The appearance of Su-30 fighters in Iran will change the balance of power in the Middle East

July 18 2020 29

Very soon, on October 18, the embargo on arms supplies to Iran expires. This means that Tehran may try to change the balance of power in the region in its favor by purchasing the latest weapons from China and Russia. Now the US is calling on all "peace-loving countries" to refuse to sell them to Iran, which has been called "the most disgusting terrorist regime in the world."

Who really is such a "notorious terrorist number one in the world" is a topic for another discussion. Washington is most concerned about the possibility of Tehran buying heavy Russian Su-30 fighters in various modifications. This winged machine, without exaggeration, is capable of tipping the scales in the Middle East in favor of the Islamic Republic. Here is what the head of the American Foreign Office, Mike Pompeo, said about this:

If the arms embargo is lifted, Iran will be able to freely acquire Russian-made fighters that can strike within a radius of 3000 kilometers in cities such as Riyadh, New Delhi, Rome and Warsaw.

As for the capital of Saudi Arabia, it is even more or less clear, but where does Italy, India or Poland? Frankly, the main opponents of Iran are the United States itself, which has an extensive network of military bases in the region, and allies Israel and Saudi Arabia. Washington, Tel Aviv and Riyadh have at least two reasons for concern.

At firstunder the regime of international sanctions, Iran is forced to carry out a retaliatory expansionist policies... Tehran is actively acting through its "proxies" in Syria, Lebanon and Yemen, systematically pushing the military infrastructure closer to the borders of potential opponents. Israel responds to this with regular air strikes with missile and bomb strikes. At the same time, Israeli aviation undoubtedly dominates the Syrian skies with neutrality from the Russian air defense systems.

SecondlyThis is an Iranian nuclear program. As part of the "nuclear deal", Tehran refused to implement the military part of its developments, placing them under the control of the IAEA. But the United States unilaterally withdrew from the agreement, effectively breaking it down. Now the Iranian leadership considers itself free to create its own nuclear arsenal. This is terribly unnerving to Tel Aviv, because the Israeli intelligence services are conducting sabotage in response. So, a few days ago, an explosion occurred at one of the nuclear facilities of the Islamic Republic, about which we detail told.

There is no doubt that the IDF will attempt to launch a devastating preemptive airstrike across Iran's nuclear infrastructure if intelligence considers Tehran to have a nuclear bomb. There is also no doubt that the outdated Iranian Air Force and fragmented air defense system will not be able to fend off Israeli aces. Despite the impressive number of "on paper" 350 combat vehicles, the Iranian Air Force is frankly inferior to opponents. They consist mainly of "older" F-4, F-5, MiG-29, Su-24, Su-25 and Chinese J-7, copies of the Soviet MiG-21. There are also several dozen combat-ready F-14 Tomcat. The Israelis and Saudis are armed with the F-15, shock F-15E, F-16 and stealth F-35. Plus American aviation stationed in the region. In general, the outcome of the war in the air is almost a foregone conclusion.

Not only here, but also in Western specialized publications, they regularly write that the supply of a large batch of Su-30 fighters from Russia can radically change the situation. So, Military Watch believes that its capabilities are superior to the Israeli and Saudi F-15C. A pleasant bonus is its relatively modest cost. The authors of The National Interest note that the balance of power in the Middle East will be changed if the Iranians receive the Su-30SM and S-400 air defense systems. The value of the deal that did not take place in 2016 for the sale of Su-30 and Yak-130 aircraft, Mi-8 and Mi-17 helicopters, Bastion-P coastal complexes, frigates and diesel-electric missiles was estimated at $ 8 billion.

Another question is whether Moscow or Beijing itself needs Tehran to acquire a nuclear arsenal. What the Kremlin will think up will become clear already in October.

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Sapsan136

+2

18 July 2020 12: 03

Nobody is going to sell nuclear weapons to Iran, and to sell them air defense systems and aircraft, including civilian ones, is not only possible, but also necessary. Of course, all samples sold abroad must be exported.
1. Michael1950
  
  -3
  
  19 July 2020 13: 55
  
  All samples sold abroad must be exported.
  
  - is it like in France - "for export - better than for yourself" ?!
Arkharov

-1

18 July 2020 13: 17

I would very much like to hope that this will not take place, and common sense will prevail. I think few people doubt that Iran is striving with all its might to acquire nuclear weapons. In modern conditions, nuclear weapons are no longer a means of defense or attack, but a guarantee of impunity when pursuing the most adventurous policy.
1. maiman61
  
  -2
  
  18 July 2020 13: 46
  
  I completely agree! Therefore, the USA’s chief terrorist must be disarmed and eliminated!
  1. Arkharov
    
    -1
    
    18 July 2020 13: 47
    
    Get started. The flag is in your hands.
    1. maiman61
      
      -2
      
      18 July 2020 13: 51
      
      Try to disarm Iran, the diarrhea of minke whales has already tortured to resist Iran. And when Iran buys the latest fighters and air defense systems from Russia, the minke whales will wipe the snot and crawl away from the stars!
      1. Arkharov
        
        -1
        
        18 July 2020 13: 57
        
        It doesn’t come to mind that the potential threat of Iran’s nuclear weapons is a huge danger to the world as a whole, including and for you personally? Too hard to understand?
        
        maiman61
        
        +2
        
        19 July 2020 17: 16
        
        List the countries attacked by Iran. And list the countries attacked by the USA! And then you will understand from whom the danger to the world comes.
        Iran poses NO threat whether it has nuclear weapons or not. The ONLY threat is the USA! And may this Satan die!
      2. Krasnodar
        
        +1
        
        18 July 2020 21: 14
        
        Do not crawl away. If necessary, incurring certain losses, they will demolish air defense, destroy / destroy airplanes on the ground.
  2. Michael1950
    
    -3
    
    19 July 2020 13: 57
    
    And who should be made the main terrorist of the planet: Russia, or China ?!
2. Vladimir Tuzakov
  
  0
  
  18 July 2020 14: 03
  
  Iran does not try to create nuclear weapons out of a good life, but as a guarantee against encroachments on its independence. Israel secretly created nuclear weapons, why it was not banned, and there are still no sanctions, but the situation is identical ... Iran is on the same side of the barricades with Russia, humiliated and forever under sanctions. So mutual assistance is necessary. While embargo, train Iranian pilots and others on the territory of the Russian Federation, sign a non-public agreement and manufacture airplanes and other weapons ... The sanctions will be lifted from Iran, others will be introduced immediately, so the RF should not pay attention to these sanctions and deliver weapons at its discretion, and without bans at the request of the United States ... Military cooperation with China already allows you to do this ...
  1. Arkharov
    
    0
    
    18 July 2020 17: 34
    
    Iran on one side of the barricades with Russia ....
    
    - I doubt very much.
    1. Vladimir Tuzakov
      
      -5
      
      18 July 2020 18: 22
      
      We have not seen the photo of the meeting of Iran, Turkey, the Russian Federation, when a strong military bloc was laid. But the Russian government with its concessions to Israel in the aggression in Syria and other wagging tail (non-delivery of S-300 to Iran, etc.), greatly dampened the fortress of the block ...
      1. Arkharov
        
        +1
        
        18 July 2020 19: 00
        
        It seems that you are on the moon, or in another dimension live:
        
        ... when the military was laid strong block...
        
        Vladimir Tuzakov
        
        -2
        
        18 July 2020 19: 23
        
        Your views, for obvious reasons, do not allow this to be allowed ... There, in a joint photo, leaders with symbolically fastened hands are a sign of mutual concerted action. Such joint negotiations were not isolated ... Either follow the information, or keep your views ...
        
        Arkharov
        
        +1
        
        18 July 2020 19: 48
        
        There, in a joint photo, leaders with symbolically fastened hands, as a sign of mutual concerted action.
        
        “Are you all really serious, or are you joking over me?” Is this really an argument for you? !!! And I, with a fool, for some reason answer you, I spend time on you. I think we have nothing more to discuss with you, goodbye Mr. Tuzikov ....
        
        Vladimir Tuzakov
        
        -5
        
        18 July 2020 20: 09
        
        Acknowledged, do not print any answers to my comments ..
    2. maiman61
      
      0
      
      19 July 2020 17: 20
      
      Don `t doubt! And be sure that the USA is SATAN.
  2. Michael1950
    
    -4
    
    19 July 2020 14: 01
    
    Iran does not try to create nuclear weapons out of a good life, but as a guarantee against encroachments on its independence. Israel secretly created nuclear weapons, why it was not banned, and there are still no sanctions, but the situation is identical ... Iran is on the same side of the barricades with Russia, humiliated and forever under sanctions.
    
    Why the presence of nuclear weapons does not give Russia the opportunity to get rid of the sanctions ?! Why would possession of it give Iran such an opportunity ?!
    
    So mutual assistance is necessary. While embargo, train Iranian pilots and others on the territory of the Russian Federation, sign a non-public agreement and manufacture aircraft and other weapons ...
    
    In the same way, on the territory of the USSR in the 20s of the twentieth century, pilots, tankers and sailors of the future Wehrmacht were trained. How did it end, remind you?
    
    Sanctions from Iran will be lifted, others will immediately be introduced, so it is time for the Russian Federation not to pay attention to these sanctions and supply weapons at its discretion, and without bans at the request of the United States ...
    
    Is Putin ready to take the risk and undergo a new round of US sanctions?
    
    Military cooperation with China already allows this to happen ...
    
    Declare war on the United States?
    1. maiman61
      
      +1
      
      19 July 2020 17: 25
      
      Laughs the one who laughs last! Hitler also laughed in 1941 at the walls of Moscow. And Napoleon in 1812 in Moscow. As a result, both were in the grave!
Dust

+1

18 July 2020 14: 25

Another question is whether Moscow or Beijing itself needs Tehran to acquire a nuclear arsenal. What the Kremlin will think up will become clear already in October.

As I understand it, the author of this remark meant that the Su-30 will seize air supremacy! And he will not let his nuclear facilities be bombed!
1. Arkharov
  
  0
  
  18 July 2020 17: 36
  
  Well, to capture what he captures, even funny.
2. Michael1950
  
  -2
  
  19 July 2020 14: 04
  
  So in the Khmeimim airbase, even Su-35s are full - why does this not prevent Israel from bombing Iranian military installations in Syria?
Dmitry S.

+1

18 July 2020 14: 32

And Warsaw to the heap, with Rome - the paths and thoughts of Pompeo are inscrutable. Tremble, Poles!
Michael I

+3

18 July 2020 19: 59

Is Iran able to pay for new types of weapons?
1. Magog
  
  +2
  
  18 July 2020 20: 30
  
  I don’t remember such questions about Turks, but Iran’s wealth is worrying, right? We will sell under our loans - what is the problem? The Turks and S-400, and nuclear power plants, and the southern stream - for the most part for our loans ...
  1. Michael I
    
    +3
    
    19 July 2020 09: 46
    
    By the way, the Turks are economically very wealthy. And it is not clear why they gave loans, they are able to pay for any equipment ....... but, apparently, without this “sweet candy” there would have been no such political action as “buying the NATO country of Russian weapons”. Ponty is more expensive than money. But at least there is an understanding that the Turks have something to give back. How will Iran give "loans"?
michael

+6

19 July 2020 01: 16

International business in Russian:
- to supply Iran with weapons, to provide loans for this deal;
- Because of this, spoil relations with Western countries, receive additional sanctions;
- write off the loan.
Well, as an appendix - Iran, having lost or failed to use this technique effectively, will make it anti-advertising.
Syoma_67

+1

19 July 2020 14: 13

will change the balance of power in the Middle East

- nothing will change, as in the case of the Carapace in Syria and Libya, they will simply be shot down. And the press will begin to talk about the crooked horizon and the inability to control the plane among Iranian pilots.