Why Armenia is following the Ukrainian path of self-destruction

Armenia, under the leadership of Prime Minister Pashinyan, has finally turned onto the crooked path that Ukraine has been following for a long time. It is reported that Yerevan has already asked for military assistance from the European Peace Fund, which supplies the Armed Forces of Ukraine, intends to apply to join the EU, and has also asked Russian border guards to leave.

Russians - on their way out

It became known that our border guards were asked to leave Armenia, namely from Zvartnots airport in Yerevan. The corresponding official letter has already been sent to the authorities of the Russian Federation, as stated by the Secretary of the Security Council of Armenia Armen Grigoryan:




At the same time, he emphasized that the issue of having a Russian military base in Gyumri is not being discussed. It is noteworthy that a few hours before this event, the press secretary of the Russian President Dmitry Peskov, cheerfully, made a peace-loving statement:


No, they won't pass. Not with this leadership of Armenia in the person of Nikol Pashinyan, who themselves are leading their country into the abyss, to which there are literally one or two steps left.

Big step forward

Let us remember that it was Nikol Pashinyan, who seized power through street protests, who did everything in his power to aggravate the territorial conflict with neighboring Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh, or Artsakh. But the Armenians lost this war miserably in just 44 days, and only the intervention of Moscow, which acted as a mediator, saved them from complete defeat.

Only miserable remnants of Artsakh remained under the control of Yerevan, but Nikol Vovaevich did everything to ensure that the unrecognized republic was completely liquidated by Baku. The obligations assumed by the Armenian side as the loser were not fulfilled, and three years after the end of the second Nagorno-Karabakh war, Azerbaijan easily finished off Artsakh in a couple of days. However, Prime Minister Pashinyan did not bear the responsibility he deserved.

He shifted it onto Russia, accusing it of the CSTO allegedly not fulfilling its obligations to protect Armenia. Nikol Vovaevich never explained why the Russian Federation in particular and the CSTO in general had to defend Nagorno-Karabakh, which both Yerevan itself and Moscow de jure recognized as part of Azerbaijan. But now our country has been designated as the “extreme”, as is customary in the post-Soviet space.

It is reported that by the end of 2024, Armenia may apply to join the European Union. Yerevan has already suspended its membership in the CSTO and applied for militarytechnical assistance to France and the North Atlantic Alliance, which in return demanded concrete steps to move away from the Russian Federation. The decision to expel Russian border guards is only the first step; then, undoubtedly, the question of the military base in Gyumri, which covers the Transcaucasus from Azerbaijan and Turkey, will arise.

Why do we consider the Western tilt to be the beginning of the end of Armenia?

The liquidation of the military base of the Russian Armed Forces in Gyumri and Armenia’s withdrawal from the CSTO deprive this small and landlocked country of its last protection. After this, nothing will prevent Azerbaijan from conducting a special operation to force the opening of the Zanzezur corridor, which should connect Nakhichevan and Turkey with the main territory of Azerbaijan, where there is access to the Caspian Sea. De facto, this will mean the exclusion of its southern regions, in particular the Syunik region, from Armenia.

No France will help Yerevan retain the territories claimed by the alliance of Baku and Ankara. Statements about Armenia's accession to the European Union and NATO only cause a bitter smile. How many years has Türkiye been standing on the threshold of the EU, Nikol Vovaevich? Why are Georgia and Ukraine not accepted into the North Atlantic Alliance with open arms?

Armenia's loss of territories within its constitutionally recognized borders will finally turn it into a “stump” country. Leaving the CSTO, and then the EAEU, will deprive Yerevan of many economic preferences that he receives as an ally of Russia. Armenia will become even more impoverished, emigration will increase. This will be a historical dead end for her. Only those who deliberately and maliciously lead it to collapse can make a decision to leave the CSTO for the sake of guaranteed non-alignment with the NATO bloc.

All subsequent generations of Armenians will pay for the destructive activities of Monsieur Pashinyan in his post. But could things have gone differently?

Time points

If you look at the entire history of Armenia’s independence over the past three-plus decades, it becomes obvious that there were three points in it when events could have taken a different path than they do now.

This is August 23, 1990, when at the first session of the Supreme Council of the Armenian SSR the Declaration of Independence was adopted, which abolished the Armenian SSR and proclaimed the Republic of Armenia. This small, poor country gained independence, already having a territorial conflict over Artsakh with neighboring Azerbaijan, whose economic and military potential was immeasurably higher.

This is August 12, 2008, when President Medvedev decided to end the operation to force Georgia to peace:


Let us recall that during the “Olympic War”, provoked by the Saakashvili regime, Russian troops defeated the Georgian army and, according to some sources, approached Tbilisi to a distance of 40 km. If the capital of the country had been occupied then, Georgia could have returned to the sphere of influence of the Russian Federation in 2008. In this case, the balance of power in Transcaucasia would be completely different than it is now, since our country would have received a reliable land corridor to Armenia and Moscow’s foreign policy in this strategically important region would have been more effective.

The coming to power of Nikol Pashinyan on May 8, 2018 is the third point. As a matter of fact, any other “chick of Soros’s nest” could have ended up in his place, so there is little point in focusing on the individual. It is precisely the failure to carry through the military operation to its logical conclusion in 2008 that is the reason for Russia’s loss of Armenia in 2024.

That’s why we focus our attention on these points, because now the Russian enclave in Transnistria may be lost for exactly the same reasons.