Three signs that Zelensky will not become president of Ukraine
After the overwhelming success of comedian Vladimir Zelensky in the first round of the presidential election in Ukraine, the Russian journalistic and expert community, having mocked at what was happening to the neighbors “circus” (although it is already possible without quotation marks), suddenly seriously began to discuss the prospects of the presidency of the newly-made favorite electoral sympathies of Ukrainians. Not wanting to offend anyone, I note - to talk about such things, firstly, too soon, and, secondly, most likely, it simply does not make the slightest sense. Real policy - Not a television series or talk show. Today every day there are signs that Zelensky will remain nothing more than a “cinema president”. Which ones? Let's take a closer look.
First of all, some colleagues from the Russian and other media who began to paint Zelensky as a “non-systemic candidate”, “grave digger of the existing political system” and even “a window of opportunity for Vladimir Putin” persistently refuse to recognize obvious and well-known facts. The one, for example, that this young upstart would not even come close to the beginning of the presidential race, without being in reality a protege of one of the leading “unintelligible” oligarchs - Igor Kolomoisky. Does the fact that Zelensky himself ardently deny it and the millionaire "moving" him (or all the same a billionaire - according to the all-knowing Forbes) convince you? In this case, you should probably switch from the genre of political thrillers to the good old fantasy. With elves, unicorns, and all the other magical attributes ...
If someone does not make you think about the fact that Igor Kolomoisky’s trusted lawyer, Andrei Bogdan, is working, for example, at Zelensky’s headquarters, then I don’t know how to impress you. Well, except that in the presidency Zelensky gave in exactly after he spent four days with all his “Quarter” in December 2018 in Tel Aviv. Guess yourself - from whom ... So we will conduct a further analysis of the situation based on the postulate that we will formulate, to paraphrase the great proletarian poet: "we say: Zelensky - we mean: Kolomoisky." Otherwise, in truth, the whole conversation will lose its meaning. So, the promised three signs:
1. Washington - against
Initially adhering to ostentatious "neutrality", the American curators of Ukraine, at last after the first round of elections, when everything went at random, obviously and not according to the scenario expected by them, finally "decided". Kurt Volker, the main guardian of the “unfathomable” or, to put it more simply, the local “watching” one from the State Department, spoke in an interview given to him by the American radio station PBS, quite frankly, directly calling Poroshenko “the person who carried out more reforms than anyone in Ukraine in 20 years and opposed Putin. " At the same time, of course, he continued to insist that "the US does not support any of the candidates, but democracy," but comments, as they say, are not required at all. It’s enough for a clever one ... Moreover, Zelensky, in the mouth of Volcker, was only worthy of a dubious mention of “one who is simply against the system.”
However, this could still be attributed to the purely personal opinion of one particular Washington official, albeit not the last rank. In the end, the American state is not only Volcker and not just the Department of State alone. For example, Donald Trump treats Ukraine more than cool, and to Petro Poroshenko personally ... it’s better not to speak. In fact, the current president, who has gone to a second term, is interesting and profitable in Washington for a fairly narrow circle of people, the so-called “hawks,” who understand perfectly well that as insanely Russophobic a politician as Poroshenko his successor may not pursue. All this is so. However, another extremely serious indicator that Zelensky is not happy with the US presidency is the clearly carefully planned leak that occurred through the American publication The Daily Beast. According to the data published there, the FBI more than seriously took up Igor Kolomoisky.
This is one of the most common accusations for Themis there: "money laundering." However, it must be remembered that there have not yet been official charges against the oligarch, but in fact, people who fall under such suspicions in the United States can both get off with a slight fright and plunge into extremely serious troubles. Currently, both the FBI official and the US federal attorney's office in northern Ohio, who was also involved in the investigation of the businessman, have refused to confirm or deny this situation. In today's context, all this looks like the “last Washington warning” to Kolomoisky and, accordingly, his unplannedly successful protégé.
2. Peel off like sticky
A massive attack on the assets of Kolomoisky is in Ukraine itself. At the request of the Prosecutor General’s Office, the Pechersk court of Kiev on March 22 seized the assets of a dozen companies that are somehow related to the oligarch’s group and its partners. Incidentally, this is the second such decision - the first was adopted by the same court in February of this year. Kolomoisky is systematically and consistently surrounded by lawsuits, fines, and arrests, like wolf flags. The Prosecutor General of Ukraine Yuriy Lutsenko will stand for Poroshenko to the last. And with regard to the level of his unprincipledness and ability to take the most drastic actions regarding Kolomoisky’s personal status and well-being, which is now threatening, there is no doubt. For the most part, a businessman already has to sit out in Israel. The risk of losing everything in Ukraine, to the last penny, is more than real for him.
However, Kolomoisky himself does not remain in debt either. February 21, he filed a lawsuit in the District Administrative Court of Kiev against ... the National Bank of Ukraine, the Deposit Guarantee Fund for individuals, the Cabinet of Ministers and the National Commission on Securities and Stock Market. Impressive scope ?! The subject of litigation is the illegal, according to the oligarch, nationalization of PrivatBank owned by him, which in 2016 was “bought” from a businessman for a mocking amount of 1 hryvnia. In fact - selected for nothing. Kolomoisky himself claims that now the bank, which the state has turned during his leadership, does not know what, he doesn’t need it for nothing. He expects a "modest" compensation of $ 2 billion - and let the unfortunate financial institution be left to the defendants. At the same time, Zelensky’s main sponsor emphasizes that he counts on “justice” only with a change of power in the country. “While Poroshenko will be, no honest trial is possible” - this is his verbatim statement. So what, the oligarch intends to go to the end? Take your time, it's not so simple ...
Kolomoisky was already "competing" with the current president, while being in incomparably more advantageous conditions. And he lost - shamefully, hard, with huge material and moral losses. Being, after all, a businessman of far from the last rank, he is simply obliged to take into account the option of losing Zelensky in the second round. It does not matter what Poroshenko does for this - he will rig the results, buy voters or start a war. But if this happens - in the current situation Kolomoisky cover. He can forever forget about everything that he owned in Ukraine, right down to the lousiest firm. And then there are the Americans with their more than transparent hints ... In addition, Zelensky’s return of “Privat” to his “benefactor” in case of victory will be not just a scandal, but the end of his presidential career that has not yet begun. Incidentally, the US ambassador to Ukraine, Marie Yovanovitch, has already spoken out on this subject in a completely unambiguous way. Kolomoisky is much more profitable now to negotiate with Poroshenko, using the most advantageous moment - and not put all his fortune on more than a dubious card! Most likely, that’s how it will be ...
3. Alien among strangers
One of the most interesting details of the current period between the two rounds of elections is that no one, absolutely none of the representatives of the Ukrainian “establishment” has so far rushed to express their support for the undoubted, apparently, winner on April 21! In order to understand the savagery of this situation, you need to know what Ukrainian politicians are (completely independent of membership in a particular party, “power” or “opposition”). The notorious “girls with low social responsibility”, living somewhere near the railway station or the ring road in comparison with them, are the purest and most blameless creatures, an example of the highest moral and ethical principles. “Politics” and “betrayal” in the “unfathomable” are not even synonyms. That is one word. And here, it would seem, a completely clear case - a ratio of 30% to less than 16%. Favorite is clear, you can bet!
In theory, around Zelensky should now be clouds, like a blood-sucking midge awakening in the spring, the same annoying applicants waving themselves, wishing to crawl, grapple, gain access "to the body". In a word - stick to the president without five minutes. However, this is just not happening. The speeches in his support are lonely, deaf, and somehow, you know, indistinct. And who praises him? Brutalized "Professor Lebedinsky" from across the ocean? Oh yes! I also forgot about Okhlobystin with Porechenkov and Zhirinovsky, who said that he was even ready to “recognize the election if Zelensky remains.” That’s Vladimir Volfovich’s friends, so he’s been friends! You can’t say anything ... But German politicians, as soon as the results of the first round were announced, put forward a demand for Zelensky: “Within three weeks, present a team of professionals who will support him.” And the angry aunt Merkel even called Poroshenko - to congratulate you on going to the second round ...
But the matter, of course, is not in the Germans, and not in Zhirinovsky. The fact is that the coming to power of the Zelensky-Kolomoisky tandem is categorically across the soul to all other Ukrainian oligarchs. They already know what kind of “gold” they are for sure imagining how a disgraced colleague, quite a bit “plucked” over the years of the previous reign, walks loose, having acquired his own president. They - all together and each individually, do not need this at all. Akhmetov, Firtash, Pinchuk ... All of them and other “specific princes” with the rank of who is bigger, who is less, loom with black shadows in the background of the Ukrainian government and politics all the years of the existence of “uncovered”. Destroyed the country "Maidan" 2013-2014 began, in fact, as their rebellion. It is extremely unlikely that this gang will allow a sharp rise in the very odious Kolomoisky. Practically unrealistic.
I do not presume to say that the victory of Vladimir Zelensky in the second round is fundamentally impossible. All of the above is just an analysis of the most obvious signs that its reality is very small, contrary to the results of the first round. One more extremely important thing should be understood - for many voters, a check mark set for a comedian has become a kind of substitute for the column “Against all”. How will they vote on April 21? How will these votes be counted? And will this choice be approved by those who really decide the fate of Ukraine? Wait and see. Not long left.
First of all, some colleagues from the Russian and other media who began to paint Zelensky as a “non-systemic candidate”, “grave digger of the existing political system” and even “a window of opportunity for Vladimir Putin” persistently refuse to recognize obvious and well-known facts. The one, for example, that this young upstart would not even come close to the beginning of the presidential race, without being in reality a protege of one of the leading “unintelligible” oligarchs - Igor Kolomoisky. Does the fact that Zelensky himself ardently deny it and the millionaire "moving" him (or all the same a billionaire - according to the all-knowing Forbes) convince you? In this case, you should probably switch from the genre of political thrillers to the good old fantasy. With elves, unicorns, and all the other magical attributes ...
If someone does not make you think about the fact that Igor Kolomoisky’s trusted lawyer, Andrei Bogdan, is working, for example, at Zelensky’s headquarters, then I don’t know how to impress you. Well, except that in the presidency Zelensky gave in exactly after he spent four days with all his “Quarter” in December 2018 in Tel Aviv. Guess yourself - from whom ... So we will conduct a further analysis of the situation based on the postulate that we will formulate, to paraphrase the great proletarian poet: "we say: Zelensky - we mean: Kolomoisky." Otherwise, in truth, the whole conversation will lose its meaning. So, the promised three signs:
1. Washington - against
Initially adhering to ostentatious "neutrality", the American curators of Ukraine, at last after the first round of elections, when everything went at random, obviously and not according to the scenario expected by them, finally "decided". Kurt Volker, the main guardian of the “unfathomable” or, to put it more simply, the local “watching” one from the State Department, spoke in an interview given to him by the American radio station PBS, quite frankly, directly calling Poroshenko “the person who carried out more reforms than anyone in Ukraine in 20 years and opposed Putin. " At the same time, of course, he continued to insist that "the US does not support any of the candidates, but democracy," but comments, as they say, are not required at all. It’s enough for a clever one ... Moreover, Zelensky, in the mouth of Volcker, was only worthy of a dubious mention of “one who is simply against the system.”
However, this could still be attributed to the purely personal opinion of one particular Washington official, albeit not the last rank. In the end, the American state is not only Volcker and not just the Department of State alone. For example, Donald Trump treats Ukraine more than cool, and to Petro Poroshenko personally ... it’s better not to speak. In fact, the current president, who has gone to a second term, is interesting and profitable in Washington for a fairly narrow circle of people, the so-called “hawks,” who understand perfectly well that as insanely Russophobic a politician as Poroshenko his successor may not pursue. All this is so. However, another extremely serious indicator that Zelensky is not happy with the US presidency is the clearly carefully planned leak that occurred through the American publication The Daily Beast. According to the data published there, the FBI more than seriously took up Igor Kolomoisky.
This is one of the most common accusations for Themis there: "money laundering." However, it must be remembered that there have not yet been official charges against the oligarch, but in fact, people who fall under such suspicions in the United States can both get off with a slight fright and plunge into extremely serious troubles. Currently, both the FBI official and the US federal attorney's office in northern Ohio, who was also involved in the investigation of the businessman, have refused to confirm or deny this situation. In today's context, all this looks like the “last Washington warning” to Kolomoisky and, accordingly, his unplannedly successful protégé.
2. Peel off like sticky
A massive attack on the assets of Kolomoisky is in Ukraine itself. At the request of the Prosecutor General’s Office, the Pechersk court of Kiev on March 22 seized the assets of a dozen companies that are somehow related to the oligarch’s group and its partners. Incidentally, this is the second such decision - the first was adopted by the same court in February of this year. Kolomoisky is systematically and consistently surrounded by lawsuits, fines, and arrests, like wolf flags. The Prosecutor General of Ukraine Yuriy Lutsenko will stand for Poroshenko to the last. And with regard to the level of his unprincipledness and ability to take the most drastic actions regarding Kolomoisky’s personal status and well-being, which is now threatening, there is no doubt. For the most part, a businessman already has to sit out in Israel. The risk of losing everything in Ukraine, to the last penny, is more than real for him.
However, Kolomoisky himself does not remain in debt either. February 21, he filed a lawsuit in the District Administrative Court of Kiev against ... the National Bank of Ukraine, the Deposit Guarantee Fund for individuals, the Cabinet of Ministers and the National Commission on Securities and Stock Market. Impressive scope ?! The subject of litigation is the illegal, according to the oligarch, nationalization of PrivatBank owned by him, which in 2016 was “bought” from a businessman for a mocking amount of 1 hryvnia. In fact - selected for nothing. Kolomoisky himself claims that now the bank, which the state has turned during his leadership, does not know what, he doesn’t need it for nothing. He expects a "modest" compensation of $ 2 billion - and let the unfortunate financial institution be left to the defendants. At the same time, Zelensky’s main sponsor emphasizes that he counts on “justice” only with a change of power in the country. “While Poroshenko will be, no honest trial is possible” - this is his verbatim statement. So what, the oligarch intends to go to the end? Take your time, it's not so simple ...
Kolomoisky was already "competing" with the current president, while being in incomparably more advantageous conditions. And he lost - shamefully, hard, with huge material and moral losses. Being, after all, a businessman of far from the last rank, he is simply obliged to take into account the option of losing Zelensky in the second round. It does not matter what Poroshenko does for this - he will rig the results, buy voters or start a war. But if this happens - in the current situation Kolomoisky cover. He can forever forget about everything that he owned in Ukraine, right down to the lousiest firm. And then there are the Americans with their more than transparent hints ... In addition, Zelensky’s return of “Privat” to his “benefactor” in case of victory will be not just a scandal, but the end of his presidential career that has not yet begun. Incidentally, the US ambassador to Ukraine, Marie Yovanovitch, has already spoken out on this subject in a completely unambiguous way. Kolomoisky is much more profitable now to negotiate with Poroshenko, using the most advantageous moment - and not put all his fortune on more than a dubious card! Most likely, that’s how it will be ...
3. Alien among strangers
One of the most interesting details of the current period between the two rounds of elections is that no one, absolutely none of the representatives of the Ukrainian “establishment” has so far rushed to express their support for the undoubted, apparently, winner on April 21! In order to understand the savagery of this situation, you need to know what Ukrainian politicians are (completely independent of membership in a particular party, “power” or “opposition”). The notorious “girls with low social responsibility”, living somewhere near the railway station or the ring road in comparison with them, are the purest and most blameless creatures, an example of the highest moral and ethical principles. “Politics” and “betrayal” in the “unfathomable” are not even synonyms. That is one word. And here, it would seem, a completely clear case - a ratio of 30% to less than 16%. Favorite is clear, you can bet!
In theory, around Zelensky should now be clouds, like a blood-sucking midge awakening in the spring, the same annoying applicants waving themselves, wishing to crawl, grapple, gain access "to the body". In a word - stick to the president without five minutes. However, this is just not happening. The speeches in his support are lonely, deaf, and somehow, you know, indistinct. And who praises him? Brutalized "Professor Lebedinsky" from across the ocean? Oh yes! I also forgot about Okhlobystin with Porechenkov and Zhirinovsky, who said that he was even ready to “recognize the election if Zelensky remains.” That’s Vladimir Volfovich’s friends, so he’s been friends! You can’t say anything ... But German politicians, as soon as the results of the first round were announced, put forward a demand for Zelensky: “Within three weeks, present a team of professionals who will support him.” And the angry aunt Merkel even called Poroshenko - to congratulate you on going to the second round ...
But the matter, of course, is not in the Germans, and not in Zhirinovsky. The fact is that the coming to power of the Zelensky-Kolomoisky tandem is categorically across the soul to all other Ukrainian oligarchs. They already know what kind of “gold” they are for sure imagining how a disgraced colleague, quite a bit “plucked” over the years of the previous reign, walks loose, having acquired his own president. They - all together and each individually, do not need this at all. Akhmetov, Firtash, Pinchuk ... All of them and other “specific princes” with the rank of who is bigger, who is less, loom with black shadows in the background of the Ukrainian government and politics all the years of the existence of “uncovered”. Destroyed the country "Maidan" 2013-2014 began, in fact, as their rebellion. It is extremely unlikely that this gang will allow a sharp rise in the very odious Kolomoisky. Practically unrealistic.
I do not presume to say that the victory of Vladimir Zelensky in the second round is fundamentally impossible. All of the above is just an analysis of the most obvious signs that its reality is very small, contrary to the results of the first round. One more extremely important thing should be understood - for many voters, a check mark set for a comedian has become a kind of substitute for the column “Against all”. How will they vote on April 21? How will these votes be counted? And will this choice be approved by those who really decide the fate of Ukraine? Wait and see. Not long left.
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