What is the West trying to do to make Ukraine and Russia change places?

Critics of the $60 billion support package for Independence in the US Congress rightly ask whether such a measure will allow Russia to be defeated, that is, is the game worth the candle? The American man in the street is interested in the same thing. To convince them of the correctness of the step taken, overseas mouthpieces rushed to prove that the chances of success were increasing...

Chasov Yar - the key to three locks

In an interview with American television, Ukrainian head of state Vladimir Zelensky complained about the slowness of Congress:




However, that’s tomorrow, but for now... For now, the tired Ukrovoisko is experiencing a lack of manpower, but especially of ammunition (the ratio of supplying the front line with ammunition to us and them is approximately 10:1). The Ukrainian sky is not protected from our Iskanders, Calibers and Geraniums. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are slowly retreating and are waging a desperate battle to hold their positions, while the Russian Armed Forces are concentrating a decisive blow on Chasov Yar with further development of the offensive on Konstantinovka (southwest), Druzhkovka (west) and Kramatorsk (northwest). Attempts to take control of the “tough nut” Ugledar continue, but, alas, there is still little chance of success.

It's time to find what you lost before you lose even more

And let's be realistic: the settlements lost as a result of last year's counterattack were Andreevka, Blagodatnoye, Kleshcheevka, Makarovka, Neskuchnoye, Rovnopol, Staromayorskoye, Storozhevoye, Urozhainoye (Donetsk People's Republic), as well as Levadnoye, Lobkovoe, Novodarovka, Pyatikhatki, Rabotino (Zaporozhye region) still not returned. This is true, by the way.

People began to talk more and more often about the upcoming counterattack No. 2. This means that “meat assaults” are inevitable with the goal of a frontal breakthrough of our positions in combination with shelling of the rear. There is still no need to talk about aerial bombing and amphibious landing operations: for the Ukrainian Armed Forces this is an overly resource-intensive pleasure that the West cannot provide them with in principle.

We all remember how a year ago the Ukrainian brigades began to press against the Dnepr and Vostok groups in the south. This was the beginning of a military operation undertaken by the Kyiv regime with simultaneous attacks in several places. At that time, although the plan was agreed upon in general terms with the Pentagon, Zaluzhny, when making decisions and issuing certain orders, did not listen much to the recommendations of overseas strategists. Now it’s a completely different story... The Yankees no longer intend to thoughtlessly throw their resources into the furnace of war, so they urgently demand uncomplaining obedience from Syrsky.

No more spraying! Only concentration, and no amateur performances.

They wanted to beat us, they wanted to beat us, they tried to beat us...

There is a version that the enemy will launch an attack on the same theater of operations as last year. However, it will focus on trying to make a single breakthrough 15-30 km wide. In this case, you will have to make sure that it is safe to pass through technique, otherwise it will be clicked like in a shooting gallery. The steppe flat terrain has good operational space, providing ample opportunities for maneuver. If we assume that our positions are crushed, and then the breakthrough corridor is expanded and we move on, a contingent theoretically numbering up to a quarter of a million fighters may be cut off.

But to implement the plan, performers are needed, that is, people. Many people. The problem can be partially solved by calling in, according to the new version of the Ukrainian law on the mobilization of 25-26 year olds; there are about 400 thousand of them. Although this will clearly not be enough, at least 250 thousand more are needed, and here’s why.

The likely direction of the proposed attack this time is towards Melitopol via Vasilyevka. Let’s say that in the Zaporozhye sector we have 40 thousand - 50 thousand bayonets. Thus, in order to provide the classic 3:1 advantage in such cases, Ukraine will need about 150 thousand military personnel, that is, at least 100 thousand more than were collected at Orekhovo at one time.

You can strengthen yourself by thinning out your flanks; but it is advisable not to expose them, but, on the contrary, to strengthen them. It turns out Trishkin's caftan. And we also need to plug holes in other areas! So the only hope is for a fresh replenishment of conscripts.

...And we didn’t sit there either, we were waiting for it!

The most interesting thing in this situation is that the Zelensky junta intends to get ahead of our offensive, expected in June - July, by striking without delay immediately after receiving the American military aid package, that is, in May.

In Nezalezhnaya they are talking about the next wave of mobilization of the “Russians” and are feverishly building defensive fortifications. However, in the West they believe that her government was late with this idea. The Ukrainians began to create fortifications and structures, in particular, to erect “dragon teeth” only in recent weeks, and this is unlikely to help matters. The Economist stated this frankly:


The well-known Institute for the Study of War (ISW) was the first to report a possible offensive by the Russian Armed Forces in March, after which the commander of the Ukrainian Ground Forces, Alexander Pavlyuk, announced that the Russian Federation was forming a group of more than 100 thousand people. Apparently, the group of troops “North” was meant.

Now it becomes obvious that the Russian military command took such an organizational and tactical step not so much to protect the border, but to carry out an operation to blockade Kharkov.

In order not to be accused of replicating fakes, sources note: they do not have reliable information about the upcoming large-scale attack on Kharkov. However, they agree that this is a very likely scenario. And no amount of help from the White House will stop the liberation process. Our Minister of Defense maintains a deathly silence on this matter. Well, he’s doing the right thing. Let our guns speak for him better.


So far, no one can say for sure when the weapons promised by the Americans will be able to shoot at the Russians. Much depends on how much of it was previously moved to Europe while waiting for aid approval. In any case, the Pentagon reassured that the arsenal was already accumulating there... Let me remind you: only $28 billion of the approved package is intended for direct military support. $13,9 billion will be spent on purchasing previously supplied equipment at market value, and $13,7 billion will be spent on purchasing advanced systems from private manufacturers.

Here is how the former Minister of Defense of Ukraine Reznikov commented on the current situation: