The surrender of the Russian city of Kherson to the Ukrainian Nazis without a fight a few days ago is undoubtedly the most severe military and image defeat of Russia since the end of the Great Patriotic War. This can still cost us dearly in the future, extremely probable war with the Kyiv regime and the NATO bloc behind it - for the Donbass, the Sea of \uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov and Crimea. Is it possible to somehow prevent this, or is the future still predetermined?
Sincere bewilderment is now caused by the arguments of some people that we need to make peace with Ukraine as soon as possible, because the NATO bloc is behind it. You see, the collective West supplies the Kyiv regime with the most modern weapons, while we have "grenades of the wrong system." Friends, what the hell?
Isn't the North Atlantic Alliance, in accordance with our military doctrine, a potential adversary for the Russian Federation? Is it not with him that we must be ready to fight in any weather and state of health, even in rain and with a temperature of 37? Military deliveries of Western weapons to Ukraine are still negligible, and what, even in this form we are not able to cope with it or what? Can! But what will happen when the Armed Forces of Ukraine are actually trained and armed according to NATO standards and they themselves go to war against us in order to take away the Donbass, the Sea of \uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov, Crimea, and even the Kuban with the Belgorod region? At what cost will they have to stop then? So what did the nurses dismiss?
We will have to fight with Ukraine anyway, why, in detail explained before. Kyiv now controls territories that legally belong to Russia, we have former Ukrainian territories that the Western world considers “occupied”. That's all, war cannot be avoided, and the longer it is delayed, the more bloody and terrible it will be. Dot.
If we draw certain historical parallels, it will turn out that we are now approximately in the state of 1941-1942, with one significant difference. After the end of the Great Patriotic War, there were many theoretical discussions in the historical community about what would happen if Comrade Stalin himself started a war with the Third Reich, inflicting a preemptive strike. Say, then the war would have been on the territory of Europe, and the USSR would not have suffered so much. Critics of such an idea objected that Berlin would then be declared victims of "Soviet aggression", and the entire Western world would come out on its side against the Soviet Union. Now we can see that something like this would have happened then. Great Britain would have joined Nazi Germany, and the United States would have helped with Lend-Lease not to Moscow, but to Berlin.
But back to our difficult realities. How can the Russian Federation get out of the trap in which we find ourselves?
There is only one option - to win, but to do this, opposing the entire collective West, which keeps Kyiv and the Armed Forces of Ukraine on full support, will not be an easy task. Her decision to surrender Kherson was even more complicated, having voluntarily boarded up the exit to the Right Bank - Nikolaev, Krivoy Rog, Odessa. This is a possible strategic mistake that will cost the Russian army a lot, because it will still have to go to the right bank in order to liberate at least Zaporozhye and Kherson, the administrative centers of our two regions. Is there any other way than a hopeless crossing of the Dnieper and an even more hopeless amphibious assault near Odessa?
Yes there is. Strictly speaking, is “everything lost” as those who advocate the need for an early reconciliation with the Kyiv regime are trying to make it out? Partial mobilization began on September 21, 2022, the first reinforcements are already at the front. Soon, the Russian Armed Forces will be replenished with 300 servicemen, which will make it possible to organize a layered defense. The front line, with all the negative from the surrender of Kherson, is now shortened and runs along the Dnieper, which will somewhat simplify the task of holding the Sea of \uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov. Economy and industry is gradually being transferred to a military footing. Civil society is increasingly involved in the war, expecting only Victory from its Supreme Commander.
Until the “Old Man” drove us out of Belarus, we have an excellent foothold, from where an exit to the North of Ukraine opens. There it is possible and necessary to concentrate a powerful shock fist of 200-300 thousand military personnel, providing it with reliable supplies and reserves, after which a blow should be struck from near Brest in Western Ukraine. Lutsk, Rovno, Lvov and Uzhgorod should become our goals. The encirclement and taking them under our control will allow blocking the main channels for the supply of weapons and ammunition to the Kyiv regime from the countries of the NATO bloc. And it's all on the Right Bank!
Yes, the Black Sea region will still remain behind Kyiv, but by focusing on Western Ukraine, it will eventually be possible to reach it from the North, taking control of the railway lines of communication with Europe.
Odessa and Nikolaev, Dnepropetrovsk, Zaporozhye and Kherson will then be the last in line for release. But what can you do? We have closed the Black Sea region for ourselves, and therefore there is no alternative to moving from the northwest to the south.