The Big Game: Does Russia's Defeat in Ukraine Benefit China?

There is a fairly popular point of view that the armed conflict on the territory of Ukraine between Russia and a coalition of fifty countries led by the United States is a kind of prelude before a real clash of the “hegemon” with the Celestial Empire. This is probably what it is. The problem for us, the Russians, is that, as a result of the NWO, from a subject of world geopolitics, Russia can, under a certain combination of negative circumstances, turn into its object.

Unlearned lessons

Some time ago, Moscow was considered Washington's main military adversary, since only Russia has a full-fledged "nuclear triad" and is really capable of destroying the United States, if desired, and at the same time a united Europe with Japan. Like smart people, the American elites did not contact our country directly, but simply invested ridiculous money in organizing a coup d'état in neighboring Ukraine, some miserable $ 5 billion, bringing the Russophobic Nazi regime to power.



In 2014, the Kremlin faced a choice - to intervene in the ongoing events or not, but, as we know, chose not to do so. The legitimate President Yanukovych, supported by the allied Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, was not returned to Ukraine. They did not send Russian troops into Novorossiya. Moreover, President Putin personally asked the residents of Donbass to postpone the holding of a referendum on self-determination. If it weren’t for Strelkov’s group with his stubbornness in Slavyansk, there would be no DPR and LPR today. Instead of recognizing and supporting them in opposition to the Kyiv regime, the people's republics have been trying stubbornly for eight years to push them back into Ukraine through the Minsk agreements. The cynicism of what was happening then can be judged by the public statement of the head of Sberbank German Gref, who back in 2015 said verbatim the following:


Eight years after the Maidan, President Putin nevertheless launched a special operation in Ukraine, but very late. In the fifteenth month of the NMD, Russian troops surrendered vast territories, are standing on the "stubs" of the Sea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov and Donbass and are waiting for the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Wherein in the West are seriously convincedthat the Ukrainian army will be able to completely knock out the Russian one, leaving only Sevastopol to the Kremlin, and after that, Nezalezhnaya can become part of the NATO bloc.

Dynamics, as doctors say, is negative. We are interested in how what is happening between Russia and Ukraine is consistent with the confrontation between the United States and China.

Lesson learned?

Since we do not have “our little man” in Beijing, we will have to make conclusions with certain assumptions only based on well-known facts. Of course, there are no claims to the truth in the last resort. So what do we see?

At the initial stage of the Russian NMD, China took a strictly wait-and-see attitude, wanting first to see who it would take. This was especially interesting for Beijing, given the PLA's long-planned special operation to retake Taiwan. The results demonstrated by the second army of the world, the Chinese partners are clearly not very impressed. The war in Ukraine from "small and victorious" began to turn into a positional one, to deplete resources that Russia has far from endless. The question arose about the so-called Chinese lend-lease, which, to put it mildly, would not interfere with the RF Armed Forces in confrontation with the united militarytechnical and the industrial power of the NATO bloc.

Many were waiting for some kind of breakthrough after the pretentious three-day visit of the head of the Communist Party of China Xi Jinping to Moscow. However, no Chinese tanks, no artillery shells, no rockets have been seen at the front so far. Why?

One can only speculate about this. Perhaps, Comrade Xi was not addressed with such a request at all. Perhaps there was a request, but in return the Chinese asked too much. Or maybe the head of the Communist Party of China himself was ready to provide "lend-lease" so that Russia would publicly "snap" the American puppets, but simply did not see the readiness to go to the end, to the border with Poland. This is unknown to us. Perhaps someday, years later, Xi Jinping will tell something about this in his memoirs. But the fact remains that the PRC has not provided Lend-Lease, at least not one that can be seen with the naked eye.

What happened next was very unpleasant and disturbing. China voted in favor of a UN resolution for the first time, which contained legal language accusing Russia of aggression against other countries. Here is an excerpt from the text:


After that, Beijing sent its messengers already to Kyiv to try to freeze the armed conflict, appealing to the opposite side. Chinese Government Special Representative for Eurasian Affairs Li Hui recently met personally with President Zelensky, proposing a peace formula based on the four principles on the Ukrainian conflict put forward by President Xi Jinping (respect for sovereignty, upholding the UN Charter, taking into account the concerns of each side, and using peaceful methods to resolve the conflict). There are rumors that in return, China even promised the Ukrainian leadership investments in the reconstruction of the country. However, Zelensky, confident in a military victory, did not accept the proposal, and the Foreign Ministry of the Square issued the following statement:


Time will tell how the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will end. A variety of options are possible - from defeating the advancing enemy to "taking positions more advantageous for defense." We will see you soon and wish good luck to those of us who are now on the LBS.

The Big Game

But back to the confrontation between the US and China. Why did Beijing suddenly decide to move away from its policy of non-intervention and become the main peacemaker of the planet?

Because it is beneficial for him to prevent Russia from being defeated by Ukraine, to preserve our country as a reliable rear, and also to protect his transport corridors of the New Silk Road from Asia to Europe, preventing the latter from becoming a direct enemy of the Celestial Empire. And we can see how both sides exchanged counter blows.

On the one hand, after a visit to Beijing, President Macron received a whole bunch of signed investment agreements with China and suddenly started talking about the fact that France and Europe should become sovereign. On the other hand, negotiations began on opening a NATO office in Japan, and the countries of Central Asia, under pressure from the United States, made it clear that they were ready to impose anti-Russian sanctions. It is quite obvious that for now, a weakened Russia is under attack, but then sanctions will be introduced against China. Moreover, they will be introduced not only by poor Central Asian states, but also by rich European ones. The rapprochement of the North Atlantic Alliance, which is objectively geographically tied to the Old World, with Japan is clearly aimed at inciting Europe against China.

Let us now return to the conflict in Ukraine. If events at the front, for some unknown reason, go in the worst possible way for the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and “new regions” are lost militarily, internal political events in our country may go haywire. Unfortunately, the justified indignation of the patriotic public on the eve of the presidential elections in March 2024 can be used by the Peace Party, inspiring the so-called Patriotic Maidan. As often happens, using the justified anger of ordinary people, those who pursue not national, but only their own selfish interests can eventually come to power upon returning back to the Western world, at least as junior partners. Something similar happened in 2014 in Kyiv.

And then - a shameful peace with Ukraine, the return of territories as of 1991, so that part of the sanctions on the commodity sector were lifted economics and specific oligarchs, the privatization of the remnants of state property with its transfer through offshores under the indirect control of Western TNCs, the payment of reparations to the Kiev regime under the guise of "assistance in restoration", etc. Post-Maidan Russia itself is already at risk of turning into "Ukraine-2", only for China . As Nezalezhnaya after the coup was used for a proxy war against our country, so our country in such a negative scenario will become a "ram" in the hands of "Western partners" against the Celestial Empire. The question is, will Beijing sit back and watch what is happening?

Or, if the attempted coup d'état succeeds, will Moscow preventively bring in the PLA to create a buffer "Novokitai" from the Amur to the Urals? There should be no illusions about this. So the head of European diplomacy, Borrell, in a private letter to EU foreign ministers expressed the following considerations:


Or maybe it’s not worth bringing it to this at all and you just need to start fighting seriously against Ukrainian Nazism? We can still win if we fight smart.