The Belarusian bridgehead is becoming a key for the RF Armed Forces in a future war with Ukraine

November 12, 2022 27

The surrender of the Russian city of Kherson to the Ukrainian Nazis without a fight a few days ago is undoubtedly the most severe military and image defeat of Russia since the end of the Great Patriotic War. This can still cost us dearly in the future, extremely probable war with the Kyiv regime and the NATO bloc behind it - for the Donbass, the Sea of \uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov and Crimea. Is it possible to somehow prevent this, or is the future still predetermined?

Disbanded "nurses"

Sincere bewilderment is now caused by the arguments of some people that we need to make peace with Ukraine as soon as possible, because the NATO bloc is behind it. You see, the collective West supplies the Kyiv regime with the most modern weapons, while we have "grenades of the wrong system." Friends, what the hell?

Isn't the North Atlantic Alliance, in accordance with our military doctrine, a potential adversary for the Russian Federation? Is it not with him that we must be ready to fight in any weather and state of health, even in rain and with a temperature of 37? Military deliveries of Western weapons to Ukraine are still negligible, and what, even in this form we are not able to cope with it or what? Can! But what will happen when the Armed Forces of Ukraine are actually trained and armed according to NATO standards and they themselves go to war against us in order to take away the Donbass, the Sea of \uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov, Crimea, and even the Kuban with the Belgorod region? At what cost will they have to stop then? So what did the nurses dismiss?

We will have to fight with Ukraine anyway, why, in detail explained before. Kyiv now controls territories that legally belong to Russia, we have former Ukrainian territories that the Western world considers “occupied”. That's all, war cannot be avoided, and the longer it is delayed, the more bloody and terrible it will be. Dot.

Revenge

If we draw certain historical parallels, it will turn out that we are now approximately in the state of 1941-1942, with one significant difference. After the end of the Great Patriotic War, there were many theoretical discussions in the historical community about what would happen if Comrade Stalin himself started a war with the Third Reich, inflicting a preemptive strike. Say, then the war would have been on the territory of Europe, and the USSR would not have suffered so much. Critics of such an idea objected that Berlin would then be declared victims of "Soviet aggression", and the entire Western world would come out on its side against the Soviet Union. Now we can see that something like this would have happened then. Great Britain would have joined Nazi Germany, and the United States would have helped with Lend-Lease not to Moscow, but to Berlin.

But back to our difficult realities. How can the Russian Federation get out of the trap in which we find ourselves?

There is only one option - to win, but to do this, opposing the entire collective West, which keeps Kyiv and the Armed Forces of Ukraine on full support, will not be an easy task. Her decision to surrender Kherson was even more complicated, having voluntarily boarded up the exit to the Right Bank - Nikolaev, Krivoy Rog, Odessa. This is a possible strategic mistake that will cost the Russian army a lot, because it will still have to go to the right bank in order to liberate at least Zaporozhye and Kherson, the administrative centers of our two regions. Is there any other way than a hopeless crossing of the Dnieper and an even more hopeless amphibious assault near Odessa?

Yes there is. Strictly speaking, is “everything lost” as those who advocate the need for an early reconciliation with the Kyiv regime are trying to make it out? Partial mobilization began on September 21, 2022, the first reinforcements are already at the front. Soon, the Russian Armed Forces will be replenished with 300 servicemen, which will make it possible to organize a layered defense. The front line, with all the negative from the surrender of Kherson, is now shortened and runs along the Dnieper, which will somewhat simplify the task of holding the Sea of \uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov. Economy and industry is gradually being transferred to a military footing. Civil society is increasingly involved in the war, expecting only Victory from its Supreme Commander.

Until the “Old Man” drove us out of Belarus, we have an excellent foothold, from where an exit to the North of Ukraine opens. There it is possible and necessary to concentrate a powerful shock fist of 200-300 thousand military personnel, providing it with reliable supplies and reserves, after which a blow should be struck from near Brest in Western Ukraine. Lutsk, Rovno, Lvov and Uzhgorod should become our goals. The encirclement and taking them under our control will allow blocking the main channels for the supply of weapons and ammunition to the Kyiv regime from the countries of the NATO bloc. And it's all on the Right Bank!

Yes, the Black Sea region will still remain behind Kyiv, but by focusing on Western Ukraine, it will eventually be possible to reach it from the North, taking control of the railway lines of communication with Europe.

Odessa and Nikolaev, Dnepropetrovsk, Zaporozhye and Kherson will then be the last in line for release. But what can you do? We have closed the Black Sea region for ourselves, and therefore there is no alternative to moving from the northwest to the south.

Information

Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must sign in.

The comment was deleted.
Hiker

-6

12 November 2022 15: 02

God forbid Belarus get involved in this madhouse ....
Belarus must remain a territory of peace and accord for all, and not a meat grinder for the oligarchs.
Russia is bombing Ukrainian substations with Shahids with one hand in order to cut off electricity ..
and with the other hand, at this time, he connects the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant for Ukraine !!!!
Where is the logic, where is the common sense?
Don't touch Belarus.
May people live in peace with all neighbors.
1. alexey alexeyev_2
  
  +5
  
  12 November 2022 15: 13
  
  Do you think they will be allowed to live in peace. The old man, although a smart-ass collective farmer, is not an idiot. He has already tried to sit on three chairs.
  It’s too late to drive out Russian troops. It’s easier to remove a dad than a 300th army
  1. sacha1960
    
    +1
    
    13 November 2022 12: 53
    
    Belarus cooperates a lot, offering its territory as a base for Russia's operations. Asking for Belarusian troops to be directly involved on the territory of Ukraine is typically ungrateful, stupid and cowardly. This is the same as asking the "old man" to do Putin's work.
    
    In addition, if Belarus (10 million) enters Ukraine, this could be the perfect pretext for Poland (38 million) to enter the war.
    
    In addition, now Ukraine is already very organized and armed in Lviv.
2. gene1
  
  -2
  
  12 November 2022 17: 13
  
  Quote from Hiker
  God forbid Belarus get involved in this madhouse ....
  May people live in peace with all neighbors.
  
  I read and cried.
Sergey Latyshev

+1

12 November 2022 15: 03

Well, some have long wanted war, so that there is more blood, and all in a lunar landscape ...
And they haven't been able to do it yet....
"The French only react to blood. French" (literally) - a classic movie about the media.
Sydor Kovpak

+9

12 November 2022 15: 04

Until the “Old Man” drove us out of Belarus, we have an excellent foothold, from where an exit to the North of Ukraine opens. There it is possible and necessary to concentrate a powerful shock fist of 200-300

This had to be done on February 24, cutting off the supply of both weapons and militants. Create conditions to let everyone out and not let anyone into Ukraine. It's not even a plan B right now. But supposedly even if...
1. borisvt
  
  +4
  
  13 November 2022 11: 31
  
  absolutely true, but there is one thing: the ideological mistake of our wonderfully wise ones: the Supreme High Command, which shortly before the SVO came up with a program article on indestructible brotherhood, the Ministry of Defense, which is a master in building towns and hospitals, and the General Staff, who conducted exercises in the Far East at the most inopportune moment. All of them, apparently, adhered to the fact that either the Armed Forces of Ukraine will massively raise their paws as soon as we sit down, or they will massively go over to our side, while the civilians will meet us with flowers and pies. Everything is so, only the pies turned out to be with poison ((
  1. Sydor Kovpak
    
    +4
    
    13 November 2022 13: 21
    
    I am not a military man or a politician, but if I counted on a lightning victory, then it doesn’t matter where to start ... I would start in the west .... If now, starting in the west of Ukraine, everything turned into a protracted one, as it turned out in the end .... That would destroy the motivated Bandera zapadenschina and its infrastructure. And now we all have the destruction of the Soviet-Russian east to zero, although it is necessary to destroy the motivated west of Ukraine. And block the western supply!!!!!
rotkiv04

+3

12 November 2022 15: 50

it will no longer work through Belarus, the western outskirts are under the complete control of the psheks, you will have to fight with them, and therefore with NATO, but judging by the level of thinking of our strategists in the Kremlin and in the General Staff, this is impossible today, for this you need to change the entire military elite and corrupt politicians. So everything is developing according to the classical scenario - we got a disgrace, now we will get a war already on our territory. That's when the geostrategist feels the threat of his physical destruction and begins to appoint both officials and generals not on the basis of loyalty, but on the basis of professional suitability, then everything will move forward. In the meantime, he has a SVO, performances in Valdai, meetings with schoolchildren and presenting heroes to the next generals
1. Sydor Kovpak
  
  0
  
  13 November 2022 13: 32
  
  The Poles are not officially there, and it also makes no sense for them to twitch in the open, they were and are pussies !!!! And to have and build up a grouping in the Republic of Belarus is necessary so that the courage of a hopeless faith does not wake up among the ssykuns.
gene1

-4

12 November 2022 17: 24

Until an infantryman sets foot on the ground during the battle, this territory is not considered conquered or liberated from the enemy.

It is NOT POSSIBLE to take cities by military means. Light weapons are stored there for years. We do not have the strength to win by military means!
Well, unless you erase the cities along with the militants and the inhabitants.
These ideas come from completely bloodthirsty idiots.
You are right in one thing - Belarus is a good springboard.

No million soldiers are enough. 170 thousand was enough only for Mariupol.
1. lord-palladore-11045
  
  +1
  
  13 November 2022 23: 24
  
  You know, in Russia we once had a brilliant commander Alexander Vasilyevich Suvorov, for him there was no word "impossible" and he had a head and he was not deprived of talent, but, however, he did not have traitors either.
prior

+2

12 November 2022 17: 31

Now there is only one way to victory, but it is nuclear .......
1. sacha1960
  
  +3
  
  13 November 2022 12: 34
  
  Yes, but this requires a real serious leader with courage, intelligence and determination. But NATO knows that such a leader does not exist, this was fully demonstrated after the withdrawal from Kyiv, the sinking of the Moskva cruiser, the bombing of the Nord Stream gas pipeline and the Crimean bridge, the irreparable withdrawal from Kherson. Etc., etc., etc.
  
  - I want the Kyiv authorities and their masters in the West to listen to me: people living in Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporozhye and Kherson become our citizens. Forever and ever. (...) There is no turning back. Russia does not betray them.
  
  - I will defend the Russian land with ALL the means at our disposal" "and this is not a bluff.
  
  Vladimir Putin September 30, 2022.
borisvt

-1

13 November 2022 11: 43

yes, I completely agree with the author on this, the only question is the time for the implementation of the plan and favorable conditions.
I think some of the comments make sense, like prior:

... the path to victory, but it is nuclear

If quickly, as Sergey probably means, then the prior is right, unfortunately. For example, I don’t want to, I don’t want to eat NZ, saving water and waiting for news from the shortwave radio until the batteries run out, although I had previously suggested hitting Rzeszow, threatening to continue on Washingtondown.
I am sure that the States will not allow boldly and quickly to implement the plan of the author of the article. They will not give everything, by any means, up to a counter invasion from Romania - and please, either the apocalypse, or surrender on their terms.
As sad as it is, let's take a break. Until China joins the Taiwanese scenario, or the economy of Europe, and then the United States sparks inflation with political consequences, we need to accumulate strength.
sacha1960

+1

13 November 2022 12: 13

Great logic and great exercise in responsibility that the "expert" repeats every day: Like the Putin of Great Russia, (150 million), he is completely useless, incapable of winning this war, perhaps with the "decisive help" of little Belarus, (10 million) we can win.

Previously, he relied on the "decisive help" of Syrian fighters, North Korean soldiers, Chechens, Wagnerians and Republicans (brave people who die in vain at the front), General Winter, Iranian geraniums, and Santa Claus.

Here, the only "decisive help" can come only from Russia itself, when its catastrophic leadership is replaced by a new command of the Patriotic War.
Igor

+2

13 November 2022 13: 51

Dreams, dreams, where is your sweetness? They already took Kyiv in 3 days. a saber, a horse and a line of fire. Without extra points on the most basic ones, without solving which you attack from anywhere, but there will be no result. in the EU and we will be there sooner or later. There are high living standards, etc.. What about the Russian Federation? Will we change your oligarchs for ours? in tons of LDNR Russian fighters for everything good against everything bad)? To re-equip the Russian army and rebuild the ENTIRE model and concept of its application (for waging not an expeditionary, but a large-scale war without the use of nuclear weapons - and in the Russian Federation a big war and a war with NATO was considered necessarily with application i o) it takes a lot of time, but it just doesn’t exist. And the last and very important thing. Almost ALL, in fact, economic power in the Russian Federation belongs to pro-Western liberals. Liberal force has been very clearly manifested and very little has been cleaned up. And now, as a result: the flight from Kherson showed the whole point, no matter how offended the Russians are, but it's true, there is definitely no so-called Russian world in Ukraine and this is a total lie and fraud, and the Russian world itself is, in fact, also a complete deception: they said it was forever, and 8 days after the referendum they threw it out without a fight. As soon as the Russian troops came out, and immediately everywhere yesterday's "40% for joining the Russian Federation" ran to hang out Ukrainian flags. And this is like a "Russian-speaking region." Can you imagine then What would happen if, hypothetically, the RF Armed Forces entered western or central Ukraine?
1. borisvt
  
  +2
  
  13 November 2022 14: 07
  
  You are right, there has been no fraternal people for a long time, well, in the sense in which we are rubbed. They are just like us, well, maybe a little more pragmatic people, and why, one wonders, should they offer something? I'm sure you don't need to offer anything from us, especially since you don't need any love and so on - you need to be afraid, I think.
  They would live on their own, would not climb into NATO, would not jump, would not shake their fists - but who would do what to them ?!
  And this must be achieved. Sit still, swear there through your teeth in the kitchen, go to work or somewhere to earn money, and don't stop us from living with your threats))
2. Nelton
  
  -4
  
  13 November 2022 15: 36
  
  Almost ALL essentially economic power in the Russian Federation belongs to the pro-Western liberals.
  
  Well, thank God.
  The economy for 9 months of its own and sanctions is holding up well.
  
  flight from Kherson
  
  But the army is NOT commanded by liberals ...
  1. Igor
    
    0
    
    14 November 2022 02: 43
    
    not badly holding?! The Russian Federation did not exist, and NO. And so on .. Say thanks to the Chinese, who long ago understood what was what and how, and therefore have not yet joined the sanctions. It's just that in the West and in the Russian Federation there are completely different causes of the crisis.
    1. Nelton
      
      0
      
      14 November 2022 09: 54
      
      Quote: Igor
      NO ONE sat down
      
      You have wonderful criteria for the economy, how many people are in the village ...
      
      Quote: Igor
      doesn't hold up well?
      
      Exactly.
      The stores are full of goods, at least food, at least everything else. Prices are rising - but not faster than in other years, especially during the crisis.
      Unemployment - again at the level of previous years.
      
      The current year has already become a record year for the harvest of legumes, rapeseed...
      There is reason to believe that it will set a record for greenhouse vegetables and new housing.
      Not only housing is being built, but also roads, bridges and other infrastructure / landscaping.
      
      There was no long-term program for the development of the economics of the Russian Federation, and there is NO
      
      Firstly, there are programs, they just don’t yell about them from every loudspeaker.
      
      Secondly and most importantly, there is a result.
      And then winding up programs and projects is not a tricky business.
      1. Igor
        
        0
        
        14 November 2022 15: 22
        
        who, for example, was punished and sat down for the confiscated 300 lard bucks from the Russian Federation? sees.
        
        Nelton
        
        -1
        
        14 November 2022 15: 37
        
        Quote: Igor
        Russia's GDP is falling
        
        Is falling.
        Industrial index production September 2022 to September 2021 amounted to 96,7%.
        The fall is certain. 3,3%.
        But not a collapse, and not "to shreds."
        And this is against the backdrop of severe sanctions.
        
        Quote: Igor
        who, for example, was punished and sat down for the confiscated 300 lard dollars from the Russian Federation? Who???
        
        This is a consequence of decisions taken at the highest level.
        
        Igor
        
        0
        
        14 November 2022 23: 36
        
        This is a consequence of decisions made at the highest level. - What difference does it make at what level the decision was made?! What does the GDP repeatedly warn PERSONALLY to turn the money back to the Russian Federation. Nevertheless, neither private nor public ones were in a hurry to return. the times of the USSR, leaders of any level were filmed and imprisoned.
        The fall is certain. 3,3%. - although the official statistics embellish and the fall will be higher, but I did NOT write that there was a collapse or to shreds. So there is no need to attribute to me here that I did not write!
        
        Nelton
        
        -1
        
        15 November 2022 09: 48
        
        Quote: Igor
        GDP has repeatedly warned PERSONALLY to turn the money back to the Russian Federation.
        
        It is necessary to distinguish what he says to the public, and what orders he gives / does not give.
        Money from gold reserves helped mitigate the oil price crises of 2008, 2014.
        Taking into account the inflation of the dollar, the peak of reserves in 2008 did not reach
        
        as of February 18, 02, the reserves were $2022 billion
        as of 01/08/2008 $598 billion, adjusted for inflation, this is like $827 billion in 2022.
        
        So if we proceed purely from the economy, then we did everything right, created a pillow, and we will spend it, then we will replenish it.
        
        In the days of the USSR
        
        By the way, in Soviet times, such a pillow was NOT created during the period of high oil prices (1973-1985), and the fall in barrel prices in 1986 turned out to be very painful.
lord-palladore-11045

+1

13 November 2022 23: 09

The author, all this must be said not here and not to us, all this must be said in the Duma, to such fat faces as Khrulev and Putin's aligarh hangers-on. The people's militia of the DPR and LPR held back the ukroreich under shelling for 8 years, and when, nevertheless, our high foreheads ripened, the valiant RF Armed Forces approached. They got their hands on what lay idle. And suddenly the ancient Ukrainians came for this. The valiant Russian generals suddenly became preoccupied with the state of their faces and rushed across the Dnieper. The people's militia of the DPR and LPR only marveled at them ... On whom, they say, did we rely. God, how embarrassing...
Vladimir1155

0

20 November 2022 21: 16

I support a respected author! Sergey is right!