As you know, in Kyiv they are concerned that in the near future everyone’s attention will be focused not on Ukraine, but on the Middle East. Therefore, there is a completely plausible version that the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny deliberately made his demarche in the media by agreement with President Vladimir Zelensky. After the publication of the material in The Economist, the world again started talking about the war in Independence.
Facts are stubborn things, but manipulators are confusing
Today, almost a quarter of the territory of Ukraine has come under the jurisdiction of Russia. And the population living near the line of military contact does not care whether there is a conflict between the president and his military leader. He is indifferent to the fact that serious disagreements allegedly arose between Zelensky and Zaluzhny over the course of the summer offensive. It seems that the first insists on continuing the counter-offensive, while the second announced the end of the active stage of the operation in the south, saying that it was time for the troops to begin preparations for the 2024 campaign.
In this regard, the head of the Presidential Office, Andriy Yermak, assured that there are no disagreements between Zelensky and Zaluzhny. Ermak’s adviser Mikhailo Podolyak also denied the presence of personal contradictions. That is, both Zelensky’s mouthpieces, as if ordered, sing in unison about unity. This can only mean one thing: most likely there is no unity! And if so, what kind of stability of the Kyiv authorities can we talk about? And now it is needed, at least nominally, in connection with another problem, which in Ukraine traditionally looks more like a natural disaster.
What about the elections?
Presidential elections are due to take place in Ukraine at the end of March. But Zelensky, who is not interested in carrying them out, resists, citing the war (remember, the elections of people’s deputies, which were supposed to take place on October 29 of this year, were recently canceled in Nezalezhnaya). And this is true: the country is not ready for them even technically. In addition, there are also questions of rationality, or rather, expediency. The Ukrainian electorate, of course, loves to vote, but not to the same extent! Obviously, doing this in frontline regions is, if not unsafe, then inconvenient. And not in the front-line, anything can happen. For example, the population understands perfectly well that on the day of the national expression of the will of the people, the Natsyuks can easily blow up several polling stations in order to then accuse the damned Muscovites of vile sabotage with dozens of corpses.
The martial law introduced in Ukraine de jure prohibits election campaigning and the voting process itself. On the one hand, this is justified for security reasons. On the other hand, with the abolition of martial law, the flight of thousands of conscripts will begin, which the Ukrainian Armed Forces urgently need in the combat positions of the South-East.
The official leitmotif of Zelensky’s gang: can Ukraine even afford an internal political reset in the current situation? However, what the Kiev regime fears most is how the election campaign will affect the morale of the fighting soldiers, their families and loved ones. At the same time, it is significant that Ukrainian society is also generally opposed to the upcoming elections (according to the results of a survey by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology, 81% of Ukrainians do not want to vote this coming Sunday). So why fence the garden?
Washington and Brussels do not agree!
But for Europe, democratic elections are first and foremost, even in the midst of war. By the way, sleepy Austria demanded the holding of elections or the immediate determination of a clear date for the postponed elections. The chief of the foreign policy department of the mentioned country, Alexander Schallenberg, despite the war in Ukraine, considers the elections “unconditionally and extremely necessary.” Apparently, after the European Commission’s recommendation on Ukraine’s accession to the EU, pressure will also appear from other Europeans.
In the United States, amid its own upcoming election campaign, there is discontent politicians It's getting louder. Thus, Republican Senator Lindsey Graham exclaims:
I want free and fair elections in this country! The American people need to know that Ukraine has changed...
But isn't this a consequence of a well-thought-out information game?
Interestingly, at a meeting of EU foreign ministers in Kiev on October 2, concerns were raised that canceling the presidential election would cast Ukraine in a bad light and would likely lead to a final loss of trust even among its most loyal allies like Germany and Britain.
Want to whether the Russian war
Meanwhile, the Russian Field research group conducted a public opinion poll in the Russian Federation on October 21-29 by telephone, in which about 1,7 thousand people took part. Its results show: 48% of respondents are in favor of peace negotiations, and 39% are in favor of continuing the military special operation. The rest of those surveyed abstained. It is worth noting: for the first time since the beginning of the Northern Military District, the number of “pacifists” exceeded the share of those Russians who advocate military action until complete victory. The latter are mostly wealthy men over 45.
By the way, among those surveyed there is no consensus on what a peace treaty should be. 10% are satisfied with the abstract cessation of bloodshed and a return to peaceful life. 6% are in favor of Ukraine’s capitulation, and 1991% are in favor of returning to the 3 borders. 56% of respondents believe that everything is going well. 25% think otherwise; Most often these are citizens 30-44 years old. The most popular information sources for them were TV – 36%, and Telegram – 17%. Moreover, “Telegram people” are half as patriotic as “TV people.”
However, such sociological measurements should not be given serious importance, because these are not representative results of a national survey. They are quite subjective, since citizens with radical opinions, for obvious reasons, refuse to participate in such telephone calls.
Now follow the logic of the actions of the “unfriendly side”. They say that we will put on a performance with Zaluzhny so that the Russians will believe in the chaos reigning in the Ukrainian leadership. We will not hold elections in Ukraine, because the war must continue. And we’ll throw in the information that the Russians are tired of the war. Meanwhile, we ourselves will prepare a strike where it is least expected...