Who is behind the field trip of Field Marshal Haftar to Tripoli?

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The troops of Field Marshal Haftar came close to the Libyan capital Tripoli. The "Government of National Accord", recognized by the UN, led by Faiz Saraj fled to Tunisia. Will the Libyan national army take Tripoli mean the end of dual power in this African country tormented by civil war? And will Russia benefit from this?





The question is rather complicated, for its understanding it is necessary to evaluate the whole situation in a complex.

Having come to power, Colonel Gaddafi for several decades managed to turn Libya into a prosperous country. The proceeds from the sale of oil went to the construction of first-class roads, hospitals and schools, and a large-scale irrigation program, the Great Man-Made River, was carried out to solve the problems of water supply in desert Libya.

It's hard to believe, however, the newlyweds in this North African country received a free subsidy from the state for the purchase of housing in the amount of 64 thousand dollars. Loans for the purchase of a car were interest-free, and half of its cost was borne by the country's budget. At the birth of each child, the family received a payment of $ 7,3 thousand. Electricity and rent were absent as a phenomenon. Medicine and education, including abroad, were free for the Libyans under the "tyrant" of Gaddafi. Those who decided to engage in private business received starting capital of $ 20 thousand from the authorities. In general, "that still ghoul" was Gaddafi ...

But the colonel’s worst “crime” before the “civilized world” was the desire to refuse to use the dollar in his calculations. He proposed the creation of an African Union based on the golden dinar. Thus, he signed a death sentence.

In 2011, NATO carried out military intervention in Libya, and this country did not. Muammar Gaddafi fought to the end, with no chance of victory, and was killed with incredible cruelty. Today, the territory of Libya is divided by several armed groups, waging an endless bloody civil war among themselves. The times of socialist paradise have sunk into oblivion. The question is who will ultimately take control of the country.

The official position of the UN is that there is no military solution, there is only political. By the end of the year, nationwide elections were to be held in Libya. However, there is no chance that this would correct the situation because of the actual dual power in the country. In the west of Libya in Tripoli is the so-called "Government of National Accord" led by Faiz Saraj. He has no real power, but there is legitimacy, since it is recognized by the UN, including Russia.

In the east, the city of Tobruk sits an alternative authority - the Libyan Parliament. Field Marshal Haftar, the hero of the last few days, who led his army to Tripoli to “free him from terrorists,” formally submits to him. The difficulty of the moment is that under international law, Haftar himself, who opposed the government of Saraj, is a rebel. Who is this field marshal, and is there a notorious “Russian trace” in the “trip to Tripoli”?

Russia's interest may lie in returning to the Libyan oil market, from where it was squeezed after the death of Gaddafi. The Libyan army could conclude contracts for the purchase of Russian weapons, and the country's territory would be convenient for deploying our military base in the Mediterranean. Given the fact that Field Marshal Haftar is a graduate of the Soviet military university and has repeatedly met with representatives of the highest echelons of our authorities, the idea of ​​a “Kremlin hand” suggests itself.

However, everything is much more complicated. Khalifa Belkasim Haftar made friends with young Muammar Gaddafi while still studying at the Royal Military College, became his like-minded person and actively participated in revolutionary events. Later, his relationship with an old friend, who became the head of Libya, went wrong due to defeat in neighboring Chad. Haftar was captured, where, apparently, he could be recruited by representatives of French or American intelligence. By the way, today the field marshal’s family lives in the United States.

Russian orientalist Sergei Seregichev comments on the balance of power in Libya:

Haftar’s main fighting force is money. He simply bribes with the emirate money all the forces that were loyal to Faiz Saraj. And when the money runs out, problems will begin. Nobody will let him storm the city; Tripoli is full of foreign mercenaries. He's on a short leash by Paris. His personal protection is provided by the French.


With all the desire to see Russian intervention in the “trip to Tripoli”, this will be a misinterpretation of events. In reality, there is a bickering over Libyan oil and ports between France and Italy under the "moderation" of the process by the United States. Regional players, like the UAE and Egypt, are trying to tear their piece.

Dmitry Peskov, who denies Russia's support for Haftar, can be trusted in this matter. The war for Libya is being fought by other players.
16 comments
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  1. +1
    April 7 2019 08: 32
    It always seemed to me that when an article is being written, it is necessary to give the whole range of data. In this case, for completeness of information, it should be said that, in addition to the fact that H. Haftar studied in the USSR ("in 1977-1978 he graduated from the higher officer courses" Shot ", and in 1983 he was a student of courses at the Academy named after M.V. Frunze and, like many high-ranking Arab officers of that time, knows Russian "), he lived for another 20 years in the United States, received American citizenship and worked closely with the CIA. And he was actively preparing a coup against M. Qaddafi. More precisely, he was the head of a conspiracy to overthrow Gaddafi.
    So, knowing these facts, it is difficult to see a "Russian trace" there. He came to Moscow a year or two ago. But there is no official evidence that he has enlisted the support of the Kremlin. Indirect evidence suggests otherwise. There is no "hand of Moscow" there. His activity is currently supported by the money of Arab oil sheikhs and (possibly) the material and technical assistance of Egypt.
  2. +2
    April 7 2019 09: 00
    Quote: Bakht
    There is no "hand of Moscow" there.

    So it’s written directly in the text about this wink

    With all the desire to see Russian intervention in the “trip to Tripoli”, this will be a misinterpretation of events. In reality, there is a bickering over Libyan oil and ports between France and Italy under the "moderation" of the process by the United States. Regional players, like the UAE and Egypt, are trying to tear their piece.
    Dmitry Peskov, who denies Russia's support for Haftar, can be trusted in this matter. The war for Libya is being fought by other players.
    ___________
    or do you write a comment after reading the first paragraph? smile
    1. 0
      April 7 2019 09: 38
      I read the whole article.

      Russia's interest may lie in returning to the Libyan oil market, from where it was squeezed after the death of Gaddafi. The Libyan army could conclude contracts for the purchase of Russian weapons, and the country's territory would be convenient for deploying our military base in the Mediterranean. Given the fact that Field Marshal Haftar is a graduate of the Soviet military university and has repeatedly met with representatives of the highest echelons of our authorities, then the thought of the “Kremlin hand” begs for itself.

      This is not the first paragraph. In the next paragraph, you write that this is not so. I see two versions in one article. And he noted that the biography of Haftar should be given in full.
      1. +1
        April 7 2019 14: 59
        .. Haftar’s biography should be given completely ..

        And what will it give? Absolutely nothing. crying
        East is a delicate matter.
        Today is yours, tomorrow is ours. This is in their order of things.
        Despite all your arguments in favor of the United States (20 years, etc.), Haftar’s orientation towards Moscow is quite possible.
        First, everyone recognizes Haftar’s close collaboration with Egypt. And Egypt, in turn, has close military-technical cooperation with Russia. Secondly, Haftar is also not blind. And sees our successes in Syria. Thirdly, if he was really a protege of the USA, then the locals would hardly support him.
        The arguments in favor of Moscow are much greater. hi
        1. +2
          April 7 2019 17: 27
          Arguments in one direction or another are a thankless task. It is necessary to approach from the other side. As old Marx said, and grandfather Lenin assented to him, the economy is at the core (basis). I mean money.
          The surge in the civil war in Libya was forecasted last summer. Moreover, it was predicted by oil experts. Libya is based on oil. And the reason for all the wars there is also oil. If we assume that the West is tired of the whistle of local kings and they needed a solid supply of black gold, then the ears should be sought in the West. 90% of Libyan oil escort goes to Europe. That’s why the British were the first to come out in the UN Security Council.
          Why should Middle Eastern monarchies get into a Libyan mess? They have plenty of their own oil. But ... Just everyone will be in the black. Today, oil is balancing in the region for $ 70. The shale states of the United States are good, Russia is good, the Middle East oil sheikhs are also good. Europe is bad, but if Haftar can provide uninterrupted supplies tomorrow, then the game is worth the candle.
          Too colorful picture. United Libya will add 1 million barrels per day to the oil balance, which will lower oil prices. The continuation of the mess can raise the price to 70-75 evergreens per barrel.
          I wish victory to both sides of the conflict. "Straight soul rejoices, as they defeat each other."
  3. 0
    April 7 2019 17: 21
    Quote: Bakht
    This is not the first paragraph. In the next paragraph, you write that this is not so. I see two versions in one article. And he noted that the biography of Haftar should be given in full.

    Let's not you teach me how to write articles? smile
    1. +1
      April 7 2019 18: 18
      No way. I am not a journalist and I am not able to write. But, honestly, on your membership card, where did you find that I am teaching you?
      In preference they say - the fifth player under the table. Therefore, do not take this for moralizing or a hint. You have written an article. This is always good. But if you do not want to accept criticism and discussion, then ... why did you write it? I made my critical remark. Whether it is right or wrong, we are discussing it. As well as your article.
      You can make it even easier "let me not discuss your articles" and write to yourself for pleasure.
  4. -1
    April 7 2019 18: 15
    -East ...- the case is vile and in the East of Russia (in "any East" ... the Middle East., The Middle East., The Far East ...- what other "east" there are), in principle, there can be neither friends, no associates, no partners ... -And there can only be accomplices ... -Yes. . -neither any "sincere friendship" .., nor equal partnership., nor, even more so ... -any concessions in the conduct of joint affairs ... -All this in the East is considered weakness and deeply despised ... - And in no way can it be a virtue ... - For some reason, the entire eastern policy of Russia "does not take into account this eastern specificity" ...
    -As for Libya ... -then, of course, the USA is behind this field marshal Haftar ... -Russia has somehow been saved from God in order to get into "Libyan affairs" ... -In general, this Libyan field marshal Haftar very much resembles the Afghan general Dostum ... -If anyone remembers there is such in Afghanistan (once upon a time, back in the gymnasium ...- I wrote an essay about Afghanistan) ...
    - Nothing good will end this Haftar ... -So there will remain a confrontation and unsteady dual power ...
    1. +1
      April 7 2019 18: 40
      Tell me, what you wrote about mentality applies only to the East? Somewhere in this world love the weak? Or was the expression "we have no eternal allies and enemies, but eternal interests" invented in the East? Unscrupulousness, duplicity, contempt for the weak, disregard for allies - this is not a distinctive feature of the East. Rather, Western Civilization.
      1. -1
        April 7 2019 19: 07
        -Yes, there is a huge geopolitical space., Where they love the weak to the point of insanity (to masochistic absurdities) ... and ... and this space is Russia ... -In fact, it refers specifically to Russians ...
        -Would there ever be Uzbeks, Kazakhs, Turkmens, Kyrgyz, Tajiks, Turks, Arabs all of a sudden for no reason ...- "Backward Russians" learn to read, fight for their well-being, raise their standard of living ... - putting them "on the same level with you" and granting them all the rights that they themselves have ... - It's just ... - Hahah ..
        -In America there were tens of millions of Indians ... -seminoles, Hurons, Apaches, Cherokee, Mohicans, etc. and so on ... -Americans all of them "taught" and literacy and "improved their standard of living" ...
        -The English have been "blessing" the Indians, Chinese and indigenous Australians for a very long time ...
        -French, Spanish and Portuguese "loved" the indigenous people of South America and Africa ...
        -Okay, what is there to crucify ... -want ...- you yourself will understand ...
        1. +1
          April 7 2019 19: 22
          I don’t understand. You have "mixed people, horses ..." The question is simple. "The East is a delicate matter" is a common phrase. You wrote "The East is a mean business." Do you insist on this? More vile than the politics of England, Spain and other Empires?
          Want - maybe you yourself will understand ...
          1. -1
            April 8 2019 03: 12
            -Yes., I insist "on this" ... -And then they suddenly took a common phrase from the cinema and assigned it the status of truth ... -Yes ..., the East ... is a very vile thing ...
            -As for England., Portugal., Spain (all their "done affairs")., Then it was always said about them that., They say ...- they are "so-so" ... -what here are "misunderstandings" ... -Nobody appropriated "subtleties" and "grace" to them in relation to their greedy colonial and "other policies" ... -Why did the East suddenly fall into "subtleties" ... -so this just everyone (like parrots) .., in their gregarious thoughtlessness, they repeat a worn-out cinematic phrase ... -and they will probably keep repeating ... -But no matter how much you say the word halva ... and so on ... -Hahah ...
            1. +2
              April 8 2019 06: 22
              Xenophobia is a terrible thing. In my understanding, the most vile in history
              - these are Anglo-Saxon countries. No East can compare with the meanness of the West.
    2. 0
      April 8 2019 13: 16
      Only criminals have "accomplices". You also consider Russia ...
  5. 0
    April 8 2019 14: 08
    Those who participate will get a bit of profit from oil, and Russia standing aside - a bunch of poop.
  6. then let the French make them peace