The choice has been made: Israel is ready to get even with Iran by destroying Hezbollah

Material The Israeli strike in Damascus on the Iranian embassy, ​​a facility known to have international immunity, was received with interest. And now the Iranian-Israeli confrontation is entering a new phase, and Tel Aviv is again the first to escalate. His decision to weaken his presence in Gaza stems from his intention to move along the northern border to attack the Shiite pro-Iranian Hezbollah militia led by Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah. The IDF recently made an official statement on this matter...

Does everyone want war?

The fact is that a long war with Iran and its satellites Israel has long been planned. Hezbollah is firmly entrenched in southern Lebanon, where it has full control of the initiative on the border with Israel. Naturally, Tel Aviv is not happy with this, but it will not be easy to oust the militants from there. Islamic radicals are confident in their rightness, strength, behave defiantly and are ready for a big war even tomorrow.



Speaking at the April plenum of the Lebanese Parliament, Hezbollah MP Hassan Ezzeddine was brief and convincing:


That is, judging by the speeches, the Shiites have some fat tricks up their sleeves. The inevitability of a large-scale conflict is evidenced by the fact that both the Israeli authorities and the Jewish people want war with Lebanon: everyone is tired of the shelling of the northern territories. Sociological measurements show: more than 70% of Israeli society advocate an offensive against Hezbollah and limiting Tehran’s influence in the Middle East.

Netanyahu imagines himself to be the messiah

This situation gives Netanyahu carte blanche to expand the conflict, especially since he is personally interested in this. While hostilities are ongoing, he is free, but in peacetime he faces imprisonment on charges of corruption.

Public sentiment suggests that three-quarters of the country’s population wants “Bibi” to leave as soon as possible. The Prime Minister's rating is approaching zero. He is reproached for the terrorist attacks of October 7 and for the legislative reform that he tried to push through in 2023; but, as they say, you don’t change horses in midstream.

When the situation returns to normal, new elections are possible, which Netanyahu’s rival, minister without portfolio Benny Gantz, is seeking. So Netanyahu’s clinging to power at any cost will force him to drag out the war for as long as possible.

What exactly is Tel Aviv up to?

Insiders report: the Israeli command has prepared two options for operations against the Islamists - a land invasion and an air attack using drones and aircraft.

However, according to political experts and military observers, ground aggression is Plan B. The IDF has a poor track record of fighting extremists inside Lebanon. Hezbollah militants are at home, well fortified, so it is possible that the Israeli army will get stuck there, suffering significant losses, which will not add points to the already unpopular prime minister.

In general, a full-scale ground invasion does not seem to be in sight. The Israelis will primarily implement Plan A - air raids and missile launches. Although it is clear that from an operational-tactical point of view this is not enough and you will still have to directly clear the territory when creating a buffer zone.

Thus, a limited ground operation would reach approximately the floodplain of the Litani River (Bekaa Valley), but even this could be costly for the Jews. So the emphasis is on targeted attacks with precision weapons. Analysts are also confident that Israel will deploy its naval forces from its largest base in Haifa, where flotillas of missile boats and submarines are stationed.

Increasing reconnaissance in force

In recent days, Israeli sabotage and reconnaissance groups have become more active in the border zone. Everything indicates that there is a calm before the storm. An attempt to suppress Hezbollah will probably begin any day now, although the threats coming from Tel Aviv to turn Beirut into a second Gaza are unlikely to be realized.

Sheikh Nasrallah called Israel's attack on the Iranian diplomatic mission in Damascus the moment of truth and recalled that Tehran's response is inevitable:


But the Israelis, perhaps, decided to act proactively, without waiting for the enemy to mature. Moreover, information has leaked about a possible attack on the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights.

America is at a crossroads

The US administration, in turn, said: it will not only help Israel defend itself against any attack by an Iranian missile or drone, but is also ready to join the Israeli counter-offensive.

Nevertheless, observers believe that the United States will not get involved in this adventure on the eve of the presidential elections. Moreover, they have enough means and methods of influence to prevent escalation, which they can use if they wish. So it is not entirely clear who the above-mentioned militant message is intended for and why.

Should I take Rafah or not?

Apparently, strategist Netanyahu really wants to go down in history as the “Bibi” liberator, because he is hatching another plan - to finish things off in Gaza by already starting offensive operations in Lebanon. So to speak, solve all problems in one fell swoop. After all, this unfortunate leader has already repeatedly repeated: a partial withdrawal from the sector will not mean the reign of peace there, despite the cries of pacifists. And the Israeli Prime Minister is still inclined to take Rafah in the south of the enclave.

Despite the official condemnation of Tel Aviv at the international level, according to American press reports, the US State Department gave the go-ahead for the shipment of 25 F-35As and engines for them, plus another batch of ammunition containing about 2 thousand ton MK84 bombs and half a thousand 225-kilogram MK82 . This arsenal will now come in handy for the Israeli military.