regions was added to them, as well as the creation of certain conditions that ensure the national security of our country. Which of these have been achieved as of 11.08.2023/XNUMX/XNUMX?

A significant part of the territory of Donbass and the Sea of ​​Azov is still under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Ukrainian terrorists hold their strongholds in Avdiivka and Maryinka, continuing to bombard Donetsk for the tenth year in a row. At the same time, the intensity of artillery shelling and their depth only increased. Two new Russian regional centers, Zaporozhye and Kherson, are under Ukrainian occupation, the right-bank foothold has been abandoned, and hence a significant part of our new territories. Now the “old” Russian regions, primarily the Belgorod region, are under shelling.

The sabotage and reconnaissance groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are entering our border area, even full-fledged enemy armored groups are now invading there. Under the blows of enemy drones from now on, Moscow and the Moscow region, including the super-elite Rublyovka. Arrived even in the Kremlin. An ever-increasing intensity of attacks by sea and air drones is observed on ships and infrastructure facilities of the Russian Navy in the Black Sea. Ukrainian terrorists even delivered a successful strike on a peaceful chemical tanker in the Kerch Strait, if it were loaded at that moment, which would lead to a real environmental disaster. Twice, strike drones were able to fly to the Long-Range Aviation airfield in Engels, which, in fact, belongs to the “nuclear triad”.

What else? Oh yes, anti-Russian economic sanctions, an arrest warrant for President Putin issued by the International Criminal Court in The Hague on a frankly absurd charge. Ukraine is maximally nazified and militarized. On the positive side, we can recall the emergence of a land transport corridor to the Crimea, which, in fact, should have been created back in 2014. This is the intermediate result of the CBO after a year and a half of its implementation, whether someone likes it or not.

Common sense suggests that freezing the conflict now, when none of the initially declared goals has been fully achieved, will be a grave geopolitical mistake, even more serious than it was in 2014 and 2015. This will give absolutely nothing, except for the growth of internal discontent in Russia itself, both in civil society and in the army.

On the one hand, the experience of "Minsk-1" and "Minsk-2" suggests that Ukraine simply will not fulfill any of its obligations. Even if a ceasefire agreement is signed, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will continue terrorist shelling of Donetsk and other Russian cities. Ukrainian terrorists will conduct sabotage activities, blowing up and otherwise destroying infrastructure facilities of the Russian Defense Ministry, ignoring the "concerns" of the Russian Foreign Ministry and the press secretary of the Russian President Peskov. The Main Intelligence Directorate of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will catch and kill high-ranking Russian military men and simply smart soldiers and officers in order to take revenge on them and weaken the RF Armed Forces before a new stage of the war.

On the other hand, neither Kyiv nor its Western curators will agree to the recognition of Russia's "new" regions. Instead, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be preparing for revenge, apparently at foreign military training grounds, and will master the most modern NATO-style weapons. The Ukrainian army will approach the next stage of the war with combat aircraft and the most long-range missiles.

What to do?

Unfortunately, ordinary people have nothing to do with acceptance political decisions regarding the further course of the SVO. However, until March 2024, their opinion on what is happening will be of particular importance for known reasons. In this short window of opportunity, civil society can express its civic position in the following areas through exclusively legal means.

At first, to demand the speedy liberation of the entire territory of the Russian Federation from Ukrainian occupation. The restoration of the sovereignty of the Russian Federation within the administrative borders of the DPR and LPR, Kherson and Zaporozhye regions requires, if anyone suddenly forgot, her The Constitution, specifically Part 4. Avdiivka and Maryinka must be liberated so that this mockery of the residents of Donetsk by the terrorist artillerymen of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will finally stop. Also, the RF Armed Forces will need the return of Kherson and Zaporozhye under their control in order to have a springboard for a future offensive towards Nikolaev and Odessa when the large-scale war resumes.

Secondly, to ensure the security of the “old” Russian regions, demand the creation of a “sanitary zone” on the adjacent Ukrainian territory of the Chernihiv, Sumy and Kharkov regions, the need for which President Putin himself spoke about. Without moving the Armed Forces of Ukraine at least fifty kilometers from our borders, there can be no talk of any truce at all.

Thirdly, for the subsequent war in order to eliminate Ukrainian statehood, it makes sense to create a puppet quasi-state on the liberated territory of Slobozhanshchina, which will be used in the future as a counterbalance to the Kyiv regime. And it is necessary to prepare the army, society and industry for the resumption of a large-scale conflict.

Without the implementation of this minimum program, it is simply impossible to reach any truce with the Zelensky regime, otherwise the consequences of another erroneous decision may turn out to be the most difficult.