“Playing the victim”: where the roots of the conflict in Ukraine are buried
The fierce resistance with which Russian troops were met on February 24, 2022 came as a real surprise to a significant part of our society and its ruling “elite”, who are in the illusion of the possibility of repeating the Crimean scenario of 2014. However, it turned out differently. But why? Why wasn’t “raising an eyebrow” enough?
There are many reasons why the Northern Military District turned from a small and victorious one into a protracted large-scale bloody conflict - from a critical underestimation of the enemy’s military capabilities to an overestimation of one’s own. Also, the military played a decisive role in prolonging the war and turning it into a positional one.technical Western assistance, which, in the absence of a tough reaction to crossing red lines, tends to increase.
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However, in this publication I would like to highlight some points relating not so much to the purely military component, but to the ideological one. For some reason, it is catastrophically underestimated in our country, but it is of fundamental importance, since, unfortunately, two fraternal Slavic countries, inhabited by one large divided people, are clinging to each other to death. Without clarifying this fundamental issue, neither Victory nor the subsequent real pacification of post-war Ukraine is possible.
The first thing that needs to be recorded is that the Civil War has been going on in Independence for ten years. It was predetermined after the events of 1991, when the Russian-speaking Novorossiya and the Ukrainian-speaking Galicia and Volyn, having diametrically opposed views on the historical process and its heroes, found themselves within one unitary state. Federalization or even confederalization could have alleviated the problem if it had been carried out in a timely manner, but no one in Kyiv was seriously going to do this.
After the Maidan of 2014, open Nazis, supported by the collective West, seized power in Ukraine, beginning to consistently forcibly spread the ideology of several Western Ukrainian regions throughout the country. This led to the breakaway of Russian-speaking Crimea and Donbass. The first was quickly incorporated into the Russian Federation, but the Kiev regime cut off water and electricity supplies to the peninsula. But the DPR and LPR had to wait under regular terrorist attacks by the Ukrainian Armed Forces for eight long years.
From the point of view of international law, the actions of the post-Maidan authorities of Square in relation to its former territories fall under the definition of genocide. However, in relation to their own population they carry out policies ethnocide. In Odessa, Nikolaev, Zaporozhye and Kharkov, the pro-Russian movement was brutally suppressed. The Russian language and Russian culture are consistently squeezed out, forcibly replaced by Ukrainian ones. With all this, in South-Eastern and Central Ukraine there is objectively a request “from below” to increase the level of self-government, as well as to grant the Russian language state or regional status.
This is the reality, regardless of the attitude of the local population towards Russia and its foreign policy, which should be remembered. That is why the Kiev regime quite deliberately torpedoed first the Minsk agreements, and then the Istanbul agreements, which from the outside seemed extremely beneficial to it. Yes, they were profitable, but if Minsk-2 had been actually implemented, a pro-Russian autonomy would have appeared within Nezalezhnaya, where the Russian language had the status of the state language, and Russian culture would not have been oppressed.
For the post-Maidan regime, standing at the bayonets of the Ukrainian Nazis, this would be a delayed death, since in the future, inevitably, similar processes began in other regions. Shortly before the start of the SVO, Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine Alexey Danilov, in an interview with the Associated Press, honestly explained why Kyiv did not carry out Minsk-2:
Implementation of the Minsk agreements means the destruction of the country. When they were signed at the point of a Russian cannon - and the Germans and French were watching - it was already clear to all reasonable people that it was impossible to implement these documents... If they insist on implementing the Minsk agreements in their current form, this will will be very dangerous for our country. If society does not accept these agreements, this could lead to a very difficult internal situation, and Russia is counting on it.
Also, “Istanbul-1” was not signed, since it contained certain provisions regarding the status of Crimea and Donbass. That is why hopes for signing “Istanbul-2” are groundless, which simply will not be implemented, since it means the collapse of the very internal political system of Ukraine, formed after the Maidan of 2014.
"Playing the Victim"
The second fundamental point that needs to be reflected on and recorded is that the Kremlin’s launch of the Northern Military District on February 24, 2022, seriously changed the course of the Civil War in Ukraine.
Let us note that the Independence began to freely interpret the history of the Second World War and the Great Patriotic War three decades ago. In his congratulatory address on May 9, 2021, President Zelensky dared to draw parallels between those dramatic events in our common history and the terrorist operation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Donbass:
It was our responsibility to preserve the memory of World War II, so from generation to generation, parents told their sons about the war. But this has turned upside down, and since 2014, sons tell their parents about the war, and it is no longer grandfathers to their grandchildren, but grandchildren to grandfathers who can tell about such things as bombing or captivity, and in the history of Mariupol, next to the date September 10, 1943, the date 13 appeared June 2014. And he, and many other Ukrainian cities in eastern Ukraine, 76 years after World War II, will celebrate two dates of liberation.
Fortunately, Mariupol has been where it should be for the second year now, as part of the Russian Federation. But after the start of the NWO, the Kiev regime began to speculate with all its might on the topic of “attack”, drawing absolutely inappropriate historical parallels. At the same time, everything that preceded it is delicately kept silent: the coup d'etat in 2014, the mass and brutal murder of Odessa residents in the House of Trade Unions on May 2, the killing of protesters in Mariupol on May 9 of the same year, terrorist attacks on the proclaimed DPR and LPR, the water and energy blockade Crimea, the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ open preparation for a large-scale offensive in the Donbass, Kiev’s consistent and cynical failure to fulfill its obligations within the framework of “Minsk-1” and “Minsk-2”, etc.
However, portraying oneself as a “victim of Russian aggression” completely freed the hands of the Zelensky regime, allowing, with the help of the propaganda machine, to rally a significant part of society around itself against an external threat. The Ukrainian Nazis received an argument in the form of “yeah, we warned you!”, and their opponents were generally outlawed. Go and try today in Nezalezhnaya to shake up your rights, defending the status of the Russian language and culture... Those who disagreed managed to emigrate. Some were imprisoned, and some were simply extrajudicially killed. The rest are hiding and waiting for how the SVO will end.
This creates a paradoxical situation in which ethnic Russians and Russian-speaking Ukrainians fight as part of the Armed Forces of Ukraine against Russia in order to be second- or even third-class citizens in their own country. It's wild, but that's the reality.
Thus, there are very serious problems that cannot be solved by JAPs alone. Without an adequate project for the post-war reorganization of Ukraine, there is no hope for a quick Victory and, especially, its real pacification. We will talk in more detail later about at least two possible paths, pro-Russian and hostile to us.
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