Why Germany is most afraid of the INF Treaty

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Among the countries of Europe, for the most part, that have reacted quite nervously to the prospect of the final destruction of the Treaty on the Elimination of Medium and Short Range Missiles, Germany stands out especially. Quickly voicing the on-duty accusations of "violations" against Russia, they immediately began to crawl with advice - how would this "save the INF Treaty". Moreover, these advice is very difficult to call appropriate - if only because, according to German logic, it should, again, be exclusively our country. However, why would such zeal? But there is a reason — moreover, it’s quite concrete.





The fact is that it was Germany itself, which, by no means fully, already felt the entire “reliability” of military “protection” from the United States. And just in the field of missile defense. For the second year in a row, a bitter dispute has been going on between Berlin and Washington, during which the Germans are trying to literally beg their computer allies for NATO Technologycritical to the normal operation of their missile defense systems. The Americans, however, flatly refuse, citing "secrecy"! Their position on this issue in a special report submitted by the German Ministry of Defense at the end of last year was described as "very restrictive."

What exactly is it about? About Germany’s attempts to improve its missile defense to such an extent that it could intercept the Russian Iskanders and even hypothetically hypersonic missiles. To this end, the so-called Tactical Air Defense System of medium range (Taktisches Luftverteidigungssystem, abbreviated TLVS) is being developed. The problem is that earlier the German military used the American Patriot missile defense system, manufactured by Raytheon, but subsequently decided to change it to another, more modern and advanced - MEADS from the American Lockheed Martin corporation. Why not? After all, the United States is a reliable partner and ally, a leading member of the North Atlantic Alliance ...

As it turned out - not so reliable. The catch is this: the TLVS system will not be able to resist not only the Iskanders, but in general will be of extremely dubious value if it does not "calibrate" the images of its detection and defeat means properly. That is - both radars and interceptor missiles. That's just for this you need a very specific computer program-stimulator, called MSE PAC-3, capable of modeling with great accuracy the possibility of hitting an enemy missile with various characteristics under various conditions. According to experts, working with MSE gives an almost one hundred percent answer to the question: what can this air defense or missile defense system do, and what is it incapable of. The fact that in the case when it comes to repelling a nuclear missile strike cannot be “possible” or “presumably” in the forecast, and it’s not worth talking about. The price of error here is the destruction in the flame of an atomic explosion.

Everything would be just wonderful, but ... The above program is a top secret development of the US Army Project Bureau and has as many as six degrees of clearance. So - no one in Germany, including the top leadership of the country and the Armed Forces, has the highest level of access to American military secrets! And it is not expected ... Washington simply flatly refuses to share them, stressing that if the program "falls into bad hands", a "whole class" of missiles armed with the US Army will become vulnerable. Great, isn't it? Saturate your ally’s army with weapons of their own production, and then “sculpt” something about “bad hands” and not allow these weapons to be properly set up and tuned! TLVS is a system, to put it mildly, not cheap, it devours the euro from the military budget, like a well-fed burgher - sausages for beer. At the end of last year, the Bundeswehr had to transfer funds for its development, which the military planned to invest in the creation of heavy helicopters. However, what is the point in all this expensive equipment, if in a critical situation it can turn out to be a useless pile of metal ?!

According to fairly reliable information, German Defense Minister Ursula Von der Leyen was forced to fly to Washington last summer, where she almost implored Jim Mattis, the then Pentagon chief, about leniency. She reminded of her allied duty and swore that the improvement of the TLVS system was precisely that “increased contribution to Europe’s defense” by Germany, which Donald Trump so solicits ... Touched by the lady’s tearful requests, Mattis seemed to promise to “think”. We thought ... In October of that year, General Robert Rush, who runs the US Armed Forces programs in the space and rocket field, came up with a "wonderful" proposal: the Americans would give the allies the necessary program.

But this will be the PAC-3 model ... "with significantly lower accuracy"! The complete model “will not leave the American continent” under any circumstances - even at the beginning of the Third World War. No, Germany may try to apply for the necessary calculations to specialists from the United States - however, in doing so, it will have to fulfill so many conditions that the head goes around. All "threat options" will be taken into work for modeling only if they are approved by the American government! And the results of the calculations will go first to the Pentagon, and only subsequently "may be transferred to the customer" (or may not be!), But also only exclusively in the United States.

According to relevant news reports, "representatives of the German Ministry of Defense did not comment on the decision." I think it’s still like steel! German is very good for this kind of "commentary" - through and through unprintable. How this situation will develop further is not yet clear. But now another thing is perfectly clear - Germany therefore reacts so nervously to the INF Treaty’s rupture that it understands better than all its neighbors the "attractive prospects" that open in this connection. American missile defense with nuclear warheads, which the "allies" are so eager to stuff Europe with, turn it into one of the primary goals for our Strategic Rocket Forces. And will they be able to protect? This is - as it turned out, a mystery covered in darkness. The "defense" of the US Army, which all NATO members had hoped for so much, in fact is increasingly turning out to be nothing more than a fiction.

Now here are the German policy, frantically looking for a way out of the situation, they advise us to "send missiles somewhere far away, beyond the Urals." What more! They ran away ... Previously, one had to think, comrades - when the allies chose such artful works. Now it remains not to give out stupid advice, but to pray that you will never need your missile defense at all.
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  1. +1
    5 February 2019 23: 23
    Clear. It proves once again that Germany is a vassal of the United States, where occupying American troops are still stationed since 1945. The situation is similar with other European countries, including the small island of Britain, which in the role of Jackal Tabaki in Washington. Therefore, Schroeder correctly said that the Germans must first achieve the full sovereignty of their country, and not just take care of sausages for beer and migrants. Then from vassal Germany will once again become great.
  2. +1
    6 February 2019 00: 13
    I do not understand all this hype. The agreement was absolutely disadvantageous for Russia. Yes, missiles were removed from Europe. But there were missiles on sea carriers. According to the INF Treaty, Russia destroyed all of its missiles, and the States left them on ships. For information: UIC type Ticonderoga cruisers have up to 122 launch cells, Arly Burke type destroyers up to 74 launch cells. And they roam into the Black and Baltic Sea on a regular basis. And although the axes are subsonic, the flying time is very short. So now Russia has free hands.
    Has European Security Decreased? So European security is not a priority for Russian foreign policy. The priority is the security of the Russian Federation. So all the same it was necessary to leave the contract. And it’s very fortunate that the Americans came out.
    Yes, a little nuance. The agreement is not a dogma. There is a wonderful point there. "The Agreement is terminated by simple notice 6 months before its end." So formally amers have nothing to show. They exactly fulfilled the point:

    Article XV
    1. This Agreement is perpetual.
    2. Each of the Parties, in the exercise of its state sovereignty, has the right to withdraw from this Agreement if it decides that the exceptional circumstances associated with the content of this Agreement endanger its higher interests. It shall notify the other Party of its decision to withdraw from this Agreement six months before withdrawal. Such a notice contains a statement of exceptional circumstances, which the notifying Party considers to be in jeopardy of its highest interests.