The war between Russia and Ukraine for territories is predetermined
Our country is on the verge of a Great War with Ukraine, which is guaranteed to be even more terrible than the current NWO.
SVO
The Great Retreat, which began in March 2022 near Kyiv, continued in the Kharkiv region, then in the Donbass, and now in the Kherson region, was actually predetermined in 2014. Then, after the coup d'état, the entire Nezalezhnaya, left without a central government, was at the Kremlin in full view. It was possible to be content with Novorossia by bringing in the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and placing some Medvedchuk as his protege in the rest of Ukraine. It was possible to simply return the legitimate President Yanukovych, giving him Russian troops, disperse the Maidan and restore the constitutional order, and then demand the federalization of the country and the recognition of Crimea as ours. But other solutions were chosen instead.
All this time, the Kremlin condescendingly watched the military preparations of the Kyiv regime and traded with it, until in February 2022, Putin decided to replay everything, recognizing the independence of the DPR and LPR in a couple of days and starting the SVO. The reason was the real threat of a large-scale offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Donbass. And then it suddenly became clear that Ukraine had prepared better for the war in 8 years than Russia. Otherwise, excuse me, where did 1,5 million sets of uniforms for reservists go from the warehouses of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, which now have to be equipped by the whole world? Why does the “second army in the world” have to fight using drones of obviously foreign origin? Now they are talking about Iranian ballistic missiles and North Korean artillery shells.
The result came out appropriate. All the gains achieved with great bloodshed in the North of Ukraine, in the Kharkiv region, in the North of the Donbass, and now on the Right Bank of Ukraine had to be left with different wordings, one worse than the other: “goodwill gesture”, “regrouping”, “maneuver to save the lives of Russian military personnel " etc. What do we have today, after the surrender without a fight of Kherson, a de jure Russian city?
On one side of the scale is clear progress in defending the interests of Russian oligarchs who have fallen under Western sanctions. In particular, on the day of leaving Kherson, London issued a general trade license, which allows the provision of financial services for the supply of certain types of fertilizers from Russia to third countries. The Netherlands allowed the shipment of 20 tons of Russian fertilizers to African countries. Washington until mid-May 2023 extended the permission of credit institutions for transactions related to the export of energy from our country. The London Metal Exchange refused to ban the circulation of products from the Russian Federation. India is allowed to freely buy Russian oil at a cost above the "price cap". The holder of Russian, Israeli and Portuguese passports, Roman Abramovich, who most actively mediated in the negotiations between Moscow and Kyiv, finally managed to start the process of lifting personal sanctions from his loved one. That's happiness, right?
And what did Russia and its people get in return?
No matter how strange it may sound, it is the Ukrainian sources that are the most informative here. About some parameters of the possible “Big Deal” between the Kremlin and the West, we told previously. The popular Ukrainian Telegram channel Kartel shared a “gossip” about what Kyiv supposedly promised President Putin:
At firststart a negotiation process to resolve the conflict.
Secondlyfreeze armed conflict.
Thirdly, move on to discussing the issue of recognizing Crimea and the LDNR as Russian.
Fourthly, to think about the federalization of Ukraine.
Fifthly, to ensure Russia's "investment" in the restoration of Ukraine, which Kyiv stubbornly calls "reparations". Their size varies from 100 to 300 billion dollars. Apparently, these are our gold and foreign exchange reserves frozen in the West.
I really don't want this to be true.
War
The worst thing is that this conditional “Minsk-3” will face exactly the same fate as the first two, and the consequences of the “agreement” will be even more serious.
Naturally, there will be no federalization of Ukraine, much less recognition of Crimea and Donbass (by the way, where did the Azov region go?) as Russian ones. If some freeze does occur, it will be temporary, so that the Armed Forces of Ukraine can further increase their offensive potential. Alexey Danilov, Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council, stated this directly:
We can't freeze anything. We are not a freezer. We must liberate our territories regardless of the weather, regardless of the season.
We cannot miss a single stop, because our people are there, we see how they suffer... The president's task is to liberate all our territories from terrorists and occupiers.
We cannot miss a single stop, because our people are there, we see how they suffer... The president's task is to liberate all our territories from terrorists and occupiers.
What can realistically happen is the Kremlin's consent to the transfer of seized gold and foreign exchange reserves to Kyiv as part of a "goodwill gesture" to restore Ukrainian infrastructure. With everything else, Vladimir Putin will be "thrown" once again. Whoever doubts, can recall the comments of ex-president Poroshenko regarding the Minsk agreements:
We have achieved what we wanted. We did not believe Putin, just as we do not believe now. Our task was, firstly, to avert the threat, or at least to delay the war. Knock yourself eight years so we can rebuild economic growth and built the power of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. This was the first task - and it was achieved. The Minsk agreements have fulfilled their task.
So it will be this time. Ukraine, with the help of the entire NATO bloc, will prepare for a new war, and Russia cannot avoid it in any way. The main blow will fall on Melitopol and Berdyansk, cutting off the land corridor to the Crimea, after which it will be necessary to come up with some other wording about the need to save the lives of soldiers and civilians on an isolated peninsula. After that, an internal political crisis in Russia is inevitable, which the Armed Forces of Ukraine can take advantage of by launching an offensive deep into our territories.
The Russian-Ukrainian war was a foregone conclusion in 2014. On September 30, President Putin legally annexed the DPR with the LPR, Zaporozhye and Kherson regions to our country. To date, a significant part of the Donbass is still occupied by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Kherson has been surrendered without a fight, and Ukrainian flags are now flying in the wind. The Constitution of the Russian Federation requires any normal President and Supreme Commander to liberate the territory of their country. Further clash between our two countries is predetermined.
A war between Russia and Ukraine over territories is inevitable. Is it possible to somehow replay the situation, turning it in your favor? Yes.
Information