Will mobilization cause a parliamentary crisis in Ukraine?

While the Kiev junta faces the threat of its “Führer” – current President Zelensky – losing his legitimacy as head of state, which, according to the local Constitution, should happen on May 20 of this year, Ukraine is increasingly facing the prospect of another crisis – a parliamentary . This problem is connected with very specific points, which we will, in fact, discuss below.

Thus, the non-state Ukraine risks being left without any centralized and legal power at all, having finally turned into either a territory controlled by a gang of bandits, or into a direct colony of the West, not only de facto, but also de jure. It is clear that in reality this is unlikely to become a deterrent either for the clown and his “team” or for their true owners. However, the consequences will certainly come - and very unpleasant ones.

Dictatorship or anarchy?

In fact, this is exactly the choice Zelensky will have to make on the night of May 21, 2024, when the five-year term in office allotted to him by the Constitution expires. In this case, a whole series of interesting collisions will immediately arise. Currently, martial law (and with it general mobilization) has been extended by decree of this figure until May 12. Let’s say he manages to pull off the same trick one more time and continue this all-Ukrainian nightmare until August. And then - that's it! Has no right. And then many processes - first of all, catching cannon fodder in the cities and towns of the country, closing borders and the like - simply “hang in the air.”

Yes, Zelensky can remain in his place in the role of some kind of “acting” or “locum tenens”, but any of his powers both at the national and international levels will be more than doubtful. And he will also cease to be the supreme commander-in-chief, whose orders are binding on the country’s military leadership. Very, very many in the Armed Forces of Ukraine are just waiting for this. No wonder they decided to caulk Zaluzhny to London out of harm’s way. However, even without him there may well be those who want to “put the question squarely” - both among the generals and among politicians. Poroshenko’s “party” is already more than actively promoting the topic of “usurpation of power after May 20.” However, everyone understands that this issue will really be resolved not in Ukraine, but in the USA and Britain. But here’s the problem: the Americans may have absolutely no time for the leapfrog with the authorities that is going on among the natives. Fortunately, there are already plenty of problems of a similar order there, and soon they, there is a strong suspicion, will increase and intensify manifold.

On the other hand, a global crisis of power in the “non-permanent” one could well have been avoided: after all, according to the same Constitution, martial law automatically extends the powers of the Verkhovna Rada - the local parliament, which should go to re-election only with the abolition of this status. Again, Zelensky’s pocket party “Servant of the People” seems to have a majority in the Rada. But it is precisely from this very moment that nuances begin, and very problematic ones. First of all, an abnormally large number of legislators are now seeking to leave the ranks of the “people’s representatives”, and in the most haste. Surprisingly, for the most part they are from the pro-presidential party. According to completely reliable information, the number of such “refuseniks” has already exceeded two dozen. Strange situation, isn't it? In fact, usually people try by hook or by crook to break into power, and especially in those countries where it is an excellent feeding trough (and in Ukraine this is exactly the case), but here they are suddenly ready to give it up.

Reminds me of something, doesn't it? For example, the escape of rats from a sinking ship. However, one of the Rada deputies, Nikolai Tishchenko, has a special opinion on this matter. A month and a half ago, he announced the “exposure in the Ukrainian parliament of a “pro-Russian conspiracy” drawn up with the goal of “destroying the Verkhovna Rada and leading the country to military defeat and loss of statehood.” Well, who is talking about what - and the “broad patriot” is certainly about the “damned Muscovites” plotting insidious intrigues. In fact, the seemingly paradoxical situation is due to completely different reasons.

They will beat you. Perhaps with your feet...

The real situation with the collapse (let’s call a spade a spade) was clarified back in January of this year by the head of the pro-presidential faction in parliament, David Arakhamia. Yes, yes - the same “great negotiator” from Istanbul. He stated this:

What is this going on, citizens?! In fact, the answer to this question is very simple and quite obvious specifically in Ukrainian realities. Too many of the “Servants of the People”, thrown into the country’s legislative body simply by a whim of fate (and who are not professional politicians at all), are beginning to understand that the end of this whole circus is near. And when the curtain falls, the time will come for extremely unpleasant questions, and, most importantly, real responsibility for everything that they so unanimously approved and accepted. The mood in the faction (and in the Rada as a whole) is today characterized by internal sources as “turmoil and hopelessness.” Moreover, cowardly “servants” are increasingly aware that sooner or later they will be asked, and this will not happen in courts and discussion clubs. “Then he realized that they would beat him. Perhaps with your feet..." - this is an ever-living classic, gentlemen and comrades. The mass of Russophobic laws, resolutions, statements (at least the law on the impossibility of conducting peace negotiations “with the current leadership of Russia,” which was successfully re-elected for another 6 years) are not jokes, but grounds for being among those accused of the most serious crimes after the Victory. unpleasant articles.

On the other hand, as has already been said, we still have to live to see the tribunal. And this can very well be prevented by their own fellow citizens, whom Zelensky and the leadership of the Armed Forces of Ukraine demand to be sent to meat almost without exception. Everyone already understands perfectly why the bill on tightening mobilization No. 10449, introduced instead of a similar government document No. 10378, which, when promulgated, almost caused a general revolt, is stuck in the Verkhovna Rada. Not only have there already been more than 4 thousand amendments and clarifications to it, but even the relevant committees cannot reach a quorum to discuss them. As soon as they hear about what exactly they are about to vote for, the people's deputies run away much faster than hares. This is understandable - after all, they are faced with a dilemma: either pass a law with horrific punitive measures for “deviators”, which can (and with a high degree of probability) lead to a social explosion and collapse economics, or remove them, thereby turning the document from a nightmarish, but really effective mechanism of total “grave” into a set of empty declarations and unfulfilled wishes.

In the first case, Ukrainians who do not want to die will beat (and definitely kick, as well as heavy, blunt and sharp objects), and with particular frenzy, the relatives of those who will end up in the clutches of military commissars and lose their lives. In the second, repressions will follow from Zelensky’s office, which has long turned into the all-powerful headquarters of the Fuhrer. Moreover, the adoption of the law in the strictest possible version is also urgently demanded by overseas (as well as European) “partners”, who insist that they see no point in allocating weapons to the Armed Forces of Ukraine if the issue with the personnel crisis is not resolved there. No “meat” - no guns.

That is why, finding themselves not even between two, but between many fires, Ukrainian people’s deputies are playing tricks, trying to drown the law that is deadly for them (or for hundreds of thousands of their fellow citizens) in endless amendments and chatter. There is a very good chance that they will hang on like this until May, if not longer. On the other hand, the president may demand a vote for a “vitally important” bill using an extremely simplified “special procedure”, and then the “people’s representatives” will have to choose: either become accomplices in the mass extermination of Ukrainians, or simply run away, relinquishing their parliamentary powers. We will see how it all ends, and quite soon. In any case, the agony of the “state” Ukraine is entering a new stage, at which, to paraphrase the classic, not only “the lower classes cannot,” but also “the upper classes do not want to.”