After the military reform, the defeat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine can cost the Russian army dearly


Disturbing news came the day before from Ukraine. President Zelensky signed a Decree to increase the size of the Armed Forces by 100 people and to gradually transfer the army to a professional basis. Apparently, Russia will soon not only completely lose the opportunity to resolve the “Ukrainian problem” on its own terms, but will also receive a serious permanent threat on its western border.


President Volodymyr Zelensky made a number of important announcements. In the next three years, the number of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will increase by 100 people, the service life of contract soldiers will also gradually increase, and from 000 the Ukrainian army will become fully professional:

This decree is the start of Ukraine's transition to a professional army, this decree is not because war is coming soon, this decree is so that soon there will be peace in Ukraine.

Yes, it seems that peace in Ukraine will indeed be ensured, "Ukrainian", forever. After the completion of this military reform, the Kremlin will lose the opportunity to defeat Nezalezhnaya by military means at an “acceptable” price. What gives us reason to believe so?

As soon as over the past years, the Armed Forces of Ukraine were not ridiculed in Russia: they were reminded of numerous “cauldrons”, ironic about the low combat skills and morale of Ukrainian conscript soldiers. But in just a few years, everything can change, not for the better for us Russians.

If you look at the domestic press on this issue, then military experts quite rightly point to a relatively weak financialtechnical base of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, based on obsolete Soviet-style weapons, and an insufficient number of experienced officers who have gone through the Soviet military school. It is believed that the country's defense budget should be $10 billion for every 100 soldiers. The total strength of the Ukrainian army today is 000 people, of which 261 are the so-called territorial defense. After the reform from Zelensky, the number of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will grow to 000 people. This is a lot for an impoverished country like Nezalezhnaya, with its current military budget of $11 billion. In addition to paying salaries, it is also necessary to constantly purchase more modern weapons. What then is Kiev counting on?

It must be assumed that he is counting on the help of his new allies in the Entente, about which we they said the day before, Great Britain and Poland. Rather, to London, one of the largest financial centers in the world. For the British, several billion dollars a year is not a critical amount, but in return for such investments, the United Kingdom will receive a subordinate “native army” of 361 troops on the frontier between the European Union and the Russian Federation. For us, this is very bad news.

At first, the transition of the Ukrainian army to a professional basis means that in the end only highly motivated people who decide to connect their lives with military affairs will remain in the Armed Forces of Ukraine. No more whimpering conscripts ready to scatter at the first salvo from Russian Grads. Soldiers and officers will be trained and armed according to NATO standards. Yes, the Independent will not be accepted into the North Atlantic Alliance, but its Armed Forces will de facto become its branch.

Secondly, an increase in the number to 361 people and the transition of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to a contractual basis will lead to the fact that Russia will have to forget even about the theoretical possibility of defeating Ukraine by military means. For a confident victory, the attacking side must provide itself with at least a threefold numerical advantage. We cannot ensure this even today, when 000 people serve in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, even by pulling units from the Eastern Military District to the Ukrainian borders.

When the Armed Forces of Ukraine will number 361 people, the Russian Defense Ministry will have to use all its soldiers without exception to defeat them. If at the time of its creation in 000 the RF Armed Forces numbered 1992 people, then, for example, as of 2, only 880 served in the Russian army. Let's not forget about the reserve of 000, but one should hardly expect high fighting spirit.

Thirdly, the current crisis on the Ukrainian border will someday end, and Russian troops will return to their places of permanent deployment. Of course, we will not invade anywhere. And then it turns out that a professional Ukrainian army, trained according to NATO standards and numbering 361 bayonets, will remain in the western direction. In other words, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will already have a significant advantage over the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, representing a huge and very real threat to the unrecognized republics of Donbass, and to Crimea, and to neighboring Belarus.

Reformed, in a word. For such a large country, our army is objectively small. And in 2014 in Ukraine, we recall, there was only 1 combat-ready battalion. But simple solutions, as you know, are not for us, we play for a long time.
37 comments
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  1. Alsur Offline Alsur
    Alsur (Alexey) 3 February 2022 18: 00
    +16
    The army is built by the economy, not by presidential decrees. Therefore, the Russian army is not like in the USA and China. And in Ukraine they will build a large army, but it does not obey the laws of the economy.
  2. The comment was deleted.
  3. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 3 February 2022 18: 24
    +5
    For a confident victory, the attacking side must provide itself with at least a threefold numerical advantage.

    An outdated truth.
    Superiority in armament and organization allows you to win even if the numerical equality of forces.
  4. viktortarianik Offline viktortarianik
    viktortarianik (Victor) 3 February 2022 18: 29
    +6
    How are things with unemployment in Ukraine? You can go to work in Poland, or you can sign up as a contract soldier in the army. In peacetime - a normal form of earnings. Would his motivation to fight be sufficient if he was running from unemployment?
  5. akarfoxhound Offline akarfoxhound
    akarfoxhound 3 February 2022 18: 48
    +8
    It is interesting - what professional relation do you have to military art, having made such "conclusions"?
  6. Sofa division Offline Sofa division
    Sofa division (Maksim) 3 February 2022 19: 13
    +3
    Well, Sergey completely panicked
    1. The comment was deleted.
  7. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 3 February 2022 19: 48
    -3
    But simple solutions, as you know, are not for us, we play for a long time

    As time has shown, time is not in favor of Russia. Propaganda in Ukraine gives its "fruits", unfortunately. Moreover, the Russian authorities do not even consider economic pressure. And this means that Russia itself will finance the Ukrainian army.
  8. Dukhskrepny Offline Dukhskrepny
    Dukhskrepny (Vasya) 3 February 2022 20: 16
    +1
    There will be no war. Horror stories for the electorate
  9. gorskova.ir Offline gorskova.ir
    gorskova.ir (Irina Gorskova) 3 February 2022 20: 37
    +3
    With the rubbish that was thrown there from all the holes, the threat is only for the Donbass. About the "imminent invasion" (as I already wrote), even Psaki began to back away, saying that she only said that once. But our army is not like there. What was shown during the restoration of order in Kazakhstan. Yes, and in the exercises.
  10. Binder Offline Binder
    Binder (Miron) 3 February 2022 21: 27
    -15
    That rare case when there is a rational grain in the writings of Mr. Marzhetsky. Ukraine, with the help of the West, is building and re-equipping the army, achieving significant results in this, which are noticeable at first sight. Russia today should not count on an easy victorious war, and in the foreseeable future, its chances of winning will become completely illusive. In light of the growing technological lag behind developed countries and the deplorable state of the Russian economy, its military power is melting like snow in the spring. Therefore, the Kremlin leadership should radically revise the principles of its international policy, forget about the role of a great power and the possibility of successful resolution of disputes by armed means - not a hat for Senka ...
    1. paster40 Offline paster40
      paster40 (pastor40) 3 February 2022 22: 06
      +4
      and in which segment of the Russian economy is deplorable?)
      1. Binder Offline Binder
        Binder (Miron) 3 February 2022 22: 15
        -9
        The question is put incorrectly - one should ask: in what segment is the Russian economy successful? Let me remind you that in terms of GDP per capita, the Russian Federation is significantly inferior even to Lithuania and Estonia.
        1. EVYN WIXH Offline EVYN WIXH
          EVYN WIXH (EVYN WIXH) 7 February 2022 13: 32
          +1
          Based on the size of that population, it’s enough to have a couple of windmills there to get such a GDP))) But seriously, with such preferences as they have and what they have left from the USSR, they could achieve more, but alas ...
          1. Binder Offline Binder
            Binder (Miron) 7 February 2022 17: 56
            -3
            With what Russia got from the USSR, it could generally live much better than the Arab Emirates, but alas ...
            1. House 25 Sq. 380 (House 25 Sq. 380) 9 February 2022 11: 11
              0
              In "mirror" - it did not work out ...
  11. paster40 Offline paster40
    paster40 (pastor40) 3 February 2022 22: 08
    +5
    what is the number of Ukrainians. The Armed Forces of Ukraine were in the Crimea?, and how many of them left for the mainland? and then it also returned ?? .. in this case, the growth of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not affect its quality - just extra meat ..
  12. The comment was deleted.
  13. Sapsan136 Offline Sapsan136
    Sapsan136 (Alexander) 3 February 2022 22: 34
    -1
    Quantity is not quality, but supplying serious weapons to Ukraine in a quantity dangerous for the Russian Federation is an expensive matter and such zeal is not yet visible in the West, and the Russian Federation cannot be defeated with rifles, Stingers and Javelins alone, especially since Ukraine is not Chechnya, there are no mountains and Daghe Carpathians, in Galicia, these are far from the Caucasian ranges
  14. Grandpa Wow Offline Grandpa Wow
    Grandpa Wow (Nikolai) 3 February 2022 22: 36
    +2
    What is "expensive" here? The Nazis must be eradicated at any cost, otherwise, just like in Ukraine, Bandera's scum will someday reappear! You need to finish off what the grandfathers did not finish off!
  15. Konstantinm Offline Konstantinm
    Konstantinm 4 February 2022 06: 37
    0
    Why did Russia win in all wars except for the Second World War with a smaller number of troops?
  16. Konstantinm Offline Konstantinm
    Konstantinm 4 February 2022 06: 41
    +1
    Quote: Bindyuzhnik
    The question is put incorrectly - one should ask: in what segment is the Russian economy successful? Let me remind you that in terms of GDP per capita, the Russian Federation is significantly inferior even to Lithuania and Estonia.

    Moscow is recognized by the UN as the best capital in the world in terms of quality of life, draw conclusions:
    https://ria.ru/20220203/moskva-1770840466.html
    1. Dimy4 Offline Dimy4
      Dimy4 (Dmitriy) 4 February 2022 07: 23
      0
      Moscow is recognized by the UN as the best capital in the world in terms of quality of life, draw conclusions:

      As a resident of the middle lane, from the window of the house in which I live, I can see the former state farm fields, overgrown with undergrowth and cow parsnip, the cut down forest around, and a lot of things that can no longer be restored. This recognition is just a holiday.
  17. Yuriy88 Offline Yuriy88
    Yuriy88 (Yuri) 4 February 2022 07: 39
    +2
    so what?! re-arm, reform the Armed Forces of Ukraine, so what? gladly trample on Russia??? What nonsense! Russia is not Yugoslavia with Libya, and not even North. Korea with its vigorous missiles !!! Russia alone, she can destroy the whole world (translating, to fight with everyone!)..No one is going to occupy Ukraine, to conquer! Donbass, as soon as the situation matures, of course, we will take it! Ukraine, on the other hand, can boil in itself to infinity, no difference.. Naturally, sooner or later they will join NATO and drag missiles to the borders. Russia! So what?? They will simply put the whole country under the first strike - nuclear .. with any serious threat to Russia. Did they benefit a lot from this?
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 5 February 2022 15: 13
      -3
      Donbass has not yet matured, it turns out. poor people
  18. Nikolay Moroz Offline Nikolay Moroz
    Nikolay Moroz (Nikolay Moroz) 4 February 2022 10: 34
    0
    Before going on the offensive against the UA .. if such is the decision .. the UA armies will announce it .. or lay down your arms or it will be very painful .. and orthoprocessing of positions using powerful missiles and guns is not a trench war in the Donbas .. here I think that the two heroes of the brother will not have time to reach the Canadian border .. and without real combat .. and even on camera .. and even for bonuses .. yes, here you can develop such a fantasy .. HERBERT WALES will envy.
  19. consultant Offline consultant
    consultant (Vladimir) 4 February 2022 13: 30
    +2
    The author is a theoretician, trying to draw global conclusions on all issues, having neither knowledge nor practice. It is foolish to draw a conclusion about the creation of a professional army in Ukraine. I remember in Russia in the early 90s they also announced this (and more than once) - they significantly reduced the number of conscripts and recruited contract soldiers who turned out to be 90% drunk and trash. These new "professionals" stole and drank what had not yet been stolen before them, the prestige of the army fell below the plinth. To make a professional army, you must first take them somewhere, then these professionals. And flooding the Papuans with even the latest weapons will not make the army professional. The presence of small and even very combat-ready units also does not in itself give a chance to win the war as a whole. But we still don’t need to fight with Ukraine!
  20. The comment was deleted.
  21. Harmful Offline Harmful
    Harmful (Katerina Golub) 4 February 2022 21: 31
    +4
    I recommend the author to visit a real war. The armament of the Russian Federation implies contactless erasure of the entire territory of Ukraine to dust. Zelensky, as he was a KVNshchik, continues to make people laugh. And also the feeling that the author wrote this text solely for the sake of comments, so all comments are relevant.
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 5 February 2022 15: 11
      -4
      Have you yourself been out of the trench for a long time?
  22. art573 Offline art573
    art573 (Artyom Vladimirovich Yarovikov) 4 February 2022 21: 41
    0
    The article is correct. The Russian army needs to complete new units of the Ground Forces! And these units must constantly train for deployment to the defense with the transfer to the borders of the country. With the condition of the Eastern Theater of Operations, even taking into account that China will cover the southeastern direction from a strike on us (Pacific), and the Western Theater of Operations (European), where Belarus will partially cover us, but it will not last long without us.
  23. Starik59 Offline Starik59
    Starik59 (Starik) 5 February 2022 07: 34
    +3
    Sergei Marzhetsky, did you try to serve in the army? And to delve into the structure of the armed forces? And if China and the United States start to fight, will China win? In general, not an article, but nonsense of an amateur!
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 5 February 2022 15: 11
      -3
      Can you be more specific, pro?
  24. Sergofan Offline Sergofan
    Sergofan (sergey Pupkin) 5 February 2022 12: 23
    0
    Well, yes, well, yes, they still need to be supported. The entire army budget of the ukria already goes to salaries, and not rearmament, there’s not much money for more ....
  25. Denis radish Offline Denis radish
    Denis radish (Denis Moroz) 5 February 2022 14: 25
    0
    The West needs this Ukrainian confusion simply as a buffer. Eastern, Europe is no longer suitable, because for a long time, completely and completely crushed and mastered by Western capital, i.e. as if it already has its own fiefdom, and these territories are still wild and uncertain, you can fight them, you can risk them, because in essence nothing has been invested there.
  26. Cabernet Sauvignon 8 February 2022 09: 14
    0
    As Comrade Zhukov used to say:

    woe to the country that cannot ensure its security from the air.

    And Georgy Konstantinovich understood something in this. Therefore, to consider the country's army and "bayonets" is the day before yesterday, today planes, electronic warfare missiles and drones are fighting. Secondly: when does Zelensky promise to create a professional army - by 2024, when will his presidency end? He will not create anything, he just needs to shake the air with something. Poroshenko, when he was elected president, also promised that only contract soldiers would fight in the Donbass ..
  27. Maxim Chernyshov (Maxim Chernyshov) 8 February 2022 10: 43
    0
    Well, to talk one thing, but in fact the output is zilch
  28. Tixiy Offline Tixiy
    Tixiy (Tixiy) 8 February 2022 16: 40
    0
    The best fight is the one that never happened. Ukraine is preparing for a war according to the patterns of the Second World War, I must say, it’s badly preparing, they steal more. But there will be no such war, no matter how Russia is forced to do so. A professional army is big money. Where can I get them for a country that, without loans, cannot pay a salary to state employees or a pension?
  29. isofat Offline isofat
    isofat (isofat) 8 February 2022 17: 43
    -3
    They want to completely liberate Ukraine from the population, clean it up. Everything is falling apart.
  30. House 25 Sq. 380 (House 25 Sq. 380) 9 February 2022 11: 08
    0
    Great thrash, "delicious"....
  31. alexey alexeyev_2 (Alexey Alekseev) 10 February 2022 02: 44
    0
    Well, that's it .. Lie down and die. Marzhetsky is in his repertoire. soldier