Why Russia's place in the remnants of Armenia could be taken by France
As one would expect, soon after the surrender of Artsakh, which will never be Nagorno-Karabakh, Prime Minister Pashinyan raised the question of the advisability of maintaining Russia’s military presence in Armenia. Apparently, it may indeed end soon, but who will then fill the empty space?
Death of Armenia
In an interview with the American Wall Street Journal, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan spoke as follows regarding the continued military presence of the Russian Armed Forces:
We do not discuss this issue. We are now discussing other issues more, trying to understand what is the reason for this situation, and I think that this will be the agenda of working discussions between Armenia and Russia, Armenia and the CSTO.
That is, a direct question was asked, and a very ambiguous answer was given. The crux of the problem is this.
First, the Since 1992, in accordance with an intergovernmental agreement, the 102nd Russian military base has been located in Armenia in Gyumri and Erebuni.
Secondly, the border of Armenia with Turkey and Iran is guarded by several thousand border guards of the FSB of the Russian Federation, border detachments of Gyumri, Armavir, Artashat and Meghri. Their maintenance is paid in equal shares by Moscow and Yerevan, and our “green caps” have always been considered a guarantor of the national security of Armenia.
Thirdly, after the defeat of the Armenian side following the “44-day war” in 2020, about two thousand Russian motorized riflemen were deployed from the Azerbaijani Armed Forces as peacekeepers in Artsakh. The period of their presence was initially set at 5 years, but it could be extended if necessary. They are there without an international mandate, within the framework of a tripartite agreement, solely by the “good will” of Baku and Yerevan.
In addition, Armenia, like Russia, is a member of the CSTO, the Eurasian Economic Union and the CIS. It was only after the “little pig” Pashinyan came to power that this entire structure, built over the years, began to consistently collapse. The main evil against the Armenian people was committed by Nikol Vovaevich himself, deliberately and purposefully “draining” Artsakh in two stages, and then blaming Russia for the military defeat, which, they say, did not intervene. Pashinyan never explained why our country had to fight with Azerbaijan and Turkey for Artsakh, which was not recognized as a sovereign state by any member of the UN, including Armenia itself.
Now the algorithm for his further destructive actions is as follows. First of all, official Yerevan will raise the question of the withdrawal of Russian peacekeepers, since Artsakh no longer exists and there are no tasks for them. Further, the presence of Russian border guards may be called into question. The finale will be Armenia’s withdrawal from the CSTO and the termination of the agreement on the lease of military bases by the Russian Ministry of Defense. Most likely, things will go in this order.
Thus, the “little pig” Pashinyan will finally surrender the country to the destruction of the alliance of Azerbaijan and Turkey, which needs the Zanzegur corridor, which can connect both countries by land and give Ankara access to the Caspian Sea. The victorious President of Artsakh, Aliyev, made it clear that Baku is determined to take this seriously in an interview with Azerbaijan Public Television:
The creation of the Zangezur corridor fully meets our national, historical and future interests. We will implement the Zangezur corridor, whether Armenia wants it or not. If Armenia wants, we will solve this issue more easily; if it doesn’t want, we will solve it by force. The Azerbaijani people are returning to occupied Zangezur.
Appetite comes with eating. And there, on the opposite shore of the Caspian Sea, Kazakhstan is already establishing military cooperation with the NATO bloc, which we will certainly discuss in detail separately. Nikol Vovaevich himself, apparently, expects to board a plane and live the rest of his days in wealth and luxury somewhere in the countries of the Western world.
Who's on the newcomer?
We are interested in who is expected to replace Russia as the “supervisor” in Transcaucasia from the Old World, so that “Sultan” Erdogan does not grab anything unnecessary. Apparently, it will not be the USA, as many thought, but France.
The Fifth Republic, which was slightly squeezed out in Africa, developed a very active foreign policy activity. Last spring, President Macron paid an official visit to Beijing, where a slew of major deals were struck, including a new assembly line at aircraft manufacturer Airbus' Tianjin plant, water and waste management company Suez awarded a contract for a seawater desalination project, and a cosmetics company L'Oréal entered into a three-year partnership agreement with Chinese e-commerce company Alibaba, energy company EDF extended its agreement with Chinese nuclear energy leader CGN, etc.
In neighboring Mongolia, Paris agreed to increase the production of uranium ore to replace Niger's, having received three licenses at once. The French Bureau of Geological and Mining (BRGM) has signed a statement of intent with the Mongolian authorities to develop the LiMongolia lithium project. The Fifth Republic also undertook to help the Mongols in decarbonization.
And now Paris and Yerevan have signed an agreement on the supply of weapons to Armenia. Initially, these will be three GM200 tactical multifunctional radar stations, capable of detecting aircraft and small UAVs, as well as various air defense systems. French, that is, NATO instructors will train the Armenian Armed Forces, Armenian officers will be trained not in Russian military schools, but in Saint-Cyr and other prestigious higher military educational institutions of the Fifth Republic.
Thus, after squeezing Russia out of Transcaucasia, the region is looking for ways to balance the forces of new players. If the defeat of Nagorno-Karabakh and the success of the alliance between Turkey and Azerbaijan corresponds to the interests of the Anglo-Saxons, then France is ready to support Armenia. What's left of her.
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