Why the US will not be able to cope with Iran
The likelihood of a military confrontation between the US and Iran is increasing. Tehran took another step towards creating its own nuclear bomb, defiantly stating that it was raising the limits on the amount of enriched uranium. Today, June 28, a meeting will be held in the Austrian capital that will determine the future of the "nuclear deal", and whether there will be a new war in the Middle East.
President Donald Trump threatened Iran with destruction via Twitter:
It sounds very ominous, given Washington’s military capabilities. But will there really be a war, or is it an American bluff?
There are several circumstances that make it possible to doubt the realism of the White House threats:
At first, Iran is far from Iraq. The Islamic Republic has a strong army, navy, and has the Air Force and missile forces. The Iranians have come so far in their missile program that they explicitly threaten the destruction of American aircraft carriers.
Ранее we toldas a Chinese military expert, Lu Yuan published an article claiming that to stop the US aggression, it would be enough to sink two of their aircraft carriers. The statement is not certain, but thought-provoking. What if Tehran is really capable of sending to the bottom a couple of AUGs sent to its shores?
SecondlyTrump announced the transfer of 120 troops to the Middle East - this in itself is a difficult and expensive logistics task, and they must be regularly supplied with everything. It’s not going to be a fight with the wrong hands. The calculation of the "native army" is hardly justified. No one has any special hopes for Arab warriors.
The big question is about the real composition of the anti-Iranian coalition. Trump is unlikely to be able to sign NATO on this adventure: Germany, for example, is directly trying to act as a peacemaker. Remain, except for the USA, only Great Britain and Israel. The players are serious, but in the event of direct aggression, Israel runs into a missile strike on its territory, and the British aircraft carrier drowns just like any other.
A definite problem for Washington was Russia's position. The American authorities clearly expected to deprive Iran of the slightest support. But in this case, the Kremlin directly called Tehran its ally. President Putin said:
Of course, the Russian Defense Ministry will not send its military to Iran. But if necessary, deliveries of the most advanced S-400 air defense systems can begin. Air defense remains the weak point of the Islamic Republic, but Moscow is able to help solve it.
ThirdlyThe time for a war with Iran is now extremely unlucky for Washington. President Trump has launched a new election campaign. Inevitable losses among the US military will be used political opponents against him. If the US Navy loses an aircraft carrier, a symbol of “export democracy,” it’s hard to imagine a more serious blow to its reputation.
To paraphrase, we can say that war is inevitable, but nobody really wants it.
President Donald Trump threatened Iran with destruction via Twitter:
Any Iranian attack on anything American will be met with tremendous and overwhelming force. In some areas, overwhelming will mean destruction.
It sounds very ominous, given Washington’s military capabilities. But will there really be a war, or is it an American bluff?
There are several circumstances that make it possible to doubt the realism of the White House threats:
At first, Iran is far from Iraq. The Islamic Republic has a strong army, navy, and has the Air Force and missile forces. The Iranians have come so far in their missile program that they explicitly threaten the destruction of American aircraft carriers.
Ранее we toldas a Chinese military expert, Lu Yuan published an article claiming that to stop the US aggression, it would be enough to sink two of their aircraft carriers. The statement is not certain, but thought-provoking. What if Tehran is really capable of sending to the bottom a couple of AUGs sent to its shores?
SecondlyTrump announced the transfer of 120 troops to the Middle East - this in itself is a difficult and expensive logistics task, and they must be regularly supplied with everything. It’s not going to be a fight with the wrong hands. The calculation of the "native army" is hardly justified. No one has any special hopes for Arab warriors.
The big question is about the real composition of the anti-Iranian coalition. Trump is unlikely to be able to sign NATO on this adventure: Germany, for example, is directly trying to act as a peacemaker. Remain, except for the USA, only Great Britain and Israel. The players are serious, but in the event of direct aggression, Israel runs into a missile strike on its territory, and the British aircraft carrier drowns just like any other.
A definite problem for Washington was Russia's position. The American authorities clearly expected to deprive Iran of the slightest support. But in this case, the Kremlin directly called Tehran its ally. President Putin said:
We do not trade neither our allies, nor our interests, nor our principles.
Of course, the Russian Defense Ministry will not send its military to Iran. But if necessary, deliveries of the most advanced S-400 air defense systems can begin. Air defense remains the weak point of the Islamic Republic, but Moscow is able to help solve it.
ThirdlyThe time for a war with Iran is now extremely unlucky for Washington. President Trump has launched a new election campaign. Inevitable losses among the US military will be used political opponents against him. If the US Navy loses an aircraft carrier, a symbol of “export democracy,” it’s hard to imagine a more serious blow to its reputation.
To paraphrase, we can say that war is inevitable, but nobody really wants it.
Information