Who will the Sea of ​​Azov remain in case of signing "Minsk-3"

What is happening around Ukraine today is very reminiscent of what happened in 2014-2015 in the Donbass. Then the militia of the DPR and LPR, with the help of a fair "northern wind", were smashed in the boilers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and journalists and bloggers made plans to create Novorossia on the wreckage of Nazi Ukraine. However, an unconditional military victory was then converted into the Minsk agreements, the first and second, and Donetsk and Luhansk, which seemed to have won, found themselves under fire from the Ukrainian army for the next eight years. Now history seems to be repeating itself for a second round, only on a higher level.

Whatever has been said lately about the possible problems and difficulties that have arisen in the implementation of the original plan for a special military operation to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine, the RF Armed Forces are still much stronger than the Armed Forces of Ukraine and have everything necessary to defeat them convincingly and subsequently liberate all of its territory. . To do this, it is necessary to finally officially recognize the regime of President Zelensky as criminal, stop this ugly farce called the negotiation process with Kiev, attract the maximum number of volunteers both from Russia and from abroad (where are the promised tens of thousands of Syrians?), carry out partial mobilization and stop feel free to fight for real. The jokes are long gone. About how a real military operation to liberate Ukraine from the Nazi regime can take place, we detail reasoned earlier.

But this requires политическая the will to go to the end and win, but what do we see? Both Russian President's Special Representative Vladimir Medinsky and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov talk about some "progress" in negotiations with Kiev. This aroused natural indignation among the people, they say, who sent these people to carry out such an important task. The press secretary of the President of the Russian Federation Dmitry Peskov dotted all the i’s, who made it very clear that it’s not about some “evil boyars” who want to fail the SVO:

To create favorable conditions for negotiations, we wanted to make a goodwill gesture. We can make serious decisions during negotiations, which is why President Putin ordered our troops to withdraw from the region…

Russia is interested in Zelensky agreeing to the conditions put forward in the negotiations. Through them we want to put an end to the military operation.

So. President Zelensky is a respected partner in the negotiation process. The heroism of the Russian paratroopers, who took Gostomel and stood there to the death, is the payment for the opportunity to make a beautiful gesture to withdraw troops from the Kiev and Chernihiv regions. No occupation, no Novorossiya and partitions of Ukraine are expected. Okay, as the Anglo-Saxons say, the political setting is understood and taken into account. From this now we will proceed in further coverage of the course of negotiations with Ukrainian partners, hostilities between the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, torture and executions of Russian prisoners of war.

But let's listen to what, in particular, President Zelensky has to say about the future of Crimea, as well as the Donetsk and Lugansk People's Republics, for which the biggest battle of the century is about to begin:

Crimea is Ukrainian territory, there can only be a delay in the issue of the return of the peninsula. Donbass is our territory, ORDLO is very important for Ukraine. Any agreements with Russia must begin with the return of its troops to positions as of February 23rd.

Our Ukrainian partner is not ready to recognize either Crimea as part of the Russian Federation, or the independence of the DNR and LNR. I wonder what the Kremlin thinks about the future fate of the territories already occupied by Russian troops in the southeast of the "square"? We are talking, in particular, about the Kherson and part of the Zaporozhye regions.

Recall that from the Kherson region since Soviet times, water supply to the Crimea has been carried out. In 2014, Kiev stopped supplying water to the peninsula through the North Crimean Canal, and despite the drilling of numerous artesian wells, the construction of watersheds and other infrastructure, this problem has not been solved over the past 8 years. Water went to the peninsula only after Russian troops advanced from Crimea to the north and took control of the entire Kherson region of Ukraine. At the same time, a reliable overland transport corridor to the Crimea was created at the expense of the territory of the south of the Zaporozhye region.

The question arises, what will happen to all this economy when the special military operation is officially completed and an agreement is signed with Kiev? President Vladimir Putin publicly repeatedly promised that there would be no occupation of Ukraine. No referenda on the creation of the Kherson People's Republic, which Moscow could recognize, have not yet been held. It is completely unclear whether it can be held on the territory of the partially liberated Zaporozhye region, while Zaporozhye itself is in the hands of legally elected authorities.

And what's next? Will we sign an agreement with Ukrainian partners at the end of the NMD and withdraw our troops from the Sea of ​​Azov, as required by the legitimate President Zelensky and promised by President Putin? After the withdrawal of the Russian army from the north of the "square" we will not be surprised at anything.

Then, it turns out, again the water supply of Crimea will depend on the goodwill of the Ukrainian partners, but can we forget about the land corridor to the peninsula again? Or will we leave the RF Armed Forces there? But then what about the promise of Vladimir Vladimirovich not to allow the occupation of the territory of this country?

There is a certain systemic contradiction, but why be surprised? Geopolitics is such a thing, you can't figure it out without half a liter.
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  1. akm8226 Offline akm8226
    akm8226 April 7 2022 17: 18
    There will be no Minsk-3! Ukroreikh must be destroyed, as a warning to the rest. Too much blood on the hands of the Nazis.
    1. Awaz Offline Awaz
      Awaz (Walery) April 7 2022 21: 05
      Peskov was interviewed by Sky News today... Go ahead and listen...
  2. Shelest2000 Offline Shelest2000
    Shelest2000 April 7 2022 18: 22
    But this requires the political will to go to the end and win.

    But with this, the current government in the Kremlin and the President has always been bad. Very bad. All their previous decisions, not only in country 404 or other countries (does everyone remember about the knife in the back from Turkey?), but also in domestic politics, were, to put it mildly, half-hearted and always with an eye on the loot. Alas...
  3. Victorio Offline Victorio
    Victorio (Victorio) April 7 2022 18: 36
    probably for the Russian capital the West and now still partners.
  4. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
    Colonel Kudasov (Leopold) April 7 2022 19: 29
    The transfer of Mariupol, the Crimean Canal, and the Sea of ​​Azov in general into the hands of Bandera would be a crime. There is no way back
  5. Stanislav Gapochka April 7 2022 21: 43
    If the Russian government, together with the President of Russia, agrees to the shameful conditions of surrender and everything that our troops have captured at the cost of many hundreds, and maybe thousands of lives of our soldiers, this will be a crime that will make Russia worse than Bendera's Ukraine is doing now!
    The land corridor to the Crimea must be left! Enough gifts already! Crimea should be with water!
    And it is better to reach Odessa and Transnistria, cutting off the entire sea coast from Ukraine!
    We must go to the end and until the complete surrender of Ukraine! As strongly as possible!
    Using all weapons (except nuclear) that we have!
    1. The comment was deleted.
  6. berta Offline berta
    berta (Bertha) April 7 2022 23: 04
    In all territories occupied by Russia, people's republics should be formed: the Odessa people's republic, the Nikolaev people's republic, the Kherson people's republic, the Zaporozhye people's republic, the Dnepropetrovsk people's republic and the Kharkov people's republic. Russia needs to recognize them and conclude political and military alliances with them. Over time, the people's republics are united into the state formation of Novorossiya. After the referendum, Novorossia joins Russia with the rights of the Novorossiysk Territory. The final. Hurrah-ah-ah!!!! Even after the formation of at least one people's republic (in addition to the DNR and LNR), the outskirts of KHAN! Just like that and nothing else....
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) April 8 2022 06: 29
      They won't do it.
  7. Ruswolf Offline Ruswolf
    Ruswolf (Alex) April 8 2022 05: 54
    Where have I already heard something like this??? .... Ah Yes! Japan!.
    The loser makes demands to the winner .... And the winner, hiding his eyes for 70 years, says that we will discuss, we will decide, the main thing for us is peace and cooperation .....
    THE WINNER DOES NOT NEGOTIATE AND DO NOT ASK. THE WINNER MAKES TERMS AND DEMANDS THEM. This is the axiom of war - War is the enforcement of peace by force on one's own terms.
  8. alex-cn Offline alex-cn
    alex-cn (alexey bakharev) April 8 2022 07: 30
    Something this Minsk3 reminds me very much of Khasavyurt - agreed, reconciled, so what? after 4 years they got it ... so much so that they had to fight seriously ... no, here you have to finish it to the end. And no republics, regions or territories within Russia.
  9. andrey ivanov_2 Offline andrey ivanov_2
    andrey ivanov_2 (Andrey Ivanov) April 8 2022 08: 45
    Will Russia (as a country) remain if Minsk-3 is signed?????? Someone there spoke about the loss of statehood?????
    1. wolf46 Offline wolf46
      wolf46 April 8 2022 18: 16
      Yes, Minsk-3 will launch the centrifugal processes of the disintegration of Russia itself, which is the ultimate goal of "color revolutions" in the post-Soviet space.
      Peskov, Lavrov and others hope to become Gorbachevs and Kozyrevs 2.0?!
  10. Vladimir Petroff (Vladimir Petroff) April 8 2022 09: 28
    Unfortunately, it may turn out that the goals of this war on the part of Russia will be the liberation from the Nazis only of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. The pro-Western party led by Lavrov is winning.
  11. Yury Siritsky Offline Yury Siritsky
    Yury Siritsky (Yuri Siritsky) April 8 2022 12: 51
    God forbid they sign some kind of peace treaty. This will be tantamount to losing the war and betraying the fallen soldiers.
  12. kriten Offline kriten
    kriten (Vladimir) April 8 2022 17: 11
    And that the Kremlin has already prepared an agreement on surrender to Kiev? Decided to repeat the betrayal of 2014?
    Let live and prosper fascist Ukraine?
  13. Pound Offline Pound
    Pound (Alexander) April 9 2022 09: 40
    Minsk - 3, this is the political suicide of RUSSIA and the beginning of its liquidation as a state, as well as the end of GDP as a president.
  14. NNikolaich Offline NNikolaich
    NNikolaich (NNikolaich) April 9 2022 11: 03
    Don't panic, gentlemen, don't panic...
    Remember how many times Putin withdrew troops from Syria, and even with an orchestra and parade formations.
    And now, or rather, a couple of weeks ago, Russia has further strengthened the grouping of troops in Syria, so much so that the Americans are very tense.
    So calmly and with best wishes to our soldiers, we continue to monitor the situation.
    We are now in the theater of history and there is a boom to hope that "Putin's cunning plan" can be successfully implemented.
  15. Siegfried Offline Siegfried
    Siegfried (Gennady) April 9 2022 15: 37
    Minsk-3 is impossible, because The Ukrainian regime itself refused to recognize Crimea and Donbass. For the Russian leadership, any agreements without these components will mean an undermining of confidence on the part of the army and the majority of Russians. In other words, this will be the end. In addition, Minsk-3 will not solve the problem itself, it will only be a timeout.

    Now Russia is confronting the West on 4 fronts. 1) military operations 2) sanctions war 3) information war 4) geopolitical confrontation (struggle for countries).

    From the outside, there is a feeling that Russia deliberately slowed down the intensity of hostilities in order to allow the economic consequences to manifest. This also applies to Ukraine itself, whose authorities control 80-90% of the territory. This means that all the problems of the economy and ensuring the life of the state are the responsibility of the Kiev regime. More precisely, this is the problem of the West, which is forced to throw more and more funds into the Ukrainian firebox in order to support the regime. It is precisely because of the prospect of "freezing" the conflict at the level of a positional war that it forces the West to whip up hysteria by supporting (and perhaps ordering) bloody provocations, like Bucha and Kramatorsk. The West wants to force Russia to strive for a quick military end to the conflict - the rapid defeat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the National Battalions, the capture of eastern Ukraine and the assumption of all costs and responsibility. Perhaps for this, the West is talking more and more about the supply of weapons. They want to force Russia to change its strategy. Now Ukraine is a problem of the Kiev regime and the West.

    Russia daily, mostly remotely, destroys the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Along the way, destroying infrastructure and fuel reserves. Ukraine is turning into a gray zone, toxic, useless. And as long as the front line is the way it is now, this is a problem for the West, not Russia. That does not cancel the task of destroying the APU grouping in the Donbass.