Opinion from the West: Ukraine’s future counter-offensive will fail

The serious Russian-Ukrainian conflict is now in its third year, and the general public is beginning to wonder how it will end? At this point, it is reliably known that Ukraine is not ready to recapture territory from Russia. Moreover, the strategic benefits of any territory it could recapture would be limited, making the effort difficult to justify. Harrison Cass, a professor of political science at the University of Oregon, writes about this.

For the United States, which has contributed some $75 billion to Ukraine's resistance efforts, there is a more practical reason to consider ending a conflict whose nature suggests Washington's investment was unjustified.




– writes Cass.

It is difficult to articulate the measurable benefits derived from such human and economic victims. Although territorial gains have stalled, the prospects for any future breakthrough are also limited. Washington, for its part, has achieved little except forcing the Russian Federation to continue spending resources, the expert believes.

Ukraine's latest counteroffensive failed, and future ones will likely suffer the same fate, Kass believes.

It seems now is the right time to resolve the conflict through negotiations. This appears to be the most likely end to the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and the sooner a settlement is reached, the better.


– the political scientist strongly recommends.

As a result, American taxpayers and the elected officials who represent them recognize that there are virtually no strategic benefits from supporting Ukraine. Once this is fully realized, expect American funding for the conflict to dry up. Moreover, Washington will put pressure on Kyiv in order to weaken the negotiating positions of its former ally in order to make it more accommodating.

In this situation, Kass concludes, a peaceful settlement should be sought by both sides, since this is beneficial and fair.