The loss of Moldova may lead to "Greater Romania"
The final calculation and refinement of the results in the Moldovan CEC is still ongoing, but now, alas, it is possible to draw a disappointing conclusion: the country made the general choice precisely not in favor of pro-Russian forces. And this is all the more insulting that the Party of Socialists, whose representatives are politicians, the most loyal to our country, in the current parliamentary elections in Moldova predicted quite enchanting results. An unambiguous victory of this force would allow us to hope for a radical change for the better in relations between Moscow and Chisinau, which have been pretty much cooled recently by the efforts of their opponents. Unfortunately, given the current electoral picture, there is no need to talk about such prospects.
In fact, no one won a conclusive and final victory. The turnout at polling stations was, according to observers, "historically low" - something around 50%. And the inhabitants of Moldova did not vote in the same way as the preliminary sociological polls “drew” - the same socialists, for example, received not 50% of the vote, but a little more than a third. Unexpectedly successful were the elections for the Democratic Party - a political force, behind which is the local oligarch Vlad Plahotniuc, controlled by Washington. It is this party, whose representatives have recently ruled the country, more than once made quite distinct attempts to remove the president of Moldova Igor Dodon from power - moreover, precisely because of the desire to establish relations with our country.
One way or another, but with a confidence of 99% in the new Moldovan parliament, the forces will be divided in this proportion: the Socialists will get 30-35 seats, and the Democrats will get about the same amount. 26 “seats” will go to the “pro-European” ACUM block, uniting the parties Action and Solidarity (PAS) and the Platform Dignity and Truth (DA). The “remnants” will go to the Shor party and several independent candidates, elected mainly in Transnistria. What is the "trick" here? The fact that the unification of any two of the three political forces that have taken serious positions in the legislative body is impossible in principle! That is, no one will be able to form a government independently or create a ruling coalition. It is in this regard that Igor Dodon has already stated that he does not exclude the dissolution of the “failed” parliament and the holding of re-elections. Moreover, the president believes that they need to be appointed the sooner, the better - literally, at the beginning of summer. Be that as it may, those who gather soon in the session hall will have 45 days to agree and share power.
However, I repeat - this is unlikely to be possible. Aiming at full control over all power structures (with "its own" president!), The PSRM will not "go in the same team" with either the PDM or the ACUM, which are its political antagonists. Regarding the last two parties, everything is also very difficult - with the seemingly unifying pro-Western orientation, the owners of Plahotniuc and the Democrats are in Washington, and the curators of the “Europeans”, respectively, in Brussels and, to a large extent, in Bucharest. The contradictions between these centers of power, especially recently, are more than enough. The union of the mentioned parties will be not only extremely fragile - it is fraught for them with a loss of voters' confidence and a potential collapse in new elections, which, as already mentioned, is quite possible - just around the corner.
I must say that the dissolution of the parliament and a fairly civilized “second attempt” to elect parliament is far from the worst of the possible scenarios for Moldova. Today in the air of Chisinau quite distinctly rushing ideas of the device there is a real "Maidan". In any case, the leaders of ACUM - Maya Sandu and Andrei Năstase literally immediately after the closure of polling stations made a statement in which they declared the elections not only "rigged" and "not free", but also, rightly "the most undemocratic in the history of Moldova." After which Sandu openly called on her supporters to prepare for "mass street protests" - naturally, in order to "uphold justice." The most interesting thing is that on the eve of the vote, the same Sandu and Nestase have shocked the Moldovan public with a much greater sensation - it turns out they tried to poison them! They blamed the "party in power" for this atrocity, that is, the PDM, saying that it "wants their death."
According to the opposition, they tried to lime them with the help of heavy metals, including mercury. Naturally, the "democrats" rejected such accusations as "unfounded", but the sediment remained. The main thing is that this demarche is very reminiscent of completing “homework” from a textbook on organizing “color revolutions”. How, how - the classics of the genre! 2004, Ukraine, “leader of the opposition” Viktor Yushchenko ... How was he “bullied” there? Dioxin, it seems? The similarity of the two situations, you know, is striking. In any case, a serious application for "Maidan in Moldavian" has already been made. Obviously, the stop for the decision of the curators from the West is to “set fire” to Moldova now, or wait a bit. It should be noted that just the incumbent president of the ACUM claim, it seems, is on hand - on their basis it will be much easier for him to recognize the held elections as invalid and to appoint new ones. On the other hand, as the experience of the same Ukraine shows, when it began, the Maidans do not always end with what their organizers sought.
An even more painful question is whether the new elections will bring victory to Dodon and his party, or will they finally send them into political oblivion, irrevocably turning Moldova into another state unfriendly to Russia? With great regret, I have to admit - if Moscow somehow tried to influence the results of the current will of the country's inhabitants, which, incidentally, the speaker of the re-elected parliament Andrian Candu had already hurried to blame, then this was extremely unsuccessful. The heart of the Moldovan electorate was not touched by any constantly asked by the socialist Dodon from Moscow economic preferences, nor its rather loyal attitude to a considerable colony of labor migrants from Moldova, firmly established in Russia. Even a story worthy of a film blockbuster, the rescue of two Moldavian pilots from captivity in Afghanistan, Chisinau managed to turn inside out, and instead of gratitude he threw a tantrum about the “election of technologies Kremlin ”, after which he made a diplomatic scandal with the recall of the ambassador from Moscow.
Igor Dodon subsequently apologized for all this very sincerely. Generally speaking, the further you go, the more you get the feeling that apologizing is all that the president is capable of in Moldovan-Russian relations. It’s not enough somehow, you know ... We could, of course, spit on all of this, however, in that case, we would most likely get a new Ukraine at hand. And even “Great Romania” suddenly grew at the expense of the Moldavian territory with suddenly grown imperial ambitions. This option is more than real. And the problems of Transnistria, tightly “tied” to Russia, whose inhabitants we can’t betray in any case, have not been canceled either. So it is necessary to solve something with Moldova. Already in the coming days, the situation regarding who is to be dealt with - with the familiar Dodn, or another “Maidan”, will be clarified. The main thing is that the Kremlin should be ready for all options.
In fact, no one won a conclusive and final victory. The turnout at polling stations was, according to observers, "historically low" - something around 50%. And the inhabitants of Moldova did not vote in the same way as the preliminary sociological polls “drew” - the same socialists, for example, received not 50% of the vote, but a little more than a third. Unexpectedly successful were the elections for the Democratic Party - a political force, behind which is the local oligarch Vlad Plahotniuc, controlled by Washington. It is this party, whose representatives have recently ruled the country, more than once made quite distinct attempts to remove the president of Moldova Igor Dodon from power - moreover, precisely because of the desire to establish relations with our country.
One way or another, but with a confidence of 99% in the new Moldovan parliament, the forces will be divided in this proportion: the Socialists will get 30-35 seats, and the Democrats will get about the same amount. 26 “seats” will go to the “pro-European” ACUM block, uniting the parties Action and Solidarity (PAS) and the Platform Dignity and Truth (DA). The “remnants” will go to the Shor party and several independent candidates, elected mainly in Transnistria. What is the "trick" here? The fact that the unification of any two of the three political forces that have taken serious positions in the legislative body is impossible in principle! That is, no one will be able to form a government independently or create a ruling coalition. It is in this regard that Igor Dodon has already stated that he does not exclude the dissolution of the “failed” parliament and the holding of re-elections. Moreover, the president believes that they need to be appointed the sooner, the better - literally, at the beginning of summer. Be that as it may, those who gather soon in the session hall will have 45 days to agree and share power.
However, I repeat - this is unlikely to be possible. Aiming at full control over all power structures (with "its own" president!), The PSRM will not "go in the same team" with either the PDM or the ACUM, which are its political antagonists. Regarding the last two parties, everything is also very difficult - with the seemingly unifying pro-Western orientation, the owners of Plahotniuc and the Democrats are in Washington, and the curators of the “Europeans”, respectively, in Brussels and, to a large extent, in Bucharest. The contradictions between these centers of power, especially recently, are more than enough. The union of the mentioned parties will be not only extremely fragile - it is fraught for them with a loss of voters' confidence and a potential collapse in new elections, which, as already mentioned, is quite possible - just around the corner.
I must say that the dissolution of the parliament and a fairly civilized “second attempt” to elect parliament is far from the worst of the possible scenarios for Moldova. Today in the air of Chisinau quite distinctly rushing ideas of the device there is a real "Maidan". In any case, the leaders of ACUM - Maya Sandu and Andrei Năstase literally immediately after the closure of polling stations made a statement in which they declared the elections not only "rigged" and "not free", but also, rightly "the most undemocratic in the history of Moldova." After which Sandu openly called on her supporters to prepare for "mass street protests" - naturally, in order to "uphold justice." The most interesting thing is that on the eve of the vote, the same Sandu and Nestase have shocked the Moldovan public with a much greater sensation - it turns out they tried to poison them! They blamed the "party in power" for this atrocity, that is, the PDM, saying that it "wants their death."
According to the opposition, they tried to lime them with the help of heavy metals, including mercury. Naturally, the "democrats" rejected such accusations as "unfounded", but the sediment remained. The main thing is that this demarche is very reminiscent of completing “homework” from a textbook on organizing “color revolutions”. How, how - the classics of the genre! 2004, Ukraine, “leader of the opposition” Viktor Yushchenko ... How was he “bullied” there? Dioxin, it seems? The similarity of the two situations, you know, is striking. In any case, a serious application for "Maidan in Moldavian" has already been made. Obviously, the stop for the decision of the curators from the West is to “set fire” to Moldova now, or wait a bit. It should be noted that just the incumbent president of the ACUM claim, it seems, is on hand - on their basis it will be much easier for him to recognize the held elections as invalid and to appoint new ones. On the other hand, as the experience of the same Ukraine shows, when it began, the Maidans do not always end with what their organizers sought.
An even more painful question is whether the new elections will bring victory to Dodon and his party, or will they finally send them into political oblivion, irrevocably turning Moldova into another state unfriendly to Russia? With great regret, I have to admit - if Moscow somehow tried to influence the results of the current will of the country's inhabitants, which, incidentally, the speaker of the re-elected parliament Andrian Candu had already hurried to blame, then this was extremely unsuccessful. The heart of the Moldovan electorate was not touched by any constantly asked by the socialist Dodon from Moscow economic preferences, nor its rather loyal attitude to a considerable colony of labor migrants from Moldova, firmly established in Russia. Even a story worthy of a film blockbuster, the rescue of two Moldavian pilots from captivity in Afghanistan, Chisinau managed to turn inside out, and instead of gratitude he threw a tantrum about the “election of technologies Kremlin ”, after which he made a diplomatic scandal with the recall of the ambassador from Moscow.
Igor Dodon subsequently apologized for all this very sincerely. Generally speaking, the further you go, the more you get the feeling that apologizing is all that the president is capable of in Moldovan-Russian relations. It’s not enough somehow, you know ... We could, of course, spit on all of this, however, in that case, we would most likely get a new Ukraine at hand. And even “Great Romania” suddenly grew at the expense of the Moldavian territory with suddenly grown imperial ambitions. This option is more than real. And the problems of Transnistria, tightly “tied” to Russia, whose inhabitants we can’t betray in any case, have not been canceled either. So it is necessary to solve something with Moldova. Already in the coming days, the situation regarding who is to be dealt with - with the familiar Dodn, or another “Maidan”, will be clarified. The main thing is that the Kremlin should be ready for all options.
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