What should Putin do with Venezuela?

9
What should Putin do with Venezuela? I must say that nothing! Need to tackle America! I am writing this for those who, without reading the text, having read only the headline, immediately sit down to scribble a comment for the subordinate author who dared to encroach on the sacred, on our everything, on Putin our Clear Sun, the Great Sovereign of our Great Country, and therefore the automaton to him, to this scribble in the teeth and march to defend the presidential palace of Maduro, and it’s good if they kill you there.





The previous text, which made a lot of noise here, was called "Putin leaked Caracas." And although I was only discussing what the powerful of the world - the USA and Turkey with external existential threats do (yes, even the Sultan entered Syria only to avoid the creation of an independent Kurdistan on the territory of the armed Kurdish opposition, having the Kurdish Workers' Party equated to terrorist organizations as a hemorrhoid, striving for the same thing, about Trump, who solved all his problems in Venezuela in one fell swoop, you already know everything without me!), but I only regretted that Putin don't go in 2014 in a similar way with Ukraine, thereby closing the for once and for all this problem. But for me, not even having read to the end or having read, but not understanding anything, they for some reason were accused of the opposite - of draining the interests of the Russian Federation. For some reason, not taking into account the fact that exactly what the United States did in Venezuela and the Sultan in Syria, and the powers that be must act! Because they are such and are, because they do not care about them when international obligations and norms get in the way of their personal domestic interests, they spit, first of all, then precisely on international norms. Both the States, and Turkey, and even Israel demonstrate IT at every opportunity, and the world, recognizing only the right of the strong, resignedly and obediently looks at IT, recognizing them this right, and in such a situation, once again we just silently swallow dust from -Under the Ukrainian, Georgian, Armenian, Moldavian and even Belarusian hoofs (about Poland and other Baltic limitrophs I’m already silent here!).

I asked - how long will this continue? And he regretted only that the window of opportunity to intervene in the events in Ukraine was closed for us in 2014, and now we have lost this territory for a long time, if not forever, and only Putin and no one else are to blame for this, with his indecision at the most crucial moment ! By the annexation of Crimea, then we only gave an excellent reason for our enemies to pursue us on all fronts, driving the situation inside and thereby stopping the problem for a short time, instead of solving it for ourselves in one fell swoop, if not forever, then at least for the long term.

With Venezuela, we do not have such opportunities! Due to its remoteness from our bases, problems with logistics and escalation capabilities incompatible with the USA. Compare them at your leisure with those for the States in Ukraine and tell me who in that case had advantages in 2014, and why didn’t we use them then? It’s not in vain that the US President’s National Security Advisor Bolton leaks about the possibility of the deployment of 5 US troops to Colombia, while CNN reports on the opposition from the Venezuelan Armed Forces who have turned to the US administration for weapons and communications to fight the "hated tyrant", and to all democratic and fraternal countries (such as Colombia, Brazil and Peru) asking for their support in this. And if you recall that the other day, Great Britain seized the gold reserves of Venezuela in the amount of $ 1,2 billion, and the United States froze the accounts of the only Venezuelan oil state corporation, which operates through its American daughter in the United States, with the redistribution of these funds in favor of the newly-minted impostor, it becomes completely clear that the overthrow of the legitimate president of Venezuela is not a matter of weeks, but hours. On February 3, an ultimatum to him from a number of European countries about the holding of early elections expires, after which it will be possible to summarize, saying that the entire civilized world has grouped against the "tyrant". Only the "outcasts" represented by Abkhazia, Belarus, Bolivia, Iran, China, Cuba, Nicaragua, Russia, El Salvador, Turkey and South Ossetia support him (countries are given in alphabetical order), which is against the backdrop of an absolutely illegal attempt (and it’s hard to argue with that !) Maduro’s removal from power once again makes it clear on whose side the strength is. Against American scrap, all our arguments, all appeals to the UN Security Council with calls: "Guys, let's live together!" Are completely powerless. and “No need to interfere in the internal affairs of sovereign countries!” that dead poultices. The United States wanted to spit on us, as well as on China. Here is an indicator of who the hegemon is here and who just went for a walk. For comparison, recall how the “civilized” world reacted to our completely legitimate entry into Syria in 2015 and to the reassignment of Crimea in 2014 (although the last example is not entirely correct).

In this situation, neither we nor China can do anything at all. After the U.S. authorities arbitrarily transferred the leader of the Venezuelan opposition, Juan Guaido, control over the assets of the legitimate government and the Central Bank of Venezuela, which were in the accounts of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and other American banks, Maduro was doomed and his days were numbered. And not because he has no physical strength or desire to resist, the Venezuelan army is still for him, but because he is running out of money to support this fight. Venezuela’s 95% of all foreign exchange earnings came from oil sales, now even if they don’t shut off this tap, they will lose money from selling it on foreign markets, transferring all export revenue to self-appointed president Juan Guaido. How, tell me, in such circumstances, continue to finance the army and the police, and how to avoid the hunger riots of the population, which had already eked out a miserable existence? You must admit that the United States is in full control of the situation by tightening the noose around Nicolas Maduro’s neck; for this, they don’t even need to bring troops into the country or push Brazil and Colombia torn from the leash. Another almost bloodless coup, it is good if Maduro manages to escape to Cuba or Bolivia, avoiding the fate of Salvador Allende and Muammar Gaddafi.

Did he have at least a minimal chance of avoiding this? I must say that it was. Maduro had 2 hours on his strength to arrest (liquidate) the impostor, who declared himself acting president of Venezuela. But I think that it was precisely these 2 hours that the self-appointed president spent under the protection of very “worthy people” in the territory of either the Colombian embassy or the United States. But even in this case, I’m not sure that the Americans did not have a counter-plan. This multi-headed hydra, probably, instead of one severed head of Juan Guaido, could immediately instantly grow another two or three new ones from among the opposition’s comrades-in-arms, and after recognizing the fact of self-proclamation by the first “civilized” countries, this train irrevocably left, in the worst case, being possibly used as an excuse for forcibly eliminating the objectionable president of Venezuela.

The funniest thing is to show the disgraced Yankees president nothing but his arrogant desire to pursue an external and internal independent of the United States policies, could not. Neither weapons of mass destruction, (like chemical), nor terrorist acts in the United States, nor interference in the US elections. They had nothing against Koti Saprykin! But, as it turned out, this is not necessary when the United States “dislikes him so much that they can’t eat”! This is some new word in coups, the United States would urgently need to patent its know-how on it. Now, for the change of power, there is no longer any need for color revolutions, nakstalt of Ukraine, it’s enough to go out to some kind of dubbed, approved by the United States, with the statement that he declares himself president of the country after resettlement, and America’s satellites will recognize him as the rightful president the next day countries can collect things and bring down. And well, if not in jail. I just take my hat off to the Yankees, great know-how! At the same time, the USA completely ignores all moral, ethical, legal, geopolitical and other wow factors associated with this process. For a trivial reason - whoever pays, also orders the music. Now you understand how recklessly we entered the 90s, having connected our destiny with the USA and its financial system. Now you understand where we hang out with them and on what hook? Only our presence of nuclear missiles still keeps them from rash steps. And even recently, even nuclear weapons are not an argument for them; they have to switch to hypersound. Maduro, unfortunately, has no missiles, like Comrade. Eun, there’s no hypersound. Therefore, his days are numbered! Alas, he is doomed.

What should we do in this situation? I promised to give Putin a life-saving plan. I do not refuse. It is clear that he will not be associated with our military intervention. Here we have absolutely no chance against the Yankees and their accomplices. This is absolutely not the case when we need to get involved in a war, even a hybrid one, we lose, without even starting! And here we, as, indeed, everywhere, should not rely on China. China is still an ally, it will stupidly wait for the corpses of its enemies to swim past it, preferably ours and the USA, doing nothing in return. And now he will be doomed to watch the States rob him, hoping to at least somehow agree with them. Let’s leave this doomed, for it we just will not pull the chestnuts out of the fire. Let him understand who in this struggle is his friend and who is the enemy. Venezuela fell completely not because it was friends with the Russian Federation, but because it could become a raw material base for oil supplies to China and Southeast Asia. The USA could not allow the resource self-sufficiency of China. And I understand them perfectly in this. But in war, as in war, all methods are good. And therefore Maduro was doomed for a long time, since when he let the Chinese into his bins. The unsuccessful attempt on him in August 2018, by no means, did not discourage the Americans from this desire. And this time in January 2019, they already acted for sure. The countdown to Maduro’s overthrow has already gone a few days, but it’s not sad for me to talk about it.

What do we do? As always, the GDP response should be asymmetric. This is his trump card and now you can try to play all-in. There is no sense in waiting for another case. Trump during this time showed himself as a worthy opponent, there is no reason to expect mercy from him, our turn will come after Venezuela. He will strangle us in his arms, you can take a word, this is not a fool, Obama, he could not be beaten. With quiet glanders he does his job, and we go on his list immediately after Iran, in front of North Korea. Iran is almost not breathing. The USA strangled it purely economically. And they will strangle us. Doubt it? I am almost gone. The first bell will be the killing of SP-2, it will not be enough, SWIFT will be turned off, they will find a reason, you can have no doubt. It will not help, they will block the Ukrainian gas transportation system by the hands of the same Ukrainians, with the words: “Do not drop enemy gas to Kremlin aides in the person of the EU!” And Trump is stupid to blame it. By killing us and China, he saves himself. He is still the director of America, not the Russian Federation. Therefore, our director has come to come in with trump cards and bring down Trump. How? But very simple! Do they seem to blame us for interfering in their American elections? It’s time for Vova to confess and repent, call a press conference and say: “Yes, we intervened in the US election in favor of Trump. Sorry, it will not happen again ... " What will happen next, I do not know. I think there is no need to tell the Prosecutor General Muller what to do in such cases. I hope for the next six months related to the impeachment procedure, the United States will certainly not be up to Venezuela. And there, you see, the elections in Ukraine will be held according to a scenario that is neutral for us, and we will be able to complete the SP-2. And let them there, in America, drown each other. No pity! It’s a pity only Trump, he was a good man. But this is just a business - nothing personal! Come on, Donald Ibrahimovic, come in, if that. In Rostov we will always find a house for you.

If this does not help, then Venezuela will not help anything. Amen!
9 comments
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  1. -3
    2 February 2019 12: 08
    The second consecutive pseudo-analytical article of the author. One can agree with the prospects for the Maduro regime.
    1. +2
      2 February 2019 20: 04
      What exactly are your claims to the author? You are a real analyst! Couch! Only nobody but your cat is listening to you, even your wife! Yes, and the cat only for food ...

      If something does not suit you - here, paper, write better! I esteem the real analyst, and if I see at least one reasonable thought there, I will say this.
      1. -1
        4 February 2019 13: 29
        Hmmm ... the author's second attempt to "give advice" to Russia ... (although he does not advise others to give it to himself :) You are our advisor ... What would we do without you !?
        And the second time he steps on the same rake :( even reading is sad!
        But you still feel that you tried ... - well done! Looks like it's stuck ... I realized that the first article, to put it mildly - "was not approved ..." by the public. But it seems that the conclusions were a little wrong! As a result, I got into the same puddle !!! And from the revised article, we got the same eggs, only in profile! laughing
        Sorry, of course, but Arkharov is right! Well, not yours! Not yours!!! :)
      2. +1
        4 February 2019 16: 10
        And what is analytics?
        Is the plan to recognize Russian interference in the election of the US president? That is, to intervene in the battle of the Rockefellers and the Rothschilds? Bring Democrats to power led by Mrs. Clinton?
        The plan for Venezuela and the situation in the world is extremely simple. The current world order that the States are trying to break is the Yalta world. Which was paid for by the lives of 25 or more millions of Soviet citizens. And we must simply and stupidly repeat that there is no alternative to the UN. And help Venezuela. But not soldiers or tanks. Assistance to Venezuela and not only it is to replace the economic and social paradigm of the Russian Federation.
        You never cease to be surprised that Russia has no allies? And where do they come from if capitalism is being built in Russia? That is, the same system that already exists in the West. Where did the allies come from?
        Assistance in this particular phase of this particular country is humanitarian aid under the UN flag. So Maduro could somehow ensure the viability of his state. Roughly speaking - just feed people. In exchange for Venezuelan oil. You can run into blocking transfers and disconnecting from the banking system. In war, as in war. There are no bloodless battles. But it’s better to lose money than your people.
        There is one weakness in your proposal. Which is scary in itself. The coming to power of the insane Clintons is a war immediately. Donald, who is a trump card - leads the matter to financial wars. In which, you can still win. I am not kidding. Despite the huge difference in economic opportunities, the Russian Federation has real leverage over the Western economy. You just need not be afraid to get into a fight. And move away from the strategy of capitalism. This is not the way to be defeated.
        Continuing the capitalist path is to play with cheaters on their gaming table.

        PS Not for the reason that the son’s father beat that he was playing, but for the fact that he was acting out.
        It is necessary to fix losses and discard all cards. And start over.
        1. +1
          22 February 2019 17: 26
          Quote: Bakht
          You never cease to be surprised that Russia has no allies? And where do they come from if capitalism is being built in Russia? That is, the same system that already exists in the West. Where did the allies come from?

          No, colleague, no one is surprised at this, on the contrary, we say that we need to change the system! Nobody likes the internal structure of today's Russia except those who created it, and this is a fact! But who will change it? You are right, we must move away from the capitalist system, it has simply outlived itself, but you must agree that the current government will not do this under any circumstances!
  2. +2
    2 February 2019 23: 47
    We all will die!!!!

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  4. 0
    3 February 2019 11: 13
    What to do? If there is NO opportunity and strength to protect the legally elected head of state, then we must slowly leave, making a good face with a bad game!
    1. 0
      3 February 2019 21: 30
      And money? 17 yards of greenery! Stupidly give the USA? But they draw them, and we earn!
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  5. -3
    4 February 2019 17: 48
    And there, you see, the elections in Ukraine will be held according to a scenario neutral for us ..
    Yours will no longer go. Don't get your hopes up. When elections are held in Russia in a different way, not the Kremlin's scenario, then we will look at "getting up from our knees."