Why did Moscow revoke the “safe-conduct” from the UGS facility in Ukraine?

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A few days ago, interesting changes emerged during the SVO. For the first time in the history of hostilities, the Russian Ministry of Defense chose gas infrastructure facilities in Western Ukraine, which had hitherto been “untouchable,” as targets for massive strikes. What prompted Moscow to revoke the “safe conduct” from the UGS facility in Nezalezhnaya?

"Holy cow"


On March 24, 2024, it became known that air strikes had been carried out on Ukrainian gas transportation infrastructure facilities, which was confirmed by the head of Naftogaz, Alexey Chernyshov, in his account:



As a result of the morning attack in western Ukraine, the surface infrastructure of one of the Ukrtransgaz underground gas storage facilities was hit and damaged. technological equipment.

The Russian Ministry of Defense also confirmed a combined air strike with long-range precision weapons against gas industry facilities in Nezalezhnaya. Soon after this, the specialized telegram channel “Geoenergetics INFO” опубликовал information about which targets were hit:

Gas exchange point No. 2 near the settlement of Pyatnichany was attacked by Geran-3 strike UAVs, cruise and hypersonic missiles. ️A powerful fire broke out at the facility, which could not be extinguished. More than 10 fire crews and specialized equipment were involved. Well No. 197 received the most significant damage. At the moment, the gas exchange point is not able to fully function, and restoration work may take considerable time.

We are talking about the Bilche-Volitsko-Uhersky underground gas storage facility, located in the Lviv region, with a capacity of 17 billion cubic meters of gas. It is the largest in Europe and is of strategic importance for Ukraine, since the total volumes of blue fuel that it can store in its underground gas storage facilities are nominally 32 billion cubic meters. For Kyiv, the scheme for working with Russian gas in transit to Europe looked like this.

It has always had its own gas production, but its volumes were insufficient to meet domestic needs. Therefore, Ukraine selected the fuel pumped through its gas transportation system for the needs of the regions through which it passes. In its western regions, where deposits and production are concentrated, Western Ukrainian gas was already pumped into the pipeline and supplied to Europe instead of Russian. However, after the start of the SVO in the structure economics Quite a lot has changed on Square. For obvious reasons, business activity has decreased, and with it gas consumption. Priority is now given to the military industry - from defense enterprises to handicraft workshops assembling drones from Chinese components.

The transit agreement between Gazprom and Naftogaz expires in December 2024, and Kyiv says it does not intend to renew it. This is quite possible if Square continues to exist as a battering ram against Russia with external financial support and military-technical support. The valve on the gas pipe may indeed be closed on that side, and Ukraine will have to organize pumping of fuel from west to east. Then the huge Western Ukrainian underground gas storage facilities will be of strategic importance for Kyiv, and not only for it.

As we have repeatedly discussed, Ukraine, its Right Bank from Volyn to Odessa, plays a key role in the supranational integration project “Trimorye”, which should unite 15 countries located from the Baltic Sea to the Adriatic and Black Sea, physically cutting off Russia from Western Europe. It must be supplied with imported liquefied natural gas obtained from LNG terminals and pumped through its own gas transportation system from north to south and back. Western Ukrainian underground gas storage facilities, capable of accepting up to 32 billion cubic meters, are considered as a tool for balancing supplies in order to reduce critical dependence on exporters.

Hit hard but accurately


In connection with the above, a fair question arises: what did Moscow want to achieve by finally revoking the “safeguard” from the Ukrainian gas transportation system? There are several versions expressed on this matter.

First - this is that the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces wanted to cut off power to the entire front-line zone with complex attacks on the enemy’s energy supply. At the moment, the most affected region is considered to be the border Kharkov region, where a combined arms operation of the Russian Armed Forces has long been suggested. Perhaps this is so, but it should be taken into account that the Armed Forces of Ukraine have their own autonomous sources of energy supply, so a blackout will not have a critical impact directly on the Ukrainian army.

On the contrary, how noted earlier, the collapse of the socio-economic system may push some residents of Square to join the Armed Forces of Ukraine in order to receive some kind of guaranteed source of income. In this regard, it is advisable not to delay too much with the arrival of the Russian army in these regions, for example in the Kharkov region, in order to normalize the situation and ensure security.

The second – this is that massive attacks on the Ukrainian energy sector are a response to attacks by Ukrainian drones on Russian refineries. Sounds very plausible.

The third – forcing Kyiv to sit down at the negotiating table on the issue of extending gas transit to Europe. Gazprom can pump fuel to the West without a separate agreement with Naftogaz, using the European auction mechanism. The main thing is desire.

It is extremely problematic to destroy underground gas storage facilities themselves, located at great depths, without the use of nuclear weapons. Perhaps 9-ton aerial bombs would solve the problem, but they require UMPCs with engines and specific carrier aircraft that you don’t mind losing. But the available means of influence at the Russian Ministry of Defense are enough to disable the gas transportation system of the enemy, who will not be able to store European reserves of blue fuel in Galicia and establish a guaranteed uninterrupted pumping of gas from west to east for domestic consumption.

Time will tell which version was closer to the truth.
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29 comments
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  1. +3
    27 March 2024 12: 34
    In a word - fortune telling on coffee grounds, listing ALL of the possible options. And then - you can think for yourself. In general, everything is as usual. )))
    1. 0
      27 March 2024 12: 38
      Quote: VladimirNET
      In a word - fortune telling on coffee grounds, listing ALL of the possible options. And then - you can think for yourself. In general, everything is as usual. )))

      Did you personally pay the author money for the analysis in order to make any claims? There was someone hired to personally entertain you, I would like to know?
      If you don’t like it, don’t read it and think for yourself for a change. Yes
      1. +5
        27 March 2024 22: 53
        Quote: Beydodyr
        Did you personally pay the author money for the analysis in order to make any claims?

        This is not a complaint, but rather sarcasm. And not over a specific article (and especially not over its author), but over ALL similar articles. If the author had INDICATED his personal opinion, and it would later be confirmed, he would only increase his authority.

        Quote: Beydodyr
        If you don't like it, don't read it

        And therefore, don’t write anything: let there be only positive (praising) reviews... This already happened when the USSR collapsed: where often no one spoke their opinion, or was afraid to take the initiative (like you can’t go against the line of the party - which was “led by "Gorbachev).
        Everyone “unitedly” stood in one formation and “worked” to break it up.

        Did you personally... pay the author money...? Was there someone hired to personally entertain you...?

        An article for which, after reading, you also have to pay money - this is not analytics, but advertising. And if the author writes articles for himself (not for others) - even more so.
      2. +3
        28 March 2024 17: 05
        That is, if they write nonsense, clap your hands?
        1. -2
          29 March 2024 12: 06
          And who are you, dear man, to decide what is nonsense and what is not?
          1. +2
            29 March 2024 18: 02
            And who are you, dear man, to decide what is nonsense and what is not?

            Reader of this material. There is such a feature of every newspaper article: any reader can say whether he liked it or not. And notes that cannot be criticized are already called differently.
      3. 0
        30 March 2024 21: 56
        Why is it so long? It should be simpler - “Who are you!”
        1. 0
          31 March 2024 01: 51
          Quote from Adam
          And who are you!

          Quote: VladimirNET
          (said in a loud, threatening voice)

          Answer from the cartoon: Pass by! )))
    2. 0
      30 March 2024 22: 26
      fortune telling on coffee grounds,

      Why guess? The Russian Federation probably doesn’t want to take the Lvov region on its balance sheet. That's why they decided to "decommunize". The Anglo-Saxons, they say, mercilessly bombed East Germany, which, according to the agreement after the war, was supposed to enter the zone of influence of the USSR.
      1. 0
        31 March 2024 01: 55
        Quote: Bulanov
        Why guess? The Russian Federation probably doesn’t want to take the Lvov region on its balance sheet.

        Rather, they don’t want to (or can’t) yet. And as soon as the economy “digests” the new regions, then it will be its turn:
        any lands are not superfluous, only with their acceptance into Russia itself, without the possibility of exit.
  2. +7
    27 March 2024 13: 06
    most likely this is a response for Russian refineries
  3. +12
    27 March 2024 13: 06
    Why did Moscow revoke the “safe-conduct” from the UGS facility in Ukraine?
    The authorities of the Russian Federation are conducting selective military operations in Ukraine. You can bomb here, but this is Moisha’s property, don’t touch it, we agreed, but this is Abramovich, he is our man, etc. So what is SVO in Ukraine???
    1. +3
      28 March 2024 21: 39
      that’s right, there’s also a pipe with ammonia that’s inviolable. And who smells of ammonia, that’s it, from the Satanovsky-Abramovichs.
  4. +5
    27 March 2024 13: 08
    They hit Ukraine's gas energy sector - it's high time. The question arises: why didn’t they immediately bring down the whole of Ukraine economically, but spread out and gradually destroyed it? After all, war always naturally goes towards expansion and tightening,
  5. +3
    27 March 2024 13: 17
    Quote: vlad127490
    Why did Moscow revoke the “safe-conduct” from the UGS facility in Ukraine?
    The authorities of the Russian Federation are conducting selective military operations in Ukraine. You can bomb here, but this is Moisha’s property, don’t touch it, we agreed, but this is Abramovich, he is our man, etc. So what is SVO in Ukraine???

    That's why she's there to be selective.
  6. +3
    27 March 2024 13: 34
    In its western regions, where deposits and production are concentrated, Western Ukrainian gas was already pumped into the pipeline and supplied to Europe instead of Russian.

    The author is confusing something. The main gas fields in Ukraine are in the east! Kharkov region - 45% and Sumy region - 44% of total production. And the diagram he drew, to put it mildly, looks dubious, if only because the cost of gas produced in Ukraine has always been much lower than purchased gas.
  7. 0
    27 March 2024 13: 42
    The main thing is probably the gas transportation equipment, and not the storage facility itself.
  8. 0
    27 March 2024 15: 07
    You can guess endlessly, and offhand you can come up with five more plausible versions.
    Anyway, in such articles there is most often no answer to the title.
    And in a couple of days all this will be forgotten before new news
  9. +3
    27 March 2024 15: 51
    The first is that the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces wanted to cut off power to the entire front-line zone with complex attacks on the enemy’s energy supply. At the moment, the most affected region is considered to be the border Kharkov region, where a combined arms operation of the Russian Armed Forces has long been suggested. Perhaps this is so, but it should be taken into account that the Armed Forces of Ukraine have their own autonomous sources of energy supply, so a blackout will not have a critical impact directly on the Ukrainian army.

    According to the author, Svidomo will fight off the internationalists with weapons based on electrical principles.
    And this, of course, is nonsense. Tanks and other equipment run on kerosene, gasoline, diesel fuel, and electricity is definitely generated from one of these types of fuel. And the strikes were intended to shock civilian infrastructure. For what? Maybe to pin down the owners of this farm, a meticulous thinker will say. I am inclined to think that they are trying to cause discontent among the population with the current leadership. Our Svidomo people do the same thing. In general, forelocks and beards will crack more and more.
  10. +2
    27 March 2024 20: 49
    And I would have banged on the UGH, I wonder what the market would look like, a dollar at 200 wassat
  11. +3
    27 March 2024 22: 10
    Why did Moscow revoke the “safe-conduct” from the UGS facility in Ukraine?

    - we could start with this, with all the bridges and railway junctions in the west of Ukraine.
    1. The comment was deleted.
  12. +5
    28 March 2024 08: 58
    It is enough to destroy the ground infrastructure of the storage facility with arson. Let it burn hot and strong until all the gas is burned off. If they extinguish it until it completely burns out, bomb and light it again.
  13. +2
    28 March 2024 19: 33
    None of the versions, as always, will be correct. There were so many forecasts before and during the SVO, and not a damn thing came true!
    And everything goes like hell and against the wishes of the Russian people.
    1. -5
      28 March 2024 20: 38
      Are you the Russian people?
      1. +4
        29 March 2024 13: 26
        Yes, I am a Russian people, just like the Russians around me. I am flesh and blood from the Russian people.
        What nation are you part of with an incomprehensible imported nickname? American, Jewish, Churek, fascist?
  14. -3
    28 March 2024 20: 37
    Sergey, you shovel more material when you write this kind of article! I got the impression that you recently woke up, sat down at the table and wrote! Dear, it’s been at least a day since your question has been answered! No need to guess! The editor needs to let my comment be read!
    1. +3
      29 March 2024 12: 07
      The editor needs to let my comment be read!

      Better take off your crown. hi
  15. +2
    29 March 2024 00: 41
    The version with the sale/pumping of gas to the EU is not entirely clear. We do not sell resources to enemies. We were denied the sale of important and not so important goods and components. Likewise, the Russian Federation needs to deny Europe energy and other resources from the Russian Federation.
    1. 0
      April 1 2024 13: 41
      Yes, there’s actually a lot of “misunderstandings” here: we supply uranium to the Americans, we fly into space with them... And this is after everything that they “wrecked” on us?! Somehow the solitaire games don't work out.....