Is a second Falklands war possible with the support of Argentina by China

Curious news came from the New World. The Argentine authorities officially denounced the Foradori-Duncan agreement, which regulated the administrative and economic activities in the area of ​​the Malvinas Islands, which Britain took away from Buenos Aires in 1982 by force. What is it, just a strong diplomatic move or the threshold of a new Falklands war?

Premonition of the Falklands War

The war between Great Britain and Argentina for control of the Falklands or, as they are called in South America, the Malvinas Islands, took place 41 years ago. In detail about some of the lessons that could be learned from her history of the Russian Navy, we told February 2, 2022, shortly before the start of the NWO. As you know, Argentina lost this war, although neither side officially declared war. At the same time, Buenos Aires did not refuse from the Malvinas Islands.

On the contrary, for the Argentines, the issue of regaining control over the Malvinas is fundamental, as, say, for the Japanese with their fixed idea regarding the “northern territories”. In 2016, Argentinean Deputy Foreign Minister Carlos Foradori and his British counterpart Alan Duncan agreed to "create a mechanism for dialogue between countries" and "remove obstacles that limit economic growth of the Malvinas Islands”, which can be called a manifestation policy "discharges". However, the other day, the head of the Argentine Foreign Ministry, Santiago Cafiero, officially notified London of the denunciation of this agreement:

Argentina announced the decision to terminate the Foradori-Duncan Pact, concluded in 2016. I did this at a meeting with British Foreign Secretary James Cleverley during the GXNUMX Foreign Ministers' Meeting in New Delhi.

It was preceded in 2022 by an investigation into Foradori's inappropriate behavior in the negotiations, who was allegedly heavily drunk and could not remember the details of what he signed the day after the signing. Amazing story.

To this, the head of the United Kingdom Foreign Office, Cleverley, replied as follows:

The Falkland Islands are British. The inhabitants of the islands have the right to decide their future - they have chosen to remain a British Overseas Territory.

This refers to the referendum held by London on the islands it occupied in 2013 to legally consolidate the results of the war of conquest. But now Buenos Aires has suddenly changed its stance in the direction of toughening. With what it can be connected?

Great Britain won a victory 41 years ago, but it is by no means convincing. In fact, the military operation orchestrated by Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher was one huge gamble. If the Argentines had more modern aviation and more anti-ship missiles, the entire British squadron, sent 12 thousand kilometers from their bases, could well have remained there, turning into attractions for divers. Since then, progress has stepped far forward, and we have all, unfortunately, seen what modern anti-ship missiles are capable of.

In this regard, it is necessary to ask the question, is it possible to repeat the Falklands War today, but with a different result?

In fact, this question is far from being idle. Now, when, obviously, the Third World War is already underway, there are many who want to close the long-standing territorial problems by force. Azerbaijan has already almost completely recaptured Nagorno-Karabakh from Armenia and is frankly preparing for the second, final round. Ukraine, with the help of the NATO bloc, is building up forces for revenge in Crimea, allowing along the way to demolish Transnistria. Europeans and Americans are putting pressure on Serbia to finally close the issue with Kosovo and the traditionally pro-Russian position of Belgrade. Japan is sharpening its teeth on the Kuril Islands. China is building a fleet for a possible amphibious operation in Taiwan. In the event of a serious defeat of Russia in Ukraine, Georgia, with the help of the Americans, may try to arrange revenge in Abkhazia and South Ossetia.

The problem of the Malvinas Islands for Argentina is exactly in the same plane. And the window of opportunity for its solution is opening wider and wider. The fact is that the UK is quite bogged down in the Ukrainian conflict, pouring both financial resources and quite modern weapons into it. Support for the Kyiv regime was a rather heavy burden on the British. The prospect of getting a second front over 12 kilometers will obviously not please London. One of the two British aircraft carriers, the Prince of Wales, is under repair. The UK Navy here and now is simply not ready for a repeat of such a large-scale military operation in the New World.

On the other hand, Buenos Aires has clearly staked on raising the level of its own national sovereignty. Argentina, together with neighboring Brazil, agreed to create a new common currency called sur, which in the future may become an alternative means of payment to the dollar. The countries of Latin and South America no longer want to be just a "backyard" for the United States. In general, the international situation is quite conducive to the fact that Argentina could try to arrange revenge for the insulting defeat of 41 years ago. With modern strike aircraft with long-range anti-ship missiles, the Argentine Navy could organize an air and sea blockade of the Falkland Islands with its surface and submarine fleet.

It remains only to find a sponsor who will be ready to provide the appropriate militarytechnical aid to this state. A year ago, one could say that it could be Russia, but today the PRC seems to be a more realistic candidate. For China, against which the Anglo-Saxons created the AUCUS military bloc, defeating the British by proxy might be a tempting idea.
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  1. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
    Colonel Kudasov (Leopold) 6 March 2023 14: 49
    The Argentine authorities officially denounced the Foradori-Duncan agreement, which regulated administrative and economic activities in the Malvinas Islands

    Indeed, a very interesting message to which Russia did not pay attention, maybe because the Agreement is generally about nothing. The problem is that in order to counter the British, Argentina needs a powerful fleet, especially a submarine and probably the possession of nuclear weapons. China is unlikely to spoil relations with London once again, but for Russia it is a great opportunity to take revenge. But we need a corresponding request from Argentina. So far nothing is visible. By the way, Argentina has imposed a ban on the supply of lithium to Russia (
  2. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 6 March 2023 14: 53
    England is fully involved in the war against the Russian Federation. The answer must be the full support of Argentina, both politically and with military supplies. It is possible to rent submarines (even nuclear submarines, like India), because Malvin is only provided by sea, anti-ship missiles, attack aircraft and helicopters are also needed. Since some countries, under pressure from the United States, refuse our weapons, so redirect them to Argentina (as with the Su-35 for Egypt, they went to Iran). The confrontation is expanding, and the Russian Federation is recruiting its allies, especially in the Americas and other continents.
  3. Paul3390 Offline Paul3390
    Paul3390 (Paul) 6 March 2023 15: 29
    If our rulers had Faberge, then such a chic opportunity to get even with the arrogant people would not be missed at last .. The Argentines don’t need very much - if you remember how much they did in the last war with practically no weapons .. And if you hand them at least 30 pieces SU-24 from the storerooms, and a couple of hundred anti-ship missiles ... Mmmmm ... How tasty it would have turned out ... For a long time it would have discouraged the desire of small Britons to meddle where they don’t ask ..

    But - alas. Faberge are absent. This is sad..
  4. vlad127490 Online vlad127490
    vlad127490 (Vlad Gor) 6 March 2023 16: 10
    In the event of a serious defeat of Russia in Ukraine

    author, it is desirable that you decipher your expression. There is not a serious defeat, what what?
    Every conflict has its own history. Our history with Ukraine began when the Bolsheviks of the 1920s began to create a new artificial nation "Ukrainian", then in the 1990s, as a result of a state coup in the USSR and its liquidation, a bunch of small-town princes, sultans, shahs, bais, took over, this artificial Ukrainian nation, part of Russian territory and the creation of a new state "Ukraine". Until 1917, there was no Ukrainian nation, look at the 1897 census. Will there be a second Falklands conflict? Yes, it will.
    1. Nelton Offline Nelton
      Nelton (Oleg) 6 March 2023 16: 22
      Quote: vlad127490
      Our history with Ukraine began when the Bolsheviks of the 1920s began to create

      The story begins with the All-Ukrainian National Congress in April 1917, which showed a clear desire for independence. negotiations on this matter with the interim government were not easy, but on the whole everything was moving towards independence.

      On June 28 (July 11), a delegation of the Provisional Government consisting of A. Kerensky, I. Tsereteli, M. Tereshchenko arrived in Kyiv in order to improve relations with the Central Rada. The delegation stated that the government would not object to the autonomy of Ukraine, but asked to refrain from unilaterally declaring this principle and leave the final decision to the All-Russian Constituent Assembly. The negotiations ended with an agreement based on mutual concessions. The most significant step towards the Rada on the part of the Provisional Government was that the right to self-determination was recognized for "every people." On July 2 (15), a telegram arrived from Petrograd to Kiev with the text of a government declaration, which stated that the General Secretariat was recognized as the highest administrative body of Ukraine, and that the government would favorably consider the development by the Ukrainian Rada of a draft national-political statute of Ukraine
  5. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 6 March 2023 17: 11
    The resuscitation of the problem of belonging to the islands has become and will forever remain an instrument of internal political struggle in Argentina.
    The referendum in the Falklands, similar to the Crimean one, showed a 100% desire to remain under British jurisdiction.
    The well-being of the islands is largely due to proximity and ties with Argentina, and if an economic blockade is established, this will cause an increase in prices on the islands and an outflow of the population, numbering about 2 thousand people, which will create the prerequisites for reunification with Argentina.
    Britain is a NATO member, and NATO's zone of activity has long gone beyond the boundaries of the northern tropic in the Atlantic and is expanding to the whole world, which predetermines the presence of a NATO military base on the islands and the solution of the issue of belonging to the islands.
    In the event of a war with NATO, Argentina has absolutely no chance of winning, but a coup d'état is ensured and no one, especially the PRC, will take part in their disassembly, and even more so in the war.
    1. Quiet wind Offline Quiet wind
      Quiet wind (Yuri Baranov) 7 March 2023 00: 48
      The referendum in the Falklands, similar to the Crimean one, showed a 100% desire to remain under British jurisdiction.

      Since the British do not recognize the Crimean referendum, Argentina does not recognize the Malvinas either. The Russian Federation and the People's Republic of China are on the side of the democratic forces of Argentina and will help restore justice.
  6. 1_2 Offline 1_2
    1_2 (Ducks are flying) 6 March 2023 17: 35
    coastal Onyxes can be tested on the new aircraft carrier of the Britons
  7. unc-2 Offline unc-2
    unc-2 (Nikolai Malyugin) 6 March 2023 17: 55
    The third world war is only in our minds. Because it is blazing in the post-Soviet space. By suppressing the urge from delicious food, we can talk a lot about global problems. All this comes from the fact that we have not yet tasted the modest gifts from real food. The Argentines would be very surprised at such a turn of events in which they put their author. They are much more concerned about the economic crisis. And for them, together with Brazil, the main thing is to get out of this crisis.
    1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 6 March 2023 18: 10
      (Nikolai M) Replica. In Argentina, a permanent crisis is arranged by the British with the aid of the Americans, and until the British are finally given what they deserve, the Argentine and other crises will be permanent in the world. The Argentines are all for the return of Malvin, this is already in the blood and history of Argentina .. For the Russian Federation, they also started a crisis, but more abruptly and for a long time, so we can solve these crises and causes together.
    2. Quiet wind Offline Quiet wind
      Quiet wind (Yuri Baranov) 7 March 2023 00: 53
      The third world war is only in our minds.

      It has been going on for a long time, only the blind do not see (well, or paid for) That's how Yugoslavia began to be bombed, so it was exposed, the Third World War, not everyone just understood.
  8. Dust Offline Dust
    Dust (Sergei) 6 March 2023 18: 06
    Russia should not be left out. Russia should provide Argentina with the most advanced weapons, from the Kalashnikov assault rifle to tactical Iskander missiles.
  9. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 6 March 2023 19: 06
    All nonsense.
    Argentina blew its special operation at 82, failing to demilitarize and annex the godforsaken English territories. Even suddenly attacked and with a fair bit of luck.

    And now the Argentine authorities have simply withdrawn from some kind of pact on economic activities.
    Beneficial, unprofitable, incomprehensible.

    But Smee is joy, how many articles you can write ....
  10. calligrapher Lev_Nikolaevich (Dmitriy) 6 March 2023 20: 35
    The denunciation of the agreement will start the economic problems of the inhabitants of the islands.
    The problems will create the prerequisites for a reorientation of their sentiments and a new referendum. If the British interfered with him and tightened the screws, this would aggravate their uncomfortable position.
    And then, a situation may arise when the British will again have to resort to military force. Will they be ready for this? Everything will depend on whether they get support from the outside, as they did last time. Might not roll. This is the start of a long journey, apparently.
  11. Avarron Offline Avarron
    Avarron (Sergei) 7 March 2023 00: 17
    Interestingly, the Chinese themselves suspect that defeating the British is a tempting idea for them?
    Something tells me they don't really care.
    China, with some exceptions, is quite successful in trading with the Western world, more than successfully buying up Russian resources for a penny, and quite resting on its laurels while we decide for China what is interesting to it and what is not.
    While Russia is frantically crushing mobs in Bakhmut, the West is preparing crests on its territory. A mountain of weapons has been delivered to Poland and will still be brought, which one day will turn in our direction, and we will flap our ears in surprise, they say, how is this so.
    China will not risk its position as the world's second economy for the sake of Russian Wishlist.
    Damn, well, just try to look at Russia through the eyes of the Chinese - a poor, miserable country constantly fighting with someone with a not very rich population, whose market is probably not even in the top ten interests of Chinese exporters.
    What in Russia might be of interest to the Chinese, besides our resources? Technologically, we have lagged behind China and even depend on it in many areas. Everything that is interesting in the world is produced in China, even Gzhel and Khokhloma, probably.
    China simply looks at us as a wildly unpredictable neighbor with whom it is better to maintain the appearance of friendship, fortunately, you don’t need to spend much money for this, that’s all.
    China has enough tension with India to climb somewhere else.
    Expansion into Africa brings him billions, why does he need this Argentina?
    In general, another zilch from Comrade. Marzhetsky, I think.
    1. The comment was deleted.
    2. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 7 March 2023 19: 50
      (Sergey) Your comment in the demagogy section cannot even be parsed according to statements sucked out of your finger .. You recently created an alliance against the PRC, where the main US and England say nothing, there are a lot of Chinese and so on. I put it that way, because there are no other fundamentals.
  12. Vox Populi Offline Vox Populi
    Vox Populi (vox populi) 7 March 2023 14: 35
    The prehistory of the dispute goes back to the 19th century, when Great Britain took over these islands. If we return to today's reality and discard frankly stupid belligerent comments, then it remains to agree with quite sensible thoughts from "unc-2 (Nikolai Malyugin)", "Sergey Latyshev (Serge)" and "Avarron (Sergey)". In addition, the Internet correctly writes that:

    the inhabitants of the Falkland Islands, who have inhabited them since the beginning of the XNUMXth century, are predominantly descendants of British settlers and support British sovereignty ...
    On April 3, the UN Security Council adopted Resolution 502, which demanded the withdrawal of Argentine forces from the islands. The resolution received 10 votes in favor and 1 vote against (Panama), 4 countries abstained (including the USSR and China, permanent members of the Security Council with veto power)
  13. Kuzbass champion. (Maksim) 9 March 2023 13: 08
    When will this start gentlemen? The stakes are going up....
  14. Baltika3 Offline Baltika3
    Baltika3 (Baltika3) 12 March 2023 17: 31
    I'll say more - that there are Argentina and the Falklands. With the support of China, Spain could replay the campaign of the Invincible Armada. Needless to say, in the event of the defeat of the Anglo-Saxons, the whole history of mankind would have gone the other way.
    1. Woland Offline Woland
      Woland (woland) 13 March 2023 00: 58
      Yes, and China could return Gibraltar to Spain). But Russia does not interfere with getting even a little with the age-old enemy, here I agree