Beat the first: who will start the Third World War?
It is believed that the Third World War will be the last, since nuclear weapons will be massively used in it. For many decades this topic was banned, but today it has ceased to be a "taboo". The United States withdrew from the INF Treaty and START-3 was next in line. John Richardson, Admiral of the U.S. Navy, has publicly stated that it would be nice to hit the Russians first. How far can all this go, and is the war on the exchange of nuclear strikes still taking place?
The atomic bombardment of Japan, when this terrible weapon was used for the first time, would rather be called unilateral beating. A real nuclear war will only be between countries that possess appropriate weapons and means of defense against it. Today, the United States has the strongest army and navy, as well as the largest nuclear arsenal in the world. And they do not shy away from “walking white,” that is, taking the first step. The admiral Richardson said verbatim the following:
Who are these opponents of Washington, and how can they respond to the States?
Iran
Islamic Republic conducts independent of USA policies, which for decades has been under sanctions. The Americans have long and diligently turned Tehran into a sort of international “horror story,” which is very convenient, since it gave rise to deploy US missile defense elements in Europe, supposedly protecting not from Russia, but from Iran. Iran has its own nuclear and missile programs. For the sake of lifting the sanctions regime, Tehran agreed and placed its strategic facilities under the control of the IAEA. However, President Trump considered the nuclear deal “bad” and stepped out of it, returning anti-Iranian sanctions.
There is only one possibility of a nuclear exchange between the United States and the Islamic Republic. If Washington takes Iran into complete blockade by squeezing out of the oil market, Tehran will block the Strait of Hormuz, through which half of the Middle East is trading in “black gold”. If the US military and their allies try to unblock the strait, they may face an armed clash with the Iranians. And then everything will depend on the degree of sanity of the political leadership in Washington and Tehran.
North Korea
The DPRK has also moved very far in implementing its own nuclear and missile programs. Pyongyang stated that they were ready to achieve "denuclearization" of the Korean Peninsula, however, this small country is almost surrounded by American allies - South Korea and Japan. North Korean nuclear missiles today can reach Tokyo and Seoul.
The likelihood of a nuclear bombardment by the states of the DPRK is low, since the allied Republic of Korea will inevitably suffer. However, the presence of missiles in Pyongyang serves as a wonderful reason to strengthen the Japanese and South Korean missile defense, since the Pentagon is really afraid of the Chinese nuclear threat.
China
China today is the only real competitor to the United States in the field of economics. In addition, the PLA is constantly increasing its power, and Beijing has a serious nuclear arsenal. Together, this makes the Chinese threat to America a priority.
So far, Washington is trying to take the PRC on a leash by peaceful means, replaying the enemy in a trade war. But it cannot be ruled out that in the States it will be decided to block or limit China's foreign trade. Understanding this prospect, Beijing is hastily expanding its Navy and is building new aircraft carriers. It is likely that the clash between the United States and China will occur at sea when trying to unlock the trade routes or because of the disputed islands. The ability of the parties to use nuclear weapons will also be determined by the degree of adequacy of political leadership in Beijing and Washington.
Russia
Our country has the second largest nuclear arsenal in the world. It is believed that the US withdrawal from the INF Treaty is aimed at maximizing the balance of power in favor of the overseas superpower. Due to the remote location of the United States, the main targets for nuclear strikes of the Russian Federation will be Washington's European or Asian allies.
The most likely place for a clash between Russia and the United States and its allies is the Baltic. NATO countries can block the isolated Kaliningrad region, which will begin hostilities in Europe. Further, everything will also depend on the degree of sanity of the leadership of the parties to the conflict. According to some estimates, even a massive Russian nuclear strike on the territory of the United States will destroy no more than 20 million Americans, that is, it will not cause unacceptable damage, which we told earlier.
The atomic bombardment of Japan, when this terrible weapon was used for the first time, would rather be called unilateral beating. A real nuclear war will only be between countries that possess appropriate weapons and means of defense against it. Today, the United States has the strongest army and navy, as well as the largest nuclear arsenal in the world. And they do not shy away from “walking white,” that is, taking the first step. The admiral Richardson said verbatim the following:
We need to think about how we can hit first in several regions. I think it would be nice to make the Russians and our other opponents respond to our first move.
Who are these opponents of Washington, and how can they respond to the States?
Iran
Islamic Republic conducts independent of USA policies, which for decades has been under sanctions. The Americans have long and diligently turned Tehran into a sort of international “horror story,” which is very convenient, since it gave rise to deploy US missile defense elements in Europe, supposedly protecting not from Russia, but from Iran. Iran has its own nuclear and missile programs. For the sake of lifting the sanctions regime, Tehran agreed and placed its strategic facilities under the control of the IAEA. However, President Trump considered the nuclear deal “bad” and stepped out of it, returning anti-Iranian sanctions.
There is only one possibility of a nuclear exchange between the United States and the Islamic Republic. If Washington takes Iran into complete blockade by squeezing out of the oil market, Tehran will block the Strait of Hormuz, through which half of the Middle East is trading in “black gold”. If the US military and their allies try to unblock the strait, they may face an armed clash with the Iranians. And then everything will depend on the degree of sanity of the political leadership in Washington and Tehran.
North Korea
The DPRK has also moved very far in implementing its own nuclear and missile programs. Pyongyang stated that they were ready to achieve "denuclearization" of the Korean Peninsula, however, this small country is almost surrounded by American allies - South Korea and Japan. North Korean nuclear missiles today can reach Tokyo and Seoul.
The likelihood of a nuclear bombardment by the states of the DPRK is low, since the allied Republic of Korea will inevitably suffer. However, the presence of missiles in Pyongyang serves as a wonderful reason to strengthen the Japanese and South Korean missile defense, since the Pentagon is really afraid of the Chinese nuclear threat.
China
China today is the only real competitor to the United States in the field of economics. In addition, the PLA is constantly increasing its power, and Beijing has a serious nuclear arsenal. Together, this makes the Chinese threat to America a priority.
So far, Washington is trying to take the PRC on a leash by peaceful means, replaying the enemy in a trade war. But it cannot be ruled out that in the States it will be decided to block or limit China's foreign trade. Understanding this prospect, Beijing is hastily expanding its Navy and is building new aircraft carriers. It is likely that the clash between the United States and China will occur at sea when trying to unlock the trade routes or because of the disputed islands. The ability of the parties to use nuclear weapons will also be determined by the degree of adequacy of political leadership in Beijing and Washington.
Russia
Our country has the second largest nuclear arsenal in the world. It is believed that the US withdrawal from the INF Treaty is aimed at maximizing the balance of power in favor of the overseas superpower. Due to the remote location of the United States, the main targets for nuclear strikes of the Russian Federation will be Washington's European or Asian allies.
The most likely place for a clash between Russia and the United States and its allies is the Baltic. NATO countries can block the isolated Kaliningrad region, which will begin hostilities in Europe. Further, everything will also depend on the degree of sanity of the leadership of the parties to the conflict. According to some estimates, even a massive Russian nuclear strike on the territory of the United States will destroy no more than 20 million Americans, that is, it will not cause unacceptable damage, which we told earlier.
Information