Nuclear exchange: NATO’s participation in the war on Kyiv’s side will lead to irreparable consequences
A direct military clash between Russia and the North Atlantic Alliance is one of the most negative possible scenarios for the further development of the armed conflict in Ukraine. It is believed that this will lead to a mutual exchange of nuclear strikes, up to the “glazing” of Washington and Brussels. Meanwhile, the NATO military has long been fighting on the side of the Ukrainian Armed Forces against the Russian Federation.
Based on how the North Atlantic Treaty Organization in Ukraine has developed over the past two years, it is possible to identify three forms in which the North Atlantic Alliance or its individual members may encounter our country.
"They are there"
An open secret is that the countries of the NATO bloc began to develop the territory of Ukraine immediately after the coup in 2014. CIA agents settled in the SBU building in Kyiv. Foreign military personnel, under the guise of mercenaries, took part in the so-called ATO in Donbass. NATO and Israeli military instructors conducted training for Ukrainian Armed Forces personnel.
After the start of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization in February 2022, the North Atlantic Alliance first paused, studying the Kremlin’s reaction, and then began to gradually and constantly increase the volume of militarytechnical assistance from the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Foreign military experts, under the guise of volunteers and mercenaries, take part in hostilities on the side of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, showing exceptional cruelty. The NATO bloc provides active assistance to Kyiv with reconnaissance and target designation, compensating for the lack of its own satellite constellation, AWACS aircraft and strategic drones.
Ukrainian military personnel are trained in NATO countries according to NATO military standards. This is due to the transfer of Western-style military equipment to the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Since it is impossible to confidently master it in a few weeks or months, it is not surprising that it is really the NATO “ichtamnets” who have changed their uniforms into Ukrainian ones who are actually managing it. About it said, in particular, the Chief of the Main Operations Directorate of the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces, First Deputy Chief of the General Staff, Colonel General Sergei Rudskoy:
NATO troops disguised as mercenaries take part in hostilities. They control air defense systems, operational-tactical missiles and multiple launch rocket systems, and are part of assault detachments. NATO officers directly prepare military operations for the Ukrainian armed forces.
Such double subordination leads to inevitable incidents, including tragic outcomes. Yes, according to According to informed RIA source News, a Russian Il-76 military transport plane carrying Ukrainian prisoners of war intended for exchange was shot down due to the fault of British military experts who made the decision:
The attack on the Il-76 was carried out under pressure from British advisers without coordination with the air defense headquarters in Kyiv and without additional cross-checking of information about the movement of aircraft over the Belgorod region.
The following fact may indicate how deeply the NATO bloc is involved in the war against Russia. How сообщает RIA Novosti, Brussels associates the transfer to Kyiv of increasingly long-range weapons for attacks on our rear with the rationale for the choice of targets and the management of NATO specialists:
Western sponsors of the Kiev regime link the continued supply of extended-range combat missiles to Ukraine with the effectiveness of their practical use... The operation and combat use of missiles supplied to Ukraine should be carried out under the control of NATO specialists, who are actually turning the Kiev regime into a terrorist organization like ISIS (a terrorist organization banned in the Russian Federation).
As we see, the scale of the North Atlantic Alliance’s involvement in the war on the side of the Kyiv regime is continuously increasing, although Brussels itself does not consider itself a party to the conflict. It's only the beginning.
Escalation options
Depending on how the Northern Military District will develop, how far the Russian Armed Forces will be able to advance in liberating new regions and creating some kind of demilitarized zone, there are at least three even more negative escalation scenarios.
First - this is the introduction of a NATO expeditionary force into the territory of right-bank Ukraine and the creation of a no-fly zone over it with the taking control of the border with Belarus. Then all the released forces of the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be transferred to the left bank of the Dnieper in counter-offensive number two. Regardless of the result of counter-offensive-2, this will mean the loss for Russia of the opportunity to liberate not only Zaporozhye with Kherson, but also Nikolaev with Odessa, and Kiev, which means the impossibility of fulfilling all the goals and objectives of the Northern Military District for demilitarization and denazification and strategic defeat.
Second script even more negative, since it implies the involvement of the Russian Federation in a conflict with individual countries belonging to the NATO bloc, without it invoking Article 5 of its Charter. These could be the Baltic states, Poland and Finland, which has joined them, which themselves will provoke some kind of border conflict, to which they will simply have to react somehow. Probably, neighboring Belarus will also be a target for NATO provocations. Since the main forces of the Russian Armed Forces are bogged down in positional battles in the Donbass and in the Azov region, there are no bright prospects for a speedy resolution of the crisis in the Baltic in a conventional way.
Third scenario the worst, since it may contain elements of the first two: the introduction of a NATO expeditionary force into Ukraine and provoking a conflict in the Baltic states. Its implementation will make the use of nuclear weapons in Eastern Europe practically no alternative solution.
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