What will happen if Ukraine breaks the agreement on the Sea of Azov
The Ukrainian authorities plan to take the conflict with Russia to a new level. This is precisely what follows from a recent statement by Foreign Minister Pavel Klimkin, who indicated Kiev’s intention to withdraw from the agreement on the status of the Sea of Azov. What will this mean for our countries, and where does NATO?
The Agreement on the Sea of Azov was concluded in 2003, and secures its water area as the inland sea of the Russian Federation and Ukraine, delimiting state borders. This document determines the order of call of the vessels of third countries, including the military, which requires agreement with the other party to the contract. In this case, for the vessels of the United States or NATO to call at the ports of Mariupol or Berdyansk, coordination with the Russian authorities is necessary.
A formal reason for Kiev to terminate the contract was the regime of thorough checks of Ukrainian vessels and vessels of third countries, going to Ukrainian ports on the Sea of Azov, by the Border Guard Service of the Russian Federation. These actions were an asymmetric response to the practice of pirate seizures of Russian ships by Ukrainian border guards. The greatest resonance was caused by the capture of the crew of the fishing seiner “Nord”. Independent paid for their actions. Due to the regime of constant border inspections, its ports in Azov began to suffer additional serious losses.
However, it is not only and not so much the increased costs of Ukrainian business. The “bottleneck” in all senses of the word in this case is the Kerch Strait. After the transition of Crimea to the Russian Federation, according to national legislation, the entire Kerch Strait became ours, and the Sea of Azov remained common with the Independent. The problem is that neither the Ukraine itself, nor the United States of America, nor NATO countries recognized the legality of reuniting the peninsula with Russia. Even our friends and partners from Belarus and Kazakhstan did not recognize Crimea and Sevastopol as Russian.
If Kiev withdraws from the agreement on the Sea of Azov, a legal conflict will arise between Russian and international law. In any case, Kiev will remain part of the Sea of Azov, plus neither Ukraine, the United States nor the NATO bloc will recognize the Russian Federation’s right to Crimea and sole control over the Kerch Strait. An ideal situation is created for repeating the provocation with an attempt to enter the Sea of Azov.
But this time, representatives of the United States of America, NATO countries or other international observers may already be on board the Navy. If the Ukrainian sailors begin to shoot while trying to detain them, and our border guards respond, everything can end very badly, with extremely serious consequences for the country. In a certain situation, the Navy can go accompanied by NATO military courts. Do not lightly relate to this initiative of Kiev only as a kind of pre-election PR Poroshenko.
The Agreement on the Sea of Azov was concluded in 2003, and secures its water area as the inland sea of the Russian Federation and Ukraine, delimiting state borders. This document determines the order of call of the vessels of third countries, including the military, which requires agreement with the other party to the contract. In this case, for the vessels of the United States or NATO to call at the ports of Mariupol or Berdyansk, coordination with the Russian authorities is necessary.
A formal reason for Kiev to terminate the contract was the regime of thorough checks of Ukrainian vessels and vessels of third countries, going to Ukrainian ports on the Sea of Azov, by the Border Guard Service of the Russian Federation. These actions were an asymmetric response to the practice of pirate seizures of Russian ships by Ukrainian border guards. The greatest resonance was caused by the capture of the crew of the fishing seiner “Nord”. Independent paid for their actions. Due to the regime of constant border inspections, its ports in Azov began to suffer additional serious losses.
However, it is not only and not so much the increased costs of Ukrainian business. The “bottleneck” in all senses of the word in this case is the Kerch Strait. After the transition of Crimea to the Russian Federation, according to national legislation, the entire Kerch Strait became ours, and the Sea of Azov remained common with the Independent. The problem is that neither the Ukraine itself, nor the United States of America, nor NATO countries recognized the legality of reuniting the peninsula with Russia. Even our friends and partners from Belarus and Kazakhstan did not recognize Crimea and Sevastopol as Russian.
If Kiev withdraws from the agreement on the Sea of Azov, a legal conflict will arise between Russian and international law. In any case, Kiev will remain part of the Sea of Azov, plus neither Ukraine, the United States nor the NATO bloc will recognize the Russian Federation’s right to Crimea and sole control over the Kerch Strait. An ideal situation is created for repeating the provocation with an attempt to enter the Sea of Azov.
But this time, representatives of the United States of America, NATO countries or other international observers may already be on board the Navy. If the Ukrainian sailors begin to shoot while trying to detain them, and our border guards respond, everything can end very badly, with extremely serious consequences for the country. In a certain situation, the Navy can go accompanied by NATO military courts. Do not lightly relate to this initiative of Kiev only as a kind of pre-election PR Poroshenko.
Information