War for the right to wage war on a remote theater
There was an idea at the beginning of the year to write a review article summarizing the results of the past 2018 political year, where I wanted to give out earrings to all the sisters, running through all the most important geopolitical events of the past year, ranking according to their results all the leaders and losers of the political Olympus who political and real battles of varying intensity in the interests of their countries ... But it didn't work out. Alas! Now, from the height of the past two months, I can say that it can be for the better. Because the course of history is not limited by time frames and has a continuous character, and what was obvious on January 1, on March 1 is no longer so.
You will be surprised, probably, but according to my estimates, Russia and its president did not finish the past year in the leaders of this conditional rating. Yes, there were local successes, both in Syria and in military construction (the famous cartoons from Vovka), but on the whole the Russian Federation failed this year, initially choosing a wait-and-see foreign policy position that was losing for itself, doomed to strike back, and sometimes even not to answer altogether, substituting already for new blows. So it was in the Skripal case, and in the position on the Donbass, and in Ukraine as a whole with its impossible Minsk-2, and even in Syria, where we had to compromise with the Turks, yielding to their interests to the detriment of our own, (about Assad’s interests, I’m already silent!). The Kremlin this year somehow imperceptibly lost the strategic initiative it took in 2014 and 2015 with the annexation of Crimea and joining the military campaign in the SAR, switching to the game “second number”, which, ultimately, the chances of success for him did not leave. You can, of course, recall Putin’s victory at one wicket and the World Cup, successfully held by the Russian Federation, but all these are internal successes that were immediately crossed out by the pension reform inside the country and outside by our sworn “friends” who did everything so as not to notice and denigrate them.
Last year’s champions, according to the results achieved, were, do not be surprised, the Turkish Sultan Erdogan and the leader of North Korea, Kim Jong-un, but, oddly enough, the vaunted America, who announced through her president’s mouth that she was withdrawing her troops from Syria, and maybe even from the DRA, humbly swallowing before that all the antics of the North Korean “man-rocket.” The evolution of the relationship between Trump and Kim Jong-un, who from the psycho and the “evil dwarf” over the past six months has grown to the “great leader of the nation” and “best friend” Donald Ibrahimovic, I will consider a little below, but for now let's focus on how the hegemon reached before such a life.
Fortunately for us, Trump, whom we “helped” America choose, turned out to be a complete isolationist, completely devoid of imperial thinking. And imperial thinking dictates to all who profess it the need to achieve maximum results. An empire, therefore an empire, because it cannot afford to lose, even in a small way. The outcome of any conflict she enters into is possible for her only “with a shield”. Because in the opposite case of leaving it “on the shield” or retreating, there is a real threat to get a “domino effect”. Since, if an empire retreats, then very often it turns into an escape for it, followed by an inevitable collapse and inevitable fragmentation. One can cite not one example from ancient history, but the most revealing one that most of you still remember was the collapse of the USSR after it left Afghanistan in 1989. It is clear that there were many factors, but it was this brick that became the last, after which the empire collapsed. Whether the exit from Syria for the United States will become a reference point, we will see, but, if we proceed from the position of the American empire, it was a rather risky step. Although Trump tried to give this defeat the appearance of success, even in his kingdom he did not find the proper understanding. All smart people understand that failure, dressed in the form of a strong-willed decision, still remains a failure, so the imperials opposing Trump tried to do everything to slow down this process. But, nevertheless, the process has begun, the empire has cracked, and, from the inside, and everyone has seen that the king is naked, having drawn the appropriate conclusions for himself. Remember this.
But the main loser of last year was still not the United States, but Qatar, which was appointed the main sponsor of terrorism, Saudi Arabia, mired in the war with Yemen and scandals with the murder and dismemberment of a journalist in Turkey, and Ukraine, which is confidently heading towards its inevitable end . The Sultan, having shown the wonders of diplomatic resourcefulness and played on the contradictions between the Russian Federation and the USA, received from one Turkish Stream, S-400 and funding for the construction of Akkuyu NPP, and from others fifth-generation F-35 fighters, Patriot missile defense systems and access to neighboring Syrian territory to create a buffer zone there, with which he topped the list of political champions last year. I have always said that the only worthy opponent of GDP on the political Olympus, equal in caliber and tasks that he sets for himself, is only the possessed sultan. By the way, he is not inferior to Putin in this age and the time he was on the throne. If it were not for his impulsiveness and therefore easy predictability of behavior with the possibility of turning him into a victim of manipulative control, then he would not have had a price. But what the Sultan achieved last year even makes the GDP take off his hat. America, in fact, leaves the SAR, freeing this zone of influence for Turkey. At the same time, how the Sultan deftly played on the scandal with Khashoggi that arose, or perhaps even inspired by him, is indicative and impressive especially. The Americans agree to do a lot to save the honor of the uniform of the Crown Saudi prince, dirty in this matter, to save it for themselves and tie this story for the rest of their lives (in what, in what, and in this they are masters!). To do this, they are ready to pay even the fate of the unfortunate Kurds, who had previously been supported, and are now throwing at the mercy of Erdogan (betray their second nature, tens of regimes loyal to them behind the States! history, apparently, did not teach anything to the Kurds!). The Kurds themselves will not stand against Turkey and this is a chance for the Russian Federation and Bashar al-Assad. By the way, now, 2 months after the Americans announced their withdrawal from the SAR, it becomes obvious that Assad took advantage of the opportunity and the territories previously held by the Kurds are smoothly under the control of his government forces, which may even suit Erdogan, if only there there was a Kurdish armed opposition (the Kurdish Workers Party - equated in Turkey with terrorist organizations, and the creation of an independent Kurdistan on its own borders is something that the sultan cannot allow under any circumstances). These territories, at the same time, are also terribly rich in oil, these are the main oil-bearing regions of Syria and their transfer under Assad’s control can definitely be included in the Russian asset.
To make it clear how difficult it is in the Middle East, I must outline the current balance of power there. Our current allies in the anti-igil coalition, Turkey and Iran, are not allies to us at all. I would call them temporary companions, (we must already come to terms with the fact that we have no allies except our own army and navy), they are friends with us, so long as it suits them. At the same time, Turkey already in the near future risks taking its enemy’s usual place for her, and Iran, unlike her, is a potential friend of ours in the short and medium term (and strategic for a long time!). Israel in this combination is not an ally for us yet, but it’s not an enemy, but even our friend is potential (both strategic and for a long time, through it we can influence the White House, and even its court backstage). See how complicated it is. The fact is that Russia returned to BV in earnest and for a long time and not in its interests, now I will tell you a big secret, the establishment of a long-term peace there. What is our reason for this? Only when speaking from the position of an arbitrator who has influence on all parties to the conflict, Russia can and will dictate its conditions. And BV is a global weather barometer that also sets oil and gas prices. There lies the key to governing the world (here the word is used in context - the globe). And while the Shiites will fight with the Sunnis, there will be no peace (and they will always fight!). But the keys to this box are already with us. The former master of the keys seems to be cleaning up with BV. We will see. But his former vassals are already looking, and some have already found, the way to the Kremlin (I'm talking about Saudi and Qatari princes now). And, thank God that they are all afraid of Iran, they can negotiate with it only through the mediation of Moscow (this also applies to Israel - again, nothing personal, it's just business).
Therefore, one should not be surprised at the behavior of the Sultan, who, playing on the contradictions between the Russian Federation and the USA, was able to achieve phenomenal successes for himself. About the Kurds betrayed by America, I already said, now I’ll say how he threw the Russian Federation. On December 18 of last year, it became known that the US Department of State approved a contract worth $ 3,5 billion for the purchase by Turkish aircraft of four sets of Patriot missile defense systems, which include 20 M903 autonomous launchers, 4 interception control stations, 4 AN / radar fire control stations MPQ-65, 10 AMG antennas, 80 Patriot MIM-104E anti-aircraft guided missiles, 60 PAC-3 missiles, not counting other related equipment. Thus, by blackmailing the United States with the purchase of Russian S-400 air defense systems, Erdogan was able to achieve favorable conditions for the supply of Patriot systems, which the Turkish army had long dreamed of. Well, the Sultan masterfully used Russia in his interests and only a clinical idiot can then believe his assurances of eternal love and friendship. This all fully applies to China. Both the Sultan and Comrade C think the same imperial categories, so they are not friends to us at all, but just fellow travelers. Here, I hope, of course, there are no illusions?
By purchasing these missile defense systems, Turkey actually “closes” its sky, changing the obsolete MIM-14 Nike-Hercules, manufactured in the USA, to slightly less ancient “Patriots” (I don’t know why the S-400 didn’t suit her?). The next decision of the State Department may well be the green light for the sale of the F-35 (Turkey is ready to purchase up to 120 of these fighters, each of which, depending on the configuration, costs from $ 83 million to $ 108 million). Together with Patriot, these fifth-generation fighters will significantly strengthen the military potential of Turkey, and, therefore, consolidate it in the status of a powerful regional power that even Washington will have to reckon with. I’m not talking about Russia anymore - Turkey is our potential strategic enemy and adversary in this region. All war in Syria for her is nothing more than the creation of a buffer zone between them and the Kurds. I draw your special attention to this - no one wants to fight on their territory. Everyone prefers to do this on a remote theater. In this case, the Syrian theater of operations has become a theater of war for all parties involved in the conflict, starting with regional countries and ending with world powers that hold their defenses on the far approaches to themselves. This is the specificity of modern warfare - the opponents are trying to reduce the swords in a foreign territory, preferably also with the wrong hands. That is why the slurred, to put it mildly, the behavior of the Russian Federation in the conflict with Ukraine is fraught with the transfer of this conflict already to the territory of Russia, which is what the sponsors are seeking from having lost their own subjectivity. Nobody wants to fight on their territory, why and how the Russian Federation was able to admit even a hypothetical threat of the like, for me a big question and a riddle? This threat had to be strangled in the bud! Now it will be possible either at the cost of a lot of blood, which we would not want, or by transferring the confrontation with the sponsors of these processes to a remote theater, closer to them, for example, to Venezuela, and why not? And for some reason, what is allowed to Jupiter is not allowed to the bull? And it’s still necessary to see who is, in fact, a bull ?!
I can express an seditious thought now, but an unsuccessful attempt by the Russian Federation to stake a jump airfield for its strategists on the territory of Venezuela, which ended in an attempt to remove the legitimately elected president of this country with the potential threat of a new hotbed of military tension on its territory into which the United States will be drawn, Colombia and Brazil, on the one hand, and Cuba, Nicaragua, Mexico, El Salvador, the Russian Federation and China, on the other hand, are a completely successful attempt by the Russian Federation to draw our sworn “friends” into the conflict on a remote theater, even at the cost of well-being and peace of a friendly country.
Again, nothing personal, this is just an objective reality that the world is faced with in the 21st century. The harsh reality, alas, is that the conduct of hostilities outside their borders, in a remote theater of operations, for all regional countries, not to mention world powers, should be viewed not as aggression, but as defense. Defense at distant approaches. In the BV in the SAR, everyone is on the defensive - Shiite Iran is defending itself from the Sunni Gulf countries (this is a confrontation on a religious basis, it is forever); Turkey is defending itself against the threat of creating a Kurdish state on its borders, which, having a quarter of its own population of Kurds, is quite understandable; Israel is also preemptively bombing Syria in its own interests, destroying pro-Iranian proxy groups and Hezbollah units that are trying, with the support of Iran, to create an enclave of confrontation with Israel on the territory of the SAR; world powers, all except China, are also solving their problems there. The only losing side in this situation is only Syria. Let's sympathize with her. Do you want such a fate for the Russian Federation? Then it was necessary to solve the problem with Ukraine on its territory, and better on the territory of its puppeteer. But the puppeteer will never allow the latter, so the site of Venezuela for us in this case can be considered optimal. Let Trump get bogged down there! Let Venezuela become for him the second Vietnam, or at least Afgan, from which the Americans have not been able to get out for 18 years. It would be an ideal task for us to tie up the enemy forces in a theater of operations that is remote for us, and even fighting with someone else's hands. This is what the Americans wanted to achieve in Ukraine, dragging us into a conflict with it, while fighting with the hands of Ukrainians. We missed the X moment to prevent this in the spring of 2014. Further, the situation through our fault acquired a protracted character and it will only get worse, and the decision on its aggravation or not aggravation will be taken, by no means, by Kiev. This is the worst outcome for us, to live under the constant threat of confrontation with our closest neighbor, and even close to us by blood, despite the fact that we have no levers of pressure on him. But the United States can always use this lever, but for now even the hypothetical probability of this has already become for them an element of pressure and bargaining with us. This is the worst result and there is no way out of it yet. You are waiting for the disintegration and fragmentation of Ukraine under the weight of growing economic problems? Wait! Somalia has been rotting and falling apart for 30 years. And it will rot further, poisoning all the space around, so what? The economic problems of Ukraine will affect only the downtrodden, disenfranchised and without the right to vote, the population of this underemployed, the curators do not care about it, as, in fact, the Russian Federation. I hope there are no idiots here who believe in fables about the "Russian world" and the fraternal people, which we will not give offense? These are all fairy tales for internal use, in real life the director of the Russian Federation should and will solve the problems of the Russian Federation, and let the president elected by the Ukrainians solve the problems of Ukraine. If they have no choice, then this is their problem, and the director of the Russian Federation does not care about them, like the Americans! To deal with your problems! (Everything that I have written here above, for me, as a citizen of this unfinished person, is very sad to write, but it's all true, bitter, cruel, but true!).
But back to our wars on remote theater. I hope it’s already clear that the countries fighting there are not attacking, but defending themselves, not wanting to allow the creation of bridgeheads to attack themselves. Iran, for example, in Syria conducted a successful defensive operation, as a result of which it sharply tempered Israel’s desire to conduct another military operation in Lebanon. And the results of a massive missile attack by pro-Iranian proxies, when 400-450 missiles launched simultaneously broke through the vaunted Israeli Iron Dome system in the Gaza Strip, generally compelled Israel to revise its military doctrine and seek leverage over Iran through the Kremlin. Those. The Russian Federation also turned out to be in pluses in this campaign, winning not only in the military component, having tested the latest weapons and personnel on a real theater, but also in the diplomatic one (I already said above about the role of Moscow as an arbitrator, equidistant from all conflicting parties ) Turkey also solved its problems in Syria, avoiding the creation of a single Kurdistan in the adjacent territory. Bashar al-Assad was also not in trouble, defending his independence, however, at the cost of destroying the country. I already said about the losers - some leave the ATS, others seek support from the new owner of the BV. Who we have become the new owner of BV as a result of this local war, you already understand. But these are the successes of the Russian Federation related to 2015-2017. In 2018, except for the sultan, only comrade could boast of such. Kim Chen In.
What the North Korean leader has achieved in the confrontation with the hegemon will be written in a separate line in History. He began this year as the “evil dwarf” leader of the rogue state under sanctions, and ended as the “greatest leader of the nation” and “best friend” of Donald Ibrahimovic (in this case, I quote the source). After their first meeting in Singapore, it was clear that this was a breakthrough (Putin still has not been able to hold such a summit!). Moreover, a breakthrough from a position of DPRK strength. It would seem that the Russian Federation has 8000 nuclear warheads, the United States - 7300, the DPRK has only 8, but comrade. Eun clearly and unambiguously made it clear that he was ready to use them, and the great and terrible Trump crawled to him on his knees and licked his hand. Vietnam demonstrated this a couple of days ago. We have not seen such Trump. Moreover, I will say that no one has seen such Trump yet. The Fat and Evil Dwarf (I quote the source again) did not know where to hide his hands so that Trump would not lick them. And just lit up a couple of missiles that could fly over the Pacific Ocean. And the hegemon swam. I have only one question - why doesn’t it float from our missiles? Maybe we are not insane enough? Maybe we need Zhirinovsky at the head of our state to start reckoning with us? Does he seem to be about to wash his boots in the Indian Ocean? Maybe he will also wash them in the Hudson Strait? Well, or at least promise.
Comrade example But for all, science is how to behave with a hegemon. I think if Maduro had missiles, then the United States thought a thousand more times to set up a state there. coup or not. Although Comrade There were two more arguments against Trump that Maduro did not have. The first iron argument is total control over the domestic political situation in the country, and the second even more significant is the land border with world powers such as Russia and China, none of which is interested in destabilizing the situation and escalating the conflict at its own borders. Although the world between the United States and the DPRK is not included in their plans either. An insane neighbor, and even with missiles, which only you can influence, is an ideal argument in a dispute with the hegemon. It’s foolish to agree to refuse such an instrument.
You are waiting for conclusions from me - I do not have them for you. I just took an instant photo at the moment, measuring the pressure on the ward, it is elevated - it will certainly explode somewhere. It may be necessary to conduct artificial bloodletting in the right place to avoid hemorrhage in the unnecessary - for sure! Only I am not a doctor to indicate this place. The question is what is called non-salary. Agree, in 2015, few could have imagined that Putin would enter Syria. If in 2014 Crimea was still somehow visible, it was not even clear why the GDP was limited only to Crimea, and could have taken all of Ukraine to itself by returning the fugitive Yanukovych to the throne, then the Syrian military campaign was already a bolt from the blue for everyone, especially for Obama's. Laurels from her we reap to this day. And we will reap for a long time. It turns out that we can when we want.
Why don't we want it now? How to behave with the hegemonic comrade Eun has already shown. I do not propose to shoot at America, but to restore order on our own borders, God himself commanded. The bifurcation point will be March 31. I think everyone understood what I'm talking about. It’s no longer necessary to shoot anywhere, it was necessary to shoot earlier, in 2014, now it will be enough just to not recognize the presidential election as unfinished. There are more than enough reasons for this. Well, and hope, of course, on Comrade. Trump, who, on the instructions of the Kremlin, will destroy America from the inside. I hope to see at least one of these in life.