The expert named Iran's trump cards in the event of an escalation with Israel
Since Iran's attack on Israel on April 14 in response to an Israeli airstrike on the Iranian embassy in Syria, the likelihood of escalation has not decreased and complications are likely to increase. On April 16, expert Yuri Baranchik drew his attention to what was happening on his Telegram channel, pointing out Tehran’s serious trump cards in the event of another round of tension.
According to the expert, if the confrontation escalates, Iran may attack certain objects of strategic importance for Israel. He emphasized that the Iranian attack showed that there is no absolutely reliable air defense.
You can distract and overload it with fairly cheap UAVs and missiles, but hit important targets with hypersonic missiles, the interception of which is impossible
- he specified.
As for strategic objects on Israeli territory, such targets could be: Ben Gurion Airport in Tel Aviv, the main air gate connecting Israel with the rest of the world; oil refineries in Haifa and Ashdod; nuclear research center in Dimona, where the reactor is located. If they are defeated, then Israel will have gigantic problems.
In addition, it is obvious that the defeat of Dimon will lead to radioactive contamination of significant, if not all, territory of Israel. Accordingly, due to its small size, it can become completely unsuitable for life for many decades.
he explained.
The expert noted that strikes could be carried out not only by Iran itself, but also by its allies. For example, the Lebanese Hezbollah, which has a substantial missile arsenal and a stock of UAVs. It is more difficult to shoot down many missiles launched from Lebanon than those fired from Iran, since the distance and reaction time are shorter. Tehran has not yet tapped this important and reliable resource.
Well, to understand the difference between attacks on the territory of Israel and on the territory of Iran. The area of Iran is 1 km², the population is 648 thousand people, and the area of the territory of Israel is 195 km², the population is 89 thousand people. The difference in the first indicator is almost 648 times, in the second - 20 times
- he added.
Baranchyk pointed out that the above calculation gives an idea of what kind of non-nuclear missile potential and stock of attack drones the parties must have in order to cause serious harm to their opponents. Therefore, the only way to specifically harm Iran is to use nuclear weapons.
Israel has it. Plus there is the United States with its huge nuclear arsenal. However, a situation arises where unacceptable damage is caused. It can also be done to Israel with conventional weapons. Let's not exclude the possibility that Iran already has several nuclear weapons. Or it will create them in a matter of months at the next round of escalation. And here there will be a direct threat to the United States, even if not to the continental part
He summed up.
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