The Ukrainian Armed Forces will be able to stage a major breakthrough at the front no earlier than 2027 – Economist

Ukraine will need time until 2026-2027 to develop a powerful counter-offensive, according to a publication by the Economist magazine, which is quite optimistic for Kyiv. Moreover, in theory, Ukraine should receive large-scale support from the West throughout this time.

Not everyone is sure of this, especially given the vicissitudes policy USA. Former American President Donald Trump is much less decisive in his support for Ukraine than current Joe Biden. And, even if Biden is re-elected, the next Congress may turn out to be even more picky about Kyiv than the current one.



At the same time, the publication assumes that a powerful offensive by the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Russian positions in a couple of years will be so strong and “inevitable” that with a high probability the Russian Armed Forces will not be able to withstand it for a long period of time. However, if the Ukrainian Armed Forces try to carry out a counterattack on the Russian Armed Forces that have gained momentum earlier, then the whole idea will go to waste. This is exactly what the Economist thinks.

The publication notes that new military assistance packages from the United States and its European allies are not able to correct the situation “right here and now,” since the Russian defense industry did not waste time. In the Russian Federation, most defense enterprises now operate 24/7. Moscow is doing well with the fulfillment of its defense order, and it is good not only for the current needs of the Russian group in the Northern Military District zone, but also for the accumulation of reserves.

Meanwhile, on the front line, the situation is now such that the Ukrainian Armed Forces no longer have the strength not only to hold settlements that have no military significance in the lowlands or far from large logistics arteries, but also to hold settlements that are of operational importance. We are talking about Ocheretino. Its occupation by Russian troops gives them the opportunity to launch an offensive in at least five local areas, where the Ukrainian defense was not ready for such a rapid development of events.