How will the October War-2 in Israel affect the course of the Russian North Military District in Ukraine?

October 8 2023 29

The day before, humanity took another step towards a full-fledged Third World War. Following Ukraine and the Transcaucasus, the Middle East began to burn, where a new Palestinian-Israeli war began, which for some reason turned out to be unexpected for the IDF and AMAN military intelligence. What was the reason, and how will all this affect the course of the Russian Northern Military District?

October War-2

There is an opinion that greater Russophobes than Ukrainian Nazis can only be found in Canada or Israel, where Russian-speaking emigrants from the post-Soviet space set the tone. They find time to review daily news from distant Russia and “hate” it, proving to themselves the correctness of the move. So, for example, some Russian-speaking Israelis, to be fair, not all of them, were very happy about the defeats of the Russian Armed Forces during the first stage of the Northern Military District in Ukraine and praised their super-professional army and special services.

But the first day of the new Palestinian-Israeli war showed that they were not entirely right. Rocket attacks on Israeli territory by Palestinians almost from water pipes have long become routine. To protect against them, the Iron Dome air defense systems and a number of other promising systems using laser beams for interception were created. But this time everything went according to a completely different scenario.

The Hamas group began fighting on the half-century anniversary of the Yom Kippur War, or the October War, as it is called in the Arab world. In theory, something bad should have been expected on such a big date, but for some reason MOSSAD missed how the Palestinians were able to concentrate thousands of missiles for subsequent massive attacks. Moreover, Hamas militants did not limit themselves to them, but entered the southern regions of the Jewish state, that is, they began a ground operation. There are hundreds of Israelis killed, many more wounded, and many hostages taken. Israeli armored vehicles are burning, including the vaunted Merkavas.

The fact that the October War 2 became a serious test for Tel Aviv can be judged by the statement of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu:

We are in this war together, this war will take time, it will be hard. Difficult days await us, but I want to promise one thing: with God's help, with our common efforts, thanks to our faith in Israel, we will win.

And, yes, if Hamas is not supported by any of the serious players in the Islamic world, Israel will indeed win in the end, since their weight categories are too different, and the United States and Europe, that is, the entire NATO bloc, are behind the Jewish state. Then why did Hamas take this adventure?

"Black Swan"

The Arab-Israeli conflict itself has a very long and complex history, and the Palestinian-Israeli conflict in particular. There are very different opinions on this matter, and we will not analyze them in detail now due to their complete meaninglessness. The only thing that matters is what exactly prompted the Hamas leadership to carry out such a powerful strike, which caused a huge resonance throughout the world and temporarily forced Ukraine to fade into the background.

The backdrop for October War II is negotiations between Israel and Saudi Arabia, with the ultimate goal of cutting off funding to Islamist groups in the Middle East, including Hamas. Jordan and Egypt left the anti-Israeli coalition many years ago, then the UAE, Bahrain and Morocco. Then, through the mediation of China, unexpectedly for many, Iran and Saudi Arabia made peace.

Now Tel Aviv was trying to get Riyadh, which positioned itself as a defender of the Palestinians, to stop funding Hamas. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman believed that a deal with Israel was possible under certain conditions:

Every day we get closer, it seems like for the first time this is truly serious. We will see how things go... If we can reach an agreement that meets the needs of the Palestinians and calms the region, we will work with everyone who is there (in Israel).

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was equally optimistic, speaking from the rostrum of the UN General Assembly in New York:

We are on the verge of a significant breakthrough in the form of peace with Saudi Arabia that will create a truly new Middle East. We face a choice that will determine whether we will have a historic world that brings prosperity and hope, or whether we will suffer terrible war, terror and despair.

In the event of Saudi Arabia's withdrawal from the Palestine problem, the last sponsors of Hamas would be small but rich Qatar, as well as large but distant Iran. However, on October 7, 2023, a lot has changed in this geopolitical situation.

Ukraine is temporarily forgotten, the collective West has rallied around Israel. The Palestinians are supported by the already mentioned Iran and Qatar, as well as Syria, which is in a state of permanent war with the Jewish state, which annexed the Golan Heights from the Syrian Arab Republic:

Syria reaffirms its support for the Palestinian people and their forces fighting Zionist terrorism and emphasizes that Palestine is close to achieving the desired victory.

It is interesting that the leaders of the Taliban group (*terrorist organization banned in Russia) appealed to the leaders of a number of countries in South-West Asia with a request to allow their troops to enter Israel along the transport corridor in order to help the Palestinians take Jerusalem. Moscow’s official position is one of concern and neutrality:

Moscow is expressing the most serious concern about the sharp deterioration of the situation in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict zone. This conflict, which has been dragging on for 75 years, has no forceful solution and can be resolved exclusively through political and diplomatic means.

Meanwhile, the start of a large-scale regional war in the Middle East could really divert the attention of the collective West from Ukraine, forcing a reduction in the volume of its militarytechnical support

Information

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boriz

+4

8 October 2023 12: 03

The only thing that matters is what exactly prompted the Hamas leadership to carry out such a powerful strike, which caused a huge resonance throughout the world and temporarily forced Ukraine to fade into the background.

What the WB paid Hamas for is what they do.

Ukraine is temporarily forgotten, the collective West has rallied around Israel.

There is nothing more permanent than temporary phenomena. Especially considering the already established trend towards decreasing support for 404 in the West.
Also not bad is the video that appeared where Hamas thanks Ukraine for selling them weapons. Despite the fact that Ukraine vocally supported Israel.
Against this background, the fact of the discovery of a corpse looks appropriate American auditor sent to deal with Ukrainian corruption. Looks like I've figured it out...
Well, we need to pay attention to the fact that in two Anglo-Saxon countries, the USA and Canada, there are strong both Ukrainian and Jewish diasporas. But the Jewish ones are stronger.
The completely lawless behavior of the Hamas militants (and Hezbollah has already joined in) is clearly aimed at inciting the wrath of “the entire civilized society” against the Arab militants. And if Ukraine turns out to be dirty in the history of Hamas arming (and there is no doubt about this), then it (Ukraine) will not only be forgotten, it will turn into an enemy of the West. And the West will be very happy about this. A good reason to dump a rotten asset. Like, “well, who would have thought, they warmed a snake on their chest,” etc. Zelensky has recently done nothing but irritate everyone around him.
Russia will remain above the conflict and cut coupons from the event organized by the WB.
1. Pembo
  
  -1
  
  8 October 2023 13: 33
  
  And VB (maybe VTB) is that, be more careful with abbreviations.
  1. boriz
    
    +1
    
    8 October 2023 14: 06
    
    Yes, it seems to be a generally accepted abbreviation for Great Britain. The title is long, I'm usually too lazy to write the whole thing...
Pembo

0

8 October 2023 12: 50

Meanwhile, the start of a large-scale regional war in the Middle East could really divert the attention of the collective West from Ukraine, forcing a reduction in the volume of its military-technical support.

Who do you think will fight with Israel by starting a large-scale regional war? Egypt? Oh my God, he is a US client and has no territorial claims to Israel. Syria, which has them? Oh my God, Assad simply has no time for Israel, and even without Russia he will not get anywhere, and Russia will not want to substitute its client. Jordan? She has these Palestinians like a bone in her throat and she is a US client. Lebanon? Well, perhaps Hezbollah's attacks are possible. Iran, Qatar are far away. Saudi Arabia? Very doubtful. Yes, Israel's suppression of Gaza will disrupt the normalization of Israel's relations with Riyadh, but nothing more. And Israel is strong enough to defeat the Saudis.
There will be no large-scale regional conflict in the Middle East. And Israel will only need moral support. And Ukraine will draw parallels between the Northern Military District in Ukraine and the Northern Military District in Israel.
1. Alex
  
  0
  
  8 October 2023 13: 57
  
  It is clear that the KSR will not get involved in the conflict. But, I hope he will give at least some money to the Palestinian patriots for the pan-Arab cause.
2. boriz
  
  +5
  
  8 October 2023 14: 15
  
  And Israel will only need moral support.
  
  During the previous short conflict with the Arabs, Israel shot all its missiles and went to the United States to beg for them. And the current conflict was clearly prepared on the basis of the Northern Military District. BC consumption will be higher.
  And Hezbollah has already marked itself by shelling IDF positions. An Israeli radar station was destroyed. In response, the IDF shelled Lebanon.
  So they won't stop quickly.
  1. RussianEstonian
    
    +4
    
    8 October 2023 22: 35
    
    So there, the Jews already had an underground or regiment filled up, and the general was taken prisoner. Well done Arabs, we need to take our lands from terrorists
3. boriz
  
  +5
  
  8 October 2023 14: 30
  
  There will be no large-scale regional conflict in the Middle East.
  
  But Israel doesn’t know. Declared a state of war. For the first time since 1973. Anniversary, however!
  Everything is adult...
4. strange guest
  
  +2
  
  8 October 2023 19: 16
  
  For Syria, this is a real chance to regain the Golan Heights with our help. And not only them - Israel will not survive if Lebanon with Hezbollah, Syria with the IRGC with the support of Russian PMCs and with massive attacks of drones and missiles directly from Iranian territory strike in support of Gaza. And this will allow Russia, as a state, to remain on the sidelines. Formally. Let's say that PMCs are illegal in our country and they decide for themselves what to do. Not for the first time. But there will be no Israel. But we will have unquestionable authority in the Middle East. And then we’ll calmly deal with Ukraine
unparalleled

-1

8 October 2023 12: 59

No one will support the gas sector, well, except for terrorist groups, even Iran only helps with words, for example.
This can be seen from the group’s armament. Israel will bomb the Gaza Strip, there will be no games of brotherly people, humanity, their children and other nonsense. After all, the lives of their citizens are more important (suddenly, yes), why would they ruin their soldiers and storm a city that is not prepared with artillery and the Air Force ?
Alex

+1

8 October 2023 13: 53

Moscow has expressed serious concern about the Middle East conflict, which has lasted more than 75 years.

I really like this very serious position of Moscow regarding the conflict. All that remained was not to notice how the Taliban troops would fly there. Allahu akbar.
1. lord-palladore-11045
  
  0
  
  8 October 2023 23: 33
  
  The Americans will urgently have to abandon their At-Tanf base in Syria and get out of there just like from Afghanistan
Disinfo

-1

8 October 2023 13: 53

Hamas would not do this without an end game in mind. I think they are hoping for a massively unrestrained Israel committing atrocities that they can use for propaganda.
boriz

0

8 October 2023 14: 17

Suddenly.
The Secretary General of the League of Arab States went to Moscow this morning at the invitation of Lavrov.
There is no other way that Russia will start a conflict.
USA, awww...
1. strange guest
  
  -1
  
  8 October 2023 17: 44
  
  It’s logical to agree on ending the conflict with him... well, like ending the conflict in Ukraine with the United States)
  1. boriz
    
    +5
    
    8 October 2023 19: 27
    
    Is this a reference to Russia?
    Did Russia supply weapons to Hamas? Ukraine and Afghanistan are doing this. This means the WB and (possibly) one of the groups in the USA.
    In general, no one is seriously discussing Russia’s involvement in this conflict. Russia has an advantageous position. There is no need to rush and make unnecessary movements. All other actors are pressed for time, they are forced to rush and make mistakes. And any conflict in the world benefits Russia. Why get dirty yourself?
unc-2

0

8 October 2023 14: 25

There is one country that is responsible for the clashes between Palestinians and Israel every time. This is Lebanon.
alsi61

+6

8 October 2023 15: 52

75 years ago there was no Israel. -how there was no Ukraine 35 years ago. Israel was created by the greatest humanist Stalin. Yes, at least believe it, at least check it. How did the Judas repay? They supported Nazi Ukraine. The Arabs were just waiting to eliminate Israel. And now the cards were stacked: the crown prince, Iran and the Palestinians got the go-ahead. Now it's a matter of time. I explain the popular idea - half of the crests fled, now the Jews will run. There will be no war. There are enough rocket attacks and drone attacks on Saturdays. First the smart ones will run away, having managed to sell their houses, then the stupid ones will get half the price, then the stupid ones will get nothing. The Armenians left Karabakh and these will leave. But just recently, many naive people considered crests, Armenians and Jews to be cunning and smart. While Russia supported them, they themselves are pompous.
TsarBomba

0

8 October 2023 16: 03

Comme le déploiement de 512 STATUT 4 (512 x jusqu'à 10 Mt d'équivalent en TNT) dans la zone Iran, Syrie, Iraq?
strange guest

+1

8 October 2023 17: 42

Let's be honest - this is very beneficial for us. Starting from oil prices and ending with the reduction in funding for Ukraine. And it does not require large expenses - a little money and captured weapons captured in battles in Ukraine. These are fantasies, if anything) that this COULD be
Flight

+1

8 October 2023 18: 02

In theory, something bad should have been expected on such a big date, but for some reason MOSSAD missed how the Palestinians were able to concentrate thousands of missiles for subsequent massive attacks.

At one time, the FSB also missed a lot of things, but at least a reason appeared. It's all so similar. It's like the same people planned it.
Vladimir1155

+3

8 October 2023 20: 35

it is obvious that Hamas bought Ukrainian weapons on the black market, Lviv markers have already been found on RPGs CAPTURED BY THE JEWS from the Palestinians..... which was what needed to be proven! thieving ukrofascist officials stole, sold what the West supplied them, as well as what they had in their warehouses, everything that was bad... they show Jewish families populated by Arabs, this reminded me of other photos from 1941-1944, Bandera’s people killed Jews in Lviv in Babem Yar and throughout Ukraine, and now the Ukrofashists have erected monuments for them, invite the unfinished Ssovets to the Canadian Parliament, Zelensky admires those who brutally exterminated Jews (Russian Poles), women, children of old people... and what about Israel? Why didn’t Israel make sharp and unambiguous statements AGAINST the Ukrainian-fascist regime, and didn’t support Moscow, which saved millions of Jews from the Holocaust? short memory? don’t anger God, he will remind you just as he will remind the Armenians of who saved their entire nation from genocide....
1. nepunamemuk
  
  +1
  
  9 October 2023 01: 38
  
  don't anger God
  
  Jews will agree with their god
  not the first time
  if they don’t agree “he’s harsh”, then they’ll go for a walk again for two thousand years
Baltika3

0

8 October 2023 20: 39

the start of a large-scale regional war in the Middle East could really divert the attention of the collective West from Ukraine

And the transition of a large-scale regional war in the Middle East into a global nuclear war will remove Ukraine from any agenda at all. Yes, everything will be taken off the agenda. You won't have to go to work.
Maybe it will work out. I'll go sacrifice a kitten.
Yumico

0

8 October 2023 21: 18

Moscow is expressing the most serious concern about the sharp deterioration of the situation in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict zone.
Draw red lines faster
populist

+3

9 October 2023 09: 32

It won't have any effect. They have their own wedding, we have ours. The Jews will quickly deal with the Arabs and wipe Gaza into dust.
Pound

+2

9 October 2023 14: 46

You won't have to go to work.
Maybe it will work out. I'll go sacrifice a kitten.

Don't touch the cat, radish.
pit iffy

+2

9 October 2023 18: 51

I hope it’s no secret that the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service gave an incorrect assessment to the Russian leadership about the balance of power in Ukraine before February 24th. It is understandable if this happened in any Asian or African country, but it happened in Ukraine, where people live together with the Russians. Summary: The SVR missed the situation. They used to say that every problem has a first and last name, but apparently this is a different case. In any case, this first and last name is still at the top.
DO

0

10 October 2023 17: 22

the outbreak of a large-scale regional war in the Middle East could indeed divert the attention of the collective West from Ukraine, forcing a reduction in the volume of its military-technical support.

Yes, on the one hand this is true.
But military escalation in the Middle East will inevitably complicate the position of the Russian military contingent in Syria. “Dear partners” will certainly use all the possibilities of the situation for this. The US AUG has already been sent to the Mediterranean Sea.